Chapter 181 Strategic Game
…When Yi Chengyi was wandering around the grassroots troops... Wang Yuanqing was preparing for his trip to Moscow
The Madrid Foreign Ministers' Meeting not only reached a four-party agreement. Yan Shanglong also met with Sallivan several times to exchange high-level opinions. According to the news brought back by Yan Shanglong, the US president is most concerned about the interests of American companies in India and the political system of India. This is understandable. American companies are the backbone pillars of the American sect. If even the interests of American companies cannot be guaranteed, Brandino will not be qualified to live in the White House; India's political system is directly related to the United States' international reputation. After working for so long, if even the social values actively advocated by the United States cannot be guaranteed, he will not be able to point fingers at other countries in the future.
If you want to get something, you have to make some contribution.
Sallivan's attitude was clear, and as long as the Republic made a commitment on these two issues, the United States could make concessions in the Quadraft talks.
In fact, Yan Shanglong had already made a promise in Madrid. Otherwise, the four-party meeting would not achieve results.
When reporting the meeting to Wang Yuanqing, Yan Shanglong also clearly mentioned that the US's concessions were only temporary. With the end of the war and India's post-war reconstruction work began, the US will definitely try every means to create trouble and strive for interests in India for American companies.
Wang Yuanqing also has the same view on this.
Although Sallivan only made two requests, it contained many ambiguous reasons.
.
For example, the interests of American companies in India. If the consortium of the Republic and enterprises can reach a contract with American companies to acquire their business in India before the end of the war, the problem is not very big. The problem is that it is almost impossible to acquire all the businesses of American companies in India. In other words, some American companies will still stay in India and participate in India's post-war reconstruction work. In this way, the interests of American companies in India will be a long-term problem, and sooner or later will bring more related problems. With the consistent style of the US government, as long as India's post-war reconstruction work begins, it will interfere in India's political construction on the grounds of safeguarding American companies' interests in India. The result is not difficult to imagine that as long as the United States finds an entry point in political issues, the Indian issue will become very complex and even waste the efforts of the Republic. Combined with the issue of Indian political system raised by Sallivan, Wang Yuanqing has enough reason to believe that the United States has worked hard in this regard and has made preparations. As long as the Republic reveals a little flaw, the United States can find an opportunity to counterattack.
Thinking of this, Wang Yuanqing had no hope for the Moscow summit meeting.
Fundamentally speaking, what the United States wants is not a democratic and free India, but an India that can make the republic fall into abyss.
To judge the intentions of the United States, we must look at the consistent policies of the United States.
After the Japanese War, the United States spared no effort to "support" India. In name, it was to rebuild Japan, and in the top ranks, it was to let India replace Japan to contain the republic. After the conflict in southern Tibet, the United States became more and more aggressive, not only sold a large number of advanced weapons and equipment to India, but also helped India establish a modern defense and military system. If the United States expects India to defeat the republic in military terms, there is definitely few people who believe it. Because even the United States is not sure to defeat the republic, why should India defeat the republic? The United States has only one purpose of arming India, that is, to force the republic to invest in national defense construction.
Increasing more power, and having to solve the final threat through a war. In fact, the United States' goal has been achieved and it is perfect. According to the analysis of some Western scholars, the impact of the Indian war on the Republic needs to be compensated by the old year, or even the strong year. From the standpoint of the United States, what is needed is the time from the old year to the strong year. In other words, the United States has never thought that India could defeat the republic militarily. Otherwise, after Brancontinuo took office, it would not gradually reduce its support for India, and control the cutting-edge technology and advanced equipment flowing into India.
Once the United States sees the essence of using India, it is not difficult to understand the United States' current intentions.
India led by Rurajapani can cause trouble to the Republic, and India led by Suvos can also cause trouble to the Republic, but the methods are different.
To put it bluntly, it is to use India's post-war reconstruction to drag down the Republic.
The United States has repeatedly made a fuss about post-war reconstruction, which clearly means that it is to make the Republic make concessions in India's political system. According to Wang Yuanqing's speculation, as long as he makes concessions in Moscow, the United States will propose to hold an election immediately after the end of the war, and to hold an election under the supervision of international organizations. It seems that this proposal is very beautiful and will also receive widespread support from international public opinion, especially Western public opinion. The United States has once again become a defender of the democratic and free world. In fact, if you look deeper, you can find that the United States not only makes a name but also a reality. Simply put, the election held after the end of the war will definitely not be a fair election. Regardless of whether there is international organization supervision or not, most Indians are filling in the
Who will pay attention to the election and who will take the election seriously? Don’t forget that the United States has the most abundant food in the world and the most strategic reserve food in the world. In other words, as long as the United States is willing to bury money, it can use the food issue. To be precise, the issue of humanitarian aid changes India’s election, allowing those Indians who only care about filling their stomachs to give up their long-term interests for immediate interests. The result can be imagined that candidates supported by the United States have a high possibility of winning the election, thus making India a pawn of the United States again. The silence of the book is four depressed, and the advertisement of the 3 destiny of the land is rewarded with the advertisement of Shaoli’s fire. "Gao Lichu Tea can use other ways to affect the Indian election, but the result will not be bad.
