24 Theoretical Analysis on Rebellion
However, Professor Li smiled bitterly and shook his head:
"It would have been possible if we had cooperated with him when we first entered the city, but I'm afraid it won't be possible now. The Ming Dynasty government didn't only have local officials to understand the local situation. They had a very famous organization..."
"...Jinyiwei? No way, there are Jinyiwei in such a remote place as Hainan Island?"
Pang Yu knew what the old professor said as soon as he heard it, but he didn't dare to believe it - the Jinyiwei in the Ming Dynasty was indeed famous, and the main responsibility of this organization was indeed to serve as the royal eyes and ears, always reporting the gossip of officials from all over the country in detail.
In the ears of the emperor in Beijing - Zhu Yuanzhang never trusted his ministers, including his descendants.
But no matter how large the scale of Jinyiwei is, it cannot be so detailed, right? Where is Lingao County? Most of the more than one hundred modern people who have traveled through time have never heard of this name, except for local residents nearby.
This is still the case in modern times, let alone ancient times. How can a place like this actually have royal guards?
Professor Li shrugged and smiled:
"So Cheng Yegao always talks to me secretly, for fear of being caught by others and saying that he is a bandit... The spy politics of the Ming Dynasty were indeed very powerful, and he didn't know how the news was spread. Anyway, Qiongzhou is now
The government already knows about our existence."
"So what if we know. We have seen Ming's soldiers before, so there is nothing to worry about."
Wang Haiyang smiled arrogantly. Professor Li looked at him and shook his head helplessly:
"I'm afraid it's not that easy. After chatting with him in the past few days, I learned that our previous estimate of the armed forces on Hainan Island in the Ming Dynasty was wrong. The Ming Dynasty actually only set up one guard post on Hainan Island, which was Hainan Guard. Danzhou
There is only a thousand-household residence there, and there should be hundreds of households in Lingao..."
Tang Jian immediately turned back and glanced at Beiwei. He was previously responsible for providing intelligence. However, Beiwei shrugged innocently:
"At the time of the interrogation, we couldn't even understand the language, and those people were scared out of their wits. We asked them what they told us, and it's normal that we called them wrong because they didn't dare to correct us."
"Okay, okay, let's listen to the professor."
Pang Yu quickly changed the topic. At first, his analysis was "preconceived" and he made a mistake in the compilation. But it's no wonder. He didn't have a Ming history time travel. He relied entirely on his amateur historical impressions. It's normal to make mistakes.
"The Ming Dynasty government also knew that the officers and soldiers of the garrison were unreliable, so their main force now was not the garrison soldiers. It was the battalion soldiers under the garrison system in various places. This is reflected in the Qiongya Generals' Station on Hainan Island.
It is also in charge of all the naval forces at Baisha Water Village in Haikou. Its duty is to suppress the rebellion in Li. The most recent dispatch was in March of the second year of Chongzhen to assist the Guangdong Navy in attacking the pirate Li Kuiqi. It has quite a bit of combat effectiveness."
"How many soldiers does this general have?"
Tang Jian immediately asked and took out his notebook to record. But this time Professor Li shook his head helplessly:
"This kind of issue related to the size of the army is too sensitive. I can't ask directly. Even if I ask Cheng Yegao, I may not know. After all, he is only a seventh-grade civil servant."
Tang Jian had no choice but to put away his notebook.
"What you are saying is that I was reckless."
"The Ming Dynasty's generals seem to have three to five commanders, each commanding about a thousand soldiers."
Pang Yu still couldn't help but speak. Although his previous memory was quite wrong, it could still play a certain role in the end. At this time, he was not concerned about face. But after he finished speaking, he added:
"I just remember it roughly, there may be mistakes."
Tang Jian glanced at him, but still recorded the data in his notebook.
Five thousand people, as well as the navy - everyone's expressions became ugly again. It felt like they were back to the time when they had just landed and were not yet stable. Professor Li, probably to comfort them, added:
"But it is said that there are conflicts among the civil and military officials there now. Some people advocate killing us, while others advocate slowing down. Because a group of Mingwei soldiers we defeated a few days ago fled to Fucheng. These people
The defeated soldiers made exaggerated claims about our weapons and equipment. Ming Dynasty officials wanted to borrow artillery from the Spanish or Portuguese to deal with us, but they were refused, so the matter was delayed."
Magistrate Cheng Cheng sent many people to Fucheng to inquire about information for his own sake. He was able to obtain this kind of information, which was considered a good intention. This made everyone feel a little relieved, but no matter what,
, this sharp sword is always hanging above your head, which is not a good thing after all.
"This force is very dangerous and a great threat to us."
