Chapter 33 Eloquent
...The training meeting was instructed by Dongfang Wen and others... Pei Chengyi, who was the assistant of his master Jun Bulong, went to the special advisory seat temporarily arranged next to the president.
As the participants returned one after another, the meeting began again.
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Theron must have said hello to Fonseca. When the Foreign Minister proposed to carry out diplomatic efforts again, the Defense Minister did not refute.
"We will definitely not give up diplomatic efforts, but we should not have too much hope." Theron personally came forward and did not give Carlos too many opportunities to show his performance. "Although Britain's attitude has been loose over the years. He expressed his ideas on negotiating with us to resolve the dispute over the Falklands dispute in informal occasions, we must admit that until now, Britain has not taken any formal diplomatic actions, and has not officially recognized that the sovereignty of the Falklands is in dispute. We should not forget that for decades, Britain's attitude has not changed much. Even if it occasionally makes concessions, it will quickly restore its tough stance after its military strength is enhanced or the threat is reduced. It can be seen that Britain's concessions in recent years do not mean that it will make substantial concessions on the sovereignty of the Falklands.
We have enough reason to believe that as the situation eases and the strength comparison changes, Britain will continue to adjust its policies as usual. There is no doubt that diplomatic negotiations are not something that can be achieved overnight. We have been unable to open the door to negotiations for twenty years, let alone hope to let Britain sit on the negotiating table in the near future. Judging from the information we have already obtained, Britain will not conduct formal negotiations with us, otherwise the British Prime Minister will not ask the United States for assistance on the hotline, nor will he meet with the US president in a few days. Although we believe that peaceful negotiations are the resolution of the Cabernets dispute.
But reality has repeatedly told us that the higher our hopes for negotiations, the further we hope for negotiations to resolve disputes, and we will never open the door to negotiations. Whether peace negotiations need to be conducted can be debated forever, but the issue of sovereignty of the Falkland Islands must not be settled forever. Even if we can only resolve disputes through negotiations in the end, we should wait until we regain the Falkland Islands and regain the Falkland Islands sovereignty, and we should negotiate with the UK when we have the initiative and decide whether to negotiate, rather than let the UK decide."
Theron finished speaking in one breath and stopped his eyes on Carlos.
The president's attitude was very clear. Negotiation was a matter after the war, not a matter before the war. Although Carlos was not convinced, he could not refute it under this circumstance. The last few sentences in Theron's discussion were the most critical.
The Cagliot Island dispute ultimately relate to disputes over interests of natural resources. In the last century, Argentina took the initiative to provoke the Cagliot Island War. The main reason was that the military government hoped to transfer domestic conflicts through foreign wars, rather than taking advantage of the Cagliot Island's natural resources. After many years of ugly years, although all the Argentine governments expressed that they would never give up the sovereignty of the Cagliot Island, they did not take any substantial action. It was not until the beginning of the century that the Cagliot Island dispute heated up again as the discovery of deep-sea oil fields with amazing reserves in the waters near the Cagliot Island, the Cagliot Island dispute heated up again. If the power revolution had not changed the energy structure of human society and reduced the strategic value of fossil energy such as oil, the Second Cagliot Island War would have broken out as early as the old year. The Cagliot Island situation heated up again. It is inseparable from the strategic value far exceeding the rare metal deposits used. To put it simply, if the Cagliot Island Island was just a coral island without minerals, neither Argentina nor the United Kingdom would have made great efforts to do so.
The key is here. The longer it drags on, the more unfavorable it is for Argentina.
No matter how the dispute is resolved, in the shortage of rare metals, the British government has no reason to cherish natural things when the supply of rare metals is intensified, and even Mars. There is no reason for the British government to cherish the rare metals on the Horse Island to Argentina. In fact, the UK is already planning the operation to mine the resources of the Horse Island. Otherwise, American companies will not be allowed to intervene in resource exploration. As long as the mining operation begins, the UK can earn billions of valuable resources from the Horse Island every year. Because rare metal deposits are non-renewable, Britain's income is equal to Argentina's losses. From a short-term interest point of view, Argentina, which owes huge extra debts, needs rare metal deposits near the Horse Island.
As for the fundamental interests of the country, the Foreign Minister's political propositions are insignificant.
After waiting for a while, and confirming that the president had finished speaking, Carlos spoke: "I also admit that in order to force Britain to sit on the negotiating table, we must take the initiative in negotiations, and the best way to take the initiative is to decide whether to use negotiations to resolve the problem. However, with our country's strength, even if we can regain the Horse Island in the early stages of the war, whether we can defend the Beggar Island is still an uncertain factor. There is no doubt that we cannot bear the second defeat. Even if we do not consider the future of everyone, as long as we lose the war again, we will never be able to recover the Horse Island."
After Carlos finished speaking, he turned his eyes to Fonseca and did not challenge the president.
"By our strength alone, it is indeed a certain way to defeat Britain, but don't forget that the Republic has made a promise and will do everything possible to help us recover the island of Mahjong." Fonseca glanced at Pei Chengyi, who was sitting behind the president's side, and said, "In fact, the Republic has never broken its promise. Not only has it provided us with advanced military technology without reservation, but it also helped us to carry out modernization. Since the situation in the South Atlantic becomes tense again, the Republic has provided us with a lot of important intelligence. And sent military advisers to provide us with help.
