Chapter 1108 Small Goals
As a head of an investment company who has gone through many exciting moments and has also seen a lot of money and made a lot of money, the reason why Li Ruiyuan is so excited is because his boss's analysis has never disappointed him.
And this time, the field the boss analyzed was futures.
This is a business that is heaven and hell. Because of a transaction, you may lose a lot. It will bring down a company with a reputation and strong strength, such as the famous Nick Lisen, to drag down the Baring Bank.
Similarly, you may make a lot more money than you imagine astronomical figures, such as Jesse Livermore, who once successfully predicted the stock market crash in 1907 and 1929.
This is a genius who is hailed as the most outstanding stock investor in history. He only uses his own funds and does not use financial derivatives. He shorts it and eventually earns $100 million.
The 100 million US dollars in that era is not the 100 million US dollars now. Let’s put it this way, the fiscal revenue of the US government back then was only 4.2 billion US dollars.
Li Ruiyuan naturally read the "Memoirs of Stock Operators", which he wrote, known as one of the two must-read masterpieces on Wall Street. He had dreams like that back then. One day, he would definitely surpass Livermore. Now, he sees hope to realize this dream.
Because crude oil futures are the king of commodity trading in the world.
How big is the trading volume? In 2004, the combined crude oil futures of the New York Stock Exchange and London Brent Uoko Singapore had an average daily trading volume of less than 100,000 lots (the exact data was indeed not found).
A standard lot is 1,000 barrels of crude oil, which means that the average daily crude oil futures traded by these three major exchanges is no less than 100 million barrels.
China's net crude oil imports last year were 1.515 per ton, and one ton was about 7 barrels, which means that the net crude oil imports were about 1 billion barrels last year, which is probably only equivalent to the maximum trading volume of world crude oil futures for one week.
No one counts the amount of crude oil futures trading, but we can also compare it roughly. The funds spent on imported crude oil in China last year were US$43.15 billion. From this, we can roughly estimate how big the world crude oil futures trading market is - it is a super big market of trillions of dollars.
Every time the boss said this with certainty before, it meant that he would arrange a specific transaction, just like the previous few processes that were fast, accurate and stable, and he ended up earning harsh stock transactions.
Since the boss is so confident, how much profit can the company make this time? In US dollars, the 9-digit number is absolutely certain. Is it possible to break through the 10-digit number and be the 10-digit number at the beginning of a big number? As for the 11-digit number, Li Ruiyuan thinks that it is better not to dream like that for the time being.
Soros successfully shorted the pound that year, forcing the Bank of England to go bankrupt, and the income of his quantum fund was only more than 1 billion US dollars. As a person, he was content.
Because this news is too important to him, Li Ruiyuan couldn't help but ask again, "Really?"
"Yes," Feng Yiping glanced at him, saying it was undoubtedly certain.
He probably remembers about the international oil prices two years, 2005 and 2008.
In 2008, international oil prices soared to the highest point, and in August 2005, international oil prices also soared to a benchmark.
The reason he remembered even in August was that it actually originated mainly from a KFC product, New Orleans roasted wings. From this he learned about a city in the United States, New Orleans.
And in August this year, a Hurricane Katrina will hit New Orleans.
The hurricane was the biggest destruction in American history, causing a large number of casualties and casualties. Due to the ineffective post-disaster reconstruction, a large number of residents chose to leave this sad place. This once prosperous city and large communities were reduced to ruins. New Orleans is also the second city in the United States to have a sharp decline in population in the city after Detroit.
In fact, those Chinese who have an unrealistic favoritism towards the American people should have an intuitive understanding of the "kind" American people after CCTV reported the news about the hurricane.
Although like Western media, CCTV also likes to report some bad news in the United States, no matter how big or small, solemnly, the time about New Orleans was still relatively objective.
What impressed Feng Yiping was that the disaster that the United States will usher in this year has appeared in our history books and the major disaster period.
The Bush administration was already ineffective in rescue efforts, but the people in the disaster area not only fought on their own according to the United States' usual self-centered habits, but also a large number of thugs took advantage of the situation to rob.
Florida had a high gun rate, and a large number of unscrupulous thugs took advantage of the chaos to make trouble. They openly burned, killed, looted and raped in front of the guards and police, and then fought with the police.
Under the huge pressure of public security and death, New Orleans, the United States, actually thought that some cities in Mexico controlled by drug dealers, and a large number of police officers chose to resign.
