Chapter sixty-seven, indistinguishable between friend and foe
Although the British government did not follow up directly, they entered the noisy mode of parliament, which still scared many people.
Anyone with a little political mind knows who this is for.
Once the two food consumption markets in Britain and France are lost, Austria's total exports will drop sharply by one sixth.
The Russians, dominated by agriculture, are even more miserable. They can save half of their trade exports, which is considered God's blessing.
Under the fierce market competition, Russian agriculture, which has lagging productivity, will directly lose its market competitiveness due to production costs.
But the Tsarist government did not dare to promote new agricultural technologies because production capacity does not equal income. If the grain cannot be sold, no matter how high the output is, it will be useless.
Even the Tsarist government dared not do anything about industrial upgrading, which was similar to Austria in the last agricultural crisis.
Due to the domestic economic development level, Franz has to take a leisurely pace in developing animal husbandry, for fear of overcapacity in the animal husbandry industry.
The great development of the animal husbandry industry in Austria has only emerged in the past two or three years. The main reason is that the economic development and the purchasing power of the people has increased.
There is market demand first, and then commodity production. This order cannot be reversed, otherwise there will be a big mess.
The Tsarist government was anxious, and the Vienna government was anxious. But the Russians were really anxious, and the Vienna government was just pretending.
The diplomatic slogans were shouting earth-shaking, but the government's operation was as fierce as a tiger, but the actual effect was 0.5, which seemed to be in a hurry.
For example: After the French announced the farm plan, the Vienna government announced that it would suspend the qualification approval of agricultural product processing enterprises.
When learning that the British Parliament began to discuss whether to follow up, the Vienna government once again issued a notice on agricultural transformation, suggesting that people cut the area of food planting to cope with the agricultural crisis.
The direct sequelae is that the stock prices of domestic agricultural companies have plummeted, and even some food manufacturers with little impact have been implicated.
Of course, not long after the economic crisis, the stock price is not high now, and it can't fall much.
To put it bluntly, the French have only announced a plan. The Paris government itself has not yet figured out how to implement it.
Capitalists refuse to invest and must make losses in the government personally, which is not as simple as saying.
No one has any experience in how to operate it. The government will directly send officials to manage it, which will greatly increase administrative costs, and corruption is also a big problem.
If the sky-high price of food is finally created and the people can't afford it, it will be a big trouble.
Contracting to capitalists seems simple, but the problem is that the integrity of capitalists is really hard to reassure.
If you take an empty shell project, cheat the government's subsidies, and finally import cheap food from abroad and fill the hole, the Paris government becomes the sucker.
Supervision is simple, but the problem is that the farm is built in a colony. Although the French government directly manages it, the high sky and far away places mean that the central government lacks control.
In addition to management issues, the indigenous peoples in the colonies are also a headache. French Africa is not Austria Africa, and most of the land has its own masters.
It is impossible to avoid it. You can’t just put the farm in a deserted desert, right?
Desert agriculture is in the research stage in the 21st century, and the French are still unable to make a fuss.
It is not possible to directly expel it, and a bad colony will cause smoke to spread everywhere. With the lessons of the Egyptian rebellion, the French government had to be cautious.
After all, indigenous rebels are easy to deal with, and indigenous rebels with external support will be different. If there are a few more Egyptian rebellions, the French government will not have the money to build a farm plan.
There are so many issues that need to be considered. If one operation is not done well, the French's farm plan will become a laughing stock.
Not to mention the British, those who know a little about the British Parliament know that being able to unify opinions in a year or two is a super-level performance.
This kind of big strategy is possible for three or five years. Especially the major food producers have mobilized their own strength to lobby the British Parliament.
Many people are still looking forward to a comeback, and some even believe that Britain and France are just waiting for a price, using the "Food Self-Sufficiency Plan" to force Russia and Austria to make concessions in international politics.
There are many people who support this statement, including Britain and France, and many people think so.
In the Vienna Palace, Franz also felt the pressure as the British and French "Food Self-Sufficiency Plan" came out.
From the people to the government, there are calls for negotiations with Britain and France to resolve disputes.
After all, this is a confidentiality plan. Except for a few senior executives, everyone else knows nothing, and it is almost inevitable that such a thing will happen.
Affected by this, on August 16, 1885, the Vienna government also gave a note to the British and French ambassadors to Austria and conducted in-depth communication.
After the Vienna government deliberately showed a hint of compromise and concession, Britain and France, who thought they had found Austria's weakness, naturally wanted to speak out.
Then there was nothing, and if there was no negotiation, there was no negotiation. The Vienna Ministry of Foreign Affairs was anxious and paddling, and seemed to have done a lot of work, but the substantive negotiations were still tough.
Franz couldn't believe it: "The Russians are going to withdraw from the free trade system, is the news sure?"
The French have withdrawn from the free trade system, and the United States has also withdrawn from the free trade system. If the Russians withdraw from the free trade system again, this thing will probably end.
Foreign Minister Wesenberg nodded: “To be precise, the Russians are just signs of withdrawal, and it may also be a guise put forward by the Tsarist government.
Yesterday afternoon, Alexander III summoned the British ambassador to Russia to conduct business on the food self-sufficiency plan in Britain, and finally ended in disagreement.
