The rapid movement of the Chinese Marine Corps not only shocked the Singapore authorities, but also surprised the US generals.

In fact, as early as the 23rd, after Pang Yuelong sent troops to Kuantan and Malacca, the US intelligence agency issued an alarm that the Chinese Marine Corps was likely to attack Singapore in the near future. At that time, the Joint Conference, the Army Staff and the Navy Staff also made a similar judgment, that China's first round of counterattacks would target Singapore, with the main purpose of opening up the waterway entering the Indian Ocean.

From a military perspective, it is not difficult to make such a judgment.

Although the Chinese Navy suffered heavy damage and lost two-thirds of its aircraft carrier battle group, it still has combat capabilities and a very high threat.

At that time, China's main problems were concentrated in the Indian Ocean, not the Pacific Ocean.

To put it bluntly, the basic strategy of the United States is to first west and then east, first complete the strategic siege of China, and then gradually advance towards China's mainland. It is precisely because of this strategy that the United States actively planned Israel to declare war on Arab countries and fight in the Middle East. In order to seize the sea control power of the Indian Ocean and the Pacific Ocean, Canada and Russia play a blocking role in the Eurasian continent, and the ground passage from South Asia to the Middle East becomes the last gap in the strategic siege surrounding China. As long as this gap is blocked, China will be completely surrounded and has to fight with the United States while relying mainly on its own. In comparison, the United States can utilize almost the resources of the world. With one decline and the other rising, China's advantages in industry and technology no longer exist.

Obviously, the weakest link in this strategic encirclement is the Indian Ocean.

In the Pacific, the United States has a large strategic depth and an absolute advantage in military power. Although Russia is fragile, its vast territory can easily become the grave of the Chinese army. And winter has arrived, and China will definitely not take the risk of attacking Russia in the winter. More importantly, Russia's strategic depth is large enough to remain undefeated in the next two to three years. As for the Middle East, because it is far away from China's mainland and without sea transportation support, the troops that China can invest and the role it can play are very limited. Only in the Indian Ocean, because it lacks frontier military bases, the US military's blockade is very weak.

If it is, it will be difficult for the United States to defend the entire Indian Ocean by relying solely on Digo Garcia.

Although the ports and military bases in western Australia can play some roles, they are too far from Digo Garcia to echo each other.

According to the information disclosed after the war, the US Marine Corps submitted a combat plan to the Ministry of Defense on October 22, proposing to use four Marine Divisions to land in Sri Lanka, capture the Gal Port, control the Sri Lankan authorities, or simply overthrow the Sri Lankan government, and then use Sri Lanka as a base to march northward into the Indian Peninsula, attack the Andaman-Nicobar Islands eastward, and consolidate the encirclement of the Indian Ocean.

However, this plan was rejected by Jordan on the same day.

The reason is very simple, Sri Lanka is too close to the Indian Peninsula.

Even if nothing unexpected happens, the US Marine Corps can only launch an attack at the end of November. At this time, China must have strengthened its military deployment in South Asia and may even send additional combat troops to Sri Lanka. Under the threat of the Chinese Air Force, the US Navy needs to use at least nine aircraft carrier battle groups to seize air supremacy and cover the Marine Corps to land in Sri Lanka.

Obviously, this means that only six aircraft carrier battle groups can be retained in the Western Pacific.

The impact of this is that the US military must turn off offense to defense in the main strategic direction and abandon all plans to move forward in the Western Pacific.

Not to mention General Jordan, even Chief of Staff Marshall would not support the Marine Corps' plan.

In order to, in the war plan that has been formulated, the next step for the US military is to attack Okinawa or the Philippines in November, open a breakthrough in China's local outer defense line, strengthen strategic blockade against China, and carry out strategic bombing on China's mainland.

It can be said that this is a crucial part of the overall American war plan.

To put it bluntly, if the United States wants to win this war with the lowest cost, it must take this step before China completes the war mobilization.

Make an assumption that the American war plan goes well and will this war be like this?

According to the information disclosed after the war, the US military formulated a detailed war production plan before the war, clearly requiring that the bomber production capacity be maximized by the end of 2052, four new bomber production lines were added at the end of March 2053, and 3,600 strategic bombers were produced in 2053. If this production is averaged to every month, and the bomber is put into the battlefield within one month after the bomber is offline, the bomber's combat loss rate is 0.5%, then in 2053, the US Air Force's strategic aviation can dispatch 150,000 aircraft and drop 3 million tons of bombs, which is enough to destroy 80% of China's military targets and 60% of military industrial targets.

