Volume Fourteen, Smoke of Gunpowder, Chapter 52, Unexpected
Yunran Chiliakov always believed that seeking refuge in the United States was the most unreliable thing. After Gongheguo officially declared war on Russia, Chiliakov's first thought was the United States...
The 6 o'clock in the morning is equivalent to the time of the Republic. The 1st Blade is the sky in Moscow before it brightened. After Chiliakov finished handling the emergency, he spoke to US President Duchwit.
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Although Russia's military satellite system has been completely destroyed and the civil satellite system has been completely paralyzed, the US-Russian summit hotline has five communication channels, namely two military satellite communication lines, two civil satellite communication lines and one collapsed Atlantic submarine cable communication line. Among them, the submarine cable communication line has the highest density and is the least prone to damage, and is naturally the most important communication line. Therefore, after the communication satellite is paralyzed, Chiliakov can still contact Duchwit without relying on the US communication satellite.
The two presidents only talked about two things, namely whether the United States should participate in the war and when to join the war.
It is conceivable that the direct negotiations between the supreme leaders of the two countries did not come to a conclusion. As mentioned earlier, although the US-Russia secret alliance treaty seems to be equal, it is actually beneficial to Russia, because the possibility of the United States being invaded is definitely much smaller than that of Russia, especially when the Republic is used as a common imaginary enemy, Russia is definitely the first to bear the brunt. However, according to the relevant information disclosed later, the secret alliance treaty did not clarify the meaning of "invasion".
In this way, under what circumstances is it that "invasion" is a controversial issue.
Take the situation of Yuzhako Yueyuri: Chiliakov believes that Russia has been invaded. Because Russia is bombed, many strategic facilities are destroyed, and evidence of the Republic's "invasion" of Russia is also known. That is, cruise missiles that have not exploded in Russia, and combat aircraft that have crashed in Russia; Duchiwei believes that Russia has only been hit by a military blow. It has not been invaded because the Republic's army has also pointed out that the army has not entered Russia. It has not occupied landmark locations such as Russian towns, traffic hubs, and transportation hubs. It has not fought head-on with the Russian army, so it has not invaded Russia.
Duchwie's reply made Chiliakov furious.
The problem is, Duchwit has no choice.
Although the United States and Russia signed a secret alliance treaty. Moreover, the treaty did not violate US law, that is, it was supported by the main functional committees of Congress and the main members of the parliament, the biggest difference between the "secret alliance treaty and the "formal alliance treaty" is the conditions when fulfilling, that is, to fulfill the treaty, it must be recognized by the Congress again. This system was originally intended to keep confidential. After all, taking the secret alliance treaty to Congress for discussion will definitely become secret. That is, it is precisely because of this. Most secret alliance treaties are ambiguous on key issues, such as tampering in specific terms. Doing so is to leave a way out and avoid being controlled by others. In short, if Duchwi wants to give Chiliakov a positive answer, he must first strive to obtain the support of Congress, or only after receiving the support of Congress can Duchwi give a reply.
During the hotline, Duqiwei also made it clear that he would give a clear reply as soon as possible.
In fact, when he was on the hotline with Chelyakov, the presidents of the Senate and House of Representatives, party leaders, chairman of the main functional committees, and some highly qualified and prestigious lawmakers had already received calls from the White House secretary and were rushing over one after another.
It was at this time that the Republic's Navy attacked the main military base of the Russian Pacific Fleet.
Duqiwei walked for several minutes in just a few dozen steps from the round study room to the conference room.
As a few presidents in American history who entered the political arena after becoming generals and entered the White House, Duchewei's military talent surpassed any US general. Although the intelligence is very limited and the situation is still unclear, the Republic's army launched a series of strikes on the United States day and night after dawn, which was far beyond Duchewei's expectations. It even had nothing to do with his ideas.
It can be said that the battle before dawn shocked Duqiwei and also made him feel relieved.
What shocked him were the extremely advanced and far exceeding the United States' weapon systems in the Republic's national strategic defense system, especially the "regional laser interception system" for the Russian air-launched cruise missiles and the strike system against Russia's strategic nuclear submarines. They were thunderous and extremely accurate, making the United States' national missile defense system far beyond the reach. Fortunately, the Republic's strategic defense and strategic strike operations were basically in Duchwi's prediction.
Especially before dawn, the bombing operations against Russia's nuclear arsenal and nuclear raw material depots, even though the means were a bit shocking, the timing and results of the strike were not much different from what Duchwi expected. Because Russia has basically lost its nuclear counterattack ability, and even if there are some tactical nuclear weapons, it is difficult to break through the Republic's national strategic defense system and the theater missile defense system. Therefore, the Republic has no reason to launch a nuclear strike on Russia, and it will not escalate the war.
Du Qiwei couldn't understand the battle after Yuliang.
It is not wrong to strike the air defense system first. Even if Duqiwei is allowed to plan and command, he will arrange it like this. The reason is very simple. After the reduction work in the first two stages of the London Treaty, the strategic forces of all countries have been greatly weakened, and the model of the war-huxia scattered aircraft group is shrinking. "The strategic aviation force is difficult to undertake the "strike attack service of the War Department. It must be put into the tactical aviation force as soon as possible. If the tactical aviation force is allowed to perform strategic strike missions, the enemy's air defense system must be destroyed first.
