.I chatted with the two children for a while, and the phone rang on the table.

"It's getting late, go to bed quickly. Dad will be back in a few days. You must be obedient and don't watch TV often. If you are good, Dad will give you a gift."

"Dad, I want a battleship model."

"I want the Baby doll from Thailand."

Mu Haoyang smiled, nodded and agreed. On the other end of the screen, Lu Wen had heard the phone call and asked the two children to go back to their room to sleep.

Turning off the video, Mu Haoyang answered the phone.

"General, there is an officer from the General Staff, who wants to see you."

"The General Staff Officer?" Mu Haoyang looked at his watch. It was almost eight o'clock. There was nothing important. The General Staff would not send someone to come here at this time.

"General, he said his surname is Ma, and he is a friend of you."

"Okay, let him come in." Mu Haoyang's brows jumped a few times. There were not many people he knew in the surname Ma, and the one with the best relationship was not working in the General Staff.

Could it be Ma Mingtao?

Half a minute later, Mu Haoyang's guess was confirmed that it was Ma Mingtao who came to visit.

"Lao Ma, when did you work in the General Staff?"

"The Second Department was originally an intelligence agency under the General Staff. I work for the General Staff, right?" Ma Mingtao smiled and took the teacup handed over by Mu Haoyang. "Have you had supper?"

"Just finished eating, I talked to my home."

"I'm here to pick you up and pack your luggage."

“Where to go?”

"Returning to China, Mr. Huang personally arranged it."

Mu Haoyang frowned and said, "Mr. Huang called me in the morning and asked me..."

"That was the morning, and I am now communicating the order I received in the afternoon." Ma Mingtao put down the teacup and said, "Once you get on the plane, you call Mr. Huang."

Mu Haoyang didn't say anything more. There was nothing particularly important, and Huang Zhibo would not make such arrangements.

Fifteen minutes later, Mu Haoyang boarded the Air Force's important transport plane that sent Ma Mingtao over. By phone, Mu Haoyang received a positive answer from Huang Zhibo. However, on the phone, Huang Zhibo did not mention what happened, but asked him to follow Ma Mingtao back to China immediately.

After the plane took off, Mu Haoyang found Ma Mingtao.

"What the hell happened?"

Ma Mingtao breathed a sigh of relief and said, "Let you go back at this time be sure to be related to the war."

"War?" Mu Haoyang immediately frowned.

“Based on the intelligence we just intercepted, India’s first large aircraft carrier was delivered to the Navy yesterday, three months ahead of expectations.”

"A aircraft carrier is the fuse of war?"

Ma Mingtao smiled and said, "This morning, we obtained a more important piece of intelligence. The Japanese Ministry of Defense will send the Akagi aircraft carrier battle group to the Bay of Bengal in mid-July, more than 20 days later, to hold a joint exercise with the Indian Navy."

“Is there any connection?”

"By this time, there are at least four aircraft carriers in the Indian Ocean that are hostile to us."

Mu Haoyang took out a cigarette, lit it and took two sips.

This is obviously related and is likely to become the fuse of war.

After the battle group of the Akagi aircraft carrier entered the Indian Ocean and the first large aircraft carrier in India named Virat formed combat effectiveness, there were four aircraft carriers in the Indian Ocean, two of which were large aircraft carriers. Relying on these four aircraft carriers was enough to prevent the Chinese Navy from entering the Indian Ocean.

“Will India start a war?”

Ma Mingtao hesitated for a moment and said, "I can't say it, but there is such a possibility."

"Mr. Huang didn't reveal more information?"

"Old Mu, I'm just an intelligence officer, not even a director. Do you think Mr. Huang will talk nonsense to me?"

Mu Haoyang smiled and didn't ask any more questions.

In recent years, Ma Mingtao has not done well. Although after Mu Haoyang arrived at Guadal Port, Ma Mingtao participated in several foreign operations as an intelligence officer and once again gained the attention of Li Guoqiang, the operation in Somalia made Ma Mingtao's ability questioned again. If it weren't for Mu Haoyang's insistence on him as an intelligence officer and being responsible for the intelligence liaison between the front line command and the rear, Ma Mingtao would probably go back and sit on the bench.

Along the way, Mu Haoyang did not ask any more questions.

According to his judgment, it was not India who wanted to start the war at this time, but Huang Zhibo.

The rare earth resource exploration work of the Siaqin Glacier ended in 2024, with a reserve of 1.2 million tons, mainly associated ore, and a large amount of phosphate ore available for mining. According to the market value estimate in 2022, the economic value of all minerals is around 1.2 trillion US dollars.

There is no doubt that this is a very attractive treasure.

Because India and Pakistan have their own opinions on resource division, many military conflicts broke out in the region in October 2024, April and July 2025, May and August 2026. If the conditions were not for the extremely harsh and were not conducive to large-scale corps operations, the conflict would have escalated long ago.

During this period, India and Pakistan increased the construction of basic projects in the name of strengthening military deployment.

However, the real confrontation between the two sides is China and Japan.

