Volume 12 Prelude to the Great War Chapter 23 Strategic Barrier
From a perspective of poison, from the perspective of businessmen, I can better see Iran's questions
As one of the countries with the strongest comprehensive national strength in the Middle East, Iran does not lack the foundation to become a regional power and has never been able to dominate the region. In addition to the suppression of Western countries, it has gone through an overly distorted social and political system.
Iran's social problems have been introduced before, and the resulting economic problems are even more serious. The tears book bar's cash factory has fewer reports, more salary, more
As Lin Muxun said, the export of natural gas can determine Iran's economic growth rate. It is strange that Iran's economy has no problems.
Mo Yong doubts that Iran is a "resource-based country"
In fact, as long as oil and natural gas are important chemical raw materials, Iran has resources that can support the development and progress of the entire country. The key is how to effectively utilize these resources. Saudi Arabia, which is across the Persian Gulf and Iran across the sea, has done a better job in this regard. To a certain extent, even if Iran does not pioneer and innovate, as long as it imitates Saudi Arabia and firmly grasps several major markets such as the Republic and India, it can use its rich resources and the chemical industrial system based on resources to maintain a high growth rate in the country's economy and alleviate domestic contradictions. The problem is that Iran did not imitate Saudi Arabia, but went from one extreme to another.
After Ahmadinejad came to power, due to certain non-economic factors, he completely rejected previous economic policies and began to implement new policies.
The "new policy" is not difficult to understand. It is economic reform, transforming the state-owned economy into a private economy, and opening up Iran's investment market. Developing the economy with the help of foreign investment.
Doesn't it look familiar?
From the very beginning, the Western new media claimed that Ahmadinejad was following the republic's reform and opening up.
The fact is, the problem is far from that simple.
In essence, Ahmadinejad presumes an open policy and developing the economy is the secondary purpose. The main purpose is to gain backing and strength that can compete with the supreme spiritual leader by introducing foreign capital, especially the capital of the Republic, and implement more comprehensive reform measures after taking Iran's political power. That is to say, Ahmadinejad conducts economic reform for political purposes, not economic purposes.
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This motivational gap makes it impossible for Iran to receive the best economic success
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Over the years, Iran has indeed attracted a large amount of foreign investment. According to data released by the Iranian government at the beginning of the year, by Lili year, Iran has accumulated an amount of trillions of international investment of about RMB or US$100 million. Among the largest companies in the world, Mao Jing has entered Iran, with only four investments in thugs. The problem is that the "quality" of these foreign investments is not high. For example, Sanjian Group's investment in Iran is around the 100 million yuan, and the ones used to build gas pipelines and oil pipelines account for about RMB100 million. In addition, there is a 100 million yuan used to build port construction, with less than RMB100 million being used to build industry. The so-called "industry" is all resource mining and primary processing, and there is no high-end manufacturing industry that Iran needs most. Although the significance of infrastructure construction is very important, in the long run, Sanjian Group's investment can generate high returns. However, for a country with a population of only a few tens of millions, huge infrastructure investment means serious consumption and lack the potential for sustainable development.
This is the problem mentioned by Lin Muxun. In the Iranian economy, resource mining and primary processing account for too much.
What's more serious is that Ahmadinejad came to power after the Indian War. That is to say, when Ahmadinejad came to power, most of the Republic's companies focused on India, either participating in India's post-war reconstruction work or seizing market share in India. In any case, there is no pound. Entrepreneurs would give up India and focus on Iran, whose market capacity is only one-thirty of India's market capacity.
Obviously, most of those who go to Iran to invest have backgrounds.
Lin Muxun said that going to Tehran with Pei Chengyi was for politics, not for economy. Of course, this does not mean that Lin Muxun has political ambitions, but that he has too much influence and has to do something for the Republic authorities at some point.
In fact, this is also the information Pei Chengyi needs to get. If you read the most slash chapter, choose the Tears Book. Stop the Ao Peng.
When talking about this topic, Pei Chengyi seemed particularly energetic.
"Although I don't want to comment on the government's policies, I think it's a bit of a bit of putting the cart before the horse to pay attention to Iran now." Lin Muxun knew Mu Chengyi's identity and who sent Pei Chengyi, so he didn't have much reservations in front of Pei Chengyi. "No matter what, this piece of Indian cake is enough for us to digest for many years.
Don't be afraid of you to joke. According to the long-term development plan of the group I formulated a few years ago, I'm afraid that by the time I retire, Sanjian Group will still work hard in India. Although we all know that if India wants to become a developed country, it can only hope for the next technological revolution and must lead the technological revolution, but it cannot be denied that within twenty years, India will surpass us and become the world's largest market. Twenty years later, my country's population will decrease to 800 million. By then, the United States' population is between 500 million and 600 million, the EU's population is within 700 million, Russia's population exceeds 150 million, and India's population will definitely be more than 2.3 billion, and it may even exceed 2.5 billion. Although population pressure will slow down India's economic development to a certain extent and even cause social problems, agricultural technology has been obtained
Substantial breakthrough. The modern agricultural factories we invested in and built in India have already been put into production, and the results have been significant, which can minimize the survival pressure caused by the population explosion. To put it bluntly, with the massive population, India can at least achieve four economic and market volume. We don’t need to pay too much attention to the economic total. The significance of the number of less than seven in the next half century is not too obvious in the competition of big powers. In fact, no country can win global hegemony with its economic total, but we must not underestimate the development potential of the Indian market, let alone give up the Indian market. Half a century ago, someone said that whoever controls the Republic’s market will control the global market. Now I can also say that whoever controls the Indian market will control the future global market."
