Chapter Thirty-Three
The first news I got when I arrived in Beichengyi was that the Kurds asked Qinzhou Yizhao that the secret negotiations had ended.
The result was not ideal. Both sides spent several days of precious time and did not even reach a substantial agreement. During the negotiations, the negotiators of the Republic proposed the idea of "Greater Kurdish Autonomous Region" according to Jili. That is, on the national basis of the Kurds, a Kurdish autonomous region across national borders was established in the border area of Turkey, Iran and Iraq. Without excluding national sovereignty, the Kurds were given the maximum autonomy through border governance. When this proposal was put forward, the
The representative of Heguo clearly mentioned that under the current circumstances, it is necessary to guarantee the interests of all countries and the interests of the Kurds, which is the only and effective solution. The representative of the United States did not agree with this proposal and believed that the Republic wanted to take this opportunity to create a Kurdish country. During the negotiations, the representative of the United States mentioned that because the situation in the Middle East has become very chaotic, creating an independent country will not only not help solve the Middle East issue, but will instead make the Middle East issue more complicated, so the United States cannot accept such a proposal.
That's why the negotiations broke down and the double game returned.
To be precise, both sides have been standing still.
Anyway, the breakdown of the secret negotiations on the Kurdish issue was long expected by both sides, so it did not cause too much laugh at the authorities on both sides.
Before the end of the first round of negotiations, the last question discussed by both sides was not whether it was necessary to conduct the second round of negotiations, but whether it was necessary to continue to conduct negotiations in a non-public manner. Because the US authorities did not make substantial concessions on the Kurdish issue, nor did they propose any feasible solutions. Therefore, the negotiators of the Republic proposed that several countries involving the Kurdish issue be allowed to join the negotiations. At least three major parties should be allowed to join the negotiations. The US representative did not respond immediately. He just agreed to give an answer in the preparation stage of the second round of negotiations.
The matter has reached this point, and the Republic and the US authorities have no idea about the negotiation results.
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Because secret negotiations do not involve parties and do not make any demands on the progress of the negotiation, it is impossible to achieve substantial results at all. The two sides hold secret negotiations just to exchange information before the matter expands and prepare for the next war. To put it simply, whether it is the Republic or the United States, they do not want to see the truth on the battlefield for the Middle East, or they all want to suppress their opponents psychologically. They force the other party to make concessions at the minimum cost and do not want to make things bigger. In this way, both sides must not only restrain themselves, but also beware of all factors that may turn the Middle East war into a full-scale war between two superpowers. To prevent it before it happens, they will first be surprised to communicate with each other. Understand the other party's bottom line, formulate corresponding countermeasures, and at the same time try to hide their true intentions and make mistakes.
This kind of game between great powers was very common in the Cold War era. For example, before the Cuban missile crisis broke out in the 1900s, the United States and the former Soviet Union exchanged information through the United Nations, intelligence agencies, third countries, etc., and it was precisely because of the bottom line of the opponent that the former Soviet Union could hit the United States' strategic nuclear warheads less than the blade. At that time, the United States could hit the former Soviet Union with as many as thousands of strategic nuclear warheads, and had an absolute strategic advantage. Kenny forced the President to make the decision to use a fleet to block Cuba completely and search the former Soviet cargo ships carrying missiles, and forced the arrogant Khrushchev to retreat in front of the US Navy and promise to withdraw the medium-range ballistic missiles and bombers deployed in Cuba. The United States won at the lowest cost.
The problem is that at this time the Republic and the United States maintained a strategic balance, and it was difficult to intimidate.
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Although from the actual situation, the United States has a very obvious strategic advantage in the Middle East. In addition to Israel being the number one military power in the Middle East, Turkey's military strength cannot be underestimated. Egypt, as the second largest military power in the Middle East, is not the enemy of the United States. Syria, which has good relations with the Republic, is only the third child at most, and Iran's own problems are not surprisingly resolved, and its role is not very significant. More importantly, the United States has a complete network of military bases in the Middle East. Or when necessary, it can have enough military resistance to the enemy. In comparison, the Republic has pitifully few military bases in the Middle East, and it can even be said to have no military bases. Because Gwadar Port is the closest military base to the Middle East controlled by the Republic. If we consider the gap between the Republic's Navy and the US Navy, even if Syria and Iran will provide military bases to the Republic, It is difficult to exploit it. However, it is not only the reality but also the expectations for the future that determines the strategic situation. Because Israel signed the London Treaty and promised not to use nuclear weapons first under any circumstances, it is difficult for Israel's military strength to be substantially improved. Turkey's situation is not much better, and it is difficult to make a difference in national defense construction when its own development potential is quite limited. Relatively speaking, whether it is the self-improvement Syria, Iran, which strives for independence, or Iraq, it may develop rapidly, and its military strength will also be improved by leaps and bounds. In the long run, the strategic strength of the Republic in the Middle East will only increase, while the United States' strategic strength in the Middle East will only weaken. Based on these two points, the strategic balance between the Republic and the United States in the Middle East has been formed. It is impossible to have a one-sided situation like the Cuban missile crisis.
For both parties, the significance of continuing to talk is not obvious.
