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Volume 5 Zhongnan Storm Chapter 53 The wind and clouds dissipate

On the last day, three major events that happened around the South China Sea caused the whole world.

At 8:30 am, Nguyen Liangyu announced the establishment of the Vietnam Provisional Government and the main responsibilities of the Provisional Government in Hanoi. In addition to preparing for the establishment of a new government, the Provisional Government is also responsible for reorganizing the Vietnamese Defense Forces, conducting armistice negotiations with China, restoring Vietnam's domestic order, and safeguarding Vietnam's national interests.

Because major TV stations reported on March 30 that Ruan Liangyu's return to Hanoi, Ruan Liangyu's announcement of the establishment of a provisional government did not surprise the outside world. What Western news media are most concerned about is how Ruan Liangyu reorganized the Vietnamese Defense Forces and what form of "arm battle treaty" Ruan Liangyu will reach with China.

The Republic International Radio and Television Station, which first released the news, did not do much coverage.

No matter how powerful Ruan Liangyu is, it will take at least one month to reorganize the Vietnamese Defense Forces. It will take longer to negotiate a ceasefire with China. In the short term, there will be no big disturbances in the northern Vietnamese regime.

After 11 a.m., Wu Sanming announced in Ho Chi Minh City that Nguyen Liangyu violated the Constitution and did not have the power to represent Vietnam.

Subsequently, Wu Sanming appointed Ho Chi Minh City Mayor Chen Daoqiong as Prime Minister of the Vietnamese government, and established Ho Chi Minh City as the "Accompaniment Capital" to reorganize the Vietnamese government.

About one hour after Wu Sanming announced the news, a battle broke out in the cave sea of ​​Guangping Province's provincial capital.

The Vietnamese army loyal to Wu Sanming and the Vietnamese army announced that they had been reorganized by the new government fought for the railway station in the suburbs of Donghai (a railway station on the railway line connecting north and south of Vietnam and the most important transportation hub center in central Vietnam). Then the Vietnamese army, which was divided into two factions of the city and surrounding areas, fought each other.

The battle in Donghai fired the first shot of the civil war between the north and south of Vietnam.

At 13:30, Peng Maobang issued an order to quell the rebellion to the army stationed in Vietnam.

The 543rd Aircraft Infantry Brigade of Chiang-hua has arrived at the fastest speed. Airborne 162 is leading the way in front. The Air Force is dispatched again. The Youxing Bridge and Bianguang Bridge in the south of Donghai. The passage of the "Nanyue" army to the north is cut off. The "Nanyue" aircraft carrier battle group was cruising in the South China Sea. The "Nanyue" army camp stationed in Donghe City, the capital of Guangzhi Province.

Before Ruan Liangyu reorganized the "North Vietnam" Defense Forces, the Republic must provide security for the new regime.

In the evening of that day, he landed 162 to Donghai and assisted the North Vietnamese army to drive the South Vietnamese army out of the city. As the vanguard of the 543rd Brigade arrived, the Republic Army assaulted south at night, attacking Bianguang all the way and occupied the southernmost town in Guangping Province.

When Wu Sanming learned that the Chinese team was involved in the battle, he was both angry and frightened.

In the afternoon of the same day, Wu Sanming ordered the Nanyue army stationed in Guangzhi Province to go north and "recover" Donghai at all costs and drive the "rebels" out of Guangping Province.

For more than 30,000 "Nanyue" officers and soldiers in Guangzhi Province, this is a "deadly" order.

The civil war between the north and south of Vietnam had just broken out, and a message from Manila shocked the whole world.

Philippine President Letos announced to hundreds of journalists from all over the world at 130 that the Philippines will sign a "Security Treaty" with the United States and lease six military bases, including Subic Naval Base and Clark Air Force Base, to the United States.

Although the two sides have not officially signed an alliance treaty, it has become a fact that the Philippines returns to the "American Alliance Organization".

After the end of the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union, the Philippines terminated its alliance with the United States, took back all military bases leased to the United States, including the Subic Naval Base in the Mainland, and "expelled the US troops". For more than 20 years, the Philippines has insisted on independent development, and the development of the Philippines was not smooth due to many factors such as domestic ethnic issues.

In Southeast Asia, the Philippines is the poorest and most backward country except Laos and Myanmar.

Relatively speaking, the Philippines does not lack basic conditions for developing an economy.

The Philippines has a population of 790, making it the third largest populous country in Southeast Asia after Indonesia and Vietnam; the Malays account for more than 85% of the total population and have a relatively stable population structure; it has rich natural resources, rich mineral resources such as copper, gold, silver, iron, chromium, and ~, and aquatic resources rank first in Southeast Asia, and tuna production ranks among the forefront of the world; the industrial base is relatively developed in Southeast Asia, and has certain competitiveness in manufacturing, mining, fuel, nuclear power and other fields; in agriculture, it produces a lot of rice, corn and coconut, among which coconut production and export volume rank first in the world; the tourism industry is developed, making it the second largest source of foreign exchange income in the Philippines.

Overall, the Philippines has not been bad.

The main reason for the Philippines' long-term stagnation is the ethnic separatist forces dominated by the Mindanao Liberation Front.

More importantly, the Philippines lacks a stable long-term national development route.

