A complete war plan must include three aspects. One is what Zhan Ren said. The second is the means to be taken to achieve the goal, and the third is the conditions that should be met for achieving the means. Therefore, from a logical point of view, there are only two ways to formulate a war plan. One is to reverse deduction from the goal to be achieved and finally determine the conditions that must be met. The other is to determine a goal that can be achieved based on the conditions that can be met.

Which method is adopted is not determined by the person who formulates the war plan, but by the strength of the country.

Take World War II as an example. Because of the lack of national strength, whether it is Germany, which launched a blitzkrieg on the European battlefield or Japan, which sneaked into Pearl Harbor on the Pacific battlefield, they can only determine the goals that can be achieved based on their own strength. Germany's goal is to quickly sweep the European continent and force the United States to recognize Germany's hegemony in the European continent and even the whole world. Japan hopes to use a sudden attack to defeat the United States' naval power in the Pacific and force the United States to recognize Japan's hegemony in the Western Pacific region and East Asia. Unlike Germany and Japan, the allies led by the United States, the Soviet Union, Britain and China set the ultimate goal from the beginning. That is, to completely defeat Germany, Japan and Italy, and then determine the required conditions based on this goal, and do their best to fight to achieve the ultimate goal.

For Pei Chengyi and Yuan Chenhao, it is no stranger to formulating war plans.

The problem is that on key issues, the two people's opinions are not completely consistent, which includes the most important logical question, namely, whether the objective should be the priority or the conditions should be the priority.

More than a year ago, when the first war plan was formulated in yo year, Pei Chengyi proposed that the Republic's national strength was not enough to support an ultimate war, so it could not set an excessively high war goal. Although Pei Chengyi did not clearly mention that conditions should be placed first, with his attitude at that time, the conditions must be considered first. In the saying goes, the size of the pot should be done according to his ability. This is basically the dominant idea of ​​the Republic's authorities. Many leaders of countries, including Yan Jingyu, supported Pei Chengyi's view that the Republic did not need to pay all for the war. Although Yuan Chenhao did not raise any objections at that time, when formulating the war's punishment, he still put his goal first. This shows that Yuan Chenhao did not agree with Pei Chengyi's view on this fundamental issue. In other words, from the very beginning, Yuan Chenhao believed that the Republic had the ability to achieve ultimate victory.

By the time of strength, the military reforms implemented by Pei Chengyi reached its climax and began to integrate military forces, Yuan Chenhao used the convenient conditions for formulating war plans and conducted a simulation analysis with a computer, that is, how much representation the Republic needs to pay for the war when the final goal is first ensured to achieve the final goal. Although the Republic's authorities have never admitted that there has been such simulation analysis, and have not published the analysis results, according to the recollections of some parties, the results of the simulation analysis are very beneficial to Yuan Chenhao, that is, the price of the war is within the scope of the Republic's endurance. Of course, no one can say exactly how much the price will be paid. There is only one thing that is certain. It was this simulation analysis that made Pei Chengyi firmly believe in postponing the war for a few years, so it can be speculated. If the purpose is first, the Republic will definitely pay a great price, thus making the world war actively led by Pei Chengyi lose its necessity.

As time goes by, both sides are concessions.

Take the merger of the Sky Army and the Air Force as an example. If we start from Yuan Chenhao's point of view, we should not let the Sky Army and the Air Force merge, but should vigorously strengthen the Sky Army under the premise of preserving the Air Force, comprehensively improve the strike power of the Republic's army and obtain the most powerful combat power. In the merger plan, the tactical aviation of the Air Force was disbanded and merged into the Army Air Force and the Navy Air Force, which can be regarded as Pei Chengyi's compromise and concession, because doing so will inevitably lead to the expansion of the scale of the land aviation and HNA, making the benefits of the abolition of the Air Force less obvious.

Of course, neither of them made any concessions on the key issues of poisoning.

Because before that, the work of formulating a war plan was mainly to solve detailed problems and guide technical problems. The core part of the plan had not been involved. Therefore, the conflict between Pei Chengyi and Yuan Chenhao had not been exposed. As the war approached, especially when a feasible punishment was needed as soon as possible, the conflict between Pei Chengyi and Yuan Chenhao floated to the surface.

On the day of the month of mouth, the two sat face to face after the meeting between the General Staff and the Ministry of National Defense.

rise.

"No matter what, we have to take the national conditions as the basis." Pei Chengyi broke the silence. After all, he took the initiative to call Yuan Chenhao over. "Anything that is divorced from the truth cannot exist for a long time, and war is no exception. It is undeniable. We should look at it a little longer, but we should not pay too heavy price for it. From the standpoint of the country, the only value of war exists is that it can bring more benefits than peace, and can allow our motherland, nation, and those who support us to gain more benefits. There is no doubt that an overly tragic war will make any victory dim and will also make war unnecessary.

Yuan Chenhao didn't speak, but was still smoking one by one, which seemed a little bored.