“That is, can we let the situation in the Middle East be let go?”
Lin Muxun smiled and did not argue with Pei Chengyi. The tears book bar shook the concave. The factory sued the young man, the bad man, the bad man
"I think the same as you, India is very important, so important that we need to try our best to keep other forces out of India's borders." Pei Chengyi smiled slightly and said, "In fact, this is the fundamental reason why we compete for the Middle East."
"You mean..."
"As early as more than two thousand years ago, Alexander the Great, who came out of the mountains of the Balkans, brought Western civilization to the Indian subcontinent. If a Great Wall could not be built west of India, no one could defend India." Pei Chengyi paused slightly and said, "Although I dare not speculate on the government's policies, as soldiers, from a purely military perspective, we must make a difference in the Middle East, and any actions we do in the Middle East are essentially to maintain our hegemony in East and South Asia. Of course, it is not easy to control the Middle East, but in fact, it is almost impossible. A hundred years ago, Britain and France did not completely conquer the Arabs, and later the United States did not completely tame the Arabs, so we could not."
"Then what are we doing in Yi?"
"Mr. Lin, this is not like a question you asked."
Lin Muxun smiled and didn't speak.
"It doesn't matter if you can't control the Middle East, the key is that you can't let others control the Middle East. To be precise, instead of letting the Middle East become a springboard for the US to advance eastward, it's better to make the Middle East a paradise for Arabs." Pei Chengyi smiled and said, "It is undeniable that there are certain risks in doing so. After all, the Arab Empire in history has created a miracle that is not big or small, but in the short term, even in the next few years, even if a pound of kilogram appears again. Arabia cannot dominate the world, and it is even difficult to dominate the Middle East with great men like Mohammed.
.You also said that in a few years, India will become the world's largest economy. Although I am not a businessman, I don't know how to do business, and I know nothing about the economy, I believe that national capitalists like Mr. Lin will never let India pose a threat to us. Judging from the laws of national development, in decades, we will enter a recession period. To put it nicely, it is the so-called strategic contraction period. At that time, as long as India can be stabilized, what the Middle East will become will not be related to us. Besides, in a few years, we will leave it to our descendants for headaches."
Lin Muxun smiled and said, "General Pei is really open-minded."
"Can we do everything that our descendants do now?" Pei Chengyi said with a sigh, "The Middle East is the key to the current world pattern, and Iran is the key to the Middle East.
When I returned from Cape Town, Lao Li talked to me about the Middle East and Iran. Mr. Lin should also know that this trip to Iran is extraordinary. In addition to the special mission we shoulder, we must consider the feelings of the Iranian authorities, so I took the liberty to ask for advice."
"General Pei is so serious." Lin Muxun wiped out the cigar and said, "Old Li talked to me for a few hours last night to attract attention. Of course, you also know Lao Li's temper, perhaps because of the nature of his work, he did not say so thoroughly."
Pei Chengyi smiled bitterly, and he naturally knew Li Cunxun's temper.
As the head of the Military Intelligence Bureau, Li Cunxun is very good at inspiring others, and he will never make things clear unless he has to. He will talk to Li Cunxun. He not only needs to be highly focused, but also proficient in language art.
"I have mentioned before that Iran's problem is complex and not complicated, but simple but not simple." Lin Muxun knocked on the table and said. "In general, the two most powerful people are fighting for Iran's power. Although Ahmadinejad has received support from nearly 80% of the people and nearly half of the soldiers, he is still at a disadvantage in this struggle. If we hadn't been secretly supported, Hash would have driven him out of office long ago."
Pei Chengyi frowned slightly and waited for Lin Muxun to continue talking.
"Iran's supreme spiritual leader Hash is a very mysterious person. I have only seen him once, and I met him at the completion ceremony of the Amarine Mosque, and I only talked a few words. According to Lao Li, the Military Intelligence Bureau does not have much information. I only know that he comes from a very poor place in eastern Iran, and basically climbs up with his own struggle."
"I know this too, the key is that Hash is very influential."
"The problem is here. Hash's influence is completely different from that of Ahmadinejad." Lin Muxun paused for a moment and said, "So, in the eyes of most Iranians, Ahmadinejad is their desire. It will bring them a prosperous life, and Hash is their spiritual sustenance, just like the elders in a big family. Although it is difficult for us to understand this value of Iranians, we must know that it is not difficult to get Iranians to support Ahmadinejad, but it is very difficult to get them to oppose Hash."
Pei Chengyi smiled and said, "The two are not on the same level at all."
