Shaoyue thugs, Gongri, Tianyue Qiwei gathered, Bai took advantage of Brandino's chance to have breakfast, Duqiwei roughly introduced the harvest of the past few days

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The investigation of 4 has new results... Although there is enough evidence to prove that some cabinet members have had an affair with Standard Corporation. Minister Ming, including the Minister of Energy and Labor, has had contact with Standard Corporation and lobbyists related to Standard Corporation in the past month. At least Minister Ming accepted the benefits, but there is no evidence that Standard Corporation deliberately exaggerated the results of diligence in the secret exploration report submitted to Congress, or made unrealistic estimates.

When introducing this matter, Duchewei paid great attention to the wording to avoid misleading the president.

In fact, in the "Exploration Gate" incident, Duchewei did not have a clear position of interests. In his opinion, no matter what the purpose is, as long as the exploration results are deliberately distorted, they are bad behaviors that harm the national interests of the United States, and can even be regarded as treason.

It has to be admitted that Duchwie is a "patriot".

Although Duqiwei has never denied the strategic importance of "backyard," he believes that by deliberately distorting the facts, he can achieve ulterior motives. Even under the banner of protecting national interests, it will not only not benefit the country in the end, but will instead cause irreversible losses to the country.

In Duchwie's concept, there is something, and there is nothing.

If the Cambodian Island does have a large number of rare metal deposits, even if there is no legitimate reason, the United States must intervene, and in the most direct way. Only in this way can important resources that can change the strategic balance be avoided from falling into the hands of the enemy and fundamentally defend the national interests of the United States. If the situation is the opposite, even if you can gain something in other aspects, you cannot intervene in the Cambodian Island conflict in the name of obtaining rare metal deposits, and you cannot make wrong decisions based on wrong exploration reports, thereby seriously damaging national interests.

That's why Duchewei doesn't want to have an impact on the president because of his attitude.

Obviously, the situation was complicated by the second investigation report of Four.

The reasons are no different. The exploration report of standard companies is ambiguous. If calculated based on proven reserves, the Horse Island does not have much strategic value. "00,000 tons of rare metals is not enough for American companies to eliminate the threshold for months. If calculated based on the long-term reserves, the Horse Island has infinite strategic value, and tens of millions of rare metal deposits are enough for American companies to consume their strength. Or the total oak is used for a short period of time.

I love fu'er,

The problem lies in the "Vision Reserve".

The use of "Vision Reserves" shows that the Standard Company is making unfounded guesses rather than accurate assessments based on exploration data. That is to say, the Standard Company is not responsible for any data related to the "Vision Reserves" of the Thug.

For the US government, this is an absolute "uncertainty factor

For politicians, the last thing they want to encounter is uncertainty.

If strategic decisions need to be made based on uncertain factors, it is an absolute strategic adventure. There is no doubt that excellent politicians will take the initiative to avoid strategic adventures.

This is true for Duchway and so is Brancono.

The thug "How credible is the report?" Brancombeno asked the secretary to take away the breakfast. It seemed that the news brought by Duchwie affected his appetite.

The thug "The credibility is very high. At least I think so. Fortunately, it's not just that we, Ducheeway, took out the cigarette and lit it. He said, "According to the joint investigation reports provided by our mother and several other intelligence agencies, the Chinese government and intelligence agencies also don't know much about the situation in the Cambodia."

"What does it mean? Branfono frowned.

"In fact, predicting the reserves of rare metals deposits has always been a global problem," Duqiwei sighed. He said, "For this reason, I have specially consulted professors from MIT. According to my understanding, before rare metals became the most important strategic resource, the relevant exploration technology was still very limited. Several well-known minerals were open-pit mining. It was not difficult to explore. With the outbreak of the power revolution, the demand for rare metals increased sharply. Rare metals surpassed fossil fuels such as petroleum and became the most expensive strategic resource. The exploration technology for rare metals was highly valued. In contrast to the huge demand, the progress of exploration technology for rare metals deposits was very slow and far from being there.