"You also know that the current republic is no longer the republic twenty years ago." Pei Chengyi knew very well what Yuan Chenhao was thinking and ignored it. He continued, "In the past few years, we had been hiding the war plan and did not reveal the truth to the military committee. A few days ago, at the barbecue in Eryu Mansion, Lin Muxun specifically mentioned the tattoo, which was secretly connected with the head of state. If we had not figured out what we wanted to do, we would not provide support and cooperation.

It is possible to personally veto all the laws related to war. It is precisely because of this that I have come to you to discuss the war plan. You are not unfamiliar with Lin Muxun. You should know his temper. Although from the perspective of a merchant, the greater the war, the more benefits it brings. After all, making money in war is the dream of every merchant, but from the standpoint of the Chairman of the Military Commission, Lin Muxun will never support a war without restrictions and too high goals. Because he must consider another result

"We have done simulation analysis and the possibility of defeat is almost zero."

“Is there a realistic basis?”

After hearing Pei Chengyi said this, Yuan Chenhao was speechless and his eyes changed.

Although in the eyes of many people, Yuan Chenhao is not only Pei Chengyi's companion, but also Pei Chengyi's subordinate, but more often, Yuan Chenhao's independence surpasses Liu Xiaobin, and sometimes even Pei Chengyi's competitor.

Take what happened during the second year's election. According to regulations, the Chief of General Staff will be re-elected for two terms, that is, to be replaced at the same time as the head of state. However, at the beginning of the second year, Yuan Chenhao proposed that because the power of the General Staff has been handed over to the Ministry of National Defense, it has become a genuine military command organization. Instead of a military command organization, the rotation speed of the Chief of General Staff should be accelerated so that more generals can have the opportunity to understand the work of the General Staff in order to cultivate more talents. Although Yuan Chenhao's proposal is correct, and it must be

Many people supported it, but with the situation at that time, Yuan Chenhao's proposal would only have a negative impact, because Yan Jingyu had formed a running mate with Pei Chengyi, which was equivalent to making the greatest concession to the army. If the General Staff was reorganized according to Yuan Chenhao's proposal, it would mean that the army would be completely in chaos and Yan Jingyu completely lost his voice in the army. There is no doubt that if Yan Jingyu adopted Yuan Chenhao's opinion, the result would be that Pei Chengyi would continue to be his Minister of National Defense and would not be able to obtain a valuable opportunity to become the deputy head of state.

In short, anyone who knows Yuan Chenhao knows that he is a very ambitious soldier.

Of course, this may not be a bad thing, at least in Pei Chengyi's opinion, this is not a bad thing. First of all, we must admit that truly talented people have ambitions and no ambitions often mean no talent. Especially for soldiers born after the age of Li century, due to changes in their thoughts and values, they are more proactive and direct in terms of interests. Many people even believe that it is precisely because of these so-called queens that queens’ values ​​are very different from those of the older generation. In addition to caring about the necessary living environment.

He also attaches great importance to higher-level political and spiritual needs such as fairness, freedom, and democracy, and also cares more about the impact of the social system on his own interests. He has made the Republic's authorities not focus on political reform in the late 1990s and put political reform in the actual economic reform. Pei Chengyi is an ambitious soldier. Otherwise, he would not have entered politics before taking off his military uniform, and he became the No. 2 leader of the Republic after just the old year, and is likely to become the supreme leader of the Republic after the year.

Compared with Pei Chengyi, Yuan Chenhao's ambitions are not bad.

The problem is that Yuan Chenhao's luck is not as good as Pei Chengyi. As the saying goes, he is not lucky.

As we all know, a political general is enough. Not to mention the Republic, even in the United States, there is at most one soldier with great influence at any time, such as Grant after the Civil War, Roosevelt after the Spanish-American War, and Eisenhower after the Second World War. Any other soldier who can compete with him will be suppressed. The most representative one is that MacArthur and his son MacArthur were "exiled" to the Philippines after the Spanish-American War.

Governor-General, Little MacArthur, retired gloriously after the Korean War. Although the system of the Republic was different from that of the United States, for example, during Zhao Rundong's rule, Zhang Maobang's influence was no less than that of Zhao Rundong, who was also a soldier, after Wang Yuanqing, there was no room for two soldiers to dance at the same time. For example, when Lin Xiaolei was the chief of staff, Pei Chengyi hid in the Physical Experiment Center for several years. When Pei Chengyi came back, Lin Xiaolei took the initiative to hand over power.

In fact, this political system that only accommodates one soldier is mainly to prevent military autonomy.

It can be said that this is a necessary preventive measure for the democratic system in peacetime.

That's right, from Yuan Chenhao's perspective, he could never surpass Pei Chengyi in peacetime. Because Pei Chengyi is only older than him, and for politicians, this age difference is almost negligible, so if Yuan Chenhao wants to make a name for himself, he must make full use of the opportunities brought by the war.

In this way, Yuan Chenhao is naturally much more active than Pei Chengyi on the issue of war.

