Chapter 56 Disillusionment(1/2)
"Don't think too much. The roughly peaceful situation after the war has been maintained for more than 40 years. Some people have fantasies, which is not strange."
"But do you think it's normal that even Qin Fenglie has such an idea?"
Lin Shiping sighed with a wry smile, not answering Zhou Yongtao's words because he didn't know what to say.
At the beginning, Qin Fenglie still believed that the scale of the war could be controlled. As long as he could defeat the Western Continental Group within one year, he would have hope to prevent the Republic of Newland from participating in the war and avoid the outbreak of a global war. Therefore, he repeatedly emphasized the importance of winning quickly.
Is this possible?
Although theoretically, as long as you can quickly defeat the Western Continental Group, you can dispel the idea of the Newland Republic participating in the war, from another perspective, the Newland Republic also cannot tolerate the Western Continental Group's defeat, that is, the Eastern Group dominates the World Island and finally fights the final battle with it.
After the Western Continental Group was finished, even if there were two oceans blocking it, the Republic of Newland could only be safe for fifty years at most.
With the strength of the Liangxia Empire, after dominating the world island and eliminating the threats on the ground, it will take at most several generations to establish a complete ruling order, and then it can mobilize resources far exceeding the Beigu Group to build a fleet that is enough to sweep the global ocean.
Historically, any country based on a marginal area, that is, outside the world island, has its core strategy to prevent and contain the super power that dominates the world island.
The most representative one is the glorious Bran Kingdom.
After defeating the Sban Empire and the Yujin Kingdom successively, that is, becoming the world's number one overlord, the basic strategy of the Kingdom of Bran was to prevent other powers from dominating the Western Continent. In the following hundred years, the Kingdom of Bran pointed its muzzles at the Luosha Empire, the Locke Empire and the Torman Empire.
Even after losing the title of global hegemony, the Kingdom of Bran did not give up the containment of the number one power in the Western Continent.
If the Western Continent is enlarged into the entire world island, how similar is the position of the Republic of Newland to the Kingdom of Bran!
From this perspective, the Republic of Newland cannot be the second power of the World Island in any case, and the only Triman Empire that can compete with the Liangxia Empire!
It is said that as long as the empire completes the war mobilization, it is confident that it will land on the Lone Continent in this war.
It can be seen that the Newland authorities will never watch the Western Continental Group be defeated and will inevitably participate in the war before this.
The key is that the Republic of Newland can complete the war mobilization in only half a year at most, and the Oriental Group will not be able to defeat the Western Land Group within half a year in any case.
According to the current plan, it would be great to be able to stabilize the battle within half a year.
From a development perspective, the Third Global War has broken out, which means that the Republic of Newland, as a third party, has not participated in the war.
At this time, I was still fantasizing about stabilizing the situation, which was indeed very naive and naive.
"What's the situation in the Bran Kingdom?" Zhou Yongtao did not treat Lin Shiping. He knew very well what caused the current situation.
As Lin Shiping said, the peaceful days have been too long!
“Not very good.”
Zhou Yongtao's brows jumped a few times and turned his eyes away.
Before, the task he arranged for Lin Shiping was to figure out the position of the Kingdom of Bran and keep the Kingdom of Bran as neutral as possible.
It is not that the military power of the Kingdom of Bran is so powerful that it can influence the strategic balance between the two sides, but that the position of the Kingdom of Bran has great political significance.
Although it was once an empire that never set, even before the last war, it had a third fleet in the world, after the defeat in the last war, the international status of the Kingdom of Bran fell sharply, not only losing almost all the colonies, but also losing the foundation for maintaining independence.
Even after joining the Western Land Group, the maritime power of the Kingdom of Bran was not restored.
Of course, the Kingdom of Bran has been working hard to rebuild the navy.