, I believe that with the help of the Republic, we will definitely be able to obtain it;
Carlos had noticed Pei Chengyi for a long time, but he didn't expect that Fengseka would speak directly to Pei Chengyi.
When Fonseca fired a cigar, Carlos said: "I never doubted the support provided by the Republic. Without the help provided by the Republic, we would not even be qualified to discuss the recovery of the Island of the Cabernets. But we cannot put our hopes entirely on the Republic, because the issue of the Cabernets is our problem, not the Republic. More importantly, we can get the help of the Republic, and Britain can also obtain the assistance of the United States. Although the Republic has suppressed the United States before this, and achieved victory in every struggle, we should not forget that all the previous victory was in the surrounding areas of the Republic. On the other side of the earth, even if the Republic has the will, it may not be strong. Whether it can recover the Island of the Cabernets depends on our own efforts, rather than how much foreign aid can be obtained."
After saying that, Carlos looked at Fonseca.
It is obvious that the Foreign Minister is very clear about the situation. If he challenges the president, he will definitely lose badly. Only by challenging the Minister of Defense can he ensure undefeated and not have the chance to interrupt.
After all, in the Cabinet government, the president will not favor either side of the argument unless he is willing to risk offending more senior officials.
Fonseka gritted her teeth and looked very angry.
"The Foreign Minister's view has some truths, and we should indeed rely on our own strength." Theron did not give Fonseca a chance to speak. If the two ministers quarreled, it would be endless. "In fact, for the past twenty years, we have worked hard to promote the modernization of national defense to build a military force that can defend national sovereignty and territory. Although in the eyes of many people, our military strength is still not strong enough. But in this room, there is only one person who has participated in the war and commanded the army to win the war. Why don't we listen to the opinions of third parties?"
After saying that, Theronbang County nodded to Pei Chengyi.
Although the Argentine military and political tricksters who attended the meeting had long noticed Pei Chengyi sitting in a special position, it was not until this time that everyone turned their attention to Pei Chengyi. They also realized that Pei Chengyi was not only the "foreign aid" invited by Theron but also the "foreign aid who was about to play a key role."
"I do not want to express any opinions on your country's defense modernization construction, nor are I qualified to express any opinions." Pei Chengyi paused for a while, and waited until all participants put on their headphones before continuing, "Before discussing whether your country has the military strength to recover the Horse Island, I will first analyze the military strength of your potential hostile countries, especially the military strength that can pose a threat to your country and your country's military actions to recover the Horse Island."
It is obvious that the Argentine military and political officials who attended the meeting could suspect Fonseca, but would not doubt Pei Chengyi.
"Because Britain is a recognized nuclear power all over the world and a permanent member of the Security Council, Britain's military strength is far greater than yours." In order to keep up with the translator, Pei Chengyi deliberately slowed down his speech. "Of course, we don't have to consider Britain's strategic strike capabilities. Although Britain has never promised not to use nuclear weapons first under any circumstances, the London Conference has just ended. According to the agreement reached by the five nuclear powers and dozens of countries, including the five nuclear powers, the scope of use of nuclear weapons is strictly limited. Unless Britain wants to become the public enemy of human civilization, Britain will not rashly use it.
With nuclear weapons. In other words, what we need to consider is conventional military forces. Due to geographical factors and the limitations of the mode of war, what we really need to consider is the British Navy, to be precise, the three aircraft carrier battle groups of the British Navy, and the underwater fleet composed of twelve attack submarines. According to my opinion, if your country can defeat the British Expeditionary Fleet in conflict and ensure that the transportation line from the mainland to the Cambridge Island is unobstructed, you can win in military operations and, in the case of favor of your country, force Britain to sit on the negotiating table and negotiate with you to resolve the Cambridge Island dispute."
"According to General Pei, the military operation to recover the island of Horse Island is just a conflict?" Carlos did not hesitate because Pei Chengyi's words directly targeted his views.
"Yes, it's a conflict."
"Then General Pei believes that Britain will willingly accept the fait-made reality after losing the expeditionary fleet?"
"Hisser of the Foreign Minister, whether to accept the fait accompli has nothing to do with willingness." Pei Chengyi smiled slightly and said before Carlos said, "About Britain's military strength, I will explain in detail later. From the perspective of the conflict, the success or failure of the expeditionary fleet is related to the success or failure of the British in military operations. Imagine that if Britain loses the expeditionary fleet, even if the British government is unwilling to accept the fait accompli, it can only accept the fait accompli. The navy is not an army. Build a far-reaching force that can fight thousands of miles away.
The conquest fleet is not to form an infantry force. Although Britain is the most prestigious maritime power country, and the former empire of the Sun-Downset was also based on supreme maritime power, with Britain's current national strength, even if it is devoted to all, it will take at least twenty years to build a second expeditionary fleet of comparable scale. During this period, Britain had no choice but to reserve the sovereignty of the Cavaliers as your country did in the past twenty years, rather than regaining the Cavaliers with active actions, nor to regaining the Cavaliers."
