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Volume 13 Moral Controversy Chapter 44 Decision-making behind closed doors

It took a full hour to introduce the power of the Republic of China.

Because Pei Chengyi has been creating opportunities for Yuan Chenhao to perform, Liu Xiaobin has been working in intelligence for several years and the most undesirable thing is patience. Yan Jingyu wants to understand the situation in detail as much as possible, so the audience is very patient. In addition to Yan Jingyu occasionally mentioning two simple military issues, Yuan Chenhao is basically speaking alone during the hour.

After working in the General Staff Department for 7 years, he often deals with government officials. Yuan Chenhao also knew very well when to give the opportunity to others, so when summarizing it, Yuan Chenhao left the opportunity to Pei Chengyi. In fact, the final argument was only convincing when it was spoken from Pei Chengyi. Because Pei Chengyi is the Minister of National Defense, Yuan Chenhao is only the director of the Operations Department under the General Staff Department of the Ministry of National Defense. From the perspective of identity, Li Chengyi is a government official and Yuan Chenhao is the administrator of the army. Even if Yan Jingyu doesn't mind getting advice from soldiers, Pei Chengyi should make suggestions.

"In general, we are not ready for the chariot."

As if he expected Pei Chengyi to say this, Yan Jingyu immediately laughed and signaled Pei Chengyi to continue speaking.

"Of course, the United States is not ready for war." Pei Chengyi knew what Yan Jingyu wanted to listen to. Therefore, he tried to pick important content and did not waste time. "After the Middle East War, we and the United States launched a new round of military reforms and formulated a longer-term national defense construction design penalty. In other words, the Middle East War had a great impact on us and the United States, changing the direction of military power development. Any military reform took ten years, or even longer. As early as seven years ago, we planned a long-term strategy to complete military power reform and adjustment in fifteen years. According to the information mastered by the Military Intelligence Bureau, the United States also launched a similar national defense power reform plan at that time.

To be honest, our military reform has only been half completed, and the situation in the United States is not much better. Because both our military reforms and the United States are targeting larger-scale comprehensive wars, and the military power has been comprehensively adjusted! Therefore, before the reform was completed, our military power was at a low point, and the reform effect has not yet been shown, and the overall combat effectiveness of the army has not been significantly improved. In short, it is impossible to guarantee victory in a comprehensive war with the United States before the military reform is completed. Judging from the current situation, even if national defense investment is increased and military reforms are accelerated, it will take six years to complete the reform work and make the military's combat effectiveness reach a new height.

"How much investment is needed?" Yan Jingyu asked very directly.

Pei Chengyi hesitated for a moment and said, "Do not add additional investment, but increase national defense expenditures at an average rate of more than 50% per year in the next six years. That is to say, by the fiscal year, our national defense budget will account for 60% of the central government's total fiscal budget and 15% of the GDP."

After hearing Pei Chengyi said this, Yan Jingyu immediately frowned.

"Actually, this is still a conservative estimate." Pei Chengyi did not avoid it. Whether the head of state likes to listen or not, he had to fulfill the duties of government officials, that is, to make complete suggestions, rather than influence the decisions of the head of state through incomplete information. "As we all know, defense spending is an important factor in measuring whether a country has entered a state of war and whether it is ready to enter a state of war. With our current political system, defense spending is a public budget, and it is difficult for us to expand defense spending through secret methods. That is to say, as long as we increase it.

If we add defense spending, the United States will think that we are preparing for war and will soon enter a state of war. In this way, the U.S. authorities will definitely increase defense spending and aim to prepare for war before us. There is no doubt that we must not let the United States prepare for war first. After all, in a close-kick-up full-scale war, whoever is prepared first will have a greater chance of winning. In other words, as long as we increase defense spending, the pace of war will accelerate, and no one can slow down the speed."

“That is, we have to continue to increase our defense spending at that time?”

Pei Chengyi nodded and said, "When national defense expenditure accounts for 60% of the central government's total fiscal budget, continuing to expand national defense expenditure requires tax revenue, and the country enters a state of war, or enters a state of war in certain areas, which will have an irreversible impact on the country's economic construction and the production and life of the people. Although we have reason to believe that the people will support the government's war decisions, after all, this is not a war decided by us unilaterally, and as long as we do not give up the ideal of becoming the world's number one power, a full-scale war with the United States will be inevitable. But we must consider the consequences of this. That is, whether our national economy can be adjusted before the war begins, and what aspects the government needs to prepare. Because this is not a local war, but a full-scale war that determines the survival of the country and the rise and fall of the nation, so even a little mistake will lead to unpredictable consequences."

Yan Jingyu breathed a sigh of relief and expressed that he understood Pei Chengyi's meaning.

Seeing that the head of state has attracted the attention of the head of state, Pei Chengyi gave Liu Xiaobin a look. The new address of this site has been changed to: Talk about fetal 0 muscles, and please read by Guangtian!