In Southeast Asia, the Philippines is not as powerful as Indonesia’s population and resources, its military strength is not as strong as Vietnam, its diplomatic strength is not as strong as Malaysia, its scientific and technological strength is not as strong as Singapore, and its tourism industry is not as good as Thailand. After 2015, the Philippines’ industrial output value is not even as good as Cambodia.

As a country that has been enslaved by the United States for hundreds of years, the Philippines has a very embarrassing status.

After the "Spanish-American War", the Philippines declared independence and then became an American colony, the second world

The autonomous government was established before and was subsequently occupied by Japan. After World War II, it was announced again until the 1990s. The Philippines has always been a "vassal state" of the United States and is in a position controlled by the United States.

After breaking away from the control of the United States, the Philippines wants to use the support of the United States and maintain its independent status.

As a small country without foundation, the Philippines' swing policy is tantamount to "dance with wolves", which is even more worthwhile. Excessive closeness to the United States has made the Philippines' position in ASEAN very embarrassing, and it was once excluded by Indonesia and other countries. Not cooperating with the United States makes it difficult for the Philippines to obtain substantial assistance from the United States.

After the outbreak of the economic crisis, the Philippines became the most severely "drought" country in ASEAN.

In just two years, the Philippines' economy has shrunk by nearly 1, the unemployment rate is as high as 1%, and the average ** demonstration broke out in 15 days, and the crime rate has skyrocketed.

The sudden outbreak of the South China Sea war left the Philippines with no choice.

Without any power to fight back, the Philippines not only lost all the occupied islands and reefs, but also lost all important naval and air force bases. All the only large warships of the Navy sank, and the Air Force lost nearly 80% of the combat aircraft. Overnight, the Philippines almost lost its national defense capabilities!

In this case, the Philippines’ first consideration is not to fight back to the South China Sea, but to suppress the ethnic separatist forces in the south.

There is no choice but to throw yourself into the arms of the United States again.

On the 29th, Philippine Foreign Minister Alfonta, who was operating in Washington, made a diplomatic request to the United States to conclude an alliance treaty, in accordance with the instructions of President Letos.

This move hit the United States' wishes and immediately launched an event in Stockton, Manila.

In just two days, the United States and the Philippines reached an agreement on the general intention of the alliance, and all that was left was negotiations on details.

Letos is eager to announce the US-Philippines alliance, which is nothing more than consolidating the regime and stabilizing the domestic situation in the Philippines, and posing as a leverage on the power of the United States to return to the South China Sea and the Nansha, so that the domestic opposition can shut up.

Whether the Philippines can return to the South China Sea and the Nansha is not the only thing that Letos says is not the final word, it depends on the attitude of the United States.

Another thing that happened on the same day is more worthy of attention, but major news media, including Republic International Radio and Television, did not report in detail, that is, the first round of formal negotiations held by Republic negotiators and Malaysian negotiators in Bangkok, Thailand.

During the negotiation preparation phase, the two sides determined the basis of the negotiation: Malaysia will return the occupied islands and reefs of the Nansha Islands and the South China Sea waters to the Republic.

On this basis, the two sides resolved detailed issues through formal negotiations.

The first round of negotiations focused on resolving the main differences, namely, Malaysia proposed the conditions for returning the islands and reefs of the Nansha Islands and the territorial waters of the South China Sea, and the Republic gave a positive answer.

Because both sides have sincerity in negotiating, Malaysia’s conditions are not excessive, mainly including giving mutual most-favored-nation treatment with the Republic, lifting all trade barriers, making investment commitments to help Malaysia develop its economy, providing national security guarantees for Malaysia, selling advanced weapons and equipment to Malaysia, and developing South China Sea resources, Malaysia has priority; the Republic provides diplomatic assistance to Malaysia and assisting Malaysia

To resolve disputes with neighboring countries, the Republic invested in the purchase of various resource development and mining facilities built by Malaysia in the Nansha Islands and reefs and the South China Sea waters. The Republic basically agreed to the previous requirements and only raised objections to the last two requirements. First, the Republic will not interfere with Malaysia's exchanges with other countries, and second, the Republic cannot invest in the name of the state to purchase various facilities built by Malaysia in the occupied Nansha Islands and reefs and the South China Sea waters.

Although there are differences, they are all small problems.

Through the first round of negotiations, the two sides basically affirmed the focus of the negotiations, negotiated on issues with differences, and proposed solutions.

Malaysia has given up diplomatic demands, and the Republic has promised to make up for Malaysia's losses through private investment.

It can be said that the first round of negotiations achieved very satisfactory results.

Before the first round of negotiations ended, the two sides communicated on the details of the second round of negotiations. According to the arrangement, the second round of negotiations mainly resolved trade issues. Several subsequent rounds of negotiations will resolve other issues in turn. If everything goes well, all negotiations can be completed before the end of June 20199.

Time is not a problem, the key is that both sides are willing to resolve the dispute through negotiation.

Because it was a bilateral closed-door negotiation, the news media in the Republic and Malaysia did not report related to it.

There is no airtight wall in the world. By the night of 311, Western media reported on related matters in a concentrated manner and began to hype that Malaysia would reach an alliance with China.

Western media probably wanted to use this to create conflicts between China and other countries involving the South China Sea and Nansha disputes, but the result was counterproductive.

After Malaysia chose the "right path", Brunei and Indonesia contacted the Republic in July 2019 and November 2c19 to resolve the dispute between the South China Sea and the Nansha through negotiations.

Of course, these are all things that happened later. (To be continued,)

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