Chapter forty-ninth, strategic gamble
After returning to the European continent, Stephen and Gapoli parted ways. One wanted to go to make independence, while the other wanted to find a place to wait and see the situation.
Stephen and others did not return to Hungary as soon as possible. The experience of exile told him that the door must be cautious, and any negligence can be fatal.
Although more than ten years have passed, everyone has undergone earth-shaking changes, and no one can guarantee whether they will be recognized by acquaintances.
Once the news leaked, they were taken away. Stephen and others got off the boat in the Principality of Montenegro and pretended to be merchants to inspect the market in Montenegro.
Then a few young people who had never passed by Austria were sent to the Hungarian area to collect intelligence.
Adversity is the easiest way for people to grow. The current Hungarian independent organization is different from more than ten years ago. Not only has it learned to know yourself and your enemy, but its ability to save lives has also improved by n levels.
...
As a large wave of unrest swept into the European continent, the Pradesh War was about to come to an end. Fortunately, the Tsarist government took action in time at this time.
This cannot be considered timely. The Tsarist government should have taken action more than two months ago. Unfortunately, the Russians wanted to suppress the Polish rebellion first and then deal with the Prussians.
As a result, the Polish rebels were defeated, but the rebellion continued. There were too many supporters behind the Polish rebellion, and the rebels' strength exceeded the Russians' expectations.
It is easy to defeat them, but it is difficult to destroy them. The existence of the Polish rebellion has bought time for the Prussians.
Until the Danes could not hold on, the Tsarist government had to take action. Otherwise, the Kingdom of Denmark would fall and the Russian Empire would be lost.
On December 28, 1864, the Tsarist government issued an ultimatum to the Kingdom of Prussia, ordering them to withdraw from Denmark 24 hours a day.
Despite being mentally prepared in Berlin, when this day really came, the Prussian government still felt the repression.
This time the enemy is the continental overlord, the Russian Empire, and it is not comparable to the Danes.
Now that things have come to this point, they are no longer allowed to retreat. Otherwise, they will not offend the Russians, but they will also offend Britain and France who secretly support them.
William I didn't care about being angry with the military. If he lost this war, even if the Russians swallowed Prussia in one bite, they would at least bite them.
"Are you ready, are you sure to defeat the Russians?"
Army and Navy Minister Ron replied: "We have completed the national mobilization, all the reserves have been demobilized, and 427,000 Prussian troops can be put into combat at any time.
The most important thing now is to seek more loans from Britain and France. As long as we solve the funding problem, we can spend time with the Russians."
The Kingdom of Prussia mobilized 427,000 troops, but it does not mean that these troops can be devoted to the war against Russia.
It is also a tragedy that the neighbors are too strong. No matter any of the three neighbors, they have the strength to kill them, and the Prussian government has to be cautious.
It is no problem for the main force to fight with the Russians together. How to ensure that they are not robbed by the French and Austrians is a big problem.
Even if everyone needs them to attack the Russians, neither France nor Austria will attack them for the time being, but what if the war is over?
Whether it is failure or victory, it may cause a blow to France and Austria.
Needless to say, if the Russians want to eat meat, France and Austria will also eat meat. The Prussian Kingdom does not pay a heavy price, so don’t want to get out.
Winning this war does not mean victory. The Tsarist government still has the strength to make a comeback, and the future will be long!
The European continent is too small to accommodate so many powerful countries, and neither France nor Austria wants to see a powerful Prussia appear.
After the attack on the Russians, the role of the Prussian Kingdom was fully played out, and it was too normal to be stabbed in the back.
The Prussian government has to prepare in advance for necessary prevention. In the event of an unexpected situation, there must be a time for reaction.
With so many realistic problems in front of us, the Prussian military naturally dare not take risks. Not only do they want to win, but they must also minimize their losses as much as possible in order to deal with the possible robbery between France and Austria after the war.
In this era, the international environment of the Kingdom of Prussia was much worse than in history, and there was too little room for them to choose from.
Historically, Bismarck was able to lead Prussia to unify Germany because the Russians lost the Crimean War and Austria lost the French-Austrian War.
