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Volume Fourteen, Smoke of Gunpowder, Chapter 24, The Storm is Coming

Because the Sino-EU Cooperation Treaty on Cooperation for Affairs was signed in Rima... Therefore, the Rome Treaty can only be regarded as a quasi-alliance treaty at best, and does not have the basic terms of a military and political alliance, that is, there is no clear provision on the responsibilities and obligations that both parties bear in common security.

Compared with the significance of the treaty itself, the significance extended from the treaty is more significant.

On the afternoon of the day the news was released, Russian President Chiliyakov announced in the Kremlin that in view of the deteriorating western strategic environment, Russia will send additional armored divisions and infantry divisions to the Kaliningrad region, and deploy more "Isdrin" tactical ballistic missiles equipped with new warheads. Subsequently, Russian Army Commander General Cherwinsky publicly stated that the Russian army stationed in Kaliningrad region would be equipped with the newly developed Gu2 heavy electromagnetic gun system to strengthen the Russian army's long-range strike capabilities.

Of course, this is not over yet. Three days later, the Kremlin spokesperson officially announced that due to the severe strategic security situation, Russia will strengthen the patrol intensity of the strategic forces. Later that day, two Russian Air Force strategic bombers crossed the cordon line in eastern Iceland and entered the North Sea from the east of the Shetland Islands. After entering the German local air defense identification zone, they were entangled with the German fighter jets who came to track and monitor for nearly two times before turning away, and entered the British local air defense identification zone on their way back. The Royal Air Force also broke out in a cold sweat.

The next day, a German TV station claimed that the two Russian strategic bombers were carrying out strategic patrol missions, that is, the two bombers must have nuclear weapons. Before the German authorities could react, another German TV station also mentioned in the report that the Russian tactical ballistic missiles deployed in Kaliningrad were likely equipped with nuclear warheads and targeted large and medium-sized German cities such as Palin. The TV station also mentioned in the report that from a technical point of view, Russia is fully capable of providing nuclear warheads for its electromagnetic guns, with a maximum range of up to 1,000 meters, so the northeastern German region east of Hamburg, Hannover and Erfort Chemnitz are all under the strategic threat of Russian long-range artillery. It is easy to intercept ballistic missiles. It is not that easy to intercept hundreds of artillery shells.

However, it was not Germany, but Poland, the first one to fry this time.

If Germany only needs to worry about Russia's strategic threat for the time being, then Poland must focus on the Russian ground forces deployed in the Kaliningrad region.

You should know that Poland after World War II is almost completely different from Poland before World War II.

Let’s not talk about the changes in Poland’s political form. Just from the perspective of territory, before World War II, Poland’s territory started from the upper reaches of the Pripyat River in the east and to the Prosna River in the west. After World War II, the Polish border line moved westward for dozens to hundreds of kilometers. In other words, the western part of Poland is now the eastern part of Germany before World War II, while parts of Belarus and western Ukraine were previously Poland.

It is obvious that after World War II, the former Soviet Union acquired a large tract of land by encroaching Polish territory and passing the responsibility to Germany. In fact, Russia's enclave, namely the Kaliningrad region, was part of East Prussia before World War II.

Regardless of whether the Poles remember these history or not, they would not take tens of thousands of Russian troops seriously.

You should know that just over a year ago, the Russian armored troops armed to the teeth entered Astana and overthrew the legitimate regime of Kazakhstan. Although Poland is a member of the EU, a member of NATO, and a member of the European collective security organization, it is protected by multiple security organizations, France, Germany, Italy and other countries have long promised to defend Poland, and even the United States has made guarantees, but no one, the Poles will forget, just years ago, Britain and France, who also said they wanted to protect and defend Poland, were sitting in a quiet place, watching Poland fall.

More than 0 years ago, Jiang's brave and fearless Poles shed all their blood to defend their homeland.

Facing a strong enemy again, the Polish military and civilians did not lose their courage and blood.

On the 2nd of the old month, the second day when German TV stations promoted the "Russian threat theory". It was also the third day before Pei Chengyi visited Warsaw. People from all over Poland held spontaneous protests and demonstrations. While strongly condemning the naked threat of force of the Russian authorities, they strongly demanded that the Polish authorities protect the safety of the country and the people with sharp actions. During the demonstration, some emotional young people also attacked the Russian embassies and consulates in Warsaw and other places, and threw eggs and stones into the embassies and consulates, causing several Russian diplomats to be injured.

For a country with a land area of ​​only ten thousand square kilometers and a population of less than ten thousand. For a country with a comprehensive national strength outside the world's land name, it is absolutely necessary to challenge the country's land area to nearly times larger and its population is three times larger. The comprehensive national strength is even one of the top ten powerful neighbors in the world, which definitely requires great courage.

On the same day, when the Polish government persuaded the people not to commit excessive acts that harmed the national interests, it clearly mentioned that supporting the security treaty signed by European collective security organizations and the Republic is an effective means to defend national security, safeguard national interests, and protect the people, and is also a necessary means.

