Chapter 530 The Second Battle of the Yalu River (1)
Although the People's Army was stationed on the west bank of the Yalu River, it sent a large number of reconnaissance personnel to infiltrate the east bank of the Yalu River to detect the movements of the Japanese army. Since the People's Army had seized the favorable terrain on the Yalu River, the Japanese army's positions could only be set up 5 kilometers away from the riverside, and only a small number of outpost observation points were set up on the riverside. Otherwise, the Japanese position would be covered by the People's Army's artillery, which also provided many convenient conditions for the People's Army's scouts to infiltrate the east bank of the Yalu River.
The Japanese army was to launch an attack, and the army was naturally dispatched. Therefore, the scouts quickly reported this situation to the 5th Army Command, which was responsible for guarding the Yalu River defense line. After analysis, the 5th Army Command judged that the Japanese army would launch an attack in a short period of time, so they mobilized the guards to prepare for battle and reported to the military working group in Qingdao.
When the military working group received the report, it attached great importance to it and immediately started a serious discussion. Of course, the content of the working group's discussion was not to resist the Japanese attack. In fact, a lot of preparations for the Japanese attack plan were made. Moreover, at this time, the People's Army had established complete fortifications along the Yalu River, so there was no need to worry. The working group discussion was actually about the next direction of the war, or how the war should end.
Generally speaking, war is a continuation of politics. Therefore, when a country with strategic standards starts a war, it must not only have a clear goal, but also consider how the war should end, or when it achieves what goal it should end.
Before joining the war, the East China government set the goal of 1. occupying Northeast China and expanding the development space of the East China government; 2. weakening the power of Russia and Japan, making it unable to launch another war in the Far East in a short period of time, so that the East China government can gain development time; 3. Obtain war reparations from Russia and Japan and obtain funds for the development of the East China government. Judging from the current results, the first two goals have basically been achieved, Japan has been driven out of Northeast China, and the commander-in-chief of the Russian army has also been driven to the Sino-Russian border.
Although the Russian army still occupies Shenyang, it has become an isolated city and cannot play much role. Moreover, Japan and Russia both suffered heavy losses in this war, and the intensification of domestic conflicts in Russia triggered a serious social crisis. Japan was exhausted and owed a lot of debts, so the two countries could no longer start a war in a short period of time. The third goal is to achieve it in later negotiations. Of course, what we need to do now is to accumulate chips for the later negotiations to achieve the goals?
Moreover, the US Consul in Qingdao has repeatedly proposed to the East China government to mediate the war and preside over tripartite negotiations. The East China government has used diplomatic language to rude the past, but now it should be considered. Therefore, after the People's Army captured Harbin, the focus of the military working group was not on war, but on negotiations.
Although things that cannot be obtained on the battlefield cannot be obtained at the negotiating table, victory on the battlefield may not necessarily be transformed into victory on the negotiating table. The Qiba behavior of Qingting who had to sign an unfavorable treaty after winning the battle can only be regarded as an example. However, after winning the battle, it did not take any easy things in the subsequent negotiations. There are indeed many examples. The most typical example is the [Petsmouth Treaty] signed by both sides after the Russo-Japanese War in the old time and space. Japan did not take much easy things in this negotiation, and the benefits they got were basically obtained on the battlefield, especially Japan's most wanted compensation, and it did not get a penny.
If you want to gain greater benefits at the negotiating table, the most important bargaining chip is to have means to threaten the other party. If the other party does not give up the benefits at the negotiating table, you will lose more. This is how the signing of the [Petsmouth Treaty] was because although Japan won on the battlefield at that time, it was exhausted and the national strength was exhausted and unable to continue fighting. Therefore, Russia insisted that it would not pay compensation, and if it was not convinced, it would fight again. Japan had no choice but to give up the claim for compensation.
The working group conducted a serious analysis of the current situation and believed that the East China government had been participating in the war for half a year. Due to the sufficient preparations in the early stage and the fact that Japan and Russia were also quite vulnerable, the East China government now has enough power to launch a war again and has enough threatening means to Russia. At present, the People's Army has captured a small number of Russian territory such as Vladivostok and Shuangchengzi. In addition, 300,000 Russian troops have been trapped in Shenyang, which can be regarded as hostages of the People's Army. The Russian army has basically no combat effectiveness. Due to social crisis, it is difficult for Russia to increase troops to the Far East on a large scale. Therefore, if Russia refuses to make concessions in the negotiations, the People's Army can capture more Russian territory in the Far East and annihilate the Russian army in Shenyang, so that Russia will only lose more interests.
