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Volume 13 Moral Contest Chapter 8 Interest Contest

※No one denies it. Iran's primary country, Leeds, is to fall on specific issues with the Republic's Jetty Mountain Pass, and the situation is not that simple.

After driving away Hash, in order to gain more support from people, Ahmadinejad began to implement a series of tough policies.

In early July, Ahmadinejad did a very overdo: unilaterally terminate the China-Iran Currency Swap Agreement signed with the Republic in June 2019, and abandoned the Riyal's monetary policy of keeping a close eye on the RMB. It can be said that if the Middle East War had not just ended and Iran was a quasi-ally of the Republic, this move alone would be enough to make the republic authorities make a decision to fight.

The China-Iran Currency Swap Agreement is part of the Currency Swap Agreement. As early as before the Lideng Year, when the Republic fully promoted the RMB and improved the RMB's status in international trade and signed a trade settlement currency with the RMB with many countries, some visionary financiers proposed that when the Republic's authorities were vigorously promoting the RMB, Chiang signed a currency agreement with the major trade exchange countries to form a settlement system with the RMB as the core, and fundamentally ensured the Republic's core position in the international trade system. Because the global economy had entered the Great Depression era at that time, the proposal quickly received attention from the top leaders of the country. With Wang Yuanqing returning to the central government in the year of the year and presided over the daily work of the central government as the deputy head of state. At the end of the year, the Republic signed a "Currency Swap Agreement" with Pakistan, Nepal, Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam and other neighboring countries.

Affected by the Great Depression, the Currency Swap Agreement was a financial agreement for trade from the very beginning. In Article 1 of the agreement, it clearly stipulates that the currencies and RMB of other countries maintain a prescribed exchange rate. Although from a financial perspective alone, this agreement greatly harms the interests of the Republic because it allows countries with lower labor costs to dump goods into the Republic, from the perspective of national interests and looking at it a little longer, you can find that this is an agreement that is beneficial to the Republic and other countries of decorating.

For other countries, the benefits are obvious, that is, using a fixed exchange rate to increase exports to the Republic, relying on exports to consume domestic surplus materials, revitalize the domestic consumer goods market, and survive the Great Depression. For the Republic, the benefits are less obvious, but more realistic.

If you look at it a little longer, the agreement has at least five benefits. First, it fundamentally determines the important position of the RMB in international trade, laying the foundation for challenging the financial hegemony of the US dollar. Second, it provides help to establish an international trade system centered on the Republic and simplifies the complexity of trade settlement. Third, it provides new vitality for the adjustment of the Republic's industrial structure and provides great help to help the Republic transfer low-end production capacity abroad. Fourth, it plays an important role in the international alliance system with the Republic as the core, and financial means have become an important link in the alliance relationship. Fifth, in the international trade division system after the Great Depression, the Republic has the greatest say, thus laying the foundation for rebuilding international trade rules.

Even if you look closer, the agreement is at least one pound. The advantage is that it provides sufficient material guarantees for many foreign wars led by the Republic during the Great Depression. Although this guarantee itself is not reliable, because like the United States in the past, the Republic also used debt consumption to export RMB to other countries in exchange for materials, and then offset debts through the depreciation of the RMB, it provided great help to the Republic to resolve the problem of war funding, and also provided help to the Republic through the Great Depression.

According to unconfirmed rumors, about the old trillion yuan of the Republic's expenditure in the Indian War was obtained by financial means. Some people even believe that the aftermath of the Great Depression lasted until 2 to 7 years before it completely passed. It is a big joke with the Republic's predatory finance and fiscal policy after the Indian War. For example, during the past years, the RMB depreciation from the outside world was as high as a sudden drop, which directly caused the foreign exchange held by other countries to shrink by nearly a trillion yuan. For example, in the year of the year, the Republic's national debt reached the thug of the GDP that year. In the first two years, the Republic's national debts fought for by other countries were close to trillion yuan. Together, the two items accounted for trillion yuan. When these debts need to be borne by all countries that have trade with the Republic, international trade will naturally be affected, and the impact of the Great Depression will not dissipate quickly.

In any case, the Currency Swap Agreement is the most important foreign agreement of the Republic

.

By the Shu year, all countries that have formed an alliance with the Republic or wish to form an alliance with the Republic must sign the Currency Swap Agreement with the Republic just like signing the "Mutual Assistance Treaty". More importantly, the Currency Swap Agreement is also a bilateral agreement, not a group agreement, so the agreement is also called the "Mutual Assistance Treaty" in the financial field. In the words of some Western economists, the agreement fundamentally determines the Republic's trade and financial hegemony within the alliance group, laying the foundation for consolidating the military, political, economic and trade alliance centered on the Republic.

As one of the first countries to sign the agreement with the Republic, Iran has a very special status.

