July 2019, the last week of July is old, a very special one

Before dawn, thousands of journalists from all over the world surrounded the Great Hall of Xindu. This central conference hall can accommodate tens of thousands of people at the same time, has a central conference hall that can accommodate thousands of representatives, as well as several small conference halls. The Great Hall, which was put into use at the beginning of the year, was the new center of power of the Republic, and can even be regarded as the center of power of the world. After the New Year's election, hundreds of representatives from all over the country and hundreds of representatives from the central government worked here to prepare for the government election in the middle of the year.

Compared with the new Grand Hall and the new plenary congress, before July, the election of the head of state and the central government of the Republic was more eye-catching. In fact, there was nothing to pay attention to. Because Pei Chengyi announced at the end of the previous year to form a partner with Jiao Kuishan to participate in the election, no one doubted the final result of the election before the election began. The actual situation was the same as the outside world predicted. In the first round of voting held at the beginning of the month, Pei Chengyi and Jiao Banshan's election mate won more than Mai and won the election.

If we focus on the process, then this election is indeed worth paying attention to.

You should know that this is the first time since the founding of the Republic that it has elected the highest leader of the country through direct elections.

According to the Mutual Constitution Amendment and the Supplementary Articles of the Election Law passed in the middle of the previous years, the highest leader of the country will be born in a direct election from the beginning of the new election in the year 2000,000 square kilometers and a population of more than one billion, the Republic cannot imitate the small countries in Europe, and the national leaders are determined by the number of votes. After all, in addition to the number of votes, the interests of each region are also crucial. For this reason, the Republic still promotes an indirect election, but the participants in the indirect election are no longer representatives of the general congress, but citizens of the whole country.

According to the new election method, citizen votes can only determine the gains and losses of a candidate in a certain province. In fact, this is a "elective vote" that is relatively similar to the United States, which is weighted by the population, economic level, area, resources and other factors of each region. The difference is that there are a little more regulations in the elections in the Republic. That is, if the candidates get the most votes, they must win in more than half of the provinces before they can be directly elected, otherwise the second round of elections will be held with the competitors with the second most votes. In this way, the victory of each electoral district, that is, the provinces, becomes crucial. With the situation of fierce 7 years, if Pei Chengyi wants to win in the first round of elections, he needs to obtain at least 7 gills, which not only exceeds the simple majority of the accounts, but also exceeds the absolute majority of the irrigation.

Such a high requirement is not to increase the difficulty of elections, but to ensure that the unity and unity of the Republic are not undermined by elections. Obviously, this is also decided based on the basic national conditions of the Republic. As a major country with initially realizing the democratic system and extremely complex domestic environment, even most citizens recognize the importance of democracy and sincerely support the democratic system. From a fundamental perspective, seeking common ground as much as possible can maximize the national stability and allow the country to pass this transition period smoothly.

Of course, such a complex election process has also been criticized.

Before the election of the new term began in the year of the year, many Western news media claimed that the Republican authorities took advantage of the second round of political reforms to implement such a complex direct election system, which clearly means that they do not want to promote direct elections or want to manipulate elections, but did not realize direct elections. Although the views of Western news media are extremely absurd, you should know that fundamentally speaking, most citizens of the Republic are satisfied with the results of the first round of political reforms. There is no urgent pressure to promote direct elections in the country. The Republican authorities can completely maintain the original political system and do not need to speed up the democratic political process. Therefore, the implementation of direct elections itself is an optional thing. If the Republican authorities want to manipulate elections, the best way is to not promote direct elections. What is the need to add to it? However, from an objective standpoint, the overly complex election procedures. In particular, the method of counting votes has also brought a lot of trouble to direct elections. At least many Republican citizens do not understand why it is so troublesome.

Fortunately, the election of the new term was not unexpected.

When Pei Chengyi announced his candidacy, some people pointed out that there would be no second result in the election of the new term.

Of course, what helped Pei Chengyi win was not the new election, but the urgent international situation.

Although the world war did not break out in the fierce year, the injury year was also in peace. According to investigations conducted by some Western international institutions, the years were the middle of the year after World War II. The war was the least war, but when the new US President Duchwit was sworn in at the beginning of the year, he immediately announced that he would reach the top four fiscal budget for the fiscal year that had not been approved. The strength of the US dollar was used for national defense construction, and less than the US dollar was used to subsidize the US economy that had already had problems. Some people doubt how long peace could last.

It can be said that this is exactly the question in the minds of the citizens of the Republic.

The problem is that if we only look at the measures of the two superpower authorities, we cannot make accurate judgments. Because in the years before this, the huge defense expenditures of the Republic and the United States seemed to be preparing for war." Mao's preparations for several years were long overdue, but the war was delayed.