This morning, the Russian Foreign Ministry sent a note to Britain, warning the London government not to play with fire, and accusing the British of its food self-sufficiency plan that seriously undermined the free trade system.
If the British do not give up on their food self-sufficiency plan, the Russian Empire will impose trade sanctions on Britain.”
It may be possible to undermine the free trade system. Anyway, it depends on whoever stands.
Theoretically, as long as the British did not raise tariffs and used political means to suppress their competitors, but instead adopted a fair competition to achieve a food self-sufficiency plan, it would be in line with the spirit of free trade.
Of course, it is reasonable to criticize the British government for investing in agriculture and interfering with the normal development of the market, which violates the principle of "freedom".
After all, Britain is proclaiming "absolute freedom", and what it says must be responsible.
But on this issue, only the Russians can say, and Austria has no say.
From beginning to end, Franz never spoke about this issue. It’s not that he didn’t see that the problem is that Austria has done more too much.
Isn’t it just a state-owned farm, and there are fewer things in Austria? I really think that Austria’s grain production capacity dropped rapidly during the last agricultural crisis, and that the people took the initiative to reduce the grain planting area?
Too naive!
Tens of millions of farmers, at most one-tenth of them, have cut some of their production capacity, and the rest are still what to do and what to do.
It’s not a question of whether they listen or not, the key is not to grow food, what should they plant?
Cash crops are simple to say, but they also require technology. It is not like sowing seeds, you will definitely gain something.
The price of grain will drop at most. If you can't sell it, you can keep it for yourself or feed it to the animal.
Once a cash crop is not sold by mistake, it will only rot in the fields.
The government encourages and promotes vegetable cultivation in areas around the city, and remote mountainous areas are not at all concerned about it.
It is not a question of whether to think about it or not. The key is that Austria is a market economy, not a planned economy, and the government does not know the demand for each type of cash crop in the market.
Rather than handing over the decision to the bureaucrats, which made the heavens angry and the others resentful, Franz would rather let the people continue to grow food.
At worst, the problem of adjusting production capacity is left to state-owned farms. I really don’t know what to plant, but at worst, I can let the land fallow for a few more years.
After thinking for a while, Franz asked, “How likely is the British to compromise?”
It was difficult to fool the British to the edge of the cliff, and they were almost kicked down. Franz didn't want the British to be pulled back again.
I don’t know anything else, as long as the British start a food self-sufficiency plan, they will start a loss model that has been over the years, which will be worse than the French.
Due to the restrictions of the free trade system, Britain must treat the food imported from all countries equally, and continue the current low tariffs that are nearly zero.
This means that Britain cannot support a younger brother as a granary and squeeze Austrian agricultural products out of the market.
It seems that it is not difficult for the British to open a farm in a colony, but in fact it is not cheap.
The first is the population. Australia, New Zealand, Canada and other regions are typically vast and sparsely populated.
Even mechanical agriculture requires a large amount of labor. At least before the construction of water conservancy projects and improving road traffic, the demand for labor is not low.
Recruiting labor from China is enough to make the British government feel pain. Amortization to the cost of grain production is absolutely sky-high.
There is no barrier, the more you plant this kind of food, the more you lose. It is estimated that after a few years of compensation, the British people will realize that there is no "money prospect" for growing food.
When the opposition party comes to power, this money-loss strategy will be cut off in half, leaving behind a bunch of unfinished projects to prove the incompetence of the previous government.
Of course, India has a large population and fertile land, which is very suitable for agricultural production; the problem is that there are too many Indians, and developing agriculture here and feeding locals is a problem.
It is estimated that the food produced will be eaten up before the support of the country is supported. It is not impossible to give priority to satisfying the country. The key is that you are extremely hungry and people are also going to rebel.
The planting of cotton in front triggered a major uprising, and now there are two newly moved neighbors from Russia and Austria. At this time, the British government would never dare to make trouble.
After pondering for a while, Wesenberg slowly replied: "Half to half!
Although the Russian market looks very large, its purchasing power is actually very limited. This limited market is still occupied by us by nearly 70%, and the British are only given some leftovers.
Even if the Russian market is lost, the total amount of British foreign export trade will fall by one or two percentage points at most, and the British can still bear this fluctuation.
But the British government is not keen on food self-sufficiency plans, and Gladstone handed over the choice to parliament, and the cabinet did not even show its position, which is enough to illustrate this."
This answer is equal to no, half to half. This is not so much analyzing and judging, but rather gambling.
I have to admit that although the Russians' methods were a little rough, the results were very good.
The Tsarist government gave the British half the chance of giving up. Under normal circumstances, Austria put some effort into it, and the British Parliament eventually rejected it, or put aside the bill indefinitely, and the matter was over.
Several plans emerged in Franz's mind and were rejected by him again.
“At this point, we are no longer suitable for anything else.
Next, let’s see the French performing. I believe Napoleon IV will not give up this opportunity.”
As soon as he finished speaking, Franz felt something was wrong. I don’t know when it started, Austria had more time to cooperate with the enemy than to cooperate with allies.
Whether this is a moral decay or a distortion of human nature is a question worth pondering.
But what is certain is that the operation method of opening this is wrong. If this continues, Franz will doubt whether he can still distinguish his enemies and friends.
"There are only eternal interests among countries, no eternal enemies." Franz's approach now fully explains this sentence.
Chapter completed!