The influence of winter time difference. When the US Congress granted the president the right to war, Pei Chengyi mocked that it was already early in the morning of the sword. Because he knew that the US authorities would not delay for too long, Pei Chengyi stayed by the TV and went to the tactical command center after reading the relevant news reports.

"This is data sent by the Shanghai Computer Center."

"Deduction results?"

Dongfang Wen nodded and pushed open the door of the office for Pei Chengyi. "Director Liu of the Military Intelligence Bureau sent someone to guard the whole deduction. The conclusion is on the last page, and Xu Xi's delay process is in front of it."

"Go and call Yang Shaoyong and the others." Pei Chengyi put the reader on his desk, "and let the master of the officer's restaurant prepare a late-night snack for us."

"Then I'll come here in fifteen minutes."

Pei Chengyi nodded and picked up the reader when Dongfang smelled it.

Although Pei Chengyi, as a relatively traditional and conservative soldier, believed in intuitive judgment more, compared with the older generation of generals such as Xiang Yinghui, he not only did not reject high technology, but also knew how to use the convenience brought by high technology.

After adjusting the war plan, Pei Chengyi arranged a special task for Dongfang Wen, found the Military Intelligence Bureau, used the supercomputer of the National Computing Center, and made a comprehensive delay in the progress of the Middle East War in accordance with several plans proposed by the Joint Command. To be precise, because there were several plans, there were several deductions.

Because time is tight, there is no time to formulate a more detailed combat plan." Pei Chengyi had no other choice. The new address of this site has been changed to: Abandon Gu, please log in to read it!

Just like predicting the weather, predicting the course of war has always been a "sized" project.

Strictly speaking, the course of the war can only be predicted in general at most, and it is impossible to go to the basic level in detail, such as when to kill and how many officers and soldiers are killed or killed, etc. Because the war itself is unpredictable, the commander is required to formulate sufficiently detailed combat tactics. To be precise, it is to prepare for various possible situations. Because tactics and thugs are never faster than none, so the front line officers, especially the grassroots officers who are commanding in the front line, are required to have high enough qualities. In a sense, the combat effectiveness of an army is reflected in the grassroots officers.

What Pei Chengyi wants is not an accurate prediction, but a detailed and intuitive view of the entire war.

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In a sense, whether the commander can have a comprehensive and intuitive understanding of the war, that is, the often-called "big picture view" will determine the final outcome of the war. Take the Indian War for example, if it were not for a very intuitive understanding before the outbreak of the war, that is, the Republic must win in this war, and to achieve the final victory without too much loss and not too much damage, I am afraid that Pei Chengyi would not have been able to achieve such a satisfactory result. As the negative teaching material of the war with India is the Falklands War, because there is no intuitive understanding, and in the entire Falklands War, Pei Chengyi was in the "

The state of purposelessness means not knowing which direction the war should be pushed, and it is impossible to concentrate its efforts to win. When commanding this war, Pei Chengyi's initial situation was very similar to the experience during the Battle of the Horse Island War, that is, there was no clear overall understanding, and he did not know how to promote the war, so he did not know which direction to work. It was not until he returned to his country to attend the pre-war meeting of his family and talked with Su Jinhui, Li Cunxun, Yan Jingyu and others that Pei Chengyi had a clear goal. It was not until this time that he knew how to fight this war and what kind of ending should be done.

Unfortunately, when he understood this, there was not much time left.

As a last resort, he had to rely on the power of technology. In fact, he also had to rely on the help of the Military Intelligence Bureau.

To analyze the war process, in addition to the general combat method, Pei Chengyi also provides important data such as the comparison of troops, combat capabilities, military force delivery capabilities, logistics support capabilities, intelligence collection and processing capabilities of the two sides, so that the computer can conduct a comprehensive analysis. Mu Yong doubted that if you want to obtain these key data, you must ask the Military Intelligence Bureau to help you.