The problem is that it is not single now. There are two superpowers at the same time. This means that any superpower can start a war as you wish. Even if the Republic and the US authorities believe that the situation in the Middle East has reached a point where only war can resolve it, it must provide a fully convincing reason for the war.
At this time, the Republic took the initiative to invite three parties to join the negotiations, which was to make excuses for the war.
It is impossible for the US negotiator to not understand this truth, so he did not agree immediately.
At this point, the Republic has made clear his attitude and forced the United States to a dead end. For the American authorities, regardless of whether they are willing to solve the problem through war, if they do not take immediate action and allow the situation to develop. In the end, they will definitely withdraw from the Middle East without any suspense under the Republic's pressing step by step, allowing the Republic to win at the smallest price. And this day will not be too far, at the fastest number of years and at the longest number of decades.
After learning about the situation in Can, Pei Chengyi knew that his current situation was too optimistic.
It is obvious that in less than three months, the Middle East war will break out. For both sides, the most important thing at the moment is not to take advantage of the negotiation table, but to prepare for war as soon as possible.
On April, the day after returning to Beijing, Pei Chengyi called Yi Fangwen back.
During this period, there was no capable assistant around him, which made Pei Chengyi feel that it was inconvenient to do anything. Although he should have let Dongfang Wen develop alone, as the saying goes, Fang Wen has been with him for so many years and has no credit and hard work. When Pei Chengyi became successful, Dongfang should have been promoted to heaven. The problem is that Dongfang Wen is not a general like Yuan Chenhao, and even if he is not an A Dou who cannot be helped, it will be difficult to walk out of his own path. Pei Chengyi did not want Dongfang Wen to be a general, but Dongfang Wen is indeed not a general. As a civilian soldier, it is already very good that Dongfang Wen can obtain the rank of colonel. If he doesn't have to continue to follow Pei Chengyi one day, he might be promoted to brigade general. No matter what, besides Pei Chengyi's wife and children, Dongfang Wen can be regarded as the closest one to him.
That night, Pei Chengyi took Dongfang Wen to the Military Intelligence Bureau.
As one of the largest intelligence agencies in the world, as early as many years ago, the headquarters of the Military Intelligence Bureau moved from the city to the suburbs. In the three phases, the construction period of long-term milk. The Military Intelligence Bureau has successively invested tens of billions of construction costs for this headquarters covering an area of more than 0 acres, with a headquarters that can provide work for tens of thousands of people, and spent hundreds of millions of dollars on underground communication cables. Since its official completion three years ago, it has developed from a simple intelligence agency headquarters to a medium-sized city with nearly ten thousand residents. To be precise, it is an urban cluster with a medium-sized urban population composed of 7 small cities.
Because the planning work was done very well, the construction model of the headquarters of the Military Intelligence Bureau also had an impact on a major event that concerns the people of the Republic, namely the moving of the capital.
According to the outside world, because Beijing is too crowded, the poor traffic situation not only affects the urban economic development, but also affects administrative management. In addition, the former capital effect has benefited Beijing for nearly a hundred years, resulting in serious dissatisfaction among people in other regions. Therefore, since the political reform, that is, after the professionalization of the general congress, representatives have proposed a proposal to move the capital every year. During Wang Yuanqing's administration, due to the influence of political reform, the proposal to move the capital has not been paid attention to by the senior central officials; with the advent of the Gu Weimin era, because the situation of domestic and foreign troubles of the Republic has been cured, the central government has enough energy and financial resources to solve the details, including the capital relocation, so the capital relocation matter has been put on the agenda, and the most likely to replace Beijing is a concentrated city of such a large scale in the central region, or a built city. Considering that a new round of infrastructure construction climax caused by technological progress is about to come, the latter is much more likely.
Although Pei Chengyi was not very concerned about moving the capital, after all, it had nothing to do with him, but when he was working in the Physical Experimental Center, he heard a lot of rumors and saw a lot of related reports. For example, Gu Weimin became the national government behind the country. Among the first countries to visit Brazil, and he took it in Brasilia for several days. In the words of some commentators, Gu Weimin thought of moving the capital after visiting Brasilia. More importantly, there are several projects in the Physical Experimental Center that are very good for preparing for the new capital. For example, a high-speed network communication system launched at the beginning of the year of the Concave Year can realize real-time information exchange, which is very likely to use the backbone information network of the new capital.
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Considering the relationship between the Military Intelligence Bureau and the senior management, it is normal to let the Military Intelligence Bureau do experiments first.
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For Pei Chengyi, the biggest impact is that before meeting Li Cunxun, he had to follow the reception staff to travel through the old labyrinth of the Military Intelligence Bureau for a few minutes. However, compared to the experience in Gwadar Port, Pei Chengyi was not surprised because he has been here several times in the past few years and knew what the new headquarters of the Military Intelligence Bureau looked like.
Before meeting Li Cunxun, Pei Chengyi met Liu Xiaobin first.
“Duchway has new progress in Türkiye?”