If it really develops according to the wishes of the United States, the Indian war will basically be in vain, and the blood of thousands of republic soldiers will be in vain. Not to mention using India to solve the aging problem of the Republic, it would be a blessing in disguise to not fight a second war with India within the year of the blade. There is no doubt that such a result will undoubtedly be the greatest disaster for the Republic. You must know that at least it is necessary to work hard for the Republic. There is still a year to be needed to basically solve the aging problem, and to completely solve the aging problem. In other words, a full-scale war breaks out within the year of the fall, which will make the Republic lose the opportunity to compete with the United States for world hegemony in the next nearly a hundred years.
As a politician, Wang Yuanqing could not understand this truth.
In fact, before Yan Shanglong came back from Madrid, Wang Yuanqing knew that he could never be in negotiations.
step.
The problem now is that the Republic is not only facing the United States, but also the EU, Russia, and other homes who want to get benefits from India.
Can the Republic not give in at all?
Obviously it is impossible, not giving in is equivalent to being an enemy of the whole world.
Not to mention the current republic, even the United States at its heyday did not dare to be enemies of the whole world.
The problem before Wang Yuanqing is that the Republic must make concessions, but the United States cannot benefit from it.
It can be said that this is a problem that requires great wisdom to solve.
Fortunately, facts have long proved that Wang Yuanqing not only has such wisdom, but also has such ability.
Although there is no evidence that Wang Yuanqing was foresighted and expected that the United States, Europe and Russia would intervene in the post-war Indian political system before the outbreak of the war, judging from the Republic's series of performances, even if Wang Yuanqing was not as expected, he had already taken precautions.
Yan Shanglong's reply at the four-sided talks can explain the problem.
According to the Republic's vision, India's post-war political reconstruction work can only start at the fastest time in the middle of the year. The main work before this was to lift the Indians out of poverty and help India restore normal order. On the surface, the Republic made appropriate concessions under reasonable and favorable circumstances and promised to decide the Indian political system in the form of a democratic election. In fact, the Republic did not make concessions, nor did it make any commitment to India's political system. More importantly, in the context of humanitarianism, this move not only received support from the EU, but also left more room for the Republic to turn around. Simply put, the war will not end with the end of a large-scale military operation. After the large-scale military operation, the Republic will continue to station troops in India in the name of providing humanitarian assistance to India and undertake most of the humanitarian assistance work, thereby consolidating the status of India's provisional government.
There is no doubt that this is only beneficial to the Republic.
Whether it is the humanitarian aid provided by the United States, the humanitarian aid provided by the EU, or the humanitarian aid provided by any other country, because only the Republic and Pakistan and other allies have the right to station military in India, the mission of distributing humanitarian aid to Indians must have fallen on the military forces of the Republic and other troops. Indians only know who sent humanitarian aid, but not who provided humanitarian aid; thus they only know that it is the Republic and other countries that helped them get out of the disaster.
At this time, the United States also has its own suffering.
Under the premise of humanitarianism, if the United States refuses to provide humanitarian assistance, it will inevitably be criticized. The United States provides humanitarian assistance, which is equivalent to making wedding clothes for the Republic. Of course, the United States will definitely make a fuss about humanitarian assistance, such as requesting to send humanitarian aid personnel to India to take this opportunity to influence the Indian people. If the Republic refuses the United States' humanitarian rescue team to enter India, the United States can use this to cause trouble, discount on humanitarian aid issues or have disputes with the Republic.
It is precisely this. When considering helping India rebuild, Wang Yuanqing did not count the United States.
share.
With or without humanitarian aid from the United States, the Republic has the ability to keep India stable.
At this point, we can basically see Wang Yuanqing’s layout in India.
The sooner the war ended, the more time the Republic would have to work in India. If it were not expected, Wang Yuanqing would spare no effort to support Suvos, and use Suvos' political propositions back then, to be persecuted by the Indian government, forced to go abroad, establish a democratic party and other deeds to build Suvos into a national hero of India, thereby vilifying the former Indian government controlled by traditional forces and making the Indian people believe. This war that brought great disaster to India not only did not target them, but also brought them a new future. Of course.
The key is post-war reconstruction. As long as the post-war reconstruction is done well, the Indian people will see hope for a prosperous life. Naturally, it will shape the Republic's army into the image of the "Indian National Liberation Army", fundamentally eliminate the hatred of the Indian people towards the Republic, and even most Indian people can believe that the nationalist sentiment against the Republic promoted by the government before was completely wrong. The Republic is not only not an enemy of India, but also a friend of India. It is a friend who can help most Indians live a better life.
To achieve this goal, in addition to huge investment, there is also plenty of time.
When Wang Yuanqing arranged tasks for Pei Chengyi, he repeatedly emphasized that the large-scale military operations must be ended within the year because time is too tight.
