Chapter 63 Destruction
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To adjust the war plan, you must first understand the new means of war.
After leaving the General Staff, Mu Haoyang went to Lu Wen's unit and visited Qian Zhongtai, who had long been retired and lived a leisurely life at home.
"Two days ago, Mr. Huang came to me and mentioned this."
Mu Haoyang was very polite and did not interrupt Qian Zhongtai.
Qian Zhongtai is nearly 80 years old and his health is far inferior to that of the past. If it weren't for a health problem, he would still stay in the High Energy Physics Experimental Center. From Lu Wen, Mu Haoyang knew something about Qian Zhongtai. In the first two years, Qian Zhongtai was not used to his retirement life and suffered a serious illness. After recovering from the illness, Lu Wen asked him to be a strategic science and technology consultant and found some things for him, mainly to guide young scientists, which was to give him some psychological comfort. Most of the time, Qian Zhongtai was at home, but occasionally someone came to visit him.
"If you want to use it, there will definitely be a problem. The key is that no one is confident."
"Old Qian, what you mean is..."
"If it is just a super-large sunspot explosion, the problem is not big. At most, the artificial satellites in orbit and some radio equipment are lost. It may affect high-voltage transmission lines, but it can be prevented and can minimize damage."
"There is a second possibility?"
Qian Zhongtai nodded and said, "If there is a large negative deviation in the theoretical calculated value, it will not be a sunspot explosion, but a devastating solar storm."
Mu Haoyang immediately frowned.
"To put it simply, in addition to producing infrared, white light, ultraviolet radiation and other light radiation, the sun also radiates various rays, such as gamma rays and charged particles." Qian Zhongtai paused for a moment and said, "If these radiations directly reach the surface of the earth, no organism can survive. We can reproduce on the earth, except for the atmosphere, mainly the earth's magnetic field."
"magnetic field?"
"It is often called geomagnetic. The magnetic field generated by the movement of the center of the earth covers the entire earth and blocks most of the radiation that is harmful to life." Qian Zhongtai smiled and said, "Do you know why there is no life on Mars? We have long discovered that solid water exists on the poles of Mars, and about a billion years ago, liquid water is likely to exist. But about a billion years ago, the magnetic field on Mars disappeared."
"That is, life once existed on Mars."
"It is very likely, but it has not been confirmed yet. There is only one thing that is certain that Mars is now directly related to the disappearance of the magnetic field."
“What does this have to do with solar storms?”
Qian Zhongtai drank a sip of water and said, "Under normal circumstances, the strength of the geomagnetic field is enough to protect us, but when encountering more powerful radiation, the geomagnetic field cannot shield all radiation. That is to say, if a solar storm is triggered, all of us will suffer."
"this……"
"In fact, something like this happened."
Mu Haoyang was shocked and looked at Qian Zhongtai in a little unbelievable way.
"Archaeologists have proved that about 400 million years ago, in the early stages of life, the gamma radiation generated by a supernova explosion hit the earth, causing the demise of 80% of biological species. At that time, biological species were still very primitive and adaptable to far exceed those of higher organisms. If something similar happened again, I am afraid that 99% of species, including us humans, would perish."
Mu Haoyang was even more shocked and obviously didn't believe it.
"Of course, it is not an immediate extinction, but a series of natural disasters that arise. For example, ultra-large-scale radiation can destroy the ozone layer in an instant. In the next six months, 60% of people will die of skin cancer, and the remaining people can only live in the basement. Because they cannot farm, most of the people who escape by chance will starve to death. With the collapse of the entire human civilization, even if a few people can survive, they will have to face the test of survival for hundreds of years or even thousands of years. During this period, natural disasters will be commonplace. The higher the creatures, the more difficult it is to adapt to natural disasters, the greater the possibility of extinction." Qian Zhongtai sighed and said, "It's a pity that humans are the highest creatures, and they will be the easiest to perish. Perhaps, in a thousand years, rats and cockroaches will reproduce and grow, and even become new spirits of all things, but humans will definitely not survive."
"More than nuclear weapons?"
"What do you think?"
Mu Haoyang was stunned. This really stumped him.
"The devastating nature of nuclear weapons does not lie in their huge power. Even a nuclear warhead of 100 million tons equivalent, the maximum damage radius will not exceed 500 kilometers. As for the 200,000-ton nuclear warheads that are mainly equipped by countries, at least five are needed to destroy megacities like Beijing. In other words, even at the peak of the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union, 40,000 nuclear warheads around the world can only destroy the main residence of human beings. Because humans are not all concentrated in cities, there will definitely be survivors after the nuclear war."