It can be said that backward exploration technology has become the main reason for the rising prices of rare metals. According to the professor, the exploration technology we have mastered now is nothing more than three types. I can't explain which of them are. However, there is one big thing in common, that is, the prediction of reserves is very unreliable and there is no accuracy. Not to mention anything else. When we discovered the rare metal mine on the Sichuan-Expanded Plateau in Laos, it was initially predicted that there were hundreds of millions of tons of reserves, and then some people predicted that at most less than ten million tons. Now about 300 million tons have been mined, and the remaining reserves are proven to be more than one billion tons, and it is expected that 30 to five billion tons can be produced in the end. It can be seen that no prediction can be valuable.

“That is, this is Russian roulette

Du Qiwei was stunned for a moment, then smiled bitterly.

Although the president's metaphor is not very appropriate, it can well illustrate the situation of the United States.

The thug "How is the situation in other aspects?" Brancomeno changed the subject and did not continue to tangle with the unexplainable problems.

"The Pentagon's evaluation resulted in Duchwit's documents, "This is what I just received. I haven't finished reading it yet."

"Let's see together." Branmano divided the documents into two and handed half to Duchway.

Relatively speaking, there is no difficulty in evaluating the military strength of the Pentagon. According to the assessment made by the Pentagon, if external factors are not taken into account, the UK is absolutely sure to defeat Argentina in the Conflict of the Cabernets. If Britain does not restrict its military operations, the UK can even deal a heavy blow to Argentina, causing all the efforts made by Argentina within ten thousand years to be wasted.

The problem is that it is impossible not to consider external factors.

In response to this situation, the Pentagon divides external intervention into three levels, namely quasi-military intervention, secret military intervention and comprehensive military intervention. According to the Pentagon's assessment, the possibility of these three situations occur from large to small. In other words, quasi-military intervention will definitely occur, while comprehensive military intervention will hardly occur. The possibility of secret military intervention is determined by the situation of the war.

The so-called "paramilitary intervention." refers to the Republic providing intelligence support to Argentina.

There is no doubt that as long as the war breaks out, the Republic will definitely provide Argentina with military intelligence. Especially the strategic intelligence port for the British Expeditionary Fleet is based on the assessment made by the Pentagon. Unless the UK can use other strike forces to launch a sudden strike on Argentina's major air force bases before the expeditionary fleet arrives, otherwise, during the war, relying on the military intelligence provided by the Republic, the Argentine Air Force can pose a fatal threat to the British Expeditionary Fleet. The result is unspoken. As long as the British Expeditionary Fleet is severely damaged, even if only the aircraft carriers lose their combat effectiveness, and without completely defeating the Argentine Air Force, Britain will lose the war and accept the fait accompli.

With minimal intervention, the results are not good for the UK. Other situations are conceivable

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Of course, the prerequisite is that the United States does not intervene.

If the United States intervenes, the result will naturally be a different matter.

My love life

The Pentagon first affirmed the decisive significance of the US entry in the report. Then it analyzed and evaluated the possible situation. According to the Pentagon's assessment, unless the degree of intervention between the United States and the Republic remains at the level of "quasi-military intervention". As long as the scale of intervention is expanded, even if it is just "secret military intervention". That is, to provide weapons and equipment to belligerent countries in a non-public manner, or send submarines, special forces, pilots and other military forces to participate in the war, or provide assistance in the form of mercenaries and military advisers. It may also lead to the escalation of the Conflict Island conflict, or even evolve into a war between the Republic and the United States, thereby changing the nature of the Conflict Island conflict. There is no doubt that any degree of escalation, or as long as the two superpowers directly intervene, will be detrimental to the United States.

ring.

Without considering the potential strategic value of the Island of the Constellation, the United States cannot obtain any benefit in the way it participates in the war.

