597 [Caution when making war fortunes]
This month there are many experts discussing the "Iraq crisis", which can be seen on TV, newspapers, magazines, and the Internet.
The mainstream view is that the United States wants to control oil and maintain its hegemony in the Middle East. There are also various strange remarks, such as Bush and Uncle Sa who have a grudge against him, and Bush Jr., who will avenge his father after taking office, is ridiculous.
Of course, there are also some domestic economists who say that the United States launched a war to maintain the hegemony of the US dollar, but this voice did not attract the attention of the general public.
Song Weiyang wrote easily and needed data. He suddenly called Chen Si: "Send me the European and American financial data for the past two years, especially about the euro and the US dollar."
Chen Si just finished the Lantern Festival in her hometown and was packing her luggage and preparing to fly back to work tomorrow. After receiving Song Weiyang's call, she immediately took out the Shenzhou mobile hard drive from her suitcase, connected to the computer and searched for it for a while, and sent the relevant official public data.
I thought of carrying several mobile hard drives anytime and anywhere, all of which were information collected by Song Weiyang and encrypted files from various companies. Of course, these are backup contents, and they are not absolutely confidential. The files that really need to be kept confidential are all in the company's computers that do not plug in the network cable, and paper files are locked in the safe.
As for the financial information in Europe and the United States, there is no need to collect it abroad. Some domestic institutions are studying it. Taurus Capital is in Hong Kong City, and the mainland has sponsored economic research institutes. It receives a lot of research reports every year. Although there are few truly valuable reports, there are many various data.
In fact, when the Iraq issue was getting big, Taurus Capital's securities department had already begun to place orders in small quantities. After the United Nations made its attitude, Taurus Capital spent a lot of money to speculate on US dollar foreign exchange futures and oil futures, many financial institutions planned to do so, but under Song Weiyang's instruction, Taurus Capital took action faster and more resolutely.
After receiving the information, Song Weiyang continued to write:
"Since October 2000, Iraq exported crude oil to the United States only for euros. Iran immediately stated that it would reduce the price of oil US dollar, Saudi Arabia withdrew $200 billion from the Bank of America, and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries hinted at 'the possibility of converting oil currency from the US dollar to the euro'. The above factors led to a large amount of international capital flowing out of the United States and investing in Europe, and the euro exchange rate rose rapidly..."
"In 2002, the foreign investment received by US securities fell by only US$560 billion from US$978 billion two years ago, and the inflow of overseas direct investment decreased from US$308 billion to US$14 billion. According to statistics from the Investor Trust Association of EU countries, the total amount of foreign stocks and bonds sold in 2002 was 4.9 billion euros, a record record, of which 60% of the stocks and 70% of the bonds were US assets. In other words, European investors are frantically selling US securities, and everything is that Iraq gave up US dollar oil settlement, and the dollar exchange rate against the euro plummeted by 22% last year..."
"If this continues, the euro's international influence will increase year by year, and even replace the US dollar in important areas in some regions, such as: international crude oil settlement!"
Song Weiyang once again praised the importance of the US dollar, and the United States used to print money to suck blood all over the world. After writing these, he went to sleep in the afternoon. He was not afraid of angering the United States, because some scholars in China said this, and Song Weiyang used public data. Europe has been even more quarrel. I don’t know how many EU scholars are revealing that EU governments are secretly supporting the anti-war movement because they also want to carry forward the euro.
The United States is fighting Iraq on the surface, but essentially the euro. Even if this battle costs trillions of dollars in military spending, the United States will still go to war at all costs. For the sake of the US dollar, it will not be able to fight!
Song Weiyang slept soundly in the afternoon, and his blog became lively. The number of views of the blog post exceeded 100,000 in less than an hour. Then netizens copied and pasted them in various ways, and in half a day they were forwarded to the entire network. Even some physical newspaper editors copied the article and planned to reprint it.
"Dr. Ma is still awesome. Now everyone is talking about oil on TV, and no one mentions the issue of the US dollar at all."
"Awesome, after Teacher Song said this, he will explain the reasons why the United States attacked Iraq. It just so happened that I graduated from a master's degree this year. Now I will change the direction of my thesis and write a post-war world economic analysis."
"Don't talk nonsense on the first floor. If you look at economic publications, you will know that experts have already raised the US dollar issue. Friends who want to trade foreign exchange futures can buy the US dollar now. The exchange rate of the US dollar against the euro has plummeted by nearly 30% in the past two years. Once the battle fights, it will definitely rise sharply."
"How did Lao Song get these data? It looks so professional."
"I am worthy of being the richest man in China, and my horizons are indeed broad enough. Other bosses are still staring at the country, and Boss Song has already focused on the whole world."
"It makes sense for people to get rich, but most people can't learn it."
