Chapter 245 Heavenly Punishment (2)
Naotao Miyamoto sighed secretly. Ito Hirofumi's attitude obviously did not take his words to heart. Bi Jing had never experienced the crazy era of populism. And from the current point of view, it is of great benefit to incite populism. Therefore, even a wise person like Ito Hirofumi could not understand the serious consequences of inciting excessive populism.
Although in the old time and space, Japan has been vaguely stating and desperately denying history, it has also conducted a very profound reflection on history in private. Although this reflection is completely based on Japan's position and does not think that the war launched by Japan in the old time and space is injustice, some of it is still very well reflected. Among them, there are excessive agitation of populism, so that populism can affect the decisions of the Japanese government, which leads to the fact that some policies of the Japanese government cannot be fully based on Japan's
National interests have to cater to the needs of populism. Therefore, as a modern person, Naotao Miyamoto is very clear that populism is a double-edged sword, and it is okay to do it once, but if you think inciting populism is a trick to transfer social crisis and divert the attention of the people, then one day, it will be swallowed up by populism. Moreover, Japan today, whether in terms of national strength or geographical environment, is far from being compared with the old time and space. If you over-incite populism and attempt to use populism to transfer social crisis, the ending of Japan may be worse than that of the old time and space.
Thinking of this, Naotao Miyamoto felt sad, but seeing Hirofumi Ito still looked at him with a warm face, obviously hoping to get a way to save him, Naotao Miyamoto had to avoid being forced to cheer up and said, "Sir, Prime Minister Yamamoto has submitted his resignation to the Emperor. Obviously, the next Prime Minister can only be appointed by the Army Department. If there is no major accident, Masato Desun should be the Prime Minister to form a cabinet."
Hirobuki Ito nodded and said, "The Army Department has a conservative thought, but its style has always been radical. Once it comes to power, it is afraid that it will launch a war on the outside world. This is exactly what I worry about."
Naotaku Miyamoto said: "Actually, I am not worried about this. Although the Army is aggressive in its style, Japan's national strength is very limited now. Even if the Army wants to start a war again, it is afraid it will be unable to do so. Moreover, Japan is an island country. To launch a war against the outside world, it must first build a powerful navy. However, the Army will come to power and rule will inevitably suppress the navy and make the recovery time of the navy prolong. Without the support of the navy, how can Japan launch a war against the outside world!"
After hearing this, Hirobuki Ito nodded repeatedly and said, "Miyamoto, you said it very well, why didn't I think of this?"
Miyamoto Naotao said: "At least within the next five years, the main goal of the East China Government Government is to overthrow the Qing court and unify the country. Therefore, despite having bad friends with us, there will be no military conflicts with us in a short period of time. Of course, the premise is that we should not proactively provoke the East China Government Government. Moreover, even if the East China Government controls the entire China Government, it will take at least 3-5 years, or even a longer period of stable development. Therefore, Japan still has a long external stable environment, and I personally estimate that it should be around 10 years."
Hirobuki Ito said: "If Japan can be given 10 years of recovery time, that would be enough."
Naotao Miyamoto shook his head again and said, "Sir, you are too optimistic. First of all, we have completely had a bad relationship with the East China Government. Therefore, the trade agreement we negotiated with the East China Government has a great possibility of being cancelled. This has a significant impact on Japan's economic and national strength and will also reduce Japan's recovery speed. 10 years may not be enough. Moreover, Japan is recovering and China is also recovering. The East China Government has gained huge benefits in the Far East War, and its strength has far surpassed Japan, and its development speed will definitely be faster than Japan. Moreover, when they unify China and obtain China's huge manpower and material resources, the development speed will definitely be even more amazing, and it will only leave Japan far behind."
Hirofumi Ito also fell silent. In this time and space, he served as the Prime Minister of Japan for a total of 5 times, and has been in power for more than 10 years. Naturally, he knows that Japan's economy is extremely dependent on China. On the one hand, it purchases various cheap mineral resources from China. On the other hand, Japan's industrial products occupy a large market share in China with its price advantage. However, now Japan and the East China Government have completely broken their faces. Not only is it impossible to enjoy the preferential treatment of import tariffs, but even the East China Government has completely stopped trade with Japan, which is a catastrophic blow to Japan.
Although the East China Government has not completely occupied China, not even half of it, almost all the ports from the north of the Yangtze River are occupied by the East China Government, and most of China's mineral resources are concentrated in the areas north of the Yangtze River. Therefore, as long as the East China Government really stops trade with Japan, it will be difficult for Japan to obtain mineral resources from China. However, in terms of product market, Japan can also bypass the East China Government and sell it in southern China. However, southern China has always been the British sphere of influence. Moreover, after losing the cheap mineral resources, the price of Japanese products will increase significantly and lose its price advantage. The future is indeed not optimistic.