Shortly after the war, the Kingdom of Bran used the lease of Portsmouth and Scarpa Bay to the Liangxia Empire, and obtained three second-hand small aircraft carriers from the Liangxia Empire and rebuilt the Royal Navy. After joining the Western Continental Group, the Kingdom of Bran used its unique strategic position to rebuild the shipbuilding industry and designed several aircraft carriers. Finally, ten years ago, it designed and built three "carrier cruisers" equipped with vertical take-off and landing aircraft, namely small anti-submarine aircraft carriers, and thus became one of the few countries in the Western Continental Group that could build aircraft carriers.
However, this did not change the fact that the Kingdom of Bran has declined.
The Royal Bran Navy chose to build a "Invincible" class "carrier cruiser" with a displacement of less than 20,000 tons and can only carry the "Sea Harrier" vertical take-off fighter, which is a ski-jump take-off aircraft carrier mainly based on anti-submarine, which is a direct reflection of the decline in the comprehensive national strength of the Kingdom of Bran.
Of course, this also directly reflects the position of the Kingdom of Bran in the overall strategy of the Western Continental Group.
Simply put, it is responsible for covering the strategic route from the Western Continent to Beigu, and dealing with enemy submarines that are carrying out a mission to break the transaction on the Beixi Lou Ocean.
That is, Liang Xia Navy's submarine.
But the problem is that the Kingdom of Bran has never turned against the Liangxia Empire, and it is the country with the closest contacts with the Liangxia Empire among the entire Western Land Group.
Until now, Scapa Bay was a military base for the Imperial Navy.
If we want to say, if the Kingdom of Bran can be kept neutral, even if it is tendency to be neutral, it can greatly reduce the combat burden of the Imperial Navy.
Not to mention anything else, at least you don’t need to invest too much military force in Beixi Luoyang, and you can still stabilize Lu Xinhai.
Don't forget that if the Kingdom of Bran had not launched an operation in the North Sunset Ocean and dispersed the Imperial Navy's forces, the Kingdom of Raleigh and Sban would never dare to be arrogant enough to take action in Luxinhai to deal with the Imperial Luxinhai Fleet, which had several large aircraft carriers and dozens of warships.
The key is the political significance.
The Kingdom of Bran is a member of the Western Continental Group. If the Kingdom of Bran has not declared war on the Eastern Group, then the slogan of "always external" will become a fuck.
Other member states will inevitably be affected.
In addition, the Kingdom of Bran is also the link and bridge between the Western Land Group and the Beigu Group.
If the Kingdom of Bran remained neutral, even if it did not formally declare war on the Eastern Group, it would definitely have an impact on the Beigu Group on the other side of Xi Luoyang.
That's why stabilizing the Kingdom of Bran was the first priority of the empire after the war began.
Lin Shiping just gave a brief introduction.
In his words, the efforts made by the Military Intelligence Agency in the Kingdom of Bran have basically been declared to be unsuccessful, to say the least, no substantial results have been achieved.
"As you mean, the Bran authorities are about to declare war on us?"
"It's not sure now." Lin Shiping sighed and said, "It's still ground war now, and the Kingdom of Bran has not made much contribution to ground war, so there is no need to join the war as soon as possible. According to my judgment, the Bran authorities may want to wait and see for a while."
Zhou Yongtao pondered for a while before saying, "Your judgment is probably too optimistic."
Lin Shiping didn't speak. He was indeed a little optimistic, or he was optimistic in front of Zhou Yongtao. After all, this period was all bad news.
"In this day, except for the Xiluosha and the Tyman Empire, several other major members of the Western Continental Group have either declared war on us or are about to declare war on us. If the Kingdom of Bran is still shaking, will the Kingdom of Raleigh and Sban be so active?"
“The Republic of Newland.”
Zhou Yongtao nodded slightly and said, "Based on the current situation, this is a relatively reasonable reason, but it cannot rule out the possibility that the Kingdom of Bran will declare war on us in the near future."
"Even if we declare war on us, the impact will not be too great."
"There is a very critical question here. I wonder if you have thought about it."
Lin Shiping frowned and waited for Zhou Yongtao to continue talking.
"Just as you started, it has something to do with Beigu Group."
"What's the matter?"
Zhou Yongtao smiled, the meaning was obvious. Questions like this should be raised by him, and the head of the intelligence agency gave the answer.