Affected by this, many people have learned to look at the problem from another level, that is, when will the world economy collapse?

Mu Yong doubted that economic development is not a single thing, and the deterioration of the economic environment is also related to war pressure.

Although in essence, the economic crisis that occurred in the 19th century and the economic crisis that occurred in the 19th century and used as the 19th century. It is caused by unfair social distribution, excessive concentration of wealth, resulting in weak destruction and overproduction, in the view of some economists, the economic crisis in the 19th century is more like a crisis caused by artificial directors or intentionally created. It has nothing to do with the essence of the economy, because in addition to unfair distribution, it is also closely related to excessive military expenditure. From an economic perspective alone, military expenditure actually has the effect of secondary distribution. That is, through forced means such as policies, social wealth is transferred and the second distribution of wealth is completed. The problem is that when military expenditure is too large, the government will be forced to increase the fiscal deficit, thereby increasing the amount of currency in circulation, which leads to a serious depreciation of the currency.

It can be said that the economic problem that led to the decline of the century was currency depreciation.

As mentioned earlier, only around the years, the Republic and the United States have successively reduced their support for the RMB and the US dollar and expanded the exchange rate floating range, resulting in the rapid decline of the RMB and the US dollar, which ultimately forced the EU and Russia to depreciate the euro and ruble, and ultimately affected the major economies around the world. The currency in circulation in major economies began to depreciate significantly.

Of course, there are both visible and invisible sides of the currency composition.

What you can see is naturally the depreciation of internal inflation and external depreciation, but what you can't see is that the actual purchasing ability of the currency has been greatly reduced. Although this is also a depreciation, the manifestation is not exactly the same as inflation. In the final analysis, it is still that there is too much money spent on military affairs, and military materials do not actually enter the circulation field. As a result, the materials that really enter the consumer market are much less than the money issued. In terms of the national defense construction of the Republic, from the years to the years, the total defense expenditure of the Republic exceeded 1 trillion yuan. Among them, personnel allowances, workers' wages, and goods are included.

The money and other methods have entered the circulation field and become a currency with purchasing power. Only by investing, depositing and purchasing financial products in the form of corporate profits, have not entered the circulation field. The problem is that among the trillion-dollar military spending, there are very few products that have market circulation capacity. In other words, the Yang trillion-dollar entering the circulation field will inevitably dilute the overall purchasing power of the RMB. By the island year, the broad circulation currency of the Republic only had about trillion-dollar. The trillion-dollar accounted for the friend view, which was equivalent to devalued so much.

All the factors combined together will result in a sharp shrinkage of the consumer market.

Although the economy of the Republic and the United States is still booming in terms of currency, even if the inflation factors announced by the authorities on both sides are still very amazing, but by the years, both economies have had problems, and they are not small problems.

In fact, there is a way to measure economic conditions. That is, power generation.

As we all know, with the rapid popularization of controllable fusion nuclear power plants, as early as before the Liwu Year, the Republic achieved "zero electricity price" through state subsidies, that is, the state bears the electricity required for national life. Enterprise electricity is paid by energy consumption tax, and social electricity supply is entrusted by the state to three power companies. Residents and enterprises choose the best power suppliers from them. In short, at this time, the power supply of the Republic no longer charges money from the people. And separates the electricity consumption of residents from the enterprise. In this way, the electricity consumption of enterprises in the Republic has actually become a barometer reflecting the economic conditions of the Republic. From the Li Mi Year to the previous years, the electricity consumption of enterprises in the Republic has been

Growth, and the growth rate before the year was still above the gills, and it did not fall until the year, and it was below the year. By the island year, negative growth occurred for the first time, that is, the electricity consumption of enterprises decreased. There is no doubt that this is definitely a very abnormal thing. You should know that after the year, the Republican authorities relaxed restrictions on high-energy-consuming enterprises and allowed the construction of some high-energy-consuming enterprises of great strategic significance in specific areas, such as opening an electrolytic aluminum factory in Guangxi, opening a synthetic chemical factory in Fujian, etc. Although the main purpose of this is to enhance the country's self-supply capacity and reduce external demand during the war period, this is also of some significance to promoting economic development, at least to the weak domestic market.

The problem is that under this situation, the electricity consumption of enterprises in the Republic still declined significantly, which is naturally not a good thing.