I have to say that this report from the Pentagon is very objective and has a very Duchwitz style.

There is nothing strange about this. The current Secretary of Defense was introduced to Brandino by Duchway. Otherwise Duchway would not have become a national security adviser. More importantly, the person who drafted this report was Stark, who served as the director of the Defense Security Bureau of the Ministry of Defense. As Duchway's most capable subordinate, Stark was deeply influenced by Duchway and knew more about Duchway's personality, so he would not participate in the interest factors in the evaluation report.

Of course, Stark did not forget to leave his own traces.

At the end of the assessment report, Stark made a suggestion that when war is inevitable, we should actively support Britain. We should provide comprehensive assistance to Britain before the outbreak and intelligence assistance to Britain during the war. Only in this way can we ensure that the United States will not be involved in the war while ensuring Britain's victory. In other words, only by helping Britain win the Second Cabernet War without participating in the war can we bring benefits to the United States and fundamentally defend the national interests of the United States.

Obviously, this analysis can only bring benefits to Stark.

The problem that the tower right has considered was that Branbonno and Duchess had never imagined?

,Ten thousand

After reading the documents, both of them fell silent.

When Duchway lights the third cigarette, Brancono said, "If I have to answer the British Prime Minister's request face to face in a few days, and go to the left and right, and make a decision now. As the Pentagon's report says, what determines our policy is not the result of the war. But when will the war come."

Duchwie nodded, indicating that he understood the president's meaning.

Thug "Do you still remember the things I mentioned about Pei Chengyi not long ago?" Du Qiwei suddenly spoke, shocking Branbano who was about to continue talking.

"You are"

Thugs: In the past few days, I have been considering a problem. Du Qiwei destroyed the cigarette butt that he had just taken a few sips of it and said, "After the Indian War, Pei Chengyi became famous. His popularity around the world even exceeded that of Wang Yuanqing. If you don't say anything else, I can guarantee that nine out of the ten Americans know who Pei Chengyi is. At most, only five know who Wang Yuanqing is. Although within China, due to the restrictions of the system, Pei Chengyi's influence is nothing compared to Wang Yuanqing, otherwise he would not give up the position of the Chief of Staff under the slightest victory, and even had the idea of ​​retirement. However, before letting Pei Chengyi go to Argentina as the highest military adviser, the Chinese intelligence department would not be unaware of the influence of this move. In other words, sending Pei Chengyi to Argentina was definitely not an accidental act, nor was it an invitation from Argentina, but an arrangement made by Wang Yuanqing, and it was a very meaningful arrangement."

Branfono pondered for a while and nodded in agreement with Duchwie's point of view.

"If this is true, what is Wang Yuanqing's intention?" Du Qiwei smiled and said, "In other words, if we can guess the intention of this arrangement, we can also understand Wang Yuanqing's pulse and make more accurate in his strategic deployment

"General, you won't be without any preparation, are you?"

Duqiwei smiled and said, "I have thought about it for several days, and it's a bit of a gain."

Branmano smiled and poured coffee for Duchwie.

"According to my guess, Wang Yuanqing sent Pei Chengyi to Argentina. He was inciting Argentina to launch a war." Du Qiwei picked up the coffee cup, took a sip, and said, "There is no doubt that in Wang Yuanqing's view, a war that took place in the South Atlantic will definitely be beneficial to China, otherwise he would not actively encourage Argentina. So, what kind of benefits can China get from it? From my perspective, I only saw three benefits."

"Is that true?" Brandino muttered, waiting for Duchway to continue.

"First, adjust China's strategic pattern. From the previous strategic defense to strategic offense, we have caused trouble for us through active and proactive actions. We have to move to the strategic defense stage and passively respond to China's strategic challenges. Second, we are taking this opportunity to expand the global influence of the intensive group led by China, and by winning over Argentina, more neutral countries, especially countries in a strategic vacuum zone, join the intensive group, and expand China's global influence as quickly as possible. Lay the foundation for future comprehensive confrontation. Third, help China through the difficult period caused by regime change, and let external interference factors, including us, focus on other places outside China, so that China can successfully complete the transfer of power and successfully complete the last step of political reform.