"That's true, so the two have not had a head-on confrontation until now. After reading the Most Revenue Children's Day, I'll wash the Jian Shuao and the scattered scattered scattered scattered scattered scattered slim. "I'll tell you a specific thing. At the beginning of last year, Huzistan Province publicly expanded the bid for the mining site and the Neons oil and gas field near Ramhill and its supporting industries. We took out a one.
A very complete system construction plan, namely, based on the Neons oil and gas field, it will establish its industrial system covering fertilizers, plastics, and composites, thereby building the largest chemical product export market in the Gulf region. To this end, we will invest tens of billions of yuan to create about 200,000 jobs for Khuzestan Province in the next fifty years, and create nearly 1 billion yuan in tax revenue for the local government and the Iranian government every year. As a result, we lost to an Iranian company that invested only 3 billion yuan in investment, did not propose any supporting construction projects, and planned to directly export oil and gas."
"corruption?"
"Corruption is one reason, and another is political struggle." Lin Muxun smiled bitterly and said, "You also know that Khuzestan Province was occupied by the US military for several years. The Revolutionary Guards were always in the province's war of resistance. So after the US military withdrew, the province became the base of the Revolutionary Guards. In addition, the province faced Iraq and was also the main oil and gas production area in Iran, so the province has always been the territory of Iran's supreme spiritual leader."
Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment, feeling that Lin Muxun had some words left.
Seeing Pei Chengyi's expression, Lin Muxun smiled and shook his head, saying, "I have nothing to hide. The bidding operation was supported by the Military Intelligence Bureau, and the Military Intelligence Bureau promised to make up for our losses. Although Lao Li did not say it clearly, I think his purpose was to help Ahmadinejad control Khuzestan Province. In fact, for Ahmadinejad, who has controlled two-thirds of Iran's provincial administrative regions, if he can take Khuzestan Province without bloodshed, Iran's political struggle can end without bleeding. Otherwise, the Military Intelligence Bureau will have to spend more effort. The factory will be sued, the factory will be sued, and the Yu-shou, and Yu-shou.
"If I guess correctly, is Old Li fulfilling his promise this time when I go to Iran?"
Lin Muxun didn't react at once. When he understood, he immediately smiled and said, "It can be said that the longer the owed, the more interest it is. According to Lao Li's opinion, as long as the Iranian authorities are willing to agree to a few conditions, we can sell a large number of advanced weapons and equipment to Iran through cooperative production, such as the small old series of heavy fighters that Iran had long wanted to buy. Among the conditions we issued, it includes the establishment of an arsenal in Khuzestan Province, the reason is that the best port in Iran is in Khuzestan Province, and the advanced weapons and equipment we produce in cooperation with Iran will not only be provided to the Iranian army, but will also be exported to other Middle Eastern countries. To be precise, it is to let us establish a military factory in Iran in a joint venture.
"The Iranian authorities certainly cannot refuse."
"It is absolutely impossible to refuse, because the Iranian army urgently needs these weapons and equipment. Ahmadinejad has stated that as long as we are willing to sell these advanced weapons and equipment, except for the price issue, other Iran can make concessions.
Think about it, Ahmadinejad said so much. Even if Hash knew that this was a ruthless trick to get rid of the fire from the bottom of the pot, he would have to agree to the thug.
"The problem is, Hash can't surrender."
"So he will take action, and the simplest action is to get rid of Ahmadinejad and replace him with a more obedient president. In fact, Hash had this idea long ago. If Old Li said it right, the person closest to Ahmadinejad had already turned to Hash. Just wait until the time is right to replace Ahmadinejad."
"You mean thug.
Lin Muxun smiled and said, "This is not important. What is important is that we have sent the last butterfly to the US authorities. In three months, the war will break out. There is no doubt that we must not let Iran have problems at this time, otherwise it will give us the last butterfly to the fattening."
Hearing Lin Muxun say this, Pei Chengyi began to doubt whether he had been playing for the Military Intelligence Bureau for a long time.
"This is what Lao Li said to me." Lin Muxun seemed to see what Pei Chengyi was thinking and said, "To be honest, I am just a businessman, and what Iran has become has little to do with me. As a businessman of the Republic, I have the obligation to defend the national interests of the Republic at most. That's why I can't refuse Lao Li's request."
"Require?"
Lin Muxun smiled and said, "According to my assurance to Lao Li, during the Middle East War, we will participate in the operation to aid Iran and Syria. Anyway, we will temporarily withstand the pressure of war for the country." If you read the most important chapter, choose the Tears Book. Stop the Ao Peng, Qiquan.
Pei Chengyi's brow jumped a few times and said, "Mr. Lin, you are not doing a loss-making business."
"Of course, let's pay, we have to give us benefits." Lin Muxun immediately laughed loudly, "If Old Li didn't lie to me, after winning the Middle East War, we would have about 200% reward. Even if the ending was not ideal, we should have 15% return.
"That's huge profits."
"There is no big profit, but it's worth fighting, right?"
Pei Chengyi smiled and did not take this seriously. For him, after graduating from military academy and becoming a professional soldier, he had never been worried about money, and naturally he would not consider problems like a businessman.
Chapter completed!