"In General Pei's opinion, is Britain fighting alone?"
"Of course not, but the United States cannot do whatever it wants." Pei Cheng
, Zhengshuangyi Ling Carlos had too many opportunities, and said Haodan was wondering whoever it was, Gan Wu Ji doubted the strength of the United States. As the Foreign Minister began to mention, the Republic could defeat the United States in previous conflicts. It was a big laugh with the location of the conflict. Even if we were unwilling to admit it, we must know that the Republic could not help Argentina like we helped Pakistan. In fact, it was a miracle that the Republic could ensure that the fleet could safely arrive in Argentina during the conflict. However, we must admit that the United States could not use Britain like India, and it was even more impossible to deal with Argentina like Iran.
Although I am not a diplomat and have no diplomatic experience, I believe that unless the United States is willing to offend all Latin American countries and make all Western Hemisphere countries wary of the United States, including Brazil, the United States will not be directly involved in the Cabernet conflict, and at most provide indirect support to Britain like the Republic's aid to Argentina. Of course, I believe that as your country's Foreign Minister, Mr. Carlos should know this more than everyone present."
After saying the last sentence, Pei Chengyi smiled at Carlos, looking very graceful.
Carlos breathed a sigh of relief and knew that he had met a strong enemy.
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At this point, the others also saw the clues and turned their eyes to Carlos, waiting for the Foreign Minister to fight back.
After pondering for a while, Carlos said: "According to General Pei, Britain is vulnerable. It is easy for us to achieve military victory?"
"Hisser of the Foreign Minister, I have never said such things." Pei Chengyi was also a little annoyed, "As a soldier, I never underestimate any opponent, let alone underestimate any war. As the highest level of political struggle, even if it is a local conflict with limited scale, don't expect to win easily. Only by paying attention to the opponent can you defeat the opponent."
"In General Pei's opinion, how much chance of winning are we?"
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Pei Chengyi smiled and said, "As a responsible soldier, I will not predict the outcome of the conflict without any basis. As your country's military adviser, I will not use predictions that cannot stand scrutiny to influence your country's strategic decisions. The so-called "knowing yourself and your opponents can win every battle. Before answering your Foreign Minister's question, we need to have a deeper understanding of our opponents. Because it involves a lot of specific data, please ask several assistants to explain it for me."
"General Pei, this is too sarcastic, right?"
Pei Chengyi frowned slightly and looked at Carlos.
"I have never doubted General Pei's ability. I believe that no one present would doubt General Pei's military talent. It is precisely because we spent a huge amount of money to hire General Pei as our country's highest military adviser. On such an important issue, General Pei actually found a few assistants to deal with it. It is unknown."
"Hisser of Foreign Minister, you can doubt my abilities, and never doubt my subordinates." Pei Chengyi was really angry. "Although I don't want to target individuals, the words of the Foreign Minister at the beginning made me believe. You must be a diplomat who knows nothing about military affairs. It is undeniable that I have achieved some incomparable achievements, but no matter how outstanding the general is, if there is no strong enough army, I cannot defeat the enemy in war. The soldiers are a group, the army is a group, in front of the power of the group and the collective; the individual seems insignificant. I can tell you very responsibly that all the members of the advisory group, including my four main assistants, have followed me in the Indian War and made outstanding contributions. Without them, there would be no achievements."
Seeing Pei Chengyi's angry look, Carlos knew that the beginning was too much.
"God of anger, we have never doubted the ability of the general and the officers under the general." Theron glared at Carlos, who was a little out of control, and said to Pei Chengyi with a smile, "We invite General Pei and General Pei's subordinates to serve as our military advisers. Naturally, we believe General Pei and General Pei's subordinates. Foreign Minister Carlos does not understand military affairs, otherwise he would not have said such stupid words."
After the president spoke, Carlos avoided Pei Chengyi's gaze. As a diplomat, he could not have known it. Theron put down his gaze and set up a step for him to step down. If he was not tactful, he would not offend the military adviser.
"After General Pei's comments, I also think we should seize the rare opportunity." Theron did not get too entangled, and quickly changed the topic, saying, "Before making a decision, we must grasp the situation more clearly and have a deeper understanding of the enemy's situation. Therefore, General Pei and several consultants were asked to work hard to conduct an in-depth analysis of the British military strength. If we can introduce the situation of other relevant countries, it would be better."
Pei Chengyi nodded and looked at Yang Shaoyong who was sitting next to Dongfang Wen.
Since Theron has come forward, there is no need to waste time with Carlos. Although Carlos's provocation did make Pei Chengyi extremely angry, the goal has been achieved after showing his power. Even if Carlos was not convinced, he had already lost the debate with Pei Chengyi before making a more convincing argument. With Pei Chengyi's point of view, Theron was able to make the final decision without much resistance. In other words, before Yang Shaoyong walked on the podium to introduce the distribution and combat effectiveness of the Madao defenders, the outcome was determined.
Of course, the ritualistic procession still needs to be gone.
Chapter completed!