The Bush administration first transferred hundreds of veterans who had returned to China from the Iraq battlefield to take a rest. They had seen blood on the battlefield to support the local area, but found that it was useless. Later, more than 5,000 soldiers were dispatched to "support" to the affected areas of the Gulf of Mexico. In fact, it was to suppress or suppress the repression...
Such things have never happened 49 years later when some greater natural disasters occurred in our country.
Another direct consequence of this disaster is that it greatly affects the United States' own oil production capacity.
In the Gulf of Mexico, Katrina attacked, 30% of the United States' crude oil production capacity and 24% of the refining capacity were concentrated. The hurricane caused fires in many refineries, and a large number of oil fields had to be closed.
Not only Katrina, but this year, there seem to be many major events that will directly affect crude oil production. India seems to have fired major oil fields, Iran has oil fields exploded, and it seems that the king of Saudi Arabia in the Middle East died...
In addition, due to the United States, the turbulent Iraq has seen a sharp drop in crude oil production...
In short, Feng Yiping remembers quite clearly that at the end of August, international oil prices will soar to a high level.
It’s not very clear how high it is, it seems to be about twice as high as at the beginning of the year.
"What preparation should I make?" Li Ruiyuan asked immediately.
"I need to do some analysis," said Feng Yiping. "What you are going to do now is to temporarily stop buying other crude oil futures and collect funds to the maximum extent. Well, I will add a portion to you."
"No problem, but is the company facing greater financial pressure now?" Li Ruiyuan said.
The acquisition of Marvel Studios was another big deal of more than $2 billion.
From last year to now, they first acquired Netflix, and later launched Facebook and Youtube. Although the development of these two projects is not very gratifying, they have not started to make profits yet and are still burning money. The company's capital reserves are mainly US dollar reserves overseas. Thinking about it, it should not be enough to support this acquisition.
"Because of the rumors on the Internet in China before, I think Chinese banks will probably not be easy to provide us with financial support this time," he said.
As the head of an investment company, he still has this sensitivity.
Those rumors say that there is something wrong with the $2 billion loan approved by ICBC to Jiasheng. Although Jiasheng has already paid back the loan in advance, when the rumors have not completely disappeared, it should be difficult for domestic state-owned banks that have not yet fully realized market-oriented operations in the international market.
"I don't know whether they will approve it, and I don't need to know, because this time, I don't plan to raise funds from Chinese banks," said Feng Yiping.
The bank's reaction this time made him a little unhappy. Maybe they did not stand up to speak in order to avoid suspicion. Feng Yiping felt that it was not impossible to make them feel a little painful and heartache.
That is, for banks, loan business worth $1 billion is so easy to do? Where can there be so many opportunities?
"Then how are you planning to raise funds? Could it be that equity pledge?" Li Ruiyuan immediately thought of a feasible solution.
"Yes, I have submitted an application for pledging 3% of Google shares to the Google Board. At the same time, I am also in contact with several banks on issues related to the pledge of nextdoor equity,"
"That's too easy," Li Ruiyuan said immediately.
That's really too easy.
Google's market value is currently over US$70 billion. It can easily raise 2 billion by pledging part of the 10% disclosed in its own name.
I believe that Google’s board of directors also understands its strength and will not be able to recover the pledged equity. Therefore, the board of directors’ proposal is not a problem.
As for why he put nextdoor in, he wanted to take the opportunity to see the serious financial industry in the United States, and the market value of the main body of his business in the United States.
In general, for Feng Yiping now, as long as he wants to raise funds, not to mention the amount of more, a large number of American banks will come to him with a quota of 10 billion US dollars.
2 billion, that's really a splash of water.
"Mr. Li, I have another idea. From now on, you can also find some partners. I think it is time to acquire a suitable company in the United States and let us have our own trading institution in the United States."
"Really?" Li Ruiyuan was happy again, "Okay, I'll prepare right away."
He was only happy for the expansion of the areas he was responsible for. In fact, he was definitely not sure what Feng Yiping proposed this matter now.
Feng Yiping aimed at the real estate market in the United States in 2008. Specifically, it was the real estate market in the United States in 2008.
Of course it is not about speculation in real estate, it is about shorting the US real estate market.
It can be expected that such operations will make amazing profits. In order to make a smooth delivery and the investigations the US government will definitely have, it is best to trade in the US.
As for this year's crude oil futures, Feng Yiping actually has a plan now. Although he doesn't remember exactly which day the oil price soared to the highest point at the end of August, he felt that it would be better to buy the contracts from August 24th to August 30th.
As for income, he has a small goal, one hundred million dollars a day.
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Chapter completed!