The China-Iran Currency Swap Agreement is only valid for years, and the technology is

It is just in accordance with the relevant agreement between the two parties, before the expiration of the agreement, if neither party requests termination or modification, the agreement will automatically extend the year. Because before the end of June of the year, the Iranian authorities did not raise any objection. Therefore, the validity period of the agreement has been automatically extended to the date of June of the year. In other words, Ahmadinejad announced the unilateral termination of the agreement in early July, which is a breach of contract.

There is no doubt that Ahmadinejad's move surprised the Republican authorities and even caught them off guard.

As you can imagine, within a few days, the exchange rate of the Rial against the RMB fell sharply from the previous 7 Guyou to the thug, and it is very likely to fall below the power. Because Iran is the net trade exporter of the Republic, the rapid depreciation of the Rial has allowed Iranian goods to gain additional and unfair competitiveness in the Republic market. Although the depreciation of the Rial has not had a great impact on the Republic's enterprises, Iran's main exports to the Republic are natural gas, petrochemical products, handmade imitation fabrics, food seasonings, natural colorants and other products that the Republic does not produce or produce, but for other trading partners of the Republic,

.This is definitely a disaster. Take natural gas for example. Iraq lost billions of trade revenue because the dinar had to keep an eye on the renminbi, and the currencies of its main competitors could be compiled at will. It is precisely because less than an hour after the Iranian president announced the termination of the Currency Swap Agreement, dozens of countries including Iraq, Pakistan, Syria, Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam, North Korea, India, etc. that signed the agreement with the Republic, and even several countries claimed that if the Republic cannot properly resolve the issue, they will take the same action or temporarily terminate the implementation of the agreement.

Although the Currency Swap Agreement is a bilateral agreement under a model, each bilateral agreement is centered on the Republic, so dozens of bilateral agreements form a trade and financial system with the Republic as the core. Any pound of the system that members destroy the rules of the game will lead to catastrophic consequences.

There is no doubt that Ranjudd is playing with fire.

Imagine that if Iran withdraws from the agreement, the trade settlement system with the RMB as the core collapses and the alliance system with the Republic as the core falls apart, even if Gu Weimin is the one who holds the power, the Republic will use the most direct collapse of Iran.

That's why the Republic is said before. It is entirely possible for the Republic to overthrow the Iranian regime based on this.

The problem is that it is Gu Weimin, not Wang Yuanqing, who is in power.

Before deciding to take substantial action, Gu Weimin did an important thing, which was to personally call Ahmadinejad. He also implied in the phone that the Republic would use extreme means to solve the problem in some cases.

Mo Yong doubted that Ahmadinejad must have heard of this naked threat.

That is why, just less than a little after it announced the unilateral termination of the China-Iran Currency Swap Agreement, Ahmadinejad announced again that he would negotiate with the Republic on some specific terms of the agreement. Before the negotiations achieved results, the Iranian authorities will continue to fulfill the responsibilities and obligations stipulated in the agreement. In other words, Iran will not terminate the agreement immediately, but only hope to modify the content of some terms.

Although not perfect, the problem has been solved.

The problem is that this storm has irreversibly changed the relationship between the Republic and Iran.

You should know that Gu Weimin is not an iron-fisted leader like Wang Yuanqing. Although Gu Weimin also showed a tough side when dealing with the incident, he did not gain any recognition from domestic interest groups, especially those who hope that the Republic will make a difference in Iran.

That's right, just a thug broke out in a "pipeline crisis" months later

This is what mentioned earlier. When building a comprehensive oil and gas transportation pipeline that runs through Iran from the Port of Basra in Iraq to the Port of Gwadar in Pakistan, the Iranian authorities used the National Assembly to reject the agreement on the construction of the pipeline, which left the project still in its womb, causing several large enterprises in the Republic to lose at least tens of billions of yuan, and forced the Republican authorities to spend a lot of money to win over Kuwait. They invested huge sums of money to build a professional port in Kuwait specifically for services for ships transporting oil and natural gas.

Objectively speaking, the Iranian authorities are not wrong.

Just like the Americans after World War II, after the Indian War, the Republic had no worries, and the actual purchasing power of the people was equal to the United States, becoming one of the most powerful countries in the world with the strongest consumption capacity. Therefore, the consumption concept of the Republic's people has quietly changed. Some people say that the citizens of the Republic were educated since childhood to be proud of frugality and simplicity and ashamed of extravagance and waste, so no matter how they change, they cannot accept the consumption concept of the Americans. Those who have this idea can only say that they do not understand the citizens of the Republic, and do not

Understand the history of the Chinese nation. You should know that in the history of the Chinese nation, the heyday, such as the early Han Dynasty, the early Tang Dynasty, the early Ming Dynasty, and even some periods that were not considered as a heyday, such as the Northern and Southern Song Dynasty, the early Qing Dynasty, etc., the Chinese nation did not regard frugality as a virtue. Especially in the prosperous Tang Dynasty, the luxurious life of the descendants of Yan and Huang not only made the Japanese who were still in the wilderness at that time stunned, but also made the Westerners living in the Tang Dynasty amazed, and even the Western nobles at that time felt honored to be able to live the life of the Tang Dynasty.

