Chapter 109: A word intersection
When Shi Fang Wen arrived again, it was already evening. The two of them made some preparations and took a bus to the General Staff. Although, after Pei Chengyi went to the Physical Experiment Center according to the new organizational system, all the work was responsible to the Military Intelligence Bureau. Yuan Chenhao was responsible to the Ministry of National Defense, but according to Xiang Yinghui's request, the generals who attended important high-level meetings led to the General Staff report and then went to the head of state together. The seemingly ordinary arrangements had extraordinary significance. Even soldiers who did not understand politics could see it. Xiang Yinghui expressed the attitude of the army through this move, that is, no matter who serves as the Chief of Staff, the army was a big deal.
Is this really the case?
On the way to the General Staff, Pei Chengyi and Yuan Chenhao did not talk about internal affairs of the army, but focused on discussing the situation in the Middle East.
After World War II, the Middle East region was called the "powder keg of the world". Including the four-seven years of Iran War, in just a few years, three Middle East wars broke out in the region, the Iraq War, the Gulf War, the Iraq War, and countless armed conflicts, as well as countless armed conflicts of all sizes. In terms of the frequency of war, the Middle East is undoubtedly the most lively area in the world. It was not until the end of the Iran War that the region calmed a little. The reason was that all the wars in the region were related to oil before. When oil was no longer the number one strategic resource, the situation in the region naturally eased a lot. In a sense, Israel was able to reconcile with Arab countries, especially allowing Palestine to establish a state. This is because the Middle East is no longer the most important strategic location in the world.
The rise of oil and decline of oil is probably the most authentic portrayal of the Middle East.
More importantly, the reality is that with the end of the Great Depression and the gradual formation of the Sino-US Cold War, Europe and Russia are unwilling to become second-rate countries. Regional powers such as Iran, Israel, and Egypt seek to play a more important role in international affairs, and other factors such as factors such as Iran, Israel, and Egypt, seeking to play a more important role in international affairs, the Middle East has once again become a strategic hot spot. The most "hot" among them is nothing more than the feud between Israel and Iran.
To be honest, Israel and Iran have no conflict.
Historically, Mrs. Jewish and the Persians did not have deep blood hatred.
It can be said that the contradiction between Israel and Iran is who controls the contradiction in the Middle East.
When the United States brazenly sent troops to attack Iran, it was the strong support of the Republic and Russia that Iran did not become the second Iraq. After years of arduous resistance, it finally became an invader and became one of the top powers in the Middle East.
However, Iran is no longer the Iranian that was better than the New Year before, and the current republic is not the republic that was better than the New Year before.
In fact, during the Iran War, it was not the Republic that actively supported Iran, but Russia. At that time, the Republic had experienced the East China Sea War and the army exposed many problems. Zhao Rundong was carrying out military reforms and was using military reforms to compete with Zhang Maobang for military power. Therefore, neither Zhao Rundong nor Peng Maobang paid much attention to the situation in the Middle East. After Russia made it clear that it would support Iran, the Republic was naturally happy to be a good person. In addition to providing necessary military assistance such as weapons and equipment, it did not take more proactive actions.
This attitude of the Republic had a great impact on the situation in the Middle East after the Iran War.
Although the Iranian authorities have never denied the help provided by the Republic, many Iranians, including some Iranian politicians and soldiers, always believed that if the Republic could be more active, such as when it helped Pakistan, provided more aid to Iran during the war, the Iran war would not last for several years, Iran's losses would be much smaller, and the United States would pay much greater. More importantly, the final result of the Iranian war was not the withdrawal of the United States from Iran, but Iran became the hegemon of the Middle East.
The direct consequence of this idea is that Iran is more inclined toward Russia in foreign policy
.
Not to mention, after the end of the Iran War, the Iranian authorities did not give the Republic's oil companies more preferential treatment to the Republic's oil companies in accordance with the agreement reached with the Republic during the war, and even increased the nationalization rate of oil fields after the war. They also led Syria to form the "Group of Oil and Natural Gas Exporting Countries" to compete with OPEC for energy pricing rights, which eventually led to an opposition between the two major energy groups.
There is no doubt that this is a situation that the Republic does not want to see.
In fact, OPEC's leading role is the financial group on Wall Street in the United States, while the newly established energy group is Russia. Because OPEC mainly exports oil and the energy group mainly exports natural gas, the two major groups are equally dominating the international fossil energy market. More importantly, there is no seat in this system, that is, the Republic has no say or pricing power. Before this, on the one hand, the Republic has accelerated the development of controllable fusion nuclear power plants, and on the other hand, it obtains the pricing power of energy through "inter-state bargaining" and has achieved some achievements with the help of the global financial crisis that broke out in the year. With the establishment of the Energy Group, all the achievements of the Republic were wasted. Although the biggest promoter of the Energy Group was Russia, the role Iran played in it cannot be underestimated. You must know that among the natural gas export pricing power first controlled by the Energy Group, Iran is the second largest natural gas exporter in the world, and it is also the second day of the Republic.
