Volume 9 Undercurrents Chapter 66 Inner Motivation
The decisive country was actively dealing with the aftermath, and the Republic was also dealing with the aftermath. After receiving the hotline from Lurajapani, Wang Yuanqing immediately convened a high-level military and political meeting.
The conclusion reached by the discussion is clear: the contradiction between the Republic and India has not been eliminated, but is more obvious; because no bilateral agreements and treaties with legal effect have been signed, ending the conflict does not mean ending the confrontation; India will inevitably fall into the arms of the United States and revitalize its military strength with the help of the United States. In a few years, India will be able to restore its military strength; the Republic has no choice and must complete its war preparations as soon as possible to welcome the next war.
At the meeting, Wang Yuanqing clarified several key points.
It is to accelerate political reform, strive to complete grassroots political reforms before the general conflict between the Republic and India breaks out, start political reforms at the provincial level, establish a democratic and legal political system in the provincial administrative regions of the Republic, steadily advance the reform of the central government's political structure, and lay the foundation for the final comprehensive completion of political reforms.
The second is to increase national defense funding. Starting from the year of the year, the annual growth rate of the national defense budget must exceed the economic growth rate by at least a percentage point, to make up for the losses caused by reducing national defense spending between the year of the year and the year of the year of the year of the National Defense Ministry. The Ministry of Defense has established a new defense budget approval mechanism to ensure that the defense budget can be used in the most critical places.
The third is to promote military reforms, strive to initially complete military reforms within three years, and replace the original equipment with various new equipment developed after Aged Age; two-thirds of the army combat troops, including all main field troops, complete the change of uniforms, and the Air Force will give priority to the tactical aviation and support aviation. The Navy will give priority to expanding the scale of the surface fleet.
Fourth, accelerate the reform of military industry, strive to complete the first phase of reform within three years, increase the proportion of emerging private military-industrial enterprises to above Shanxi, gradually open the field of military scientific research to private military-industrial enterprises, accelerate the speed of reform and merger of state-owned military-industrial enterprises, and focus on supporting military-industrial enterprises with significant influence.
Fifth, establish a complete strategic reserve system. We strive to establish a strategic reserve system covering food such as grain, poultry, edible oil, industrial raw materials such as fertilizers, steel, rubber, first aid materials such as medicines, tents, etc. within three years, covering hundreds of materials required for national basic living security and national economic development.
Sixth, adjust the country's import and export trade structure, strengthen economic and trade exchanges with North Korea, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Myanmar, Malaysia, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Pakistan, Iran, Syria, Egypt, Libya, Argentina and other countries, and gradually get rid of their dependence on India's primary industrial products.
Seventh, optimize the national labor structure, focus on supporting high-tech cutting-edge industries, and strive to increase the Republic's industrial production efficiency by more than twice within three years, reduce the serious dependence of social production on labor, increase national income, and enhance the country's ability to deal with large-scale wars.
Eighth, lower immigration standards, give priority to opening the country's doors to traditional friendly countries such as Pakistan, North Korea, Vietnam, Bangladesh, etc., and lower immigration standards to Laos, Cambodia, Little Myanmar, Sri Lanka and other countries with conditions, allowing more immigrants to enter the Republic, providing basic education for all immigrants and supplementing the labor gap in the Republic.
The eight key points are almost all targeting the full-scale war that broke out several years later.
From this we can see that there are not many problems in the Republic.
In addition to the contradictory and sharp political reform, the biggest problem is population aging.
In the year of craftsmanship, the Republic adjusted its family planning policy, not only encouraged couples with conditions to raise a second or even a third child, but also provided subsidies to the families of raising the second and children through tax refunds. However, the policy failed to have an immediate effect. In the year of rig, the total population of the Republic decreased by 10,000 yuan. By the year of kilt, it will be reduced to 10,000 yuan every year; even if the policy to promote population growth has an effect, the population of the Republic will decrease to less than 700 million yuan. During this period, population aging and the labor gap caused by population aging will be the most serious problems facing the Republic.
The reduction in labor has affected both economic construction and national defense construction.
In the year, the labor cost of the Republic was the United States, while the average national output value of the Republic was less than that of the United States. Although the technological advantages made up for the disadvantage of labor cost, the technological advantages were also affected by labor cost. If the labor gap problem cannot be solved as soon as possible, the Republic will sooner or later lose its technological advantages and will sooner or later lose its military power. To put it seriously, the Republic is likely to lose to itself in the end.
The high labor costs have led to the increase in profits year by year. In the defense budget, some thugs and gangs used personnel allowances, accounting for national defense expenditures. During the same period, the US military personnel expenditure was only cited in the defense budget. Although the military has increased its military benefits year by year. Even if the allowances for ordinary soldiers exceed the average social income, it cannot attract more talents. Most of the technical talents urgently needed by the army are more willing to work in private enterprises with more rewards rather than joining the army.
What's more serious is that in 2018, as the urbanization rate of the Republic exceeded the sudden outbreak, there was basically no "potential" to be tapped.
