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Chapter 43: The Problem of War

7 The second thugs. On Sunday, when everything was ready, Pei Chengyi, Liu Xiaobin and Yuan Chen went to the capital of the headquarters.

Because this report is related to the Republic's basic strategy in the next few years, even decades, Pei Chengyi and others still attach great importance to it while reporting only for informal work, and have also received great attention from Yan Jingyu. There is no doubt about Yan Jingyu's ambition, but no one can be sure that Yan Jingyu has the great talent of a generation of great men. In any case, his high importance to this incident has proved his strategic vision. The address of this site has been changed to: Just a sip of milk...8. Please log in to the Valve!

The same way of guiding the previous report work is the same. First, the supervisor will report the situation quietly.

Liu Xiaobin did not retain anything, and focused on introducing the attitude of the Iraqi authorities on the issue of external expansion. As a popular intelligence agency, Liu Xiaobin strictly abides by the rules set by Pan Yunsheng, that is, only provide intelligence basis for national leaders to make strategic decisions, without providing any reference opinions. Because intelligence itself has the ability to make decisions, the head of the intelligence agency has great power. If reference opinions are provided in the decision-making, it will not only influence the basic national strategy, but will even undermine the national leaders. The head of the intelligence agency is essentially just administrative personnel and cannot even be considered a soldier. If one cannot strictly restrain his own behavior, he will easily be excluded by the national leaders, thus losing his due role and status, which will have an adverse impact on the national situation.

The situation is very simple, and there is basically no need for detailed introduction.

Because of the full assistance of the Republic, the national economic construction entered the highway lane. So in about two years, Iraq surpassed Saudi Arabia and became the second largest economic power in the Arab world after Egypt. The direct result of economic expansion is that the ambition for external expansion has risen again. Coupled with the intentional or unintentional propaganda of the Republic, almost all Iraqis believe that they have the obligation to unify the entire Arab world. The first thing they have to do is to recover the former "Kuwait Province, under this circumstance, Israel's Mosad and the fourth-class intelligence agencies of the United States took the opportunity to try to use the methods of the early century to marginalize Iraq again, thereby shattering the Republic's Middle East strategy.

“What will happen if we don’t intervene?

Perhaps Yan Jingyu asked too directly, so Liu Xiaobin thought for a while before speaking: "More than 20 years ago, we obtained some top-secret information from four, one of which was related to the Gulf War in the last century. The US intelligence agency tried to induce Saddam to invade Kuwait. The main purpose was not to control the world's oil depot, or it was just one of the main purposes.

Yan Jingyu frowned slightly and signaled Liu Xiaobin to continue talking.

Although Yan Jingyu, as the head of state, can access all top secret information, no head of state can access all top secret information of the Republic, because the head of state is not the head of an intelligence agency, and has no obligation to devote too much energy to some common sense issues, nor has the time to read too much information.

"As we all know, the Iraq-Iran-Iran-Iran-Iran-War had a great impact on the Arab world. Liu Xiaobin knew what the head of state needed to know, so he only introduced some key issues. "Although the Iraq-Iran-Iran war was very ugly, and neither Iraq nor Iran could reasonably use the advanced weapons in his hands, this war greatly helped the Arab world get out of the shadow of the previous Arab-Israeli wars, allowing many Arab countries to find the same goal again. More importantly, Iraq's positive performance has the effect of replacing Egypt and becoming the leader of the Arab world. In fact, Saddam also has such ideas and ambitions

Yan Jingyu smiled, indicating that he understood what this said.

Before the Gulf War, Saddam could definitely be described as "talented and generous". When Egyptian President Sadat signed the Camp David Agreement with Israel in order to recover the Sinai Peninsula occupied by Israel, he was assassinated and died, and the Arab world lost its most influential leader. It can be said that in the Li Century Field era, what Arabia needed most was a leader, a leader who could unite hundreds of millions of Arabs.

The problem is, Saddam took a wrong step.

"Obviously, Saddam seriously underestimated the influence of the Jews in the United States. Imagine that a nation with a seat in the U.S. Senate, a lawyer, a billionaire, and a social wealth in the U.S. Senate, would it ignore millions of compatriots?" Liu Xiaobin paused for a moment and said. "Former U.S. Secretary of State Dusler said that for American Jews, Israel's problem is not an international problem, but a domestic problem. Since the founding of Israel, the strategic support of the United States has not relaxed. You must know that the basic thugs. The Middle East War in 2019 was the first time the United States fought all its strength with us on the battlefield. In the Peninsula War before the two provocations, the United States did not even fight with us. It can be said that Israel has not been able to do anything to the end.