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When Ran read the analysis report, Pei Chengyi focused on the relevant data of the US military.

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The result surprised him a little, that is, the US military's investment ability is far less powerful than expected. According to the relevant information provided by the Military Intelligence Bureau, in addition to the vanguard of the US Army's European Legion deployed in Turkey, within one week after the outbreak of the war, the US military will invest at most two marine divisions, and the first land fighter division will definitely be deployed in Israel to help the Israeli army guard the Golan Heights and buy time for Israel to mobilize war. In other words, the first main force that Duqiwei could use was the 2nd Marine Division, which remained in Djibouti, which is his "mother's family" unit.

As an excellent military commander, Pei Chengyi cannot be unaware of how much impact this factor will have.

Soon, Yang Shaoyong and several other experts were led by Dongfang Wen to Pei Chengyi's office.

"Have you seen the deduction report received by the website?" Pei Chengyi said, taking out a pack of cigarettes from the drawer and handed it to Yang Shaoyong who was sitting at the beginning.

Yang Shaoyong said while unpacking the wrapping paper on the cigarette: "I took a look at it and it was almost the same as we expected."

When Yang Shaoyong began to dissipate the smoke, Pei Chengyi turned his attention to Hu Jing'an.

"The situation of the US military is not better than ours, it's a very difficult war.

"A good cook cannot cook without rice." Long Hongen took the cigarette handed over by Yang Shaoyong without waiting for a reminder and said, "No matter how powerful Du Qiwei is, he must be within his ability." It is impossible to take action without the ability to maintain troops. Pei Chengsang smiled and turned his attention to the Tianjun Colonel Du Junyong, who has only recently joined the main staff.

"We can underestimate the combat effectiveness of the US military, but we cannot underestimate the quality of the US generals." Du Junyong just joined Pei Chengyi's command team, which is considered to be a minor person, so he attaches great importance to the opportunity to perform. "As the most outstanding soldier in the United States in recent years, Du Qiwei's ability is obvious to all. In a sense, the US military was not fully prepared and had little to do with Du Qiwei, which was mainly restricted by the basic system of the United States. The Military Intelligence Agency also mentioned in the intelligence that until now, the Greek authorities have not agreed to the US military use of its military bases. It is affected by these factors that Du Qiwei focused on the US Marine Corps and did not expect too much.

The U.S. Army. If everything goes well, the First Marine Division, which has arrived in the Eastern Mediterranean, can land in Israel within 24 hours and send the first vanguard to the Golan Heights within 48 hours. The Second Marine Division, who stayed in Djibouti, may board a transport ship at the end of the month and arrive at any location in the Eastern Mediterranean in the first five days of next month. The forces of the two Marine Divisions are enough to change the whole situation, especially when we don’t have enough troops to invest, Duchwie has the ability to control the situation. The deduction report mentioned that the actions of the U.S. Marine Corps will determine the direction of the early stages of the war. In any case, I think there is no reason to underestimate the strength of the U.S. military.”

"It seems that the bystanders are still clear." Pei Chengyi smiled and said, "Junyong has just arrived for a while and has not been affected much, so he can see some problems that other senior staff members cannot see. Of course, I am not blaming anyone. I just hope that everyone is like Junyong, and no matter when, don't underestimate your opponent."

Pei Chengyi said this. The atmosphere became much more serious, and Yang Shaoyong and others dared not underestimate the Colonel of the Tianjun.

"In fact, my point of view is basically the same as Colonel Du." Pei Chengyi nodded to Du Junyong and said, "On the surface, Du Qiwei's troops are very limited. If we launch an attack within 48 hours as planned, he can only invest two kilograms in the first week of the war. The land combat division, at most, uses the vanguards of the Armored Division and the 3rd Infantry Division, it is difficult to gain a military advantage. In fact, we do not have any military advantage. Due to geographical restrictions, the attack in the north must be more difficult, even if we pursue the thugs of the Armored Division and the 3rd Infantry Division, who are good at fighting mountain assault warfare, will be difficult. In fact, we do not have any military advantage. Due to geographical restrictions, the attack in the north must be more difficult, even if we pursue the thunder of the thugs who are good at fighting mountain assault warfare.

