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Volume 12 Prelude to the Great War Chapter 56 Prosperity and Decline

※Talk back to Tu Zhong at Guazhuer Port... Pei Chengyi and Li Cunxun had a good talk ※

"Actually, I should have had a good talk with you, but I haven't found time or opportunity, and you know. The situation in China is much more complicated than I imagined." Li Cunxun said, while putting a paper document in front of Pei Chengyi, "This is a long-term development plan for the Republic formulated by Wang Yuanqing about nine years ago, behind the second election of the State Yuan, you can take a closer look at it.

Pei Chengyi hesitated for a moment and picked up the document.

"I believe that any Chinese knows a word."

"What do you mean?" Pei Chengyi glanced at Li Cunxun and returned to the document again.

"If you fall behind, you will be beaten."

Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment and looked at Li Cunxun again.

"All the ups and downs experienced by the Chinese nation over the past two hundred years have verified the correctness of this sentence, but most people have misunderstood this sentence." Li Cunxun paused for a moment and said, "In the eyes of ordinary people, "backwardness is backwardness in strength, not backwardness in concept. In fact, the most terrifying thing is not backwardness in strength, but backwardness in concept. As a soldier, you should know that as early as a hundred years ago, when everyone was still doubting the role of tanks, Germany established the world's first armored force without a tank. It was this army that nailed wooden boards to motorcycles and acted as armored combat vehicles for daily training. It almost swept the entire European continent on the battlefield in the future."

When Pei Chengyi heard Li Cunxun say this, he immediately understood.

"We can achieve our current achievements and make the greatest contribution to the progress of our concepts." Li Cunxun signaled Pei Chengyi to hurry up and read the document. He continued, "Although in the eyes of most people, we can surpass the United States. The key is that we have mastered the key technologies of the power revolution and surpassed the United States in terms of technological level. Thus, we have driven the overall improvement of productivity and ultimately surpassed the United States in terms of national comprehensive strength. But from another perspective, without the industrial structure adjustment initiated by Mr. Ji and the political reform initiated by Mr. Wang, even if we have the most advanced technology in the world, it would be impossible.

Beyond the United States. To be honest, strict industrial structural adjustment and political reform are the products of conceptual progress. The former liberates our social productivity, especially those private enterprises that have been suppressed and discriminated for a long time, while the latter liberates the thoughts of all citizens, especially those who have not obtained the power for a long time. Imagine that if there are no national enterprises that have grown and grown like mushrooms after a rain, and if there are no positive citizens, we may transform advanced technologies that can change the destiny of human civilization into productivity, and benefit all mankind?"

Pei Chengyi was watching the information while listening to Li Cunxun’s explanation.

"It is no exaggeration to say that conceptual progress is the real progress." Li Cunxun paused for a moment. He said, "It is undeniable that in the past thirty years, we have achieved remarkable achievements. Not only have we entered the ranks of developed countries, but we have also basically solved the surrounding problems and established an alliance system with our country as the core. In terms of horizontal comparison, we have completed the evolution that took half a century or even a hundred years to complete in only thirty years. The problem is that anyone with a calm mind can find that our progress is too fast and too smooth. In the past thirty years, we have not experienced defeats, nor even experienced even the smallest setbacks."

Pei Chengyi breathed a sigh of relief and looked at Li Cunxun.

"This is the biggest problem, and it is also a conceptual problem." Li Cunxun smiled bitterly and said, "Because the journey is smooth, almost all citizens cannot accept failure. Even if it is the smallest failure, Mo Yong doubted that this is definitely not a good thing.

The old saying goes well. If you unite for a long time, you will be separated. If you divide for a long time, you will be united. There is a similar view in the West, that is, the development of a country is cyclical. If you are strong, you will decline. Looking back on history, you can find that there are countless empires drowned in the torrent of history. No empire can last forever, and no nation can survive and reproduce until now. After thirty years of glory, we will face a recession sooner or later, and it is very likely that it will be a great recession that can change the fate of the entire Chinese nation."

Pei Chengyi immediately frowned.

The "recession theory" is not unfamiliar. As early as around the Cong year, that is, before and after the Japanese War, some people proposed the "China Recession Theory" that after decades of rapid development, the Republic will surely usher in a Great Recession. Although this prediction has not come true, the impact of the "recession theory" is becoming increasingly greater. Especially in the past few years after Wang Yuanqing left office, because Gu Weimin had not proposed a domestic reform plan that could be comparable to political reforms, many people believe that the period of Gu Weimin's rule was the recession of the Republic.

The problem is. No one believes that the Republic will never recover, and no one believes that the Chinese nation will completely decline.

In any case, the Chinese nation in the modern sense is a relatively young nation, and it is still full of vitality. Even in the great rotation of civilization, the Chinese nation is much more active than the Western civilization that has ruled human civilization for hundreds of years. Pei Chengyi has always believed that at least in the foreseeable future, Chinese civilization is still in an expansion cycle and will not enter a recession cycle so quickly.