Before this, the Republic could also solve the labor problem and improve labor efficiency by accelerating the urbanization process, reducing the agricultural labor population, and increasing the number of people employed in the industry and service industries. Of course, transferring labor is not just like completing urbanization. During the reign of Jiju State, the Republic began to implement thugs.
"It is the right to introduce business education, improve the basic knowledge of labor force, and reform the higher education, focusing on supporting college students in poor and backward areas, and strengthening the cultivation of senior technical talents.
Regardless of how much education is done, the prerequisite is that there is a surplus agricultural population.
The urbanization rate reaches macadamia, which can be regarded as a hurdle for national development. After this hurdle, there is basically no surplus labor in rural areas. This is true. Among the agricultural population of thugs, the number of rural populations is about 100 million. The elderly and minors account for the interest, and the actual labor force is only about 10,000. Although according to this data, "one agricultural labor feeds tens of thousands of non-agricultural labor, this indicator is still far lower than that of Western developed countries such as the United States, and even lower than that of underdeveloped countries such as Brazil, South Africa, and Argentina, before the basic land policy of the Republic has been changed, it is difficult to transfer agricultural labor into the industry and the tertiary industry through policies, and it is impossible to dig up the surplus rural labor force.
In fact, the decline in agricultural population has already caused a great burden to the country.
In addition to the severity of the working population, there are also about the elderly care of the thugs, Tian Wan and minors. Medical and education are required to be borne by the entire society; governments at all levels will invest no less than RMB every year. In order to ensure that they produce at least the food that meets the basic living needs of the people across the country, the country also provides agriculture with a subsidy of RMB 100 million in agricultural scientific research to increase crop yields, so as not to reduce grain yields when labor is reduced.
It can even be said that population aging is the main driving force that prompted Wang Yuanqing to implement political reform.
After political reform, the basic system of the Republic will inevitably change, and the land policies that belong to the basic system will also change. Only by accelerating the speed of land mergers can agricultural mechanization be fully realized, agricultural production efficiency can be fundamentally improved, and all citizens can be supported by fewer farmers.
The problem is that political reform and the policy of promoting births are long-term plans, and it is difficult to achieve results in the short term.
To this end, the Republic had to find a short-term solution. In the year of prison, the General Assembly reviewed and approved the "Announcement of the Immigration Application Administration Law" submitted by Wang Yuanqing himself, relaxing restrictions on immigration.
In many people, strengthening immigration is the main means to solve the current problems.
In fact, after the bill was passed, it had a very good effect. In just one year of prison, there were 10,000 people applying for the People's Republic of China, twice that of the year of the tooth.
The problem is that the Republic is not an immigrant country. Although many neighboring countries, such as North Korea, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, etc., have similar cultures to the Republic, and the social environment of the Republic is also very attractive to the people of these countries, as the economic development of the "Eastern Economy" with the Republic as the core accelerates and the economic strength of neighboring countries increases, the attractiveness of the Republic will decrease accordingly.
More importantly, immigration will cause a lot of social issues. At the general congress of the Year of the Year, representatives from several regions jointly proposed to amend the Immigration Application Management Law to strengthen control over immigration. These representatives are not against immigration, but believe that immigration will fundamentally undermine the national structure of the Republic, pose a threat to the Han people who occupy a dominant position, pose a threat to the ethnic minorities in the Republic, and will also breed crimes and cause social unrest.
Attracting immigrants is not a long-term solution, but a strategy for rights and interests.
What can really solve the problem is to improve social productivity.
To improve social production efficiency, in addition to increasing the efforts to develop basic technologies, we must also accelerate the speed of economic transformation, so that a more dynamic and active private economy can gradually replace the state-owned economy, fully implement the market economic system, and fully utilize the market mechanism.
To speed up the economic transformation, political reforms must be carried out.
Only by fundamentally changing the political system of the Republic can the state-owned economy, which occupies most of the social resources, give up its dominance and provide more space for survival and development for the private economy.
The so-called one time, another time.
Before the New Year, the state-owned economy could solve the problem of over-labor, prevent tens of millions of industrial workers from losing their jobs in market competition, and affecting social stability. Now, the private economy can use social labor more reasonably and effectively to solve the problem of lack of labor.
It can be seen from this that the implementation of political reform is not just to establish a new political system.
As the saying goes, if you go out and make a living, you will have to pay it back sooner or later.
As early as many years ago, Ji Youguo realized that "population aging" was the biggest enemy of the Republic. Wang Yuanqing knew more clearly how serious this problem was to the Republic. If it was handled well, the Republic could survive the most difficult years in slow development. If it was not handled well, the Republic would always become a third-rate country.
Coping with population aging is not the personal responsibility of the national leader, but the entire society
appoint.
It can even be said that starting from Jiyouguo, the Republic has unswervingly embarked on the path of external expansion, with its fundamental purpose being to cope with the upcoming aging society.
It seems that this speculation is almost impossible to gain a foothold.
In fact, you can understand the connection by looking deeper.
Before the Republic, there were two vivid "cases". One was Japan and the other was Western Europe.