"The United States is really disgusting. If its economy is not good, it will print money, so that people all over the world will pay for the United States. What kind of weapon is it that it is just because Iraq does not charge US dollars when selling oil."
"Haha, what can't be done in the United States? Don't forget that we bombed our embassy a few years ago and hit our plane!"
"Support Boss Song, you must expose the truth."
"Every day, I have to read Boss Song's blog, and every article is full of essence. Unfortunately, Boss Song has written too few articles."
"Don't flatter me, the first one. Song Weiyang's previous blog post is the essence of the fart. There are only a few words in total, saying that he was hacked to death several times in "Legend". I can write 100 such articles a day."
"There are so many flatterers here. No matter how comfortable you lick Song Weiyang, they won't give you a few cents."
“…”
This blog post attracted online attention at this time, and it was more due to Song Weiyang's identity as the richest man. Although the Iraq issue has caused a lot of controversy, it has not yet started a war, so maybe it was mediated by the United Nations?
Until a month later, the war broke out and the whole nation immediately paid attention.
All Chinese media are reporting, and even local newspapers like Jinling Morning Post have snatched a "scoop" from major official media. There are also newspapers in Jinling area who send two "war correspondents" who dare not go to Iraq directly, so they went to their neighboring countries for interviews and wrote a series of war peripheral news.
As for the official media, there are several special editions in one report, and CCTV even reports around the clock, and many experts were invited to analyze and discuss. After the war broke out, the ratings of CCTV's 1 and 4 sets increased by 400% and 500% respectively. International news was even 36% higher than CCTV's prime time ratings, which was completely beyond everyone's expectations.
It also shows how much attention the people are to this war.
Song Weiyang's articles were in line with the tone, so some experts who were too lazy to check their own information quoted various data and opinions. Some cited and mentioned Song Weiyang's name, while others simply mentioned it without mentioning it. Anyway, Song Weiyang also used international public data.
The "dollar theory" quickly overwhelmed the "oil theory" and became the mainstream view of domestic media analyzing the US-Iran war. To a large extent, it was brought up by Song Weiyang's blog post. Of course, countless experts and scholars also helped Song Weiyang distract their firepower so that the United States would not have the US targeted Song Weiyang alone.
Major portals, including Sogou Blog, have taken the opportunity to invite scholars to open columns.
Those websites also made special topics for war. After clicking on the special report, Song Weiyang's blog post is always ranked the most prominent position in the current review section. So much so that many netizens have changed their name to Song Weiyang, and they all nicknamed him "Teacher Song".
A simple change in title means that netizens’ perception of Song Weiyang changes, and everyone no longer regards him as a businessman.
In the foreign exchange futures market, the guy who planned to speculate on the rise in the US dollar against the euro soon lost all his underwear.
In the first week of the war, countless speculators were optimistic about the United States and the US dollar, the exchange rate of the US dollar rose by 2.3%. But in the second week, everyone felt that the war might not go smoothly, and the US dollar (versus the euro) fell by 1.47%. In the third week of the war, the US military advanced near Baghdad, and the US dollar exchange rate rose by 1.06%.
This situation has stimulated many investment institutions and continued to spend a lot of money to buy the US dollar to appreciate, and they believe that the US dollar will be bullish all the way.
As a result, in the fourth week, the US military was about to win and the uncertainty of the war subsided. Everyone began to pay attention to the huge cost of Iraq's reconstruction and the huge deficit caused by the war. The dollar exchange rate began to fall slightly. Then there was a continuous decline throughout the year because the US economy was very sluggish. Morgan Stanley's chief economist even predicted that the US dollar would depreciate by 15% in the next few years due to trade factors.
Song Weiyang may not know anything else, but he was doing business in his previous life. He knew that since Iraq announced the use of the euro for oil settlement, even though the United States won the war, the depreciation of the US dollar could not stop at all. Central banks of many countries have reduced their holdings of the US dollar's foreign exchange reserves to increase their euro reserves, and some commodity transactions have also begun to use euro settlement (this phenomenon has not only not stopped due to the war, but has increased year by year). For the United States, Uncle Sa made a very bad head, and it is not worth mercy to die even if he cut it into pieces.
Taurus Capital and some investment institutions with super analysis and prediction capabilities have made a lot of money by placing short orders on the US dollar exchange rate.
Countless investment institutions that predict the appreciation of the US dollar cannot cry. Including the netizen who fooled others to speculate on the US dollar under Song Weiyang's blog, he could not understand why the US dollar kept falling and falling because he won so cleanly in a war? The US dollar has been appreciated for a full ten years before. Logically speaking, as long as he kills the disobedient Iraq, the US dollar will re-enter the appreciation period!
Chapter completed!