"In fact, no one is willing to admit this. To be honest, when we came to this conclusion, neither Wang nor I was willing to admit this conclusion." Li Cunxun smiled bitterly and said, "The problem is that we cannot deny the facts. About seven years ago, when we officially started the Indian War, the address of Wang's website had been changed to: Except for Gu, Zhou, please log in to read! Zanzhou, the Military Intelligence Bureau, and the General Staff participated. Several countries were used to calculate dozens of supercomputers. A strategic deduction was carried out on the development of the international situation in half a century. The result was that the possibility of us facing a great recession in half a century was close to 90%. Although the reliability of deduction by computers still needs to be made, after all, before that, all similar deductions were completed by people. But this happened to be consistent with Wang's judgment."

"In other words, the Middle East War was in Cego at that time?"

"I mentioned this to you. We were indeed planning the Middle East War before the Indian War." Li Cunxun paused for a moment and said, "If you think about it carefully, you should know that it was this deduction that made Mr. Wang change his views and fundamentally change the course of the Indian War."

Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment, then understood.

"Mom Yong doubts. We must never lose the Indian War, so we cannot let the Great Recession come at this time." Li Cunxun breathed a sigh of relief and said, "Just like Caesar could not save the corrupt ancient Roman Empire and Yuan Chonghuan could not support the crumbling Ming Empire, no one could change the natural scale of social development."

"But it can affect social development."

Li Cunxun nodded and said with a smile: "This is the key. Like the industrial structure adjustment and political reforms we have carried out in China, we can also find ways to delay the arrival of the Great Recession and reduce the impact of the Great Recession. If we do nothing, the Great Recession will definitely come in an explosive manner, causing immeasurable losses, and the Chinese nation will definitely not recover from this. If we do something, the Great Recession will become more moderate, minimize the losses and preserve the hope of rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. In fact, all empires in history are doing this. Not to mention the distance, just take the United States as an example. If we follow the law of objective development, we will swallow the big year from the thugs.

The depression is actually a sign of the Great Recession of the United States. The actual situation is that a world war that almost destroyed the entire Europe and allowed Britain to hand over the number one hegemony to obediently give the United States a chance to survive and finally resolve the crisis. Of course, history was written by the victors. Whether you believe it or not, "before the year, many of the United States' policies were not to stop the world war, but to incite the world war. Not to mention anything else, the Yasuo Nai policy of Britain and France before the outbreak of World War II, as well as the inaction policy in the early stages of World War II, were actually related to the United States. In general, the interest groups that control the United States resolved a Great Recession that was enough to completely destroy the United States in the most direct way."

Pei Chengyi did not defend Li Cunxun about the issue of World War II because the Military Intelligence Bureau had a lot of top-secret information.

"How long does it take to swallow the year from the end of the old century to the thug? It's only thirty years." Li Cunxun smiled faintly and said, "Thirty years is a hurdle. For any world-class power, if you want to dominate the world, you have to survive this hurdle for thirty years. Another negative example is that the former Soviet Union. After World War II, the former Soviet Union reached its peak and became a powerful country on par with the United States and made the entire Western world tremble. Among the many reasons that led to the collapse of the Soviet Union, it took a huge amount of money.

The Afghan War with great power is definitely one of the most important reasons. The Afghan War broke out but thirty years ago when the Second World War broke out, and less than thirty years after the former Soviet Union successfully detonated the first atomic bomb. Looking further, Russia, which inherited the Soviet legacy, has not improved yet, and it is also very funny to the development of the first thirty years, or it is very funny to the global depression that broke out in Likou year. And four seven years are only thirty-seven years away."

“That is, we are facing the same problem.”

"Basically, it can be said." Li Cunxun nodded and said, "It has been thirty years since the Fourth India-Pakistan War to Lishi Year, and now there are less than four people from Liwu Year. Wang's failure to let Deputy Head of State Yan, who is more enterprising, come to power, has a lot to do with that deduction and his judgment. For the Republic, it would be better to overcome this hurdle while solving internal problems and self-development.

The problem is that it is not our family who knows this development law.”

Pei Chengyi immediately frowned, and Li Cunxun's last words were the key.

"In one idiom, we can describe our situation after the Indian War."

"The end of the power."

Li Cunxun nodded and said, "Facts have proved that the US authorities are also very clear about our situation. After the end of the Indian War, our political reforms were in a situation of sailing against the current, and we could only move forward, not retreat, or even stop. Affected by the years of war, our domestic contradictions have accumulated to the point where we must resolve them, and they cannot be resolved entirely by relying on political reforms. In other words, we must invest more strength and inject more energy into domestic construction. In terms of peripheral issues, India's post-war reconstruction work and occupation of the Indian market are enough for us to be busy for twenty to thirty years. From this we have seen that for a long time, we have focused on solving internal problems, which is often called strategic defense, and it is impossible to continue to expand."

Pei Chengyi smiled bitterly, knowing very well what Li Cunxun said. The address of this website has been changed to: Qingbigu, Zhou Jing, please log in to read it!