The situation is completely different now. The French-Austrian War was not fought at all. The Kingdom of Sardinia wanted to sever the land and tempt the French to attack Austria, but the Vienna government directly dumped the entire Kingdom of Sardinia.
France, which had eaten the Kingdom of Sardinia, was an ostensibly profitable, but in fact it had fallen into a strategic passive state and was isolated from European countries.
To some extent, this is also a good thing for the Kingdom of Prussia. The French, who were in diplomatic dilemma, dared not make the idea of the Rhineland for a short period of time, and their national defense pressure was greatly reduced.
The awesome Russians are different, although the losses they paid in the Near East War were greater than those in the Crimean War in history. The problem is that they won!
The Russian people were not afraid of heavy losses. The Tsarist government occupied Constantinople, and all sectors of society were very satisfied, and the losses were directly ignored.
The combat effectiveness of the Tsarist army, which has been baptized by war, is not comparable in history. Not only is the weapons and equipment surpassed that of the same period in history, but the morale of the army is even more incomparable.
It is not surprising that the Prussian military chose to play conservatively. After all, what the Tsarist government lacks the most is soldiers, and the Russian-Austrian alliance is here. Even if Austria does not support the Russians, it will not prevent them from selling arms.
In this context, it is obviously unwise to compete with the Russians for strength. It is okay to lose three or five times, but the Prussians will be done if they lose one time.
War is not a joke. Both Ron and Moltke are the best military strategists of this era. Naturally, their pattern is not just about winning a battle, but about winning a war.
The biggest weakness of the Tsarist government is poverty. There are financial supporters behind Prussia, and the first one that cannot be sustained if it is consumed must be the Russians.
Prime Minister Frank raised a question: "How can we ensure that the Russians are blocked? From the actual situation, we must defend against the enemy outside the country.
You all know exactly what the Cossack cavalry is. Once they are allowed to go deep into the country to cause damage, the consequences will be unimaginable."
This is the most troublesome problem. The border line between Pakatan and Russia is too long and the Pod Plain is flat again. These areas are still the foundation of the Junker nobles and cannot be missed.
Not to mention that the Russian army's large troops went deeper, even if thousands of cavalrymen rushed in to carry out damage, the Berlin government would not be able to afford to lose.
Moltke said with a serious expression: "Aggregate the Qingye and move all the people within 50 kilometers of the Pakatan-Russia border to the rear.
We will conduct a second mobilization again, increasing the service life of soldiers to five years and adjusting the service age to 16-55 years old. We can add another 300,000 troops to briefly train them to deal with the Russian army that broke in."
Everyone's faces changed drastically, and it was simple to say that the merger of Qingye was done. If they were done, they would have to pay a heavy price.
The Kingdom of Prussia is not big, and it is easy to retreat fifty kilometers, but in fact it means that millions of people will be moved, and one-fifth of the land will be reduced to white land.
William I said seriously: "This is impossible. Your plan to merge and clear the world has exceeded our ability to bear it. If we really do this, we will definitely collapse first, not the Russians."
Moltke sighed and said, "If this is the case, we can only take the risk and put the battlefield in Poland as much as possible."
In this era, the trenches and barbed wire had not appeared. Without such cheap defense facilities, the Prussian border line was so long that fortifications could only be built in key areas.
The enemy's large troops dare not bypass these fortifications and attack in depth, so the small troops will be different.
Of course, there are also fortifications in the rear. The castles of the nobles are the best fortresses, and there is no big problem with small troops without heavy firepower.
The main reason for the merger of the Qingye River is to reduce personnel losses. After all, it is impossible to keep the people in the castle forever, and everyone also needs to live.
The cavalry came and went like the wind, and even if it was notified, it would take time to prepare. The retreat of fifty kilometers was to win this time.
William I hesitated and the biggest risk of taking the risk was not military. Now the Polish Independence Organization is an ally of Prussia. Even if the war is fought in Poland, they also have the support of the people.