According to Wang Junqing's plan, even in the New Year's military operation, Yan Shanglong made a surprise at the meeting of foreign ministers of the four countries, that is, it would only be half a year before the democratic election was held in India.
It can be said that in the eyes of most people, it is impossible to reverse the Indians' attitude towards the Republic in half a year.
It is precisely this way that Sallivan accepted this condition, which made the meeting between the four foreign ministers successful.
The key is here, is half a year enough?
Not to mention that others don't believe it, even Wang Yuanqing doesn't have it.
Without ten or eight years, that is, almost a generation, the Indian people will not change their attitude towards the Republic at all. To be precise, when the Indian people need food provided by the Republic, they will change their attitude towards the Republic. As long as the problem of food is solved, the attitude of the Indian people will change again.
According to the profits of India's post-war reconstruction plan formulated by Gu Weimin, it also lasted for the old year, not just half a year.
There is no doubt that it is impossible to wait until the old year before a democratic election is held in India.
Since you can't wait, you must do something within the past six months.
Wang Yuanqing didn’t want to do something, but wanted to do a lot of things.
Before the meeting between the four foreign ministers was held, Wang Yuanqing asked Li Cunxun to arrange for Liu Xiaobin to go to New Delhi, and then arranged for the Military Intelligence Bureau to closely monitor the activities of the Indian Provisional Government in the name of protecting personal security, and pay special attention to the temporary local officials sent by the Indian Provisional Government to various occupied areas. Because India's social relations are extremely special, Wang Yuanqing also specifically instructed Li Cunxun to pay close attention to the civil forces in various parts of India, adopt methods of supporting ethnic minorities and suppressing Hindustans, first seeking the support of Indian ethnic minorities, and then seeking the support of the Hindustan enlightened factions. In order to complete the tasks arranged by the head of state, Li Cunxun went to New Delhi and personally deployed the work. In fact, even without these tasks arranged by the head of state, Li Cunxun would attach great importance to India's work. The reason is very simple. After the war, India would definitely not be a centralized India, but a federal India with relatively strong local power.
Rumors that the Republic will implement a federal system in India have long appeared.
Shortly after the war broke out, a netizen who claimed to be "informer" commented online, claiming that after the war ended, the Republic would never dismember India, but instead implemented a federal system that paid more attention to local autonomy in India, thereby weakening the power of the Indian central government and preventing India from taking the principle of extremism again. To prove this view, the "informer" focused on two principles. One is mentioned earlier. In order to avoid being threatened again, although the best way is to dismember India into dozens of small countries, it is under consideration of the Republic's own interests and the pressure of the international community.
Power, Wang Yuanqing certainly does not advocate dismembering India, but will do his best to weaken the notification power of the Indian central government, making India a close confederacy with nominal federalism. Second, due to India's special national conditions, that is, ethnic minorities account for more than half of the total population, and almost every ethnic minority wants to gain autonomy, or even want independence. From the perspective of stabilizing the social situation in India, Wang Yuanqing will also give priority to Indian ethnic minorities and implement a federal system. The federal system and the confederacy system will inevitably lead to the central government in India being unable to control local governments, thus unable to become a powerful country.
What the Military Intelligence Agency is actually moving towards this goal.
From this perspective, not to mention half a year, 4 months is enough.
The reason is simple. The United States definitely does not want to see India become a loose India, an India that never threatens again. From the interests of the United States, only a united India and an India that can concentrate on the population of hundreds of millions can pose a threat to the republic and help the United States to restrain the republic.
Although it is certain that most Hindustans will support the United States' claim and once again unify the entire India into a central government with the Hindustans as the core, almost all ethnic minorities will not agree with this claim, especially after the Republic shows enough sincerity and let them taste the benefits of autonomy, they will firmly resist centralization. In this case, general elections will be held, and more than half of Indians will vote for the Indian Provisional Government.
Half a year is enough for Indian ethnic minorities to taste the benefits of autonomy.
It can be seen from this that Wang Yuanqing's complete arrangements are tied up and there is no flaw.
Of course, there is almost no secret to this kind of strategic game. You only need to think from the perspective of others. Any smart politician can guess the other party’s thoughts. It can also be seen from the US policy that Sallivan is taking every step of the way and makes concessions every time when he has to. The situation in the EU is similar. If you don’t get any benefits, you will never give in. As long as you get what you want, you will immediately transfer the front.
Without a secret, the Moscow summit meeting will definitely not be harmonious.
It can be said without hesitation that the meeting between the four foreign ministers of Madrid is just a warm-up match for the "Indian game". The four countries and regions with the most say have already figured out their trump cards.
The question now is whether the heads of four countries and regions can achieve greater results in Moscow.
Before the old moon flies, Wang Yuanqing doesn't have much hope. In his opinion, the Moscow summit will implement the results of the Madrid Foreign Ministers' Meeting at most.
It was not until a few hours before leaving for Moscow that a message changed Wang Yuanqing's view.
Chapter completed!