It is a war zone air defense system with an interception range of more than 1,000 meters. Although tactical fighters are also equipped with some long-range ammunition with a range of more than 4,000 meters, some tactical cruise missiles have a range of even more than 1,000 meters, but these ammunitions are either limited in power or expensive. And the reserves are very limited, so in the early stages of the war, if strategic aviation forces are used to perform conventional strike tasks, their primary task is to make full use of the ultra-long strike distance. Concentrate their strength to tear open the enemy's air defense network and open the entry and exit channels for tactical aviation.
The problem is that the direction of the Republic's strategic strike is not Siberia, but the Far East.
At the beginning of the year, as the signs of the war became more and more obvious, Duqiwei organized senior generals to participate in the Joint Conference to conduct a rough analysis of the situation in the early stages of the war and focused on the mainland battlefield. Some people may think this is an unnecessary move. The computer technology of the United States is no worse than that of the Republic, and it is even more advanced. It is possible to use computers to simulate and analyze the situation and development of the war situation. Objectively speaking, the results of computer simulation analysis are very accurate, but no one can deny it. No matter how advanced the computer is, it cannot simulate the practical experience of soldiers.
The conclusion of this analysis is that as long as China and Russia carry out, the Republic's army will attack Siberia fiercely.
The reason is simple. The Siberian region, especially the southern part of the Western Siberian Plain, which is more than 4 kilometers long from Tyumen to Novosibirsk, has only one railway trunk line and the influence of the Imget swamp, and the defense of the region is very fragile. As long as the Republican army can capture any of the transportation hubs, it can cut off the transportation route from Europe to the Far East. Because the Russian Far East counter area does not have a complete industrial system and does not have enough population, it will soon fall into the hands of the Republic after the interruption of contact with the European region. According to the Chief of Staff of the Army Blüchel, as long as the Republic is willing, it can dispatch the world's largest reserve and militia troops to capture the Far East after occupying Tyumen or Novosibirsk.
Although Du Qiwei is not so "pessimistic, he also believes that Pei Chengyi will focus on the battlefield in Central Asia.
To put it objectively, only by quickly defeating Russia can the Republic have the ability to advance to the Pacific and compete with the United States for global hegemony. If we consider the secret alliance between the United States and Russia, we should rush to rush before the United States completes the war mobilization. Concentrate superior forces to defeat Russia, eliminate the threat behind it, and then move eastward and southward. According to Duchwie's estimate, as long as the Republic's army can take the initiative and quickly control the Central Asian region. As mentioned above, send troops to Siberia and cut off the major arteries of Russia's Eurasian plate, the mainland war is likely to end within the year. At most, it is only a month. If so, the United States may not have time to save Russia.
More importantly, Duchewei always believed that the actual situation must be worse than what he predicted.
In his opinion, no matter what, Pei Chengyi would definitely calculate the participation of the United States in the war and formulate a war plan according to the most unfavorable situation to the Republic. Based on the actual situation, if the United States participates in the war after the Sino-Russia war, with the American social system, it can complete the basic war mobilization within half a year and complete the full mobilization within half a year. Because after the completion of the basic war mobilization, the United States' military production capacity will burst out, and it can continuously provide weapons, equipment and combat materials to allies, becoming the number one arms supplier of the Sjog Group, and Russia will become the biggest beneficiary. Thus, it will gain the material basis for persisting in fighting, so in Pei Chengyi's view, it is necessary to strive to defeat Russia within half a year. The United States' potential for war must never be allowed to change the outcome of the mainland war.
If this is true, the Republic's army would have to concentrate its forces to attack Siberia.
The problem is that the Republic's strategic strike focused on Russia's Far East.
Before the Republic Navy attacked the Russian Pacific Fleet naval base, Duchwit also believed that it was just the Republican army's attack on the east and west.
This is also easy to understand. The Southern Corridor of Western Siberia is so important that the Russian authorities cannot not know it and will not underestimate it. As early as the beginning of the year, the Russian army began to orderly strengthen the strength of the defense line from Tyumen to Novosibirsk, and upgraded Yekaterin Arbor and Kemerovo to strategic military fortresses, supporting the two places to expand the defense depth between Tyumen and Novosibirsk. In the center of this defense line, Omsk is the key among the key, and it is also the strategic location where the Russian army has the most troops stationed.
According to the information obtained by the US authorities, around July 2019, the Russian troops in Omsk increased to about 10,000, and there were also reserved sufficient weapons and equipment for armed troops. Although most of the weapons reserved were individual weapons such as guns. However, Russia's move was enough to show its strategic intention.
According to Du Qiwei's judgment, as long as the Republic's army heads north from Central Asia, the Russian army must first defend Omsk. Whether it can be defended or not, the Russian army will not actively retreat from Omsk. The main purpose of defending is to delay the offensive pace of the Republic's army and gain time for adjusting its defense deployment.