Under the persuasion of the government, the Polish people gradually regained their rationality and ended the demonstration two days later.

On the verge of the month and day, Pei Chengyi arrived in Warsaw and made an official visit to Poland.

At this time, looking back at what has happened in the past few days, it is not difficult to read the latest Dong Jie said: "Shen Shan Qi'an" from the Republic and European collective organization to the establishment of a treaty, to Russia's suppression of Zan, and then to German TV to promote the fire, and finally formed a massive anti-Russian demonstration in Poland. It was a farce that had been arranged long ago. Of course, in this farce, the protagonists are the Republic, France, Germany, Italy and other countries. Poland can only be regarded as a supporting role, while Russia is a guest actor. Other countries with a share are extras. The purpose of the whole farce is only one, that is, to make the Polish parliament support the security treaty.

It can be said that among European collective security organizations, Poland is the most likely to reject the treaty.

Although in many people's eyes, several other Western European countries outside France, Germany and Italy have a closer relationship with the United States. For example, the Netherlands and Belgium have always been firm allies of the United States, and have long established national security on the basis of alliances with the United States. Therefore, these two countries are most likely to reject the security treaty signed by European collective security organizations and the Republic, objectively speaking, the authorities of the Netherlands and Belgium will not be too stupid to go far, because no matter what, Germany and France have much greater impact on their national security than the United States. More importantly, under the background of European unification, countries that can pose a threat to the Netherlands and Belgium are thousands of miles away, and any country outside Europe must first defeat France and Germany to pose a threat to the Netherlands and Belgium, so France and Germany are the cornerstones of the security of the Netherlands and Germany. It can be seen that as long as France, Germany and Italy firmly support the security treaty with the Republic, the Netherlands and Belgium will not be dragged down.

In comparison, the situation in Poland is much more complicated.

After the drastic changes in Eastern Europe from the late Khaki Century to the early gaze period, Poland became the first former Warsaw Pact member to join the NATO group, so Poland established national security on the basis of its alliance with the United States. Although it entered the century, especially after the outbreak of the Great Depression, the NATO group quickly fell. In the end, Poland had to change its national strategy and place security on the EU and the later European collective security organization established. However, when the "three carriages" did not yet have a solid security guarantee for the entire European state, the United States still plays an important role in Poland's security strategy, such as the United States still promises to provide strategic security guarantees for Poland. And

Ballistic missile interception system was deployed in Poland. In this way, unless France, Germany and Italy can prove that they can provide Poland with the same strategic security guarantees, they will have to find ways in other aspects to make Poland support the strategic choice of collective security organizations. Not to mention whether France, Germany and Italy have this ability, in such a short time, even if France, Germany and Italy make promises, it is difficult to convince the members of the Polish parliament. In this way, France, Germany and Italy can only find other strategies, and the easiest way is to discredit the United States. Because it is no secret that the United States and Russia have a secret alliance treaty, it is natural to use Russia to discredit the United States.

From this we can see that this is not a conspiracy, but an open conspiracy.

Unfortunately, the US authorities are helpless in such a shallow plot.

From the standpoint of the United States, after the Republic signs a security agreement with European collective security organizations, it is indeed difficult to express one's own views with a clear position. To put it directly, if the United States expresses protests or concerns, it will definitely make the European people realize that the United States is profitable in Europe. More importantly, this security treaty is not a genuine military and political alliance treaty. Not only is it not subject to detailed regulations, it is not much mandatory. If the U.S. authorities make a fuss about this quasi-ally alliance treaty that does not directly target third parties, it will naturally make people doubt the motives of the United States, and become darker. From another perspective, the U.S. authorities will definitely not openly accept this kind of treaty that is obviously unfavorable to the United States and has a clear anti-US nature. In this way, for the U.S. authorities, the best choice is to remain silent and wait until the situation cools down before expressing their opinions to express the U.S. county's position on this matter.

In fact, the U.S. authorities did.

The problem is that the decision of the US authorities is not binding on Russia.

As mentioned earlier, Russia is just a guest actor.

If the Russian authorities cannot see through this situation, it is absolutely impossible. In any case, Kiliakov is a smart and experienced politician, and it is impossible not to understand the powerful relationship. The problem is that on such a critical issue, if Kiliakov remained silent, only his political reputation would be damaged.

To put it bluntly, with Russia's basic national conditions, facing the huge threat from the China-EU alliance, no matter who lives in the Kremlin, they must immediately stand up and show their tough stance and take some practical actions. Otherwise, the angry voters, disappointed Duma MPs and ulterior opposition leaders will join forces to bring down the president and change the political situation of Russia. If they really want to get to this point, Russia's domestic situation will definitely lose control, and thus do something even more stupid.

Of course, you can discover it by looking at it a little longer. What happened after the Kouyue Dao Day must have been in the plans of the Republic and European powers such as France, Germany and Italy. It can even be said that Pei Chengyi's real purpose in visiting Europe is not to establish a security treaty without substantial binding force with the European collective security organization, but to take this opportunity to create an international environment that is more conducive to the Republic.