According to my judgment, the importance of these three factors has been from low to high. But the thug, "Duqiwei paused for a moment and said. "We cannot ignore a very critical issue, that is, to achieve the third and most important purpose, a very important premise must be established.

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I love all my heart,

"The war has broken out recently."

Du Zhanwei's brow jumped a few times, then nodded to indicate that this is what it meant.

"Like you. I have been thinking about this issue these days." Brandino smiled faintly and said. "When Pei Chengyi arrived in Buenos Aires, I felt that Wang Yuanqing was making a big game. Of course, this does not mean that I agree with the views of those news media, but that Wang Yuanqing was not playing conspiracy, but on-the-scenes conspiracy."

"What does it mean?" Du Qiwei became interested and acted attentively.

"In fact, Wang Yuanqing has been conveying some signal to us in an extremely obscure way." Brandino said with a long sigh, "Sending Pei Chengyi to Argentina is the first signal. Its meaning is that war is inevitable. China will neither intervene directly nor stand by. Think about it. With Pei Chengyi's influence, he has all gone to Argentina. Can war be avoided? More importantly, Pei Chengyi is almost a symbol of the Chinese army. If Wang Yuanqing planned to send an expeditionary fleet to the South Atlantic Ocean, would he do such a blatant thing? Of course, after sending Pei Chengyi over, China will not be able to let Argentina let us slaughter."

“What about other signals?”

"The second signal is the so-called "constitutional amendment movement". Wang Yuanqing uses this to tell us. China will definitely not be involved in a large-scale war at this time. It does not want any allies to be involved in a large-scale war. Think about it, will China focus on foreign countries when the domestic political situation changes sharply? More importantly, Wang Yuanqing also uses this to tell us. If we expand the conflict, China will definitely fight back. Of course, it is not the present. But the future. As long as the new constitution is not issued, Wang Yuanqing is the master of China, and he will be able to control the content of the new constitution. We have had the so-called "Monroeism" and will not China have a "Wang Yuanqingism,"?

Duqiwei smiled bitterly and convinced Brandino's analysis.

"Of course, Wang Yuanqing's hints to us are more than that. For example, the arms sales case that was launched on the Internet, Wang Yuanqing used the controversial arms sales contract to tell us that the upcoming conflict in the Malay Island is a local conflict with a limited scale and even a war cannot be considered a war. China hopes to control the scale of the conflict. If my judgment is not wrong, in Wang Yuanqing's style, it will not take long before I meet George. He will give the next signal to show China's determination and warn us not to play with fire on the Malay Island issue."

"So we have no choice?"

Heartless

"Of course not." Brandino smiled and said, "Why did Wang Yuanqing repeatedly suggest and threaten us? The reason is very simple. China cannot afford to defeat the war, even the impact of the defeat of the allies. Although our situation is similar, we cannot afford to bear the same consequences. According to the principle of game, compromise with each other is the best choice in this case, but we can use this to solve a problem that cannot be solved before."

What's the problem?"

"Aren't we always unable to confirm the strategic value of the Island of Faye?"

Du Qiwei was stunned for a moment and then understood the president's meaning.

"In addition to the reasons you mentioned, I believe that Wang Yuanqing is more interested in the resources of the Malay Island. More importantly, China's related exploration technology is much more advanced than ours, so it is possible that the situation of the Malay Island is more clear than us. Based on China's actions, we can make corresponding judgments and thus adopt the correct response method. With our geographical advantages, latecomer is the most ideal response strategy."

Duchway didn't say much, because Branmano said everything he should say.

The two of them agreed to their opinions. It goes without saying what to do next.
Chapter completed!