In November 2024, Huisheng Bank under Sheng Shiping's name signed a mortgage loan contract with a total value of up to 120 billion yuan. Pakistan used the mineral resources of the Siaqin Glacier as collateral, and Huisheng Bank provided funds to build a high-grade highway directly to the mining area from Jerkode. The most critical part of this loan contract is to use the mineral mining rights to repay interest and use the minerals to repay principal.

To put it simply, as long as the Pakistani authorities do not repay the principal in advance, Huisheng Bank can sell the mineral mining rights to any company.

Does it cost so much to build a road of only 120 kilometers?

It is undeniable that it is very difficult to build a highway in areas with an altitude of more than 4,000 meters, and it will definitely cost a lot, but the average cost of 1 billion yuan per kilometer is indeed too high.

According to external estimates, only about one-third of the loans are used to build roads.

The remaining two-thirds are all used in military construction, including the construction of frontier positions and the purchase of weapons and equipment from China.

In January 2025, Huisheng Bank sold the mineral mining rights to Longsheng Group.

To put it bluntly, Sheng Shiping's right hand was handed to the left hand.

In name, Longsheng Group has to repay 10 billion yuan in profits for the Pakistani authorities every year. In fact, there is no need to repay the money.

Because Huisheng Bank uses gold mined by North Korea as financing collateral, the loans issued to Pakistan come from the People's Bank of China.

It is the Chinese government who operates behind the scenes.

According to the plan, the highway will be opened to traffic by the end of 2027, and then Longsheng Group will establish Pakistan's largest mineral comprehensive development zone on the north side of the Siaqin Glacier.

After formal production, 50,000 tons of rare earth ore and 15 million tons of phosphorus ore can be mined every year.

China is taking active actions, and Japan is taking active actions.

At the end of 2024, Japan's Fuji Bank provided India with a low-interest loan of US$35 billion to build a highway from Chamo to Siachen Glacier. The construction was undertaken by a Japanese construction company under the Mitsubishi Consortium, and the project progress was very fast. On November 30, 2026, the road was opened to traffic. Two months later, a Japanese mineral mining company, also belonging to the Mitsubishi Consortium, entered the mining area. It is expected that by the end of 2027, the mining work will officially begin, with an annual mining volume of about 10 million tons. According to the rare earth ore rich rate of three thousandths, 30,000 tons of rare earth ore can be mined annually, with a market value of about 20 billion US dollars.

Like Pakistan, India did not spend all its loans on engineering construction, but instead spent most of it on arms.

If both parties mine in their respective control areas, there is no big problem.

Because the main vein is on the Pakistani side, the total amount of rare earth resources in the Indian controlled area will not exceed 300,000 tons, so China has no reason to go to war with India for this.

This resource is enough for Japan to spend three years at most.

Compared with huge investments, Japan's benefits in India are very limited.

The problem is that no one can guarantee that Japanese companies will not mine resources on Pakistani side, nor can they guarantee that there will be no war.

After the infrastructure is in place, India is likely to take the initiative to launch an offensive.

According to Mu Haoyang's judgment, it is very likely that India will launch a war before the end of the year, because the road on the Pakistan side will not be opened to traffic until the end of the year.

This judgment is exactly in line with the Indian Navy's arms construction plan.

By the end of the year, the Indian Navy will have three aircraft carriers in total, one medium and one small, and the Chinese Navy will only have three aircraft carriers. Because it is backed by local operations and can rely on the air bases on the Andaman-Nicobar Islands, the Indian Navy's advantages are very obvious.

As long as it can prevent the Chinese navy from entering the Indian Ocean, India will consider it capable of quickly defeating Pakistan.

Of course, these are all previous judgments.

According to the shipbuilding plan announced by the Indian Navy, the "Verat" will be delivered at the end of September 2027 and will not be officially put into service until the end of the year at the earliest.

Now, the "Verat" is in service in advance, and Japan has also taken active actions, and the signs of war are very obvious.

Under Japan's agitation, India is likely to launch a war at the end of July and early August at the latest.

Of course, India is likely to be a small-scale war with the main purpose of controlling the Siaqin Glacier and does not intend to go into full war with Pakistan.

The problem is that as long as the Indian army crosses the ceasefire line, China will join the war.

If China joins the war, it is not a small-scale war.

Mu Haoyang knew very well that with Huang Zhibo's policy of handling affairs, he would never give the initiative to the enemy when war was inevitable.

If necessary, Huang Zhibo will even take the initiative.

Is this good?

Mu Haoyang felt that it was necessary to convince Huang Zhibo not to shoot the first shot. This was not only a political issue, but also a military issue.

According to the secret alliance treaty signed by China and Pakistan, China and Pakistan are only obliged to support each other if India fires the first shot. If China fires the first shot, Pakistan is likely to stay out of the matter and decide whether to join the war after the situation is clear.

Although no one expects Pakistan to undertake the main war mission, without the restraint that Pakistan has played, China's military operations will definitely encounter trouble.

Huang Zhibo recalled Mu Haoyang at this time and must have wanted to hear his opinions.

In any case, Mu Haoyang has been in Pakistan for several years and has the best understanding of Pakistan's situation and is more clear about how to fight this war...
Chapter completed!