Of course, this is also a serious problem within the Republic's army, because if ambition soldiers want to surpass Pei Chengyi and achieve self-satisfied achievements, they have to tamper with the issue of war. There is no doubt that there is absolutely no shortage of soldiers like Yuan Chenhao in the Republic's army. In fact, almost every general under the age of age has very great ambitions. It is true that no matter when, the Republic's army is very aggressive, and even often takes over the leadership.

For example, when I was in my heart, the South Asian War Zone once hit Ethiopia in Cetu and attacked extremes... During the training camp, it deliberately bombed a convoy of an international rescue agency assisted by the United States, killing many people including Ming's American volunteer staff, almost causing direct conflicts between the two superpowers. The direct person in charge of the incident was General Ling Yunxiao, the commander of the South Asian War Zone, announced his retirement in the 7th year, and Li Dongshi replaced him as commander of the South Asian War Zone.

There are countless examples to illustrate, and these all show that the Republic's army does not lack a positive spirit.

Of course, at some point, this is not necessarily a good thing.

For example, at this time, Yuan Chenhao believed that Pei Chengyi was no longer a soldier, but a politician. Everything he did was not to serve the war, but to serve the election of the post-beng clam.

Pei Chengyi didn't care what Yuan Chenhao was thinking.

In fact, the conversation between soldiers is very simple, that is, speaking by strength.

As a real soldier, Pei Chengyi knew that there was no need to explain anything to Yuan Chenhao, so he would naturally understand it.

"No matter what, we must speak the truth." Pei Chengyi deliberately paused, and after Yuan Chenhao's expression calmed down, he said, "It is undeniable that computers that can accurately predict the weather ten days later can also make a general prediction of future wars, but we must admit that the predictions cannot be perfect, and it is even more impossible to be 100% accurate. The situation this time was very simple. What Lin Muxun wanted was not a fabricated plan, but a real war plan that made him think was feasible. Although Lin Muxun was not a soldier, we cannot doubt his talent. It is definitely a bit capable to be able to lock up the world's number one enterprise with hundreds of thousands of employees. More importantly, Lin Muxun's understanding of the military industry is definitely not inferior to you and me, and even more than us.

It is much clearer. If we are facing a local war and do not need to mobilize a full war, the problem is not very big. The current situation is that we must mobilize locally before the war breaks out, and make a full mobilization after the war breaks out. That is to say, the military industry will mobilize in advance. In this way, our war plan has almost no secrets in front of Lin Muxun. Whether it is feasible or not. He can tell at a glance. You also know that when the budget was declared last year, he had many loopholes in the defense budget. Although this matter was suppressed and it did not make the whole city storm, we should not make the same mistake again, and we should not be confused on some basic issues and offend the Chairman of the Military Commission, who even the Head of State had to give way to three parts."

After a long turn, Pei Chengyi expressed his meaning, that is, Yuan Chenhao's goal was too ambitious.

Yuan Chenhao is a smart person. How could he not understand what Pei Chengyi meant? After thinking for a while, he spoke, "That is to say, this is not the final plan."

"It's not the final plan" but it must be related to the final plan."

After hearing Pei Chengyi said this, Yuan Chenhao frowned again.

"We have to admit first that it will definitely be more beneficial to delaying it for a few years than starting a fight now."

Yuan Chenhao nodded. He did not object because this was his advice to Pei Chengyi.

Because the goal was too high, when formulating the war plan, Yuan Chenhao realized that many of the basic conditions set initially did not meet the requirements and had to be reconsidered, so he had to spend more time preparing. Therefore, at the beginning of the year, Yuan Chenhao made a suggestion that he should try to find a way to delay it for a few more years.

“Since that’s the case, we have to show sincerity.

"Pei Chengyi smiled and said, "According to my understanding, Lin Muxun is not an unreasonable person. As long as we explain the situation clearly, he will support us. After all, in the fundamental interests. He is highly consistent with us, otherwise he will not support us everywhere in the past two years. More importantly, according to the meaning expressed by the head of state at the barbecue dinner, the members of the Military Commission will be invited to participate in military decision-making in the future, and at least major representatives like Lin Muxun will be invited. In fact, this is also one of the purposes of the second round of political reform. If we still have the strategic vision and courage of the former, we will not be able to lead the Republic to defeat all powerful enemies like the former. As it was, we will not be able to lead the Republic to defeat all powerful enemies like the former. As it turned out, we are not Wang and cannot compare with Wang, so we cannot work behind closed doors and must brainstorm and work together."

Yuan Chenhao breathed a long sigh and said, "It seems that I will never think of talking about you in my life."

Pei Chengyi smiled and shook his head, knowing that Yuan Chenhao had been persuaded by him.

"I'll go back and think about it carefully. When will I need it?"

"Of course, the faster the better, the fifteenth day of the twelfth lunar month at the latest." Seeing Yuan Chenhao get up, Pei Chengyi also stood up, "Give it early so that I can have time to take a good look. If there is any problem, we will discuss it again to avoid causing problems in a hurry."

"Then I'll hurry up and find you after I'm done."

Pei Chengyi didn't talk much anymore and sent Yuan Chenhao outside the door.
Chapter completed!