In the first battle, Ling Yunxiao was sent alone, and without providing enough aviation support, especially tactical airlift forces, it was difficult for Ling Yunxiao to surprise us. Because the First Land Force Division had arrived in the Eastern Mediterranean, we must hand over Fu Weimin's ninth battle to General Su Jinhui alone to ensure that Syria will not be hit by the Israeli army suddenly. According to the intelligence provided by the Military Intelligence Bureau, the US Navy strategic delivery fleet deployed in Australia has already set out and will soon arrive in Djibouti and send the Second Land Force Division to the battlefield. If I were Duchewei, I would make full use of this ace force."

Several main staff officers were smoking and did not interrupt.

"As I mentioned at the seventh session of the Joint Military Conference last time, Duqi's event used the Second Marine Division to open up a new front. And it is very likely to be in the coastal areas of Syria. If the US air support can be deployed in time and three aircraft carriers operating in the Eastern Mediterranean, Duqiwei may even launch a real landing operation and send the Second Marine Division directly to the battlefield. In this way, we will have no choice but to let Luo Shaopeng's second combat unit put out the fire. Affected by high-intensity ground combat, we must definitely need strong enough air support, and we must even consider killing several US aircraft carriers entering the war zone if necessary. So we should not have too much hope for logistics support, let alone expect Li Dongshi's tenth combat unit to arrive on time."

At this point, the expressions of several main staff members became very serious.

If the tenth combat unit cannot arrive on time, it means that three combat units need to be used to throw a US Marine Division and be prepared to throw a US Army division. Obviously, this is not only not an easy war, but also a war that cannot be won.

"When considering the problem, we must consider the worst outcome, but in fact it is not that bad." Pei Chengyi smiled and said, "No matter what, we have the initiative in this war. As long as we know how to choose and make full use of the initiative, we have hope of winning. In the past few days, I have considered it in detail and felt that there are only three situations. First, as I mentioned earlier, Duqiwei used the two Marines in dispersed manner and fought with us on three fronts, forcing us to disperse the three combat units and unable to concentrate superior troops in any direction.

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The second possibility is to send the Second Marine Division to southeastern Turkey to fight positions with us in the mountains, and to gain enough preparation time for the thugs, the Armored Division, the 3rd Infantry Division, and even the 4th Infantry Division, the 7th Infantry Division, the 7th Infantry Division and the Diwang Strategic Division, and then concentrate superior forces to fight a large-scale ground war with us in the deserts of the Middle East and the mountains of Asia Minor. Because this means that the US federal government needs to pay pensions of tens of thousands of dead soldiers, the possibility of this situation is very slim, and it can be said that it is slim.

"What about the third situation?" When other staff members were not good at asking questions

"The third possibility is to strive to gain an advantage in a certain direction." Pei Chengyi leaned on the back of the chair, because he was sitting on the main staff who were familiar with the situation on the battlefield. Therefore, there was no need to use other tools to explain the combat operations. "According to the intelligence provided by the Military Intelligence Bureau, the US Army's European Corps has two brigades deployed in Turkey, about 10,000 people. The main force is an armored brigade of the Armored Division, the thugs. The cooperative force is an infantry brigade of the 3rd Infantry Division. Because these two divisions are ace troops of the US military, the combat effectiveness of the two brigades will not be much worse. If I were Duqiwei, as long as I had a little confidence in the combat effectiveness of the Turkish army, I believe that the Turkish army can use Mount Zagros.