"It is also under this situation that the US authorities began to plan the Middle East war." Li Cunxun said with a cold smile, "Fortunately, Mr. Wang had considered this point long ago and took action. If Mr. Wang had not been able to prepare before the Indian War, we would probably be in a very passive situation. The most important thing Mr. Wang did was to threaten the withdrawal of the Space Arbitration Treaty, forcing the US authorities to work with us on the issue of comprehensively destroying nuclear weapons to implement the London Treaty."

Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment, then understood.

The Treaty of Li Cunxun’s restriction of space arms is actually the Treaty of Demilitarization of Outer Space. This treaty is not only a basic treaty that maintains a strategic balance between the Republic and the United States and consolidates its strategic position, but also a fundamental treaty that restricts the two countries from engaging in a comprehensive arms race. To put it simply, if the Republic and the United States engage in a comprehensive arms race, outer space will inevitably be the commanding heights of competition. For the two superpowers, if the technology is not yet fully mature, any kind of outer space arms race will lead to

One of the two superpowers collapsed. More importantly, before one side fell, no one knew who could last until the end. Wang Yuanqing took advantage of this. To be precise, it took advantage of the Republic's advantages in outer space technology, especially aerospace launch technology, and made the United States concessions by intimidation. In other words, over the years, the US authorities certainly had no reason to think that they could outperform the Republic in the arms race in outer space, and that they could only cooperate with the Republic in the issue of comprehensively destroying nuclear weapons.

Everyone knows that the biggest winners in the comprehensive destruction of nuclear weapons are the Republic and the United States. Among the many benefits brought to the Republic and the United States by the Treaty of London, the reduction of the threat of regional war is undoubtedly the greatest benefit. It is also true that the Republic has more flexible and pragmatic policies in regional warfare, without overly worrying about the impact of regional warfare, so that it can make full use of regional warfare.

Thinking of this, Pei Chengyi suddenly discovered a problem.

"In fact, there are both good and bad things to do. The biggest disadvantage is to let the United States know that we need to concentrate our efforts to consolidate the development results." Li Cunxun said the problem that Pei Chengyi thought of and said, "Of course, the US authorities cannot infer our basic strategy through speculation, which led to the subsequent Beggar Island War. According to the intelligence we have, Brandino reached a secret agreement with the American interest groups after the Falklands War, including the Democratic Party losing the general election in Likou Year, and the Republican Party came to power to launch the Middle East War. That is to say, after experiencing West

After the two presidents of Wood and Brandino, the Democratic Party has become the main force in American politics. According to the intelligence we have, Landers' influence is very limited, and Mrs. Lobring, who holds real power in the United States, has a very close relationship with the interest groups. In other words, the Democratic Party will come to power again for up to four years, and Mrs. Lobring is likely to become the first female president in American history in the Year of the Crown. If everything goes well, by the time of the four, a Democratic president will bring the United States into World War III, and this person is likely to be Duchi.

Pei Chengyi immediately showed a look of disbelief.

"This is a judgment based on the information we have already mastered. Whether it is correct or not, history will naturally give an answer." Li Cunxun paused for a moment and said. "No matter what, before the United States becomes a second-rate country, it is our biggest enemy. Therefore, we must try our best to destroy the United States' development and profits, and we must never let the United States take the initiative. The Middle East War is such an opportunity. If the outcome of this war can be different from what the US authorities expected, we will achieve our goal."

"You mean,"

Li Cunxun glanced at the documents in Pei Chengyi's hand and said with a smile: "No matter what, you are still alive, the only senior general who defeated the US military in a head-on decisive battle. In fact, the US military has a very high opinion of you. Letting you serve as the joint commander is to convey a message.

“That is, I hope that the US authorities will think that we will never lose this war.

Li Cunxun nodded and said, "You have never suffered a defeat. So you will make your opponent think you will never suffer a defeat. Of course, this is secondary. More importantly, your appearance will inevitably increase the US war spending and thus have an impact on the political situation in the United States. In other words, if Landes can be allowed to live in the White House until the Hainian, then the strategic planning of the US interest groups will have problems. In order to achieve this goal, we naturally need to do some things, such as allowing Landes to win some unexpected victory and allowing Duchewei to gain enough prestige and local people to challenge the president. From another perspective, this is also completely consistent with our rules. To put it directly. A limited failure will not greatly change the long-lasting situation of our country in the past thirty years. It can also allow the people to taste the taste of failure and improve the people's psychological endurance. When encountering greater failures, it will not be unacceptable.

"It seems that there is nothing to expect in this war

"You are the one who commands this war. Ji Ge only arrived at Gwadar Port when he was thug. You can hurry up and read this investment

Pei Chengyi knew that the answer he wanted was in the document in his hand, and he also knew that this top-secret document would never reach Gwadar Port, otherwise Li Cunxun would not have spent several hours sending him back to the Joint Command.
Chapter completed!
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