Of course, there are several premises, such as the bomber's combat loss rate is 0.5%.

In order to meet these prerequisites, the US military must tear open China's local outer defense line, otherwise the bomber's combat loss rate will definitely be more than that. More importantly, if you want to achieve sufficient dispatch intensity, you must shorten the range of the bomber and seize the frontier base.

These factors are concentrated, which determines that the US military must focus on the Western Pacific.

According to the predictions of the US authorities, as long as the decisive victory in the Western Pacific can be achieved, the war will end at the end of 2053 and at the latest in early 2054. Because by this time, China's military strength will be reduced by 40% and war productivity will be reduced by 60%. As long as the Chinese authorities are still a little rational, they should realize that it is impossible to defeat the United States in this state.

Obviously, there is no sufficient reason that the US military will not modify its strategic goals.

From this we can also see that in the US strategy, Singapore is an "abandoned child".

Although US President Lucas solicited the opinions of the Singapore Prime Minister before formally declaring war on China, there is more evidence that the United States' overall war plan did not consider defending Singapore at all, and it was more hoped that Singapore could restrain the Chinese army.

According to the Joint Conference's estimates, because China's front line is shorter and the Chinese military's mobilization ability is stronger, it is very likely that China will take the lead in the amphibious battlefield. In other words, China is very likely to attack Singapore before the US military attacks the Western Pacific islands.

It can be said that this judgment is very accurate.

Based on this judgment, the Joint Conference made an inference that as long as Singapore can withstand it, even if it lasts for only one month, it will consume China's precious troops, because China cannot complete the full-scale war mobilization in 2052, so the forces that can be used in other directions will be greatly reduced. If China uses Marines to attack Singapore, it means that there will be fewer defensive forces that can be used in the Western Pacific.

After making this inference, the Joint Conference pushed the US authorities to do a very important thing: to encourage Russia to send troops to the Caucasus.

Although doing so will definitely have negative effects. For example, Russia will never send troops to China before occupying the Caucasus, which will reduce China's local defense burden. It will also prompt Iran to make a standpoint and allow China to open up ground transportation lines to Syria. However, there is a great benefit for the United States to do this, that is, let China enter the Middle East as soon as possible and consume the combat effectiveness of the Chinese army.

To put it bluntly, the purpose of the US military is very clear.

Before entering the Western Pacific, all US military operations had only one purpose: to pave the way for the attack on strategic islands in the Western Pacific.

In concrete actions, we are trying every means to consume China's military power.

To put it more detailedly, try to lengthen the front line.

In the past few days, the US military did achieve this goal. After Israel and Australia participated in the war one after another, China's front line had been stretched long enough, and China's standing military force was not enough to defend such a long front line. Therefore, before completing the war mobilization, there must be a period of lack of troops. As long as the United States has enough patience, it can find fatal loopholes in China's defense line.

The problem is that by early November, things had changed significantly.

The mark is that the Chinese Marine Corps advanced to the north coast of the Johor Strait on November 4, and it was a fully equipped land combat division with a force of more than 20,000.

What's even more fatal is that the second land warrior is in Kuantan.

In other words, the Chinese Marine Corps was able to invest two Marine Divisions in attacking Singapore.

Although the Singapore Army's troops exceed 100,000 and its equipment is not behind, it is still much worse than the Chinese Marine Corps.

Apart from this, it is impossible for Singapore to maintain air supremacy.

Even Jordan General believes that as long as the Chinese Marine Corps make up their minds, they will definitely be able to capture Singapore within ten days, and at least occupy main targets, such as ports and airports.

Now, the problem arises.

No matter how smooth the preparations were, the US Marines could only launch an offensive at the end of November at the earliest, so the Chinese Marines had half a month to adjust their defense deployment. Because they failed to wipe out the Chinese Navy in the assault before the war, they might have to wait until December to launch an amphibious offensive.

Obviously, by this time, the Chinese Marine Corps had blocked loopholes in the defense line.

The biggest problem is not how much money it takes to open a breakthrough in the Western Pacific, but how much impact will the Chinese Navy have on the overall war situation after opening up the channel to the Indian Ocean, such as whether China will invest more troops in the Middle East.

The problems facing the US military are very realistic: either stick to Singapore or comprehensively modify the strategic plan.

Obviously, the results of these two choices are not very good. The former means that the US military must consume troops in Singapore, while the latter is likely to lose the chance of winning.
Chapter completed!