The trouble is that it angered the Russians and turned local wars into a full-scale war between the two countries. It is not a pity that the Prussians are cowardly. The biggest problem is that after completing the military system reform, they have not experienced a great war and have no confidence in their hearts.
Prime Minister Frank said, "Your Majesty, you have reached this point, why bother to look forward to it?
If you win this war, the Kingdom of Poland after independence will be a buffer between Prussia and Russia in the future; if you lose this war, the Kingdom of Prussia will lose its future."
As the prime minister who was born in the Junker nobles, he stood on the side of the Junker nobles at the critical moment. No matter what, class interests must be preserved.
The retreat of the Kingdom of Prussia was blocked, and the retreat of the nobles of the Junker still existed. These nobles who could fight were still very popular in this era and had no worries about their way out.
William I nodded fiercely and said, "Don't worry, go and do it boldly!"
At this point, he decided to take a big bet. Putting the battlefield in Russia and Poland will not only reduce local losses, but also have the opportunity to take a bite of meat from the Russians after the war.
The British supported their expansion in the Baltic Sea region, and the German region had no chance to expand, and expanding to the east became the only option.
European countries would not mind seeing the birth of a Prussian Empire that fought against Russia. If they took on the important task of encircling the Russian Empire, John Bull would not watch Prussia be finished.
Prime Minister Frank proposed: "Your Majesty, we must seek more supporters, at least keep the Austrians neutral.
The Russian Empire with Austria is completely different from Russia without Austria. We cannot be enemies of two empires at the same time."
Since it is a war of attrition, we naturally have to consider the strength comparison between the two sides. Austria may not be as rich as Britain and France, but Austria's industrial strength is not weaker than France.
Support does not necessarily require money, but supplies can also play a role. As long as there is sufficient food, weapons and ammunition, and necessary military supplies, the Russians can continue to support it.
In this era, most of the conscripts in Europe had no military pay, and the noble officers could also owe the military pay first, and they would not go on strike just because the king could not afford the military pay.
William I thought for a while and said, "Well, send someone to talk to the Vienna government. As long as it is not a core issue, you can discuss it."
...
Vienna, Franz didn't know that Austria has once again become the focus of competition among all parties. At this time, both Prats and Russia need Austria's support.
Geopolitics is always an unavoidable topic. The role that Austria, which is so close to the point, can play is not comparable to Britain and France, which are thousands of miles away.
He was still worried about the letter in his hand. Massimiliano, who was in trouble, finally knew to ask for help, and then Franz was in a dilemma.
The Prussian-Russian War is about to begin, and the Vienna government must cheer up and pay attention; the American Civil War is about to be decided, and Austria's power in the Americas must be devoted to the subsequent intervention.
If you interfere in Mexico's internal affairs, it will be a life-threatening person.
It is a bit unkind to refuse directly. After all, Massimilano thought diplomatic support was enough, but he didn't know that behind every diplomatic support was the game of power.
Diplomacy without strength is not worth mentioning at all. After hesitating, Franz decided to give Masimireno a wave of spiritual chicken soup and let him fight for himself.
As a good brother, Franz still gave him some real information.
He deeply analyzed the internal contradictions of the Mexican Empire and suggested that Masimirino win over the constitutionalists first and establish a stable government, and then discuss the issue of reform later.
It is easier to have no money, so be sure to ask the French for loans. Guan said that the right of road, fiscal revenue, minerals... as long as the price is appropriate, all can be mortgaged.
Whether or not Franz can't control it. Anyway, the suggestion is given. According to the above statement, although it cannot make the Mexican Empire stronger, it can at least ensure that Masimirino's throne stabilizes.
It has increased the difficulty of future reforms and was directly ignored by Franz. In the face of survival, any other factors can be abandoned.
The one who owes money is the old man. Although it may not be applicable in this era, it can at least ensure that Napoleon III dare not give up his support for him easily.
The issue of repaying debts must be waited until the throne is firmly settled. If someone is kicked off the stage in the middle, these debts have nothing to do with Masimirino.
The Mexican government borrowed money, not Masimirino himself. If the enemy was driven off the stage, it would be a small revenge for them to leave a mess.
Chapter completed!