"Relatively speaking, we should consider international factors more than domestic factors." Liu Xiaobin said, lit a cigarette. "In the past 30 years, the construction achievements of our country have attracted worldwide attention. The people's deletion of the government is very high. Especially the political reforms promoted by Mr. Wang. Not only did they give citizens a swim, but they also tied the national interests to the interests of each citizen. After years of publicity and the actual achievements in political system reform, we have enough reason to believe that the vast majority of citizens will support the government's war decisions. Besides, whether to increase national defense spending and whether to speed up preparations is not decided by us, but by the representatives of the whole congress.

Liu Xiaobin's words reached the point.

Although in the political system of the Republic, the head of state still has great power, such as vetoing bills that have been supported by the plenary congress, and even disbanding the plenary congress and re-electing representatives with the support of the Premier of the State Council, the President of the Supreme Court, the President of the Supreme Procuratorate and the Chairman of the Political Consultative Conference. However, after the first phase of political reform was completed, the status of the plenary congress was significantly improved and its power was greatly strengthened. Not only did it have the power to comprehensively review the government's fiscal budget and expenditure, but it also had the power to veto administrative decrees. If the Plenary Contract is obtained, the Plenary Contract has the power to veto administrative decrees.

The support of the Chairman, Premier of the State Council, President of the Supreme Court and President of the Supreme Court can even impeach the Head of State. In this way, even if Yan Jingyu adopted Pei Chengyi's suggestion and decided to increase the defense budget, he must first settle the representatives of the general assembly and have the budget take effect by the general assembly. Because two-thirds of the representatives of the general assembly are directly elected by citizens and represent citizens to perform the right to participate in politics and make the policy decision, so as long as the increase in defense expenditure is supported by the general assembly, the citizens of the Republic are supporting the war, rather than the leaders of the Republic launching the war.

Judging from the reality, the power of the plenary congress is far less than that great.

You should know that in the general assembly, one-third of the representatives are still elected by indirect elections, half of which are central representatives, and the other half are representatives of local governments. In other words, these one-third of the representatives must basically obey the arrangements of the head of state and will unconditionally support any decision of the head of state. In this way, when only a simple majority is required, as long as one-quarter of the elected representatives can be persuaded, the bill submitted by the head of state can be passed in the general assembly. Because about one-third of the elected representatives come from all walks of life, most of them are speaking for major industrial groups, and these representatives have good relations with the central government and the head of state, and almost all can participate in the Spring Festival welcome meeting held in the head of state, so as long as they do not turn against each other, the bill submitted by the head of state will be almost not rejected.

This political system that focuses on the "one-speaking system" actually exists in all major powers.

Take the United States' "presidential parliamentary system" as an example. The real center of power is the White House, not Congress. The other people are over 100 million people. The country with a land area of ​​more than 10,000 square kilometers is implemented. For example, the world is Russia with the largest land area, and the president's authority is far higher than that of Congress and plays an important role in the country's political life. Correspondingly, this "one-point system" focusing on the head of state is actually the key to maintaining national stability. You must know that for any population exceeds 100 million and the land area exceeds

For example, for a country with ten thousand, the biggest enemy is not an external threat, because such a country is difficult to be occupied by foreign enemies, and at least it will not be ruled by invaders for a long time. Its biggest enemy is internal unrest, especially internal unrest caused by classificationism. Take Russia as an example. Relying on the vast land and richest resources in the world, coupled with its relatively superior geographical location, in the years after independence, it still has not been able to become a truly first-class power, but hovering among second-rate and even third-rate countries, because Russia's separatist forces are very large and the influence of the central government is very limited.

No matter what, Liu Xiaobin has proposed a solution.

"Although we do not want to fight a world war with the United States, after the war breaks out, we can't fight as much as we think." After Yan Jingyu turned his attention, Liu Xiaobin continued, "If we only consider our national strength with the United States, we will be confident enough to defeat the United States in the next ten years. The problem is that the Middle East War has proved that the United States will never fight alone. In fact, since becoming a global power, the United States has also fought alone with any country.

From the current situation, as long as we increase defense spending and start preparing for war with great fanfare, the United States will not only engage in an arms race with us in a tit-for-tat way, but will also accelerate the expansion of the SAIT Group and win over more allies. In other words, our war with the United States is destined to turn into a global war. In this case, we have no choice but to speed up the expansion of the intensive group and absorb more members. At this point, no one will believe that we can live in peace with the United States."

"In other words, we want to show off to all other countries?" Yan Jingyu frowned and said this. The new address of this site has been changed to: Talk about 0南后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后后�

Liu Xiaobin nodded and left the opportunity to speak to Pei Chengyi.