"It's not a progress. It was already as expected." Liu Xiaobin turned the document to the last page for Pei Chengyi. "If this information is correct, the Turkish authorities have surrendered to Duqiwei. Even if the relevant news is not announced, Duqiwei's status and power will be confirmed recently. Because the US military and the Turkish army have been working together for several years, even if many unpleasant things have happened, the relationship between the two armies is two and two, and there is no problem of incompatibility in the command system. The ten-earth army has long been very fierce. The modern military system and the political power of soldiers is very limited, so as long as the Turkish authorities hand over military command, Duqiwei will soon be able to play the role arranged by Landes for him."
“Where is Israel?”
"Israel?" Liu Xiaobin smiled and said, "That is Duchwie's next stop, but Mrs. Lobring has sent the Assistant Secretary of State, who is specifically responsible for Middle East affairs, to Tel Aviv, and should have negotiated with the Israeli authorities. We have not received any relevant information yet. In any case, those guys from Mosad are not vegetarians, so we cannot collect information in Israel as we do in Turkey. However, from the current situation, we should not worry about the situation in Israel, but Duchwie."
Pei Chengyi frowned slightly, as if he didn't understand.
"Mrs. Lobring is not Landes. Maybe she is the most influential politician in the United States." Liu Xiaobin said as he took out a cigarette and said, "From the information we have, in this crisis, Mrs. Lobring played a role beyond Landes. It is very likely that she would have the idea to let Duqiwei be the joint commander. Of course, according to popular American sayings, Landes is just a puppet in the hands of Mrs. Lobring. If this is true, Duqiwei must consider a problem, namely, Luo.
Will Mrs. Bryn give him the chance to show his strength? You should know that besides the US military, the one that really deserves our fear is not the Turkish army, but the Israeli army. In other words, if Duchway wants to imitate MacArthur who was active in the Western Pacific region and become the uncrowned king of the Middle East, he must gain command of the Israeli army. Mrs. Lobring cannot not understand this. As long as she intends to make full use of Duchway, she has to tamper with this issue and not give Duchway too much fantasy."
"If this is the case, we should thank that strong woman.
Liu Xiaobin smiled and said, "It's too early to say this now. After all, Mrs. Lobring is much more mentally retarded than the White House. Although losing the Middle East War has little impact on Mrs. Lobring and can even bring her benefits, winning the Middle East War can bring her more benefits. In Lao Li's words, as long as there is a glimmer of hope, Mrs. Lobring will not give up her efforts. If her interests coincide with Duchwit's interests, then she will let go at a critical moment and let Duchwit play her full well."
“What is our countermeasure?”
"Countermeasure?" Liu Xiaobin glanced at Pei Chengyi and said, "Not yet. Turkey is a small matter. The key is Israel. So we will not propose a countermeasure until we grasp the movements of Israel. We asked you to come today for another thing. The news we just received in the afternoon was that the lobbyists we sent had successfully convinced the Syrian President and the Chief of Staff. As expected, the Syrian authorities will contact us soon."
Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment and then returned to his normal expression. In Liu Xiaobin's words, this was also expected.
"The problem now is that the Syrian authorities have made a request." Liu Xiaobin paused for a moment and said. "In the words of the Syrian president, if we want to gain command of the Syrian army, we must prove that we have the ability to command the Syrian army to defeat the enemy. That is to say, "The fire must arrange a general with enough talent to command the Syrian army to fight."
Pei Chengyi immediately frowned, saying that this was not good news.
"More importantly, the Iranian authorities also made positive responses and made the same demands as Syria."
"In this way, two generals have to be arranged to command the war."
"Of course it's impossible. This is not like something you say." Liu Xiaobin smiled and said, "It's hard to accommodate two tigers in one mountain, how can there be two generals in one army? I talked to Lao Li about his idea, whether he should be commanded by you. And you are the only supreme commander, just arrange two generals to Syria and Iran under you. Of course, Yuan Chenhao must be one of them, but the other candidate has not been confirmed yet."
“Seeking my opinion?”
"Yes, otherwise you won't have to go there."
"This is not a bad thing."
"It's not a chore. Anyway, we have enough coffee here and enough late-night snacks." Liu Xiaobin smiled and said. "Tell you something. Old Li just went on a video call with Lin Xiaolei. The two of them talked about something on the phone, so I don't need to remind you."
Pei Chengyi was secretly shocked and said, "Why tell me this?"
"Do you need Li Ran?"
Pei Chengyi smiled and told Liu Xiaobin with his eyes that he really needed a reason.
"If you need a reason, even if I like others to interfere in the affairs of the Military Intelligence Bureau."
After Liu Xiaobin said this, Pei Chengyi understood and did not ask any more questions. It was obvious that Li Cunxun will definitely retire after the change of term next year, and Liu Xiaobin's reputation is far less famous than Li Cunxun, and his ability is not as good as Li Cunxun. Lin Xiaolei wanted to take this opportunity to let the Military Intelligence Bureau return to the General Staff, and Liu Xiaobin did not want to be restrained, so the two had a conflict. Pei Chengyi and Lin Xiaolei were originally competitors, so Liu Xiaobin was naturally helping Pei Chengyi secretly.
No matter what, Pei Chengyi has to thank Liu Xiaobin because this kind reminder made him ready.
Chapter completed!