In the fifty-first state of the United States, protecting Israel is not only the obligation of American Jews, but also the responsibility of American politicians. In order to ensure Israel's security, the US authorities not only provide Israel with the most advanced weapons and equipment, but also secretly provides Israel with nuclear weapons technology, but also spare no effort to attack Arab countries and dismantle Arab unity and unity forces. Of course, this is no different from controlling the world's oil depots, because American energy companies have close ties with Jews. Only by defeating the Arab countries and turning the Arab world into a mess, Jewish businessmen and financial capitalists with American nationality have the ability to control the Middle East, and then the royal family or dictatorial government of the Zhenjiang country will control the Middle East.

“That is, if we do nothing, the result will be the same as sixty years ago?”

Liu Xiaobin did not answer this question at that time, because this was not a question he could answer.

In fact, the Republic authorities hesitated a few years ago. Although there was no evidence that Aunt Sada sent troops to Kuwait was related to the US intelligence agencies and could not deny the fact that Iraq invaded Kuwait, in the vote of the UN Security Council, the Republic still abstained from the vote, rather than in favor. In other words, the leaders of the Republic at that time knew that the United States was aimed at Iraq's oil and the Arab countries that united again. It can even be said that the Gulf War was a retaliation action by Western countries led by the United States against Arab countries in the century-old era, which led to the Western world's first economic crisis. Otherwise, after the US flag was waved, it would not have been

There are so many Western countries responding. You should know that just years later, when the United States launched the Iraq War, which was the "Second Gulf War", there were much fewer Western countries that responded to the "call", and France, a Western country that had been trying to get rid of the influence and control of the United States, even publicly condemned it. It can be said that in the early 1990s, if the Republican authorities could be a little tougher in foreign policy and voted a decisive veto in the Security Council, then the United States would have to launch the Gulf War alone, and it was unlikely that the Gulf War would even be launched. Of course, with the situation at that time, the Republic could not vote in the Security Council. After all, it was Saddam, not Bush, the old man who launched the war of aggression.

Again, the same problem occurred, the leaders of the Republic had many more choices.

When Liu Xiaobin avoided this issue, Pei Chengyi took over the topic and said: "The situation is very clear. The driving force behind this is Israel, not the United States. Although there is intelligence that the Fourth has participated in the counter-rebellion operation in Iraq, at least providing support for Mosad, judging from the current situation, the US authorities will definitely not take the risk of colliding with us again, otherwise they will not push Israel to the stage.

"According to my judgment, if we do not intervene and let the situation continue, the Iraqi authorities will definitely take a critical step. The question is, will the United States invite dozens of countries and dispatch hundreds of thousands of troops to defeat Iraq like they did sixty years ago? The answer to this question is obvious. It is not sixty years ago, and countries in the Gulf region will not support the United States as they did sixty years ago. In other words, the United States is unlikely to send troops again and will accept the fait accompli after conducting diplomatic protests. It can be said that this is the fundamental reason why the Iraqi authorities are fearless.

The key is, can we accept such a result?

"Iraq invades Kuwait again. Even if Kuwait is not richer than Iraq now, and Kuwait's foreign policy is more inclined to us. Many Kuwaitians even benefit from cooperation with Iraq. For example, the port we built on Bubiyan Island has created a lot of labor opportunities and social wealth for Kuwait. However, no Arab country will accept the fact that Iraq annexes Kuwait, especially the royal families of several relatively wealthy Arab countries, will definitely feel the threat from Iraq and be disappointed with our Middle East foreign policy. This will pose a devastating blow to our Middle East strategy.

"It can be said that it is the fundamental purpose of Israel's move. You must know that as our Middle East strategy fails, the Arab world will lose its strongest support and become a mess again, and Israel's strategic security can be guaranteed. In fact, what the Arab world will become is not much to us, nor is it a question we should care about. For us, the key is how much price we will pay after the Arab strategy fails, and will it have an impact on our global strategy?"

After speaking, Pei Chengyi paused a little and said, "If we look at it a little longer, we have to even consider the long-term impact on the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. As early as more than 30 years ago, after we were involved in the India-Pakistan War, our basic strategy was settled. Facing the vast Pacific Ocean to the east, whether we take a small step or a big step, it will trigger a full-scale war with the United States. Our only way out is to develop westward, and over the past 30 years, we have achieved considerable achievements in the westward strategy, not only controlling the South Asian subcontinent and the Indian Ocean, but also successfully landed in Africa and gained a foothold in the Middle East. If we fail at this time, the consequences will be unimaginable."

Yan Jingyu nodded slightly and said, "The key is, how serious will there be after we intervene?"

Pei Chengyi looked at Liu Xiaobin and signaled that Liu Xiaobin would answer this question.

"If we intervene, the most direct way is to support a new regime in Iraq." Liu Xiaobin smiled bitterly and said, "There is no doubt that Israel and the United States intelligence agencies will consider this possibility when planning this operation and make corresponding preparations. It is not difficult to overthrow the current Iraqi government and support the new government. In any case, almost all Iraqi government officials are trained by us, and the generals of the Iraqi army are closely related to us. The problem is that we cannot eliminate the vicious consequences caused by this."