"But……"
Qian Zhongtai suppressed his hand and said, "The real devastating lies in the subsequent effect. For example, 40,000 nuclear warheads can send about 20 trillion tons of dust into the stratosphere, blocking more than 80% of the sunlight, causing global temperatures to drop by more than 20 degrees within a year. The harsh cold will capture most of the lives of organisms in a very short time, and no species can adapt to such severe climate change. You must know that the largest ice age in history did not exceed zero-point second degrees every year. Other organisms have become extinct, especially after the agricultural crops that humans rely on for their livelihood cannot grow, humans naturally cannot survive."
Mu Haoyang spoke out loud and looked very serious.
"In fact, nuclear war can only destroy most humans, and there must be a few people who can survive." Qian Zhongtai drank another sip of water and said, "More importantly, the duration of nuclear winter is about twenty years, no more than fifty years at most. Therefore, human civilization may revive after this without completely extinction. The impact of solar storms will last at least two hundred years."
"That is, humanity will be completely destroyed because of this."
"Even if it does not perish, it will be difficult to recover. In addition, solar storms may have an impact on organisms, change organism genes, and lead to a great leap in species."
"What's the meaning?"
"Archaeologists have proved that it was the supernova explosion 400 million years ago that accelerated the evolution of biological organisms and thus produced biological diversity. To put it simply, if there were no supernova explosion, there would be no us and the earth we are now."
"This is a continuous impact and there will be no results for at least a few hundred years."
Qian Zhongtai smiled and said, "The supernova that exploded 400 million years ago was about 4 billion light-years away from the Earth, that is, the supernova exploded 4.4 billion years ago. How far is the sun from the Earth? Although the radiation intensity generated by the solar storm is far less than that of the supernova explosion, more energy will be concentrated on the Earth and have a more obvious impact. To put it simply, no one knows what extent the solar storm will have on species. It is just that it is certain that as long as it has an impact, humans will be victims."
"Why?"
"As a higher life, the evolution space of human beings is far lower than that of other species. Even if a few people can survive, they will face more tragic competition for survival."
"In other words, human civilization may perish because of this."
Qian Zhongtai nodded, indicating that this is what he meant.
Mu Haoyang pondered for a while and asked, "So, how likely is it to cause a solar storm?"
"Based on the calculation results obtained before, it is about one in tens of millions."
"This is a low probability event."
"If it happens, it is an inevitable event. For eight billion people, the proportion of one in ten million is not low." Qian Zhongtai glanced at Mu Haoyang and said, "Of course, there may be deviations. This is the calculation result of more than ten years ago, and the computer performance at that time was not advanced, so..."
“If you recalculate, how much time will it take?”
"If you have sufficient resources, it only takes three months to increase the calculation accuracy by an order of magnitude."
"Okay, I'll make arrangements." Mu Haoyang said without thinking, "We call computer resources in the name of the military and recalculate the sun model."
Qian Zhongtai was stunned for a moment and said, "General Mu, this..."
"Old Qian, you also know Mr. Huang's attitude, so I beg you here to do this well no matter what. This is not only for us, but also for everyone."
Qian Zhongtai breathed a sigh of relief and said, "Okay, I, the old guy, can finally make some use of my remaining energy."
"Lu Wen, what Mr. Qian is doing..."
"Don't worry, I'll make arrangements." Lu Wen didn't interrupt, "Let Mr. Qian take a day off first, and I'll come here to pick him up to Shanghai tomorrow."
"Other people..."
"I'll send someone to pick it up, and it's all over me anyway."
Mu Haoyang nodded and said, "In three months, I will submit the revised war plan to the Head of State. The calculation results you submitted will become the decisive factor in whether to adopt the new plan."
"Absolutely, we'll hurry up."
At this point, Mu Haoyang did not waste any more time and asked Lu Wen to get up and say goodbye.
On the way home, both of them were still scared.
Although Qian Zhongtai's words are a bit sensational, both of them know that with Qian Zhongtai's identity, it is impossible to deal with them by cheating their children. More importantly, the Sun Expo Project is Qian Zhongtai's lifelong efforts and the result of all his efforts in the past few decades.
Back at the General Staff, Mu Haoyang first reported the situation to Teng Yaohui, but did not mention what Qian Zhongtai said.
In his opinion, there is no need to create panic. No matter what, soldiers are not scientists, and in Teng Yaohui's eyes, one-in-a-million possibility is nothing. It is not too late to get the new calculation results and find Teng Yaohui and others. Maybe it can convince Huang Zhibo.
Of course, Mu Haoyang had to formulate two war plans for this to deal with the two possible situations.
...
Chapter completed!