"This is a real problem that we must face. As long as the world war surfaces, even if we don't showdown, the United States will showdown to the world. At that time, all countries will have to choose their camps." Pei Chengyi exclaimed and said, "Because the scale of the SYRO Group and the intensive group are not small and the scope is relatively specified, we don't have to pay attention to most small and medium-sized countries. For most countries, there are only three choices: one is to support us, the second is to surrender to the United States, and the third is to remain neutral. In fact, because the scope of this war is willing to fight against each other.

It will definitely surpass World War II, so except for some traditional permanent neutral countries, almost no country can guarantee absolute neutrality. Through the competition and elimination in the previous few years, most small and medium-sized countries have very limited influence. Even countries with regional influence such as Pakistan, Iran, Genesis, Brazil, and South Africa are difficult to influence the war. What we need to pay attention to is only a few influential powers, or a group of powers, one is Russia, the other is the EU, and several countries in the Western Pacific.”

Yan Jingyu sighed and fell silent again.

"The key is Russia and the EU." Pei Chengyi knew that the head of state was still hesitating. So he continued, "According to my judgment, Russia is likely to remain neutral, but it will not be absolutely neutral, and the club focuses on it. Whether Russia helps us or supports the United States is mainly determined by our strategy, that is, whether we will take advantage of this opportunity to seize Russia's Far East."

"Is it necessary for us to seize the Russian Far East?"

Obviously, this is not a problem, or a question that does not require explanation.

As early as after the Indian War, the Russian authorities were "worrying" that the Republic, which had solved other surrounding problems, took the opportunity to go north to regain the territory occupied by Russia that year, and even captured Russia's Far East and Siberia. Although the Middle East War broke out in Secret 2008, the Republic had no intention of going north, and the Republic's authorities had never approved the bill to merge with Mongolia. In fact, the Republic's authorities did not have the idea of ​​going north, because in the second half of the century, the key to national competition was the level of technology, rather than the land area and resources.

More importantly, the population of the Republic is still decreasing, and a resource network has been established around the world, and the demand for resources has been reduced a lot. Even if the population of the Republic will expand again in decades, there will definitely be a way to solve the resource problem. Therefore, in the foreseeable future, regaining the territory occupied by Russia more than a hundred years ago will not help the Republic's strength, especially the production and life of the Republic's citizens. As for capturing the Far East and occupying Siberia, it is even more nonsense. You must know that Russia

It is to obtain the estuary in the Pacific Ocean. It attaches great importance to the Far East. The Republic is a country along the Pacific coast and does not need to play more estuary. As for the estuary in the Arctic Ocean, it has little practical significance. But in Russia's view, these practical factors do not exist. After all, Russia is the country with the largest territory in the world, and the Republic is the country with the strongest comprehensive national strength in the world. As the strength of the Republic grows, one day, the Republic will invade Russia for one or another.

From another perspective, this can also be understood as Russia's guilty attitude.

In any case, Russia's ability to become the largest country in the world is closely related to the foreign expansion that has lasted for hundreds of years and the robber logic in Russian national thought. When Russia is no longer strong, or has no strength to plunder neighbors, it is naturally worried that it will be neighbors.

Skip.

"Anyway, we must take Russia seriously."

Yan Meiyu nodded and signaled Pei Chengyi to continue speaking.

"In addition to Russia, there is also the EU." Pei Chengyi paused for a moment, "Because Russia's domestic problems are very serious and its overall national strength is relatively limited, as long as we restrain ourselves in strategic deployment, we can stabilize Russia. In this case, the EU is the only one who is truly likely to affect the process of the war. According to my estimate, as long as we start to prepare for the war with great fanfare, the EU will accelerate the process of unification and strive to achieve unity before the outbreak of the war. The reason is very simple. Only a unified Europe can become the hegemon that dominates one side. More importantly, no matter who the EU will eventually fall to

If unification cannot be achieved, it is very likely that it will be split into dozens of countries again after the war, causing decades of hard work to be wasted. There is no doubt that this is an unacceptable result for several major EU member states. According to my judgment, as long as the world war becomes inevitable, even if other member states still do not support unification under one government, several major EU member states such as France, Germany, and Italy will take the lead in establishing an authoritative and influential central government, and on this basis, absorb other member states, so as to concentrate the main forces of the EU as quickly as possible to cope with the upcoming challenges."

"As you mean, should we prevent the EU from achieving unity?"

Pei Chengyi hesitated for a moment and said, "My opinion is exactly the opposite. We not only cannot prevent the EU from achieving reunification, but also try our best to help the EU achieve reunification, at least help several major EU member states establish a coalition government."

Yan Jingyu immediately frowned, as if he didn't understand what Pei Chengyi meant.

Pei Chengyi did not rush to continue speaking, but gave Liu Xiaobin a look and signaled that Liu Xiaobin would hand over the things he brought to the head of state.
Chapter completed!
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