Chapter 165 Year-end (Part 2)
In mid-1907, in addition to improving relations with Japan, the achievements of East China in foreign affairs were also remarkable.
During the visit of the German mission at the beginning of the year, East China and Germany initially reached an intention to reach a partnership, signed a number of cooperation agreements or intentions, and achieved considerable diplomatic results. At the same time, in early October, East China also sent a huge delegation to Germany as a follow-up visit to Germany. During this visit, the two sides will further deepen and consolidate the cooperative relations between the two sides, expand the cooperation platform, and implement the cooperation agreement or intention reached last time, and strengthen the development of relations between the two sides. Therefore, this visit will be the focus of East China's diplomatic affairs in 1908.
During September and October, the United States also sent a visit to the East China **, and the intention of the US Global Navigation Fleet to visit the East China ** during its voyage. After several rounds of negotiations between the two sides, it has now been determined that US Secretary of State Elihu Rut will visit the East China ** from March to May next year. At the same time, East China ** agrees in principle, but the specific visit details, procedures and rules still require further negotiation between the two sides. This is the first time that foreign warships have visited the East China **, and the country's global Navigation Fleet is huge. In the old time and space, it was mainly composed of 16 battleships. Even if so many battleships are discussed in the name of peace, East China ** cannot be regarded as a casual look.
This is also an important part of Elihu Rut's visit to East China. In addition, it will also negotiate with East China to expand trade cooperation between the two sides. The economic crisis that broke out in the United States was destroyed by the joint efforts of a group of financial giants led by John Pierpont Morgan to rescue the market. It has basically ended. The US economy began to recover, credit began to expand again, and the stock market also began a new round of rapid rise.
However, although the economy is recovering, the United States needs a larger market, and now the world's land has basically been divided up. Even if there are some independent countries, most of the more developed European countries have strong tariff barriers, and the market is difficult to easily enter. Other independent countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America are either small and have few people or backward economies, and it is difficult for them to provide a large market for the United States. Moreover, most of these countries are controlled by other powerful countries, and it is difficult for the United States to get involved. Latin America is the sphere of influence of the United States, with a large territory and a large population, but unfortunately the society of these countries is too backward. The economy is basically based on agriculture and animal husbandry and resources. Although there is a demand for American industrial products, it lacks purchasing power. Moreover, the market in Latin America is basically saturated at this time, and there is not much room for expansion.
Now the only country that can provide the United States with a large-scale market is East China. After the end of the Far East War, the territory of East China reached about 3.5 million square kilometers, with a population of nearly 100 million. The country's size and population. Looking at the whole world, it is only ranked after Russia, the United States, and Brazil. Although Canada and Australia have a certain degree of independence, they are still in the Commonwealth countries at that time. Moreover, although the area of these two countries is large, the population is too sparse, so the market that can be supplied is limited. Moreover, these two countries are still controlled by the United Kingdom, and the United States still cannot get in.
East China has enough population and geographical area. Although the social economy is still relatively backward, it has a large demand for industrial products and machinery in rapid development. At the same time, there are also a large number of infrastructure projects. It can not only provide the United States with a huge market, but also provide many American companies with new business scope. During the Putzmaus negotiations, East China** negotiators reached a cooperation intention with Xu Rang companies in the United States. However, later the United States has a cold political relationship with Japan, Russia, and East China** in its position, so the cooperation intentions of both sides have been temporarily shelved. Now the United States has just experienced an economic crisis, and the United States urgently needs to explore new economic growth points. Therefore, in the United States, although some people strategically regard East China** as a competitor, ** has to strengthen cooperation with East China** for economic considerations. After all, the premise of Renhe strategy is the economy.
Of course, East China ** has always attached great importance to its relations with the United States. On the one hand, the United States is now the world's first economic power, and on the other hand, the United States still has huge potential. Therefore, before the Far East War ended, East China ** intends to strengthen its relations with the United States, but the United States is biased towards Japan, Russia, and East China ** naturally also needs to treat the United States coldly. After all, in addition to the United States, East China ** can also make friends with Germany.
Now the United States takes the initiative to approach East China. Although it is forced by the economic crisis, East China will not refuse. East China also knows that there is a force in the United States regarding East China as a competitor of the United States, but now the United States has not really listed China as a competitor. Moreover, in a diversified country like the United States, there are many voices that appear, which is not an unexpected event.