"What's the meaning?"

"We are able to get the trust and support of many Arab countries, in addition to our ability to provide more practical help, and are also related to our basic foreign policy, that is, we rarely interfere in the internal affairs of Arab countries. Even in countries like Iraq, which were established on the ruins, we are very restrained. The current Iraqi government is an elected government, and a legal government recognized by many countries, and is also a government that has our support. If we are just for a guess, or for something that has not happened

To overthrow the regime and support a new regime, there is probably no Arab state to support us. In fact, this is also likely to be the secondary purpose pursued by the United States and Israel, that is, to force us to take action and smear our image, thereby achieving the strategic purpose of splitting the Arab world and curbing us. More importantly, we cannot wait until the Iraqi authorities take action before taking action, because this will allow the United States and Israel to achieve its main goals and will also have a devastating blow to our Middle East strategy."

"In other words, we are in a dilemma, and there is no better choice Pei Chengyi added.

Liu Xiaobin nodded and said nothing more.

Seeing the two of them singing and reconciling, Yan Jingyu frowned slightly and looked at Yuan Chenhao who was sitting next to him.

"If possible, we have to try to avoid war, at least avoid war in the past few years." Pei Chengyi attracted Yan Jingyu's attention and said, "In fact, we cannot fight the United States because of this, and the US authorities have no intention of fighting with us."

"The problem is that any solution will bring us closer to the war."

When Pei Chengyi heard Yan Jingyu say this, he sighed and said nothing more.

"Twenty years ago, Mr. Wang said that the Middle East will become a powder keg that triggered the world war." Yan Jingyu breathed a sigh of relief, picked up the cigarette on the coffee table, and lit one for Liu Xiaobin and Yuan Chenhao first, and then said, "You all have the highest right to be confidential, so I don't need to say more about some things. You can take time to read the relevant information. In fact, over the years, we have been avoiding the world war caused by conflicts in the Middle East. Although the situation around our country improved comprehensively after the Indian War, our way out was still blocked by the United States. The east crossed the Pacific Ocean is the United States, the south is Australia, and the north is Russia. It can be said that these three directions basically have no room for us to intervene.

In the meantime, it may trigger a full-scale war that has a significant impact on us, so we can only move westward. The South Asian subcontinent can only be regarded as a base camp for moving westward, and only the Middle East region can serve as a springboard for moving westward. As we land on the African continent and establish a new order with us as the core in the Eastern Africa region, it is even more necessary to connect our sphere of influence through the Middle East. It can be said that no matter how difficult it is, we will not retreat. Similarly, the Jews control the lifeline of the United States. Regardless of whether other Americans are willing to fight for Israel, under the current American system, we will definitely not abandon Israel. In other words, our struggle with the United States in the Middle East will never end in compromise.

After hearing Yan Jingyu say this, Pei Chengyi sighed again and looked at Yuan Chenhao.

Obviously, what Yan Jingqian mentioned was the fundamental reason for asking Pei Chengyi to prepare the war plan. The address of this site has been changed to: Just a moment...8. Please log in to the Valve!

As Yan Jingyu said, with the ability of leaders such as Jiyou Guoxiao Wang Yuanqing, they could not have known that as the Republic moves from the region to the world, it will definitely fight the United States in the Middle East, and thus trigger a full-scale war between the Republic and the United States. If you look at the geographical environment, the Republic has no other choice. If you bet on the Middle East, the probability of winning is much higher than that in other regions. It is precisely because of this that many of the Republic’s foreign countries have been exposed to many years.

Policy and even foreign wars are related to Middle East strategy. Not to mention, after the Fourth India-Pakistan War, the Republican authorities actively helped Pakistan and Bangladesh develop their economy by establishing a market community, hoping to use these two Islamic countries to win the trust of the Islamic world, including many Arab countries, and prepare for the march to the Middle East. In fact, in the Middle East War in prison, Pakistan was the rear of the Republic's army.

Since we talk about the issue of war, we naturally cannot be ambiguity.

This time, the person who gave the military introduction was not Pei Chengyi, but Yuan Chenhao. After becoming Minister of National Defense, Pei Chengyi rarely gave military reports at work meetings of the central government, giving the opportunity to stand out to others, and taking this opportunity to let others know that his official identity is a ministerial official of the State Council, not an army general. It is precisely because of this that Yuan Chenhao has made military reports to the head of state many times.

Compared with Pei Chengyi back then, Yuan Chenhao's situation was much better.

In a sense, Yuan Chenhao's is much higher than Pei Chengyi. You should know that when Pei Chengyi made his debut, he was suppressed by the Republic's military and political officials, including Peng Maobang. Even after the Peninsula War, he was suppressed again because of Wang Yuanqing's third military reform.

It is the different experiences that give Yuan Chenhao different personalities and thoughts.

Relatively speaking, Yuan Chenhao's desire to perform is much stronger than Pei Chengyi.
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