Because the national electricity supply in the United States is provided by private power companies with federal licenses, and the public electricity bills are jointly borne by the federal government and state governments, so in recent years, the United States has not announced the national electricity supply situation, so it is impossible to obtain information from official news. In fact, the situation in the United States may be worse than that in the Republic, because in the Year of the Cat, the "Minolta Group, the five major federal electricity companies, two of which have suffered serious losses and have to lay off employees significantly, are also a government subsidy system similar to that of the Republic. That is, the subsidy amount is determined based on the electricity provided by the electricity companies to the society.

Because the business scope of the five major United States Lianshuo Electric Power Companies is relatively fixed, and the "Minolta Group" is mainly responsible for providing electricity for the manufacturing, electronics, shipbuilding and shipping industries, the group's revenue has been reduced enough to prove that there is something wrong with the US economy. And it is a big problem.

In the words of some Western economists, around the Tiannian year, the economy of the Republic and the United States entered a strange state, that is, the total economic volume continued to grow, and the benefits brought by economic growth were not directly reflected. Although some people hope to use theories such as "stagflation", they could not explain it. Some people compared the economy after the Western New Year with the global economy during the Tiannian year, which is a false prosperity brought by military expansion, but cannot explain one very critical issue, that is, the military expansion after the Tiannian year did not bring prosperity.

There is only one thing to be sure, that is, the economy of the Republic and the United States is deteriorating.

The question is, how long can the Republic and the United States last?

In a sense, the economic crisis has not yet occurred in the Republic and the United States. One of the most critical reasons is that both countries are trying to stimulate the economy, that is, using various mandatory means to ensure that most citizens can live a normal life. For example, in Tiannian, the Republic's authorities promulgated the more severe Heritage Act, which nearly doubled the average proportion of inheritance tax. At the same time, the central and local governments of the Republic have increased the maximum amount of social relief, expanded the scope of relief, strengthened the relief efforts, and promoted reemployment by providing skills training and other methods. The US authorities have also adopted similar policies around Tiannian to ensure stable economic development. This is why many economists asserted that the economic crisis will come only when the Republic and the United States are overwhelmed.

Of course. No one doubts that the economic crisis will not come.

No matter how powerful the Republic and the U.S. authorities are, and how powerful the interest groups standing behind the two governments are, they must obey the objective laws of the development of things. From this perspective, the later the economic crisis comes, the greater the harm it will arise after the outbreak.

It can be seen from this that before Tiannian, the Republic and the United States were betting on life and death.

From the standpoint of the Republic and the United States, even after years, even if there is no world war, as long as two superpowers break out at the same time, they will all shoot the second global depression of this century, which may even cause a complete collapse of the global economy, and the result will still be war. Even if you take a step back, the war will not break out. It will be difficult for the Republic and the United States to regain their strength in the short term, and it will be impossible for them to continue to dominate the world. Obviously, this is a result that the Republic and the United States cannot accept, so both the Republic and the United States can only give it a try.

In other words, it depends on who can last.

If there were some people who had a glimmer of hope before the past years, they believed that relying on the strong economic foundation of the Republic and the United States, it would not be a problem to last for another year. Then, in the second half of the year, especially in the second half of the year, as more and more signs of crisis surfaced, more people believe that war would break out soon.

Of course, the first one to have problems is definitely not the Republic and the United States.

In economics, only when the tide is gone can we know who is swimming naked, and the shallower the foundation, the more naturally the surface. Among the countries and economic entities other than the Republic and the United States, no country or economic entity is of the same size except the EU. For many small and medium-sized countries, because they are early inducing superpowers to form alliances or maintain friendly relations with superpowers, they have been economically integrated, so life is better. For example, the member states of intensive groups rely on huge RMB loans provided by the Republic. The economic problems are not very serious. Some middle-class countries that have not joined the Republic and the United States also rely on a relatively complete national economic system and a relatively independent economic development model to move forward in difficulties. The first problem is Russia, which has ambitions of a great power but has not become a great power.

At the beginning of the years, when the Russian authorities borrowed a military coup in Kazakhstan and drove the armored troops into Astana, almost all countries believed that the Republic would send troops to intervene. Although the result was just the opposite. The Republic not only did not send troops but instead acknowledged Russia's move to control Kazakhstan, this result did not explain anything, but made many people think that the Republic has greater plans. You should know that since the Republic united Pakistan, defeated India and drove the United States out of Afghanistan, Central Asia has been regarded as a balance between the strategic situation between the Republic and Russia. And it is a "balance that cannot be changed easily. Russia is naturally joking about the interests of the Republic. With the foreign policy that the Republic has adhered to for a long time, it will naturally not give up.

In fact, this incident at the beginning of the sixth year had a direct impact on the election of the Republic after the year.

It is certain that it was this incident that made Pei Chengyi finally make the decision to run for election.
Chapter completed!