However, improving relations with the United States is also what the East China ** needs. Bijing only relies on Germany as a country, and the risk is too great to put eggs in a blue line. Everyone knows this principle, and as a mature one, it cannot determine the relationship between the country by its likes and dislikes. Even if East China ** may meet the United States in the future, before that, East China ** still needs to improve relations with the United States. Therefore, operating relations with the United States is another focus of East China ** diplomacy next year.
In contrast, the improvement of relations with Japan can only rank third in the diplomatic affairs of East China next year. Although improving relations with Japan is also beneficial to East China. First of all, Japan's current variables are too great. Although Ito Hiromoto's visit to East China shows that Japan's desire to improve relations with East China, the public opinion in Japan is obviously opposed to Ito Hiromoto's behavior. Moreover, although Japan's relations with Britain, France and Russia are tense in order to improve relations with East China, Japan's Bisheng is still one of the members of the [Four-Country Alliance]. A large reason for improving relations with East China is to put pressure on the UK and revoke the tariff rights. Once this goal is achieved, it is hard to say whether Japan will recur. Therefore, East China cannot completely believe in Japan.
Secondly, although East China also hopes to improve relations with Japan, to be honest, even if the relationship between the two sides has not eased, Japan's threat to East China is not very high. Although Japan is much higher in overall modernization level than East China, Japan was greatly damaged in the Far East War. Even if it was supported by Britain and France, it would be difficult to recover without 10 years and basically would not pose any threat to East China. Moreover, the size of East China now is far from comparable to Japan. After 10 years, the overall modernization level of East China will inevitably rise to a new level. Even if Japan recovers its vitality, due to the huge gap in size, it is difficult for Japan to pose a major threat to East China.
Of course, if China wants to become a world power in the future, it will inevitably conquer Japan, but that is a long-term goal. In a short period of time, the strategic goal of East China ** is mainly in mainland China, that is, outside the country, so in the next year, including in the next few years, East China **'s attitude towards Japan will still be mainly wait-and-see. If Japan intends to improve its relations with East China ** and takes substantial actions, East China ** will of course respond. Just like this time Ito Hirofumi visited East China **, and after returning home, he led the parliament to pass the consensus reached by both sides. East China ** of course responded actively, preparing to organize a delegation to visit Japan, complete the formal signing of the contract, and negotiate and sign a trade agreement with Japan.
However, East China ** will not actively improve or manage relations with Japan, nor will it invest a lot of resources to improve relations with Japan. At the same time, even though the relationship with Japan has been improved, East China ** should also be prepared to regress in relations with Japan.
The last issue is the relationship between the East China ** and the Qing court. Simply put, it is whether the East China ** will launch a war to overthrow the Qing court next year.
Although the Qing court is a building with thousands of innovations and storms, it can be said that it will be a simple matter to launch a war to overthrow the Qing court. It is not difficult to overthrow the Qing court. What is difficult is that after overthrowning the Qing court, it is necessary to not only quickly control the occupied areas, but also establish a complete administrative management system and try not to rely on the original officials of the Qing court, but this requires a large amount of manpower; in addition, although the Qing court did not have a single blow, it still requires a large amount of materials to launch a war, and the recovery and reconstruction after the war requires considerable manpower and material resources. Although there are compensations for the Far East War now and there is no shortage of funds, it is difficult to say that the material reserves are sufficient. After all, the Far East War also consumed a large amount of materials in East China. Although some of them were surplus, a lot of disaster relief operations were used, and the reserves of materials were not completed in a short period of time.
Whether to launch a war to overthrow the Qing court actually depends on the reserves of personnel and materials. If the reserves are not sufficient and a war can be launched rashly, although the Qing court can be overthrown in one fell swoop, the consequence is that the East China ** cannot control the overall situation, leading to a chaos in the entire China, and external forces take advantage of the situation. It is better to endure it for a while. Although the Qing court is doomed, it still has nearly 300 years of power, and it can stabilize the overall situation and prevent China from chaos. When the personnel and materials reserves are sufficient, a war to overthrow the Qing court will not only overthrow the Qing court in one fell swoop, but also the East China ** can also control the situation immediately and minimize the overall losses.
Chapter completed!