"There is indeed such a possibility." Lin Shiping immediately reacted and said: "After the three-legged situation was formed, the Kingdom of Bran has always been a bridge between the Western Land Group and the Beigu Group. If the Republic of Newland has decided to participate in the war and only needs time to complete the preparations before joining the war, then as a guarantee for joining the war, the Kingdom of Bran will be the first to make its position. In turn, we can also judge whether the Republic of Newland will participate in the war."
"Even if the Republic of Newland did not join the war immediately, the Kingdom of Bran declared war on us, and its impact would be huge."
Lin Shiping nodded, then couldn't help but sigh.
The troops deployed by the empire in Beixi Luoyang, or the influence in this direction, may not be able to take action in time.
Lin Shiping did not respond because this issue had nothing to do with him.
Strictly speaking, the situation in Beixi Luoyang is related to the Navy and is the navy’s fault!
Just a few days ago, Zhou Yongtao personally ordered the Beixiluoyang squadron deployed at the Skapa Naval Base to evacuate and temporarily gave up the only naval base on the Beixiluoyang. Although several submarines were left behind, the deployment was still being adjusted, and the Nanxiluoyang squadron sent submarines north to strengthen the military presence of Beixiluoyang, due to the limitation of logistics support capabilities, the Imperial Navy's military presence in Beixiluoyang could only last for a few months. By the time these submarines consumed all their fuel and ammunition, the Imperial Navy had nothing in Beixiluoyang.
"Anyway, find out the position of the Kingdom of Bran as soon as possible."
"I've made arrangements."
Zhou Yongtao just nodded and didn't say much.
What to say is that the relationship with the Kingdom of Bran is largely determined by the Navy, or related to the strategies advocated by the Navy.
Among them, Zhou Yongtao is one of the most important promoters.
Over the past few decades, the empire has been trying hard to maintain relations with the Kingdom of Bran, and its main purpose is to preserve the only naval base on the Beixi Luoyang Ocean, ensure the status of the "global navy", and to restrict the Western Continental Group and the Beigu Group through sea control.
To put it bluntly, it is to maintain a military presence in Beixi Luoyang.
But the question is, how much significance does the military existence on the Beixi Luoyang have?
Before establishing diplomatic relations with the Republic of Newland, there was more or less a political and military significance, that is, by controlling the sea control power of Beixiluoyang, it prevented the Western Continental countries from communicating with the Republic of Newland, thereby achieving the goal of isolating the Republic of Newland and containing the Republic of Newland. However, after establishing diplomatic relations with the Republic of Newland, that is, recognizing the Republic of Newland, Beixiluoyang's sea control power became a pure burden to the empire.
From the perspective of interests alone, the empire should have withdrawn its troops from Beixi Lake.
But the result was that under the insistence of the Imperial Navy, Scapa Bay was still retained.
To a large extent, the relationship between the Empire and the Kingdom of Bran is dominated by this naval base.
Although at the beginning, the Kingdom of Bran rented its base to the empire and gained capital to fight against the Empire, thus enjoying a special position within the Western Continent Group led by the Empire and becoming the most special member of the Western Continent Group, after approaching the Republic of Newland, the Kingdom of Bran no longer needed to rely on the Liangxia Empire, so he hoped to reclaim the naval base in advance.
Over the past few decades, Scapa Bay has become a knot in both sides.
According to outside comments, if there is no such knot, the Kingdom of Bran would rather act as a middleman of the three major groups and gain the most benefits.
Unfortunately, under the firm opposition of the Imperial Navy, the imperial authorities have been unwilling to give up the Scapa Naval Base.
At the beginning, when deciding whether to continue to rent the Scapa Naval Base, Zhou Yongtao, who was still serving in the navy and was already a naval marshal.
This question is redirected, so naturally no one else can blame him.
After chatting for a while, it was almost time to have a midnight snack. When Lin Shiping was about to say goodbye, Luo Youbin rushed over and went straight into the study after knocking on the door.
There is nothing very important, he will not be so anxious.
To be continued...