Tang Jian judged, while Jie Xi and others frowned. The threat should be eliminated as soon as possible, but with their current strength, even if everyone is armed, they only have more than a hundred people. It is obviously unrealistic to take the initiative to attack Qiongzhou City.
.
Professor Li obviously thought of this, so after thinking about it for a moment, he tentatively asked:
"Xiao Jie, Xiao Pang, Xiao Tang, have you ever considered the possibility of negotiating with the Ming government?"
"negotiation?"
Xie Xi frowned, while Professor Li nodded firmly.
"Yes. When I talked to County Magistrate Cheng these days, the strangest thing he found most strange was that since we had occupied this city and killed officers and soldiers without any scruples, why did we still keep him, the county magistrate, and let him go after he was caught?
"
"I have been thinking about this issue myself these days. What should we do now? Xiao Pang, you guys are building houses, making zha medicine, building salt fields, building power stations... They are all very useful jobs, but I always feel that there is something wrong.
It seems that these days everyone is just busy dealing with immediate difficulties and lacks a long-term goal."
Pang Yu opened his mouth to defend something, but was pulled by Jie Xi and had to stop. Everyone was silent and listened quietly to Professor Li talking alone.
"We all ended up here unexpectedly. I think the biggest goal should be to survive. Under the premise of survival, everyone may have their own ideas. For example, I hope to get closer to the literati of the Ming Dynasty.
Go into daily life and truly understand the cultural context of this era."
Pang Yu blinked and remembered the original great "field surveying and mapping of the Forbidden City in the Ming Dynasty" project...but it was obviously out of the question at this time.
"As for how to survive, you young people studying engineering and military must know better than me. Everyone is doing very well these days. It's really hard to imagine that electric lights can still be used here..."
The old man smiled and pointed to the white energy-saving lamp on his head. It was dismantled from the ship's guest room. It was not very powerful and the light was not bright enough. Of course it was much stronger than a candle.
"So I finally figured out why our group of people didn't need to occupy the county government and drive out the government - because we need different things from ordinary rebels."
"The vast majority of rebels throughout the ages, because they have no production capacity, need to make use of the material and human resources originally in the hands of the government as soon as possible. Therefore, every time they occupy a place, they must first expel the original officials, so that they can obtain the government's official positions.
Materials. Destroy the original order and allow civilians to move around, so that local manpower can be mobilized..."
"But we are different. We have our own production capacity, and our technical level is much higher than the local average, so the resources in the hands of the local government are of no direct use to us - just the grain and cloth in this official warehouse, we will soon
Able to produce better substitutes ourselves.”
"But we still need a lot of human resources."
Ling Ning couldn't help but interrupt. Professor Li looked at him gently and smiled:
"Yes, we need more manpower, but we don't want these people to be used as cannon fodder in the war, so the coercion methods used by traditional rebels cannot provide us with the manpower we need. Xiaoling, if you take
Are you willing to use a whip to force the locals to mine and mine coal?"
"How inefficient is that? Besides, don't we have experts here?"
Ling Ning immediately gave the top hat to Ade next to him, while Comrade Zhao Lide snorted triumphantly, looking satisfied - he had the right to be proud, and the seventy workers had been managed obediently.
, has a very proactive attitude towards work. Recently, some local civilians have even taken the initiative to discuss with laborers, hoping to do some work for the time-travelers.
"Yes, it can be seen that even if we do not kick out the government or coerce the people, we can still solve the labor problem, and the quality of the labor force we coerce cannot meet the requirements. From a certain aspect, we actually have to try to maintain local calm.
So as not to disturb your own production plan."
Professor Li finally expressed his final conclusion:
"There is no need to rob the government of supplies, nor to obtain labor by disrupting local order. There is no fundamental conflict between us and the Ming government. This is the premise for us to coexist with the local government. Lingao County is currently
The situation proves this. And this is the basis for our negotiations with the Ming government."
Silence, long silence.
No one spoke for a long time. Lao Li was indeed a university professor, and he was very eloquent when talking about theories. Tang Jian and others did not think so much when they let the magistrate go at first. They just thought that killing this guy would be of no use.
In the spirit of humanitarianism, I let it go.
Now that I think about it, it’s true: if their boat capsized and everyone climbed ashore alone without any supplies or equipment, I’m afraid they would have had to kill the county magistrate and raise the flag to rebel, because then they would have had to use “traditional methods” to
Survival includes robbing warehouses, driving civilians, etc. - just like bandits.
After Lao Li's analysis, Pang Yu had only had such a vague feeling, but his thoughts suddenly became clear.
"What you are saying is that our development path is actually somewhat similar to the early capitalist path. We do not have to directly control the local people, but we need free labor with a certain quality, and we will also need a free market in the future..."
Chapter completed!