Chapter 311 Preparation for War (5)
According to the combat plan of the East China government, they participated in the war during the Battle of Tsushima. They first defeated the navies of Japan and Russia in one fell swoop and gained sea control. Then they landed on the Liaodong Peninsula and officially intervened in the war situation in the Northeast.
Since the People's Army controlled the sea control power, Japan was not afraid. Moreover, after the People's Army landed, the Japanese army was trapped in the attack of the People's Army and the Russian army and would inevitably be defeated. Even if the rest of them could escape back to the Korean Peninsula, as long as the Japanese army's maritime route was cut off, Japan would not be able to do anything more. That is to say, after the People's Army joined the war, the main opponent was the Russian army, not the Japanese army.
However, after the People's Army landed on the Liaodong Peninsula, the general route of march was basically the same as that of the Japanese army. According to Lushun, Liaoyang, Chenyang, Tieling, all the way north to Jilin and Changchun, although the People's Army was a new force, the Russian army could still adopt the strategy of fighting and retreating, and later retreating consumed the spirit of the People's Army and lengthen the front line of the People's Army. Although the People's Army would not rely on people like the Japanese army in war, if they had to advance northward, they would eventually reach the limit of attacks like the Japanese army, and the situation might not be much stronger than Japan. After all, the comprehensive strength of the East China government is still a distance away from Japan. Therefore, attacking Vladivostok has considerable tactical and strategic value for the People's Army.
Moreover, compared with Japan, except that the distance from Qingdao to Vladivostok is almost twice as far away, the other conditions are similar, which is better. Since the People's Army Navy has modern warships commanded and now has a special Marine Corps, Luo Yue believes that the chance of success is at least 60% to 70%, which can be implemented.
After Luo Yue formulated this combat plan, he first negotiated with Qin Zheng. Qin Zheng had always been engaged in political work and was not very proficient in tactics. However, he thought that Luo Yue's plan was very bold and it was indeed a bit unexpected, so he showed it to Xiao Jianjun. After reading this plan, Xiao Jianjun thought it could be implemented, at least a tactical choice, so he left the plan and needed further research.
A few days later, the General Staff conducted several military chess performances on the process after participating in the war, and the conclusions drawn were basically the same as Luo Yue's prediction. After the People's Army joined the war, the Japanese army would quickly defeat and the remaining troops fled to the Korean Peninsula. The People's Army would mainly compete with the Russian army for dominance in the Northeast region. The People's Army could approximately advance to the Shenyang and Tieling lines, almost reaching the limit. The Russian army would retreat to Jilin and Changchun, and still have more than 200,000 troops. The final result was not much stronger than Japan. It would be okay to force Russia to admit defeat, but it would be far from enough to obtain war reparations from Russia.
So Xiao Jianjun ordered another military chess deduction on the condition of successful attack on Vladivostok. The result was very ideal. The People's Army finally captured Jilin and Changchun, pushing the front line to Harbin and Songjiang. It also had enough spare energy to attack Harbin, which also confirmed the great value of attacking Vladivostok.
And at this moment, good news came from the diplomatic line that Russia intends to allow the People's Army to enter Jinzhou.
It turned out that Japan officially notified the East China government through the Consul-Consul in Qingdao, Keishiro Matsui, that it was clear that the East China government would not send troops to participate in the war. The reason was that Russia and France had an alliance agreement. At this time, France had put pressure on the Japanese government and would not sit idly by and watch Russia defeat in the Far East. Once the East China government participated in the war, it might also involve France in the war. Moreover, the current situation on the battlefield was only based on the power of Japan, which was enough to defeat Russia. Therefore, at this time, it is best not to complicate the situation. Of course, Japan also expressed its gratitude to the East China government's support since the war started, and promised that after winning, it would also protect China's interests.
Although Japan has accepted the British suggestion, it does not want to turn against the East China government at this time. After all, there are still several tough battles to fight. If the East China government is forced to become anxious and turn to Russia, it will be detrimental to Japan. Therefore, Japan promised that after winning, it will definitely protect China's interests and hopes to fool the East China government.
But the East China government is certainly not so easy to fool. Li Sanjie expressed strong dissatisfaction to Matsui Kyoshiro on behalf of the East China government, and accused Japan of betraying the cooperation agreement between the two sides. The East China government would never accept it. Moreover, whether to participate in the war would be eliminated by the East China government's judgment of the situation and its own preparations, and would never be interfered by other factors. If the Japanese government is unwilling to cooperate, the East China government will take its own actions.
Of course, the reaction of the East China government was also expected by Keishiro Matsui, so he repeatedly explained that Japan had never betrayed the cooperation agreement between the two sides. He was just worried that after the East China government joined the war, it would give France an excuse to join the war. Once France joined the war again, the situation in the Far East would inevitably develop in a complex direction, which was also unfavorable to the East China government. Moreover, the attitude of the Japanese government was just a suggestion, and the decision of the whole party still required negotiations.