It can be said that the impact of the energy group on the Republic far exceeds that of any other international
.
Because the main energy pricing power is in the hands of other countries, the Republic had to make a decision and bet on new energy, which was later controlled fusion nuclear power plants. Affected by this, starting from the four years, the Republic has invested in new energy development and infrastructure related to the promotion and popularization of new energy every year in trillions of yuan. If there was no other way, the controllable fusion nuclear power plants would not be officially put into use in the 1960s, and it would be even more impossible for the Republic to gain an absolute leading advantage in this field.
In addition to technology, the biggest influence is the basic strategy of the Republic.
Before this, the tendency of the Republic to alliance with Russia was very obvious. Although the leaders of both countries knew that two adjacent and ambitious major powers could not become true allies. With the historical problems between the two countries, any degree of cooperation is temporary cooperation in interests rather than long-term military and political alliances, before the Peninsula War, that is, before the Republic had to face the challenges of the United States head-on. The relationship between the Republic and Russia was more like a paramilitary alliance, that is, on international issues with interest, the attitudes and strategies of the two countries were basically the same. The most representative one was to allow the United States to experience the defeat for the first time in the century.
After this, the Republic and Russia not only had no possibility of alliance, but it would be a blessing to not become enemies. In fact, if it weren't for the Great Depression that would have made Western countries led by the United States unable to take care of themselves, and the Russia, which had just ignited its ambition, was probably not long after the end of the Iran War, the United States would use Russia to restrain the Republic and even let the Republic fight with Russia first.
In a sense, the impact of the Republic's lack of great depression, concentrating its efforts to sweep away surrounding areas will have the effect of warning Russia. Especially three large-scale regional wars. The Republic first swept the Korean Peninsula like a wind and clouds, then killed Japan like a destruction, and finally defeated India like a mountain, which has a great deterrent effect on Russia. It can even be said that the Russian President made concessions at the London Summit and signed the "London Doctrine" and performed with the Republic in the first three regional wars, especially for the
Giving Japan has a lot to do with India's nuclear power performance. No one denies Russia's status as a nuclear power. But no one denies that as the Republic's national strategic defense system matures, Russia's nuclear weapons will sooner or later become a decoration, and may even cause death. In fact, the Republic had reached a tacit understanding at that time. If Russia refused to make substantial concessions in the negotiations on the full destruction of nuclear weapons, in addition to considering various sanctions, the two superpowers are likely to join forces to overthrow the Russian regime.
It can be seen from this that after the Iran War, there was more competition and confrontation between the Republic and Russia.
Although several top leaders of the Republic made it clear that there was no serious territorial dispute between the Republic and Russia, and historical issues had long been properly resolved in order to reassure the Russian authorities. The leaders of the Republic even publicly stated many times that the Republic would not seek to change the current state of relations with Russia, nor would it do anything that would damage the relations between the two countries. For this reason, two Western years later, the Republic's authorities rejected Mongolia's request for a return three times in a row and repeatedly restricted the operation of private enterprises in Mongolia. However, the more the Republic deliberately downplayed the conflict with Russia, the more uneasy the Russian authorities. In the words of a member of the Russian State Duma, the republic dared to kill more than 100 million Japanese and could attack India, which has a population of 1.7 billion, and would definitely not have any concerns about the annexation of Siberia, which should be precisely the Far East.
In fact, Russia has been strengthening its military strength in the Far East for many years.
After the Peninsula War, Russia accelerated its strategic pace to consolidate the Far East. In four years, the second railway trunk line connecting Siberia and the Far East, from Tyumen to Gongqingcheng, started construction. Although the Russian authorities claimed that they would invest trillions of rubles to build the railway within the year, the actual progress of the project should be achieved quickly. By the beginning of the year, the mine had been opened in sections and was expected to be fully opened before the year. In other words, the railway that was originally planned to be built with a knife was actually only used in the old year. For this reason, the Russian authorities would pay more rubles, that is, the cost of profitable project funds. Obviously, the Russian authorities attach great importance to this railway, and the fundamental reason is that the Russian authorities are highly concerned about the Republic, believing that after solving other surrounding issues, the Republic will target Russia.
The fact is that Russia has almost no other choice in the face of the threat from the republic.
Although no one denies that Russia has the strength to destroy any opponent, or even the entire human race, no one denies the Republic's strategic strike strength and strategic defense strength. Because Russia's national defense system is far from the stage of having practical combat capabilities, the gap between Russia is too obvious when competing for strategic forces.