It can be said that as long as there is an objective account, the new address of this site has been changed to: Sishan Ao plus 8 four, please read Sha Lu Lu

That's why the Republic became the largest resource consumer before the Chinese New Year. By around the year of the year, it surpassed the United States and became the largest per capita resource consumer. In 2018, about the world's resources were imported into the Republic. Although some of them turned into high-tech products and flowed into the international trade market, according to the estimates of a republic's news media, the citizens of the Republic consumed at least the resources of the global ship. The population was the Republic's thugs. The resources of the Republic's thugs were used to support the total global population.

There are another 100 million people from the 7th House. It can be seen from this that the consumption capacity of the citizens of the Republic is so amazing. Although the resources consumed are mainly electricity, and before the past few years, the electricity of the Republic was 100% provided by the controllable fusion nuclear power plant, the consumption of other resources by the Republic's citizens is still very amazing. For example, the jump in the global natural gas was imported into the Republic, and the Xu of them was used in daily life, that is, they were used as fuel for cooking by the Republic.

Among this huge consumption, Iran, as the world's third largest natural gas reserve, the second largest natural gas producer and the largest natural gas exporter, is naturally the main supplier of the republic. The problem is that Iraq is the second largest natural gas supplier of the republic. If the oil and gas comprehensive pipeline is built, even if Iran can make a profit by collecting border fees, it will be equivalent to picking up sesame seeds, losing watermelon, and creating a competitor for itself.

From another perspective, this matter can be big or small.

Although in the eyes of many people, the efficiency and cost of transporting oil and gas through pipelines is higher and the cost is lower, considering the cost of building pipelines, resource and border costs, diplomatic disputes arising from pipelines through multiple countries, and the unstable factors caused by this, the efficiency of transporting oil and gas resources in pipelines may not be much higher than that of sea freighters. Especially after the advent of the new generation of super freighters, coupled with the pulling effect of shipbuilding on the economy, etc., the efficiency of sea freight will not be much lower, and the cost may not be much higher than that of pipeline transport.

If it were in the past, maybe this problem would be left alone.

The problem is that even if the Republican authorities have just experienced a "monetary storm", even if the Republic's authorities do not want to make things difficult for Iran, the Republic's interest groups will not miss this opportunity to teach Iran.

Thugs after the outbreak of the "pipeline crisis". Within months, dozens of multinational republic companies including Jian Group announced that they would cancel or suspend investment projects in Iran, and made a high-profile announcement that they would consider expanding their investment scale in neighboring countries with similar basic conditions. The new address of this site has been changed to: Sishan Ao Plus 8 Si, please log in to read

It is obvious that the so-called "neighboring countries" are actually Iraq.

Compared with Iran, what Iraq lacks is not resources, but investment. It can be said that if Iraq wants to rely on Fengke's resources to become a developed country, what it lacks is investment.

As mentioned earlier, Iran has been refusing to cooperate on the issue of war costs and the Kurds.

Affected by these factors, multinational companies in the Republic announced a high-profile move to Iraq, which is equivalent to putting pressure on the Republican authorities to tighten the ropes on Iran's neck and not letting go easily.

Lang.

This can be seen from several subsequent trade-related bills passed by the Plenary Congress of the Republic.

Not to mention, a bill related to re-export trade passed at the end of the year clearly stipulates that only joint ventures with Republican enterprises above the Lin can enjoy the preferential trade policies provided by the Republican government. Under this ratio, enterprises must pay full tariffs in accordance with relevant laws. You should know that the Iranian authorities have a strong limit on joint ventures. A single percentage point gap of thugs can cause Iran's oil extraction, smelting and chemical companies to lose hundreds of billions of yuan each year, causing about 10,000 Iranian workers to be unemployed. These targeted bills are almost all fabricated by representatives controlled by multinational enterprises in the Republic, and are all aimed at taking care of the interests of enterprises as their fundamental purpose.

The Iranian authorities can only passively respond to the Republic's trade policy.

Of course, this is just the beginning

In March of the year, Pei Chengyi visited six Arab countries and missed Iran alone, which was considered a substantial action taken by the Republic in diplomacy.

You know, just over two years ago, Pei Chengyi visited Tehran as a joint commander.

As the new Minister of Defense of the Republic and most likely the most powerful Minister of Defense, Pei Chengyi went to the Middle East and North Africa to go around, but did not go to Iran. Not only did he take diplomatic actions, but he also sent a very clear signal to the Iranian authorities that if Iran wants to join the intensive group, he will work harder.

For the Iranian authorities, the first thing to consider is not whether they can join the contract, but how to change the status quo.

As mentioned earlier, Iran's primary interest is to form an alliance with the Republic.

If the trend at the beginning of the year continues, even if the republic authorities will not publicly turn against Iran, under the joint action of the Republic's civil forces and some national forces, the relationship between the two countries will regress for several years and even become a hostile country. If this is true, Iran will not only suffer.
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