But Li Sanjie once again sternly refuted Keishiro Matsui, pointing out that Japan's so-called concerns are just excuses. Japan's real purpose is to believe that it can defeat Russia by relying solely on Japan's power, so it does not require the help of the East China government. In addition, if you want to occupy the Northeast alone after the war, you do not want the East China government to participate in the war.
Keishiro Matsui hurriedly said that Japan had absolutely no ambitions for China's territory, and at the same time suggested that senior officials of both sides negotiate. Japanese Foreign Minister Sutaro Komura was willing to visit Qingdao on this matter and negotiate with the East China government.
Li Sanjie did not refuse Xiaomura Sutaro's visit to Qingdao, but made a request that if Japan really had no ambitions for China's territory, he hoped that this visit would have a practical plan to protect China's interests. If it was just empty talk, it would not be used.
In fact, the East China government did not refuse Komura Sutaro's visit, and did not really want to negotiate with Japan. It was just a temporary suspension of Japan, so that Japan felt that the East China government still had fantasies about Japan, and asking Japan to come up with a practical and feasible guarantee plan is actually a problem for Japan. After all, what is a practical and feasible plan to protect China's interests? It is basically an unsolvable problem.
After meeting with Keishiro Matsui, Li Sanjie immediately met with Russian Consul Pidlov, hoping that Russia could show sincerity and practical actions to implement the [Transfer Treaty of the Three East China Provinces]. If it is just empty talk, then don't waste time. Therefore, the East China government may send troops to participate in the war at any time now.
Petlov hurriedly stated that Russia had always planned to implement the [Transfer Treaty of the Three East Provinces], but because Japan suddenly launched a war, otherwise Russia might have completed its withdrawal. Of course, the war has not ended yet, and Russia cannot implement the treaty immediately. However, in order to show Russia's sincerity, the East China government can send troops to Jinzhou. As soon as the war ends, it can immediately accept other places in the three east provinces.
Russia's attitude was far beyond Li Sanjie's expectations. Although Li Sanjie did not understand military affairs, he also knew that Jinzhou had always been a must-fight for military strategists, because Jinzhou was so famous in the history of Chinese wars. During the Ming and Qing Dynasties, the two sides fought for decades in the Jinzhou area, and famous battles such as the Ningyuan Battle, the Ningjin Battle, the Songjin Battle, and the Songshan Battle. In the old time and space, in the Liaoshen Battle, one of the three major battles in China,
The Jinzhou Battle was the site of Guanjian. The famous Tashan Blocking Battle also took place in the Jinzhou Battle. Therefore, Li Sanjie was influenced by his knowledge and knew that Jinzhou was an important place. Of course, in fact, the southern gateway, geographical location and strategic value of Jinzhou were very huge. Before the Russo-Japanese War began, German Major General Merkel, who had taught in Japan, proposed a plan to allow Japan to feint attack Lushun, land in Bohai Bay, surprise attack Jinzhou, and then directly attack Liaoyang.
When the Russo-Japanese War was underway to the present time of Guanzhong, Russia was willing to let the People's Army enter Jinzhou. There must be a reason for this, and there might be a huge conspiracy. Li Sanjie could not see through the secrets, so he used a delaying plan on the grounds of asking the Executive Yuan for instructions.
It turned out that the Foreign Affairs Committee rejected the Russian consul's three interviews, which also made Russia understand that the East China government is by no means easy to fool. If it does not provide some truly valuable interests, it is impossible to divide the East China government and Japan. However, after all, there are experts in Russia, so they came up with this trick to implement the famous proposal of the [Transfer Treaty of the Three East Provinces] and invite the East China government to enter Jinzhou.
Although Jinzhou is the gateway to the Northeast, Jinzhou was insignificant for the Russo-Japanese War based on the terrain conditions of mainland China at that time, because Japan mainly entered the Northeast through sea routes and the Korean Peninsula, and did not have to pass through Jinzhou at all. Russia had less than 1,000 troops in the Jinzhou area, so it would not cost Russia any more to let the People's Army enter Jinzhou.
But it is different for Japan. The People's Army's entry into Jinzhou is equivalent to giving the People's Army a station in the Northeast region, and it will directly threaten Liaoyang and Shenyang's flanks, which makes the Japanese army extremely uncomfortable. We must always prevent the East China government from stabbing in the back. After all, the cooperation between the East China government and Japan is each ulterior motive, not wholeheartedly. Therefore, as long as the People's Army enters Jinzhou, although the East China government and Japan will not immediately turn against each other, they will basically no longer cooperate.
Of course, after the People's Army entered Jinzhou, it would also be a huge threat to Russia's occupation of Northeast China in the long run. However, judging from the current situation, Russia is almost impossible to win the war, and at most it is the current occupied areas between Japan and Russia to make a siege of influence. Therefore, after the war is over, Russia basically cannot occupy the Northeast alone.
Chapter completed!