From the standpoint of the Republic's army, if it is necessary to capture Omsk, it is necessary to make a wrong judgment on the offensive army, that is, to believe that the focus is not on Siberia, but in the Khali area, as long as the Russian army in the southern corridor of West Siberia begins to move, even if it is a military mobilization within the war zone, the Republic's army can severely damage the Russian army's vitality and lay the foundation for the later attack. The best result is naturally to let the Russian army in Siberia move towards the Far East. To achieve this, the goal must be to adopt the strategy of placing eastward to attack the westward in the early stage of the war. First, focus on bombing strategic facilities in the Far East, create the illusion of sending troops to sweep the Far East, and adjust the deployment of the Russian army.
Although many people, including some US generals, believe that no army can transport thousands of kilometers in a short period of time and launch a strategic offensive in another direction, even if it is based on local transportation lines, Duqiwei does not oppose this view, and also believes that the Republic's army is unlikely to quickly change the main attack direction. However, one thing must be confirmed that the Republic's army does not need to quickly change the main attack direction. As long as it can capture Omsk by surprise and gain a foothold, it is equivalent to opening the door to Siberia and forcing the Russian army to concentrate its forces to attack Omsk. The Republic's army can take this opportunity to sweep the Central Asian region and then advance into Siberia in an orderly manner. With the strength of the Republic's army, the difficulty of starting a full attack cannot be the key to the key.
Duchwi mentioned this when talking on the phone with Chelyakov, hoping that the Russian army would attach great importance to Omsk.
Because Chelyakov was also a soldier. Even though he had not become a general before retirement, he had rich practical experience, so Duqiwei did not say it thoroughly, so as not to prevent the Russian president from being unable to step down.
The question now is, is the Republican army's actions in the Far East indeed a feint?
When remeasureating the situation, Duchwie's first thought was not the actions of the Republican army in the Far East, but the development of war, especially when the United States will join the war.
It can be said that this is the key point.
Compared with the United States, Russia's threat is nothing. The United States is the number one enemy of the Republic. If Pei Chengyi doesn't even recognize this, he is not qualified to live in the head of the Republic. With Pei Chengyi's military talent, as long as he recognizes this, he should be clear about where the key point is. In other words, the main task of the Republic's army is not to defeat the Russian army that is strong outside and works at the outside, but to defeat the powerful US army.
From a strategic perspective, the Pacific Ocean will be the main battlefield between the Republic and the United States.
To put it bluntly, if you want to defeat the United States, the Republic must win on the Pacific battlefield, and it is necessary to give up in other directions.
If this is true, the Republic's actions in the Russian Far East after the war begins.
Although the Russian Pacific Fleet is no longer as powerful as it was, and it is not even a second-rate fleet, for the US Navy, the naval bases in the Far East have extraordinary significance. Not to mention anything else, if the United States can deploy anti-submarine patrol aircraft to the naval air stations in the Far East, it will seriously restrict the activities of the Republic's submarines in the North Pacific, thus allowing the US Navy fleet to gain greater room for activity in the North Pacific. From a strategic perspective, Russia in Northeast Asia and Australia in the Southwest Pacific, the United States has formed a clamp-shaped encirclement stance against the Republic. In the case of difficulty in moving south quickly, if the Republic wants to disintegrate the United States' clamp-shaped strategic encirclement stance, the only way for the Republic to go north and quickly occupy Northeast Asia, forcing the United States to use troops in the Western Pacific and Southwest Pacific.
In other words, Qin and Guo are likely to sweep the Far East before entering Siberia.
More importantly, the primary purpose of the Republic's army is not to regain lost territory, nor to defeat the Russian army in the Far East, but to control the naval bases in the Far East. In this way, the ideal choice is not to attack along roads and railway lines, but to attack directly from the sea, and to carry out amphibious landings. Imagine that if the Republic's Marines successfully landed in Petropavlovsk, controlled all Russian naval bases and major ports in the Far East, and pushed the front line thousands of kilometers northeast, the United States, in addition to only using troops in Guam and Australia, must also strengthen the defensive deployment in the direction of Alaska to prevent the Republic's army from landing on the North American continent. It can be said that as long as we go this far, regardless of whether the Republic will land on the North American continent through Russia's northeast, it is equivalent to restraining hundreds of thousands of US and Canadian troops and achieving the strategic goal of dispersing US military forces.
If so, this is definitely an extraordinary and unexpected war plan.
Unexpectedly, it has always been the characteristic of Pei Chengyi's military use.
It can be said that before this, Du Qiwei considered this situation, but he always believed that Pei Chengyi was unlikely to take risks in a full-scale war. You should know that the world war is not a local war. Any failure on the main battlefield will have an impact on the overall situation and even lead to defeat. If there is still a chance to start over after losing a few local wars, then you will never turn around if you lose a world war.
It was precisely because of this that Duqiwei was in a particularly heavy mood.
Whether he believed that the Republican army focused on the Pacific battlefield or not, he had to admit it. The situation at this time was much more complicated and severe than expected!,
Chapter completed!