In order to solve the problem of population aging, Japan embarked on the development path of an "extraverted economy". The reason is very simple. The consumption capacity of an aging society is far inferior to that of a normal society, and the burden is much higher than that of a normal society. The main reason is that the elderly are not social labor, and not only cannot generate social value.
", if you want to obtain social welfare in all aspects such as pension, medical care, and health care, it will not be necessary to ensure the consumption capacity of the entire society and increase the social burden. If you rely solely on your own market, Japan will never be able to solve the problem of aging. Only by strengthening exports and using trade profits to provide funds for the social welfare of your country, thereby reducing the burden on society caused by aging.
In order to solve the problem of population aging, Western Europe adopted a "eastward strategy". After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the EU quickly expanded eastward, absorbing many former Warsaw Pact member states, including Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania, Bulgaria, Albania and former Yugoslavia member states. They obtained "fresh blood". Although Japan's economic policies were different and the EU paid more attention to political policies, the results were the same. That is, using the market, labor, and development driving force of the new member states to drive the EU's economic development speed and solve various problems caused by population aging. Simply put, it is to "foster the old with the new." The problem of aging is transferred to the new member states.
Japan and the EU have one thing in common: downstream markets.
As high-end industrial countries, both Japan and the EU need downstream markets.
As the Republic enters the ranks of high-end industrial countries, it also faces the problem of aging, and there is only one solution to it, and it can obtain downstream markets that are enough to support the entire country in the aging period.
The Republic can see this problem, and countries that dream of curbing the Republic can also see this problem.
In essence, "After the Cold War of the United States and the Soviet Union, the United States spared no effort to encircle and suppress the Republic and established airtight strategic defense lines around the Republic. The fundamental purpose was not to destroy the Republic with a military force. Instead, it was to block the Republic's pace of foreign expansion, cut off the Republic's low market, and take the lifeline of the Republic in the hands of the United States and other Western countries. When the aging problem broke out in the Republic, the Republic would decline on its own.
Imagine if there are no resources and cheap products from neighboring countries, and there is no strong demand for high-end industrial products from neighboring countries. Why should the Republic fight the aging problem through high-end industries? If the Republic still relies on labor-intensive, resource-consuming and low-additional systems, with the arrival of the era of population aging, how can the labor force support tens of millions, and more and more elderly people, and how can it implement the policy of promoting births and feed more children?
In fact, the Republic is doing so.
The Fourth India-Pakistan War allowed the Republic to obtain a huge market of about the population B, as well as a downstream producer composed of about the primary labor force of about B. The East China Sea War allowed the Republic to obtain tens of billions of barrels of oil and hundreds of billions of cubic meters of natural gas in the East China Sea. The Southeast Day War not only allowed the Republic to obtain a huge market of about 300 million people, such as Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, Cambodia, Thailand, Malaysia, etc., and downstream producer composed of about thugs of B's primary labor force, but also obtained rich resources in the South China Sea. The Peninsula War allowed the Republic to obtain a market with a population of more than 00,000.
It’s not without “loss trading”, but the Japanese war turned a market with thugs and tens of thousands of people into ruins.
Compared with the Republic's old 100 million population, the market of about 800 million people in the surrounding area is far from solving the serious crisis it is facing. Even if other friendly countries, such as Iran, Syria, Yemen, Egypt, Libya, Argentina, and even the African continent, are more than 0 pounds of thugs, and all "poor friends" are included, it is not enough to make the Republic not worry about product sales before the year.
According to the most conservative estimate, if the Republic wants to move towards the 0-year steadily, it will require at least a total population of about one trillion and a total labor force in overseas markets and production areas of the Pingyou Production Area.
There is no doubt that the Republic needs a larger market with downstream producers.
Before that, the Republic did a good job, but was influenced by the United States and eventually messed up.
Obviously, economic factors have become the inherent reason why Wang Yuanqing actively promoted a large-scale war against India. It is very simple. India, which has a population of 100 million and is likely to break through the Japanese population in the Northern Year, will play a decisive role in the Republic's smooth passage through the aging period.
This also confirms the saying: economy determines politics.
After the meeting, Wang Yuanqing kept Xiang Yinghui and Pei Chengyi.
Preparations are not just a big deal. Economic work is in place. If economic strength cannot be transformed into military strength, the Republic will not be able to win on the battlefield.
When it comes to specific issues, military construction can determine the outcome of the war in several years better than economic development.
Because he had received a call from the Chief Assistant of the Head of State, Pei Chengyi brought the combat report of the last round of strike operations and prepared an analysis report that Wang Yuanqing could understand. After serving Wang Yuanqing for so many years, Pei Chengyi knew that the Head of State did not like to read those overly professional battle reports. More importantly, if you want the Head of State to support the military construction plan of the General Staff, you must let the Head of State clearly know how much benefit military construction can bring?
It was not until dawn that Xiang Yinghui and Pei Chengyi said goodbye and left.
The report document containing the actual combat performance of the Republic's new weapons and equipment was left in the head of state, and was then locked into the top-secret safe by Wang Yuanqing.
Only three people know how the performance of new weapons and equipment is.
It will take several years before the outside world can learn from the actual combat performance of the Republican army that happened in the early morning of February 2019!
Chapter completed!