Moreover, once the East China Government unified China, Japan will completely lose China, the most important trading partner, and will have to go from Southeast Asia to import mineral resources from a long way to Australia. Industrial products can only be shipped to Southeast Asia for sale, and they will have to endure high tariffs. It is probably a long way to go to restore the economy and national strength. This has not included the development of the East China Government after the East China Government unified China.
Thinking of this, Hirofumi Ito suddenly felt that Japan's future was dark and there was almost no hope at all. However, looking at Naotao Miyamoto, seeing his face as usual, suddenly realized that Naotao Miyamoto might have a way. Although Hirofumi Ito did not think that Naotao Miyamoto could have any good solutions at this time, he still asked: "Miyamoto, then you think Japan still has hope."
Miyamoto Naotaku said: "Of course there is."
Hirobu Ito was stunned and said, "What?"
Naotaku Miyamoto said: "Sir, according to my observation, there is a great possibility that a war will occur in Europe within 5-10 years, and the scale of this war will be unprecedented. Almost all major European countries will be involved, and the order will last for a long time, longer than the Far East War. This is the hope of Japan. On the one hand, the major European countries participating in the war have a large demand. It is definitely not enough to rely on their domestic production alone, and they can only purchase from foreign countries. On the other hand, the war will temporarily withdraw from major European countries from their colonies and other markets, and need new forces to fill it in. Japan's opportunity is here."
After hearing this, Hirobuki Ito couldn't help but feel excited. There was a huge war crisis in Europe, and many politicians could see it at this time. It was the Bosnian crisis that happened not long ago. The war was almost about to break out.
It turned out that in order to take advantage of the coup in the Ottoman Empire, one wanted to obtain the two provinces of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and the other wanted to revise the Treaty of Berlin and obtain the Black Sea Strait to open to Russian warships. So the two countries temporarily joined forces to put pressure on the Ottoman Empire. For this reason, Russia did not hesitate to compromise with the East China Government in Outer Mongolia, just to concentrate its efforts to gain benefits in the Ottoman Empire.
However, Russia's competition was slow, and the Austro-Hungarian Empire took the lead and gathered troops on the border to threaten it with force. In order to avoid being attacked from both sides, the Ottoman Empire quickly ended the coup and stabilized the domestic situation. On the other hand, with Germany's mediation, it admitted that the Austro-Hungarian Empire annexed the provinces of Bosnia and Herzegovina for 2.5 million pounds, so that it could concentrate its efforts to fight against Russia's persecution, and at the same time actively lobbying among major powers to prevent Russia from obtaining warships in the Black Sea Strait.
Because the Austro-Hungarian Empire took the lead and violated the agreement between the two countries. Moreover, the Ottoman Empire can now concentrate its efforts to deal with Russia's coercion and refuse to amend the Treaty of Berlin, Russia protested against the Austro-Hungarian Empire and demanded an international conference to resolve the dispute. At the same time, it also encouraged Serbia to use force to oppose the Austro-Hungarian Empire annexation of the two provinces of Bosnia and Herzegovina. At the same time, Germany also expressed its full support for the Austro-Hungarian Empire and declared any country that went to war with the Austro-Hungarian Empire.
, both will fight against Germany and Austro-Hungary Empire at the same time. Of course, Serbia did not dare to be enemies with Germany and Austro-Hungary Empire at the same time, so he asked Russia for help. At this time, Russia had no power to fight against Germany and Austro-Austria at the same time, so he actively communicated with Britain and France, demanding that once Russia and Germany and Austro-Hungary Empire go to war, Britain and France will also declare war on Germany and Austro-Austria according to the agreement of the [Four-Nation Alliance]. Once Britain and France agree to Russia's request, the European war will officially begin.
Although Hirofumi Ito does not hold a public office now, he has always been paying attention to the world situation and has enough channels to obtain these news. Hirofumi Ito has always been clear about the development of the Bosnian crisis, so it also agrees with the European war that Naofumi Miyamoto predicted. Of course, it still has some questions about whether it is that large or not, and Hirofumi Ito has basically not missed the predictions made by Naofumi Miyamoto before. Hirofumi Ito still has some confidence in him. However, once the European war starts, a large amount of demand will definitely be generated, which is obviously very beneficial to Japan's economic development.
So Hirobuki Ito was a little relieved. It seemed that Japan still had hope. He smiled and said, "Miyamoto, you are still very smart."
Chapter completed!