So, what international environment is more beneficial to the Republic?

If the peace and stability of the world were eliminated before the old year, it would be more in line with the interests of the country.

The problem is that in the year when peace is almost a fantasy, maintaining peace and stability certainty has little to do with the interests of the Republic.

To put it bluntly, the Republic needs a reason to start a war!

Looking at Pei Chengyi's visit to Europe from this perspective, it is not difficult to understand the great significance of all the outstanding actions, and it is not difficult to understand why the US authorities have been reluctant to express their opinions.

It can be said that with Du Qiwei's strategic vision and his understanding of Pei Chengyi, it is impossible not to know what Pei Chengyi wants to do.

After the republic's first spokesperson announced that Pei Chengyi would visit European countries such as France, Germany, Italy, Duchwei made an accurate judgment that Pei Chengyi wanted to borrow Europe to anger Russia and let Russia make the stupidest move, thus providing reasons for the republic to launch a war.

If it were not Pei Chengyi who did this, but the leaders of other republics, perhaps Du Qiwei would not have been so cautious.

As a Meimin man who knows Chengyi best, Du Qiwei has long known that this leader who has led the Republic's army several times to establish unparalleled achievements on the battlefield has a very obvious characteristic, that is, he will never give up until he achieves his goal.

To put it bluntly, it is to use any means to achieve the goal. Considering Pei Chengyi's personal ability and the strength of the Republic, it can be said that no force can stop the pace of war.

Out of habit, Duqiwei made a decision to take the lead, that is, to see the situation clearly before taking it.

move.

Of course, Greco has some irony.

By the day of the mouth, that is, when the Republic forms a quasi-ally alliance with European collective security organizations, there is no time for the United States to take action.

What happened next is even more in Duchewi's control range

It can be said that Duchwit seems powerless to do anything about the stupid moves of the Russian authorities.

Fortunately, letting strategic bombers go around the doorstep of Europe, deploy several troops at the weaknesses of Europe, threaten the use of advanced weapons and other measures. At most, it can only be considered as the root of disaster. It has not yet reached the level of war. In this way, Pei Chengyi's second half of the European execution will not be so important. It can be said that by the old month, that is, Pei Chengyi arrived in Madrid and started the last stop of his trip to Europe, there was no need to pay attention to, but his activities in the Spanish capital were of great significance.

You should know that during Pei Chengyi's trip to Europe, Spain was the only country outside of the European collective security organization.

Spain is not a member of the European collective security organization, but is an important country on the European continent. If the influence outside the European region, especially the traditional relationship with Latin American countries, Spain's international influence even surpasses that of Italy. Even if this soft power is not included, Spain's comprehensive national strength is among the top five EU and ranks fourth among the European continent countries. More importantly, on the question of where Europe is going, Spain has been mediating between mainland powers such as France, Germany and Italy and the United Kingdom, and is an indispensable bond country in the EU. According to some American news media, if Spain had not played a balancing role in some major decisions, the United Kingdom would have long since split with France, Germany and Italy, and the EU would have disappeared.

It can be seen from this that Spain plays an important role.

Even without considering the influence of the Republic, France, Germany and Italy have been fighting for Spain, and even once wanted to join the European collective security organization and give the three carriages the same voice. Similarly, the United States is actively trying to win over Spain, or to stabilize Spain in similar ways and prevent Spain from joining the French, German and Italian alliance. This is why for decades, Spain has not made decisions on the issue of moving left and right, but has played the role of a good man and used the struggle of Europe and the United States to obtain benefits.

Given the circumstances at that time, if Pei Chengyi could gain something in Madrid, even the most insignificant gains would have an immeasurable impact on the situation in Europe. If Spain agreed with the China-EU Security Treaty, it would definitely make the treaty come into force as soon as possible. If the contrary is the case, this treaty destined to change European history is likely to become a piece of paper.

It is precisely because Qiu Chengyi visited Spain before leaving Europe.

Similarly, Pei Chengyi's Madrid behavior lasted for 3 days, rather than the previous two days of visiting Athens and Warsaw.

That is, by extending the visit time, the Republican authorities expressed the basic attitude of viewing Spain as a European friendly country as important as France, Germany and Italy.

It can be said that this is a very important signal, which provides help for the smooth start of Pei Chengyi's trip to Madrid and provides convenient conditions for public opinion to build momentum.

That's why, before the special plane Pei Chengyi took arrived in Madrid, international public opinion quietly

.

Whether it is the news media of the Republic, the news media of Europe, or the news media of Russia and the United States, they all reported on the great significance of the Rome Treaty and its huge impact on the international situation on the old month and intentionally downplayed Pei Chengyi's trip to Madrid.

This is a very abnormal phenomenon, which also means that the super storm that has been brewing since the raging years is finally coming.
Chapter completed!
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