So the working group made a decision to adopt the tactic of encirclement rather than fighting against the Russian army in Shenyang. Of course, the non-fighting here means not launching a ground attack, and there is still a bombardment. Moreover, if the bombardment causes a huge killing effect on a certain position, it does not require too much casualties and can also be taken down. It can also launch a ground attack, but the scale is controlled in a regiment. This can reduce its own unnecessary losses, and at the same time, use continuous small-scale attacks to eliminate the fighting spirit of the Russian army. If the Russian army's will is exhausted, the whole or the surrender is large, it is also a good result. When negotiating with Russia, the 300,000 Russian army is also a big bargaining chip. If Russia wants to preserve the 300,000 troops, of course it will take out real money.
However, the East China government still lacks enough threats to Japan, mainly because the East China government and Japan do not have direct territory borders and cannot threaten Japan's mainland. In addition, Japan has reassembled an army on the Korean Peninsula, and at least it has the ability to fight with the East China government. Therefore, it is actually not suitable to negotiate with Japan before completely defeating the Japanese army.
But now the Russian army on the Korean Peninsula is mainly attacking and attacking the Yalu River defense line of the People's Army, which is a great opportunity to completely defeat the Japanese army. Of course, this attack was initiated by the Japanese army. Once the attack failed or the war was unfavorable, the Japanese army could take the initiative to retreat to reduce its own losses. Therefore, it is not easy for the People's Army to severely damage the Japanese army.
In response to this, Army Minister Zhu Yaping proposed two combat plans: the first is to lure the enemy into depth, that is, after the Japanese army launched an attack, deliberately abandon the Yalu River defense line and retreated. After all the Japanese army crossed the Yalu River, then concentrate their forces to fight an annihilation battle, striving to wipe out or eliminate most of the Japanese army in one fell swoop. Moreover, after severely damaging the Japanese army, the People's Army can also choose to cross the Yalu River and invade the Korean Peninsula according to the situation, because the Korean Peninsula is basically a Japanese colony, so the People's Army can use it as a bargaining chip for negotiations with Japan, and if Japan refuses
If you make concessions during negotiations, the People's Army can continue to march, completely drive Japanese forces out of the Korean Peninsula, and include the Korean Peninsula in the sphere of influence of the East China government. The Korean Peninsula has very important strategic value in Northeast Asia and the entire East Asia geopolitical pattern. It is a springboard for the ocean to enter Northeast China and a sharp sword for mainland China to attack Japan. Therefore, the East China government's inclusion of the Korean Peninsula in its own sphere of influence is also a huge gain, allowing the East China government to gain geostrategic advantages over Japan.
However, it takes a lot of troops to implement this plan. It is impossible to complete the 5th Army, which is guarding the Yalu River defense line. Qingdao can only send an additional army of 2-3 divisions, which is of no use. At least one army must be withdrawn from Chenyang to ensure the completion of this plan.
But now on the Shenyang battlefield, the People's Army has sent an additional division occupying Changchun with three armies and the Far East branch theater, with a total of about 240,000 troops. The Russian army has been besieged by about 320,000 troops. The troops are already very tight, and it is probably difficult to withdraw another army to support the Yalu River battlefield. In addition, if the occupation of the entire Korean Peninsula is also listed as the East China government as the goal of the East China government, it will be a major modification of the combat targets set before the war, which will inevitably expand the scale of the war and require more manpower and material resources. With the current financial and material reserves of the East China government, whether it can withstand the consumption of the expanded war, Zhu Yaping is of course not clear, and relevant departments need to conduct a detailed assessment.
Another combat plan is to adopt a landing war, that is, when the Japanese army launches an attack, a landing force is sent to land in the central part of the Korean Peninsula, and detour to the rear of the Japanese army to launch an attack or destroy the Japanese logistics, forcing the Japanese army to retreat. Since the Japanese army retreated in a hurry, the troops guarding the Yalu River can take the opportunity to launch a counterattack, defeating the Japanese army in one fell swoop and causing great damage to the Japanese army.
The advantage of this combat plan is that it does not require the transfer of troops from the Chenyang battlefield, but only the 5th Army and Qingdao can be completed. Of course, the landing war requires the withdrawal of the Marines from the Northeast battlefield to execute. After all, only the Marines have conducted landing war training and have practical experience in landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landing war landings are not difficult to deal with.
Chapter completed!