That is to say, unless the Russian leader is willing to bear the risk of national extermination, it is impossible to use nuclear weapons in confrontation with superpowers like the Republic. Of course, the Russian authorities also have reason to believe that in the case of limited nuclear threats, as long as the Republic authorities regard the United States as the number one opponent, they will not risk a few pounds of their homeland. Large cities are subject to nuclear strikes and losses of several...eight risks. Start a war against Russia. That is why Russia's main way to deal with the Republic's threat is to choose the right political stance.
It is not difficult to understand that the Russian authorities did not over-accus the Republic of the Peninsula War, Japan War and India War. Even secretly supported the Republic, it is not difficult to understand.
To put it simply, the Republic and Russia have both conflicts and cooperation.
In terms of contradiction, the most direct manifestation is geopolitics.
Although the border issue between the Republic and Russia has been basically solved. Only half of the Heixiazi Island has not been resolved, the two countries have conflicts in many hot spots. More representative areas are three regions, one is Central Asia, the second is South America, and the third is the Middle East. Central Asia is Russia's traditional sphere of influence. Although the Republic has made great achievements in Central Asia by strengthening economic cooperation during the Great Depression. However, with the end of the Great Depression, Russia's economy improved and the situation became beneficial to Russia again. Not to mention anything else, after the military coup in Uzbek, the Prime Minister of the Interim Government who came to power first visited not Beijing, but Moscow. The situation in South America is completely opposite. Although Russia has long begun to penetrate the region, the region is ultimately the backyard of the United States. Russia's influence is very limited. Even Venezuela put it into the arms of the Republic a few years ago.
As the rush to the Malay Island ends, the Republic's influence in the region will greatly increase, and those countries that originally defect to Russia will make new choices.
What is really unresolved is the Middle East.
Mo Yong doubts that the United States is still the leader in the Middle East.
After the Iran War, the United States did its best to do one thing, which was to promote reconciliation between Palestine and Israel. It seemed that the United States was strategically retreating. In fact, it was a defensive as an offense.
At that time, the Republic and Russia were in the limelight. The Republic alone sold arms to Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Oman. It was Syria and Egypt, which had been buying weapons from the Republic. Except for Lebanon, Jordan and Iraq had never purchased weapons from the Republic, other Middle Eastern countries became customers of arms dealers in the Republic. The arms trade was a weather vane of the political trend, although in addition to Syria, other Middle Eastern countries that purchased weapons from the Republic were also customers of American arms dealers, and more arms were purchased from the United States than from the Republic, but these countries spent money to buy arms from the Republic, which actually expressed some kind of information that was not very favorable to the United States, that is, if necessary, they would defect to the Republic.
The United States forced Israel to make concessions and eliminated the two Israeli prime ministers in order to ease the conflicts in the Middle East and thus stabilize those distracted Arab countries.
More importantly, after the Iran War, the Republic ushered in a conflict and three wars, and had no energy to advance westward. Although the Republic quickly became the world's largest arms exporter with the influence of the South China Sea War, the Peninsula War, the Japanese War and the Indian War, the Republic quickly became the world's largest arms exporter, among which the Middle East countries made considerable contributions, but in the final analysis, when the Republic was temporarily unable to advance westward, the United States was still the leader in the Middle East.
This brings up a question, who will compete with the United States?
Countries with some strength want to make a kick in the Middle East, because even if there is no oil in the Middle East, even if there is only the worthless yellow sand, it is a strategic location. Just look at it on the map. The Mediterranean is the west of the Middle East, and the EU that is striving to complete unification, the north is Turkey, which is close to the United States, and Russia that is ready to move, and the east is South Asia that has just fallen into the hands of the Republic. To the southwest, it is the last African continent that is not controlled by a superpower and is the birthplace of mankind. To put it more vividly, the Middle East is the intersection between major forces and major civilizations. Whether it is the Western world led by the United States, the Oriental Group led by the Republic, or the EU and Russia that intend to achieve higher positions, as long as they want to make a difference in the world, they must make a difference in the Middle East.
The United States lives in Israel and the Republic plays arms cards in order to make a difference in the region.
There is no doubt that Russia does not have such good basic conditions.
For Russia, if you want to make a difference in the Middle East, your only option is to take advantage of Iran's ambitions, that is, to actively support Iran to become the regional hegemon.
On the other hand, Iran has no other choice.
Neither the United States nor the Republic support Iran to become a regional hegemon, because the two superpowers do not want a regional power in the Middle East. Obviously, the Iranian authorities cannot count on the United States. When the Republic's attitude is very ambiguous, the Iranian authorities can only place their hopes on Russia. In fact, this is also the key reason why the Iranian authorities took on the Russian chariot after the Iran War.
In addition to Russia, the EU is also actively involved in the Middle East.
Although the EU's measures are not obvious, only in Libya, Lebanon and Jordan, traditional powers such as France and Germany have a good relationship with countries in the Middle East, so the EU's influence cannot be underestimated, and it can even change the strategic balance of the Middle East when necessary.
It can be seen from this that the Middle East is the most complex region in the world.
Chapter completed!