If the rugged terrain in the area blocks the first battle, I will place the forces of these two brigades in southern Turkey, take on the heavy responsibility of attacking the coastal areas of Syria, and force the second combat unit to rush westward to rescue. In this way, the two US Marine Divisions can all be placed in Israel. Starting from the Goh Heights and attacking Damascus. With the several combat brigades and several reserve brigades invested by the Israeli army, Duqixian can gain an advantage of about 5 to 1 in this direction, thereby breaking through the defense line built by the Ninth Combat Unit and the Syrian Defense Forces. Regardless of whether Su Jinhui can defend Damascus, as long as the US-Israeli coalition forces arrive at the city of Damascus and even launch an attack from the Gohran Heights, our situation will become very difficult."

While Pei Chengyi was analyzing the situation, Yang Shaoyong and others couldn't help but whisper to discuss.

"In fact, we have to avoid this."

"In other words, we must make full use of the initiative in our hands?" Yang Shaoyong asked immediately without hesitation.

Pei Chengyi nodded. After taking two sips of tea, he said, "The key is here, that is, how to use initiative. The most direct way is to actively attack the Golan Heights. Use attack to eliminate the strength of the US-Israeli coalition forces. To achieve the goal of delaying time, as long as our main force arrives, all problems are easy to solve. The problem is that we can take the initiative. A very critical reason is that we have the right to send troops. If we take the initiative, we will lose the truth and give up the initiative to the US army. In this case, the only option is to make a fuss in the Zagros Mountains in the north. In other words, the attack must be launched at all costs and force Duqiwei to send two US Army brigades. As long as we delay these two brigades, no matter how Duqiwei uses the Second Land Warrior Division, we have a way to deal with it."

"In this case, some tactical airlift forces from the Land Airlines have to be drawn to postpone the arrival time of the tenth combat unit."

Pei Chengyi glanced at Hu Jing'an and said, "This is a problem. If necessary, the tenth combat unit can only drive directly over and go to Basra from the sea."

Hu Jingan nodded slightly and said, "I will adjust the arrangements as soon as possible."

"First make an assessment report and figure out how much impact it will have."

Hu Jingan knew what Pei Chengyi meant, so he didn't say anything more.

"In addition, the pressure on the Air Force will also be greatly increased. That is to say, after deploying the Tactical Air Force wing, the priority will be given to transporting a batch of logistics support troops to the front line specifically for the Air Force's ammunition and drug resources. We must even consider sending our logistics supporters to ports such as Basra

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"I'll arrange this." Long Hongen did not refuse and said, "Since there is no need to air transport the tenth combat unit, you can send equipment and personnel when deploying tactical air transport forces.

Pei Chengyi nodded and said to Yang Shaoyong: "You are responsible for the work on Luhang, and you must make proper arrangements."

"No problem, I'll contact Luhang in person."

"The last thing is this deduction report." Pei Chengyi glanced at the reader on his desk and said, "Although we will not fight under the command of computers like the US military, we must respect objective facts. I roughly looked at this report. Many of them deserve our attention. For example, several possible results of this war.

Although it is too early to end the talk, I will take a good look when you have time and prepare in advance for some of the situations mentioned in it. Even if we are only mentally prepared, we will not panic when we encounter trouble and can deal with it calmly."

When Pei Chengyi said this, several officers showed confusion.

In their understanding, Pei Chengyi is definitely not the kind of indecisive and contemptuous general. Although Pei Chengyi is not a brave and unscrupulous general, when facing a strong enemy, he will never be afraid of wolves in front of others and will definitely actively strive for victory instead of making arrangements in advance

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"There's nothing else. Let's go here." Dongfang Wen did not want to strengthen this suspicion and stood up to announce the end of the meeting.

"Du Junyong, you leave the curtain first." Pei Chengyi called out to Colonel Tianjun. Then he said to the others, "Everyone should do whatever they should do, don't think about it. From now on, within the next forty-eight hours, I may issue combat orders at any time, so everyone must always maintain the highest alert and issue the combat mobilization order. Dongfang Wen, remember to contact Yuan Chenhao and General Su Jinhui to make them ready too."
Chapter completed!