Chapter 806 Master of Strategy
When I saw the Americans looking embarrassed, Xia Shu was savoring the fragrant tea. This was the newly produced Lushan Yunwu Tea that year. Its reputation was far less than that of West Lake Longjing. However, the Jiangsu and Zhejiang areas in China have now become a Japanese war zone. Whether it is Japanese or Chinese merchants, some of the benefits will be used as funds for the Japanese army. As for the best Longjing sent by the Japanese ambassador to Ireland on behalf of the Japanese government, Xia Shu ordered people to auction it publicly, and all the money received was donated to China.
The best Lushan Mountain clouds, the tea soup is light, like jade, and the taste is like Longjing and more mellow. However, the Americans here do not understand this. Although their tea posture is quite sensible, they drink it all without taste.
After a silence, Pratt said: "Your Majesty has always hated Japan and has no malice towards the United States. Now that the United States has ceased to fight Europe, the Berlin Treaty has completely eliminated the US's competitive threat to European countries. Instead, Japan's threat to the Middle East and East Africa is increasing. From any perspective, Your Majesty has no reason to help Japan defeat the United States."
Since the other party intends to gild his face, Xia Shu is too lazy to discuss with them about interests and moral issues. Whether the strategy he listed is effective and whether the Americans will adopt it completely does not need to worry about it afterwards. So he made a little contemplative statement, then raised his eyebrows and said, "What he said today is just a war game deduction. You are here to watch and do not take responsibility. How about it?"
Pratt and Summerl both nodded in agreement.
Natsuki held the teacup in his hand, took a sip, and said slowly: "The Japanese Navy has been in the early days for more than half a century since its establishment. It was weak in the early days. Later, with the development of national strength, the progress of industry has made great progress. Under the stimulation of the two wars between Qing and Japan, Japan and Russia, it entered the leap period of the early century, and ranked among the top three in the world in the late 10 years. Now, its overall combat power is slightly inferior to the US Navy, but it has taken the lead in the Pacific battlefield, so it is extremely difficult for the US Navy to win."
Before the war, Japan had not recovered from the hit of the world economic crisis, and the development of the industrial economy was greatly restricted by insufficient resources. Although it occupied most of Southeast Asia, one of South Asia and the Pacific islands with amazing expansion over the past year, the bottleneck of strategic resources was not immediately cleared. Oil minerals damaged by the war, and refining facilities require a large amount of capital and technical force to gradually resume production. At first glance, the United States' potential for war is still much stronger than that of Japan, but the Berlin armistice and agreement is like wearing it in the Americans.
The tight curse on their heads prevented them from fighting attrition with the Japanese. The peace agreement stipulated that the US Navy would reduce the total tonnage of ships over 100 tons to 550,000 tons by the end of 1935, and reduce 10,000 tons respectively by the end of 1936 and the end of 1937, and ultimately control it to within 350,000 tons. At that time, the US Navy would be reduced from a world-class maritime force to a regional force. The move of Western allies is to weaken the United States' competitiveness in the Atlantic and South America, and to achieve the purpose of taking care of and appeaseing Eastern allies on the surface.
When the German government initially wooed Japan to join the allies, the German government promised that no matter how the war situation progressed, Germany would not make peace with the enemy alone. However, in the military alliance agreement signed by the two sides, this commitment was not included. Later, the Western allies negotiated an armistice agreement with the British government in exile and invited Japan to conduct negotiations with the British government at the same time. As a result, the Japanese demanded that the Commonwealth officially recognize Japan's legal occupation of Malaya, India, Australia, and New Zealand. The Commonwealth insisted on Australia, New Zealand retained its identity as an independent state, and the Western allies defended themselves.
Considering the interests and maintaining the superior status of white people, Japan did not want Japan to implement colonial rule over Australia and New Zealand. The Japanese representative angrily withdrew from the negotiations. The Western allies signed an armistice agreement with the Commonwealth alone. Later, due to similar differences, they prepared to sign an armistice agreement with the United States alone, which aroused great dissatisfaction from the Japanese government. There was a lot of strife in Japan. When the Berlin Armistice Treaty was officially announced, Japanese public opinion immediately turned the trend, and the military also believed that this person who opened up North American colonial territory and dominated the entire Pacific Ocean provided an excellent opportunity, and diplomatic relations between the two sides quickly became warmer.
With the intelligence mastered by Xia Shu, the total tonnage of active ships in the US Navy is about 10,000 tons. If the strict implementation of the armistice peace agreement means that they will retire nearly half of the ships in the next few months. Due to the limited number of training ships, most of the retired ships are facing the fate of being sold or scrapped. Instead of wasting them in vain, it is better to fight with the ambitious Japanese Navy and eliminate those ships with relatively backward performance and relatively long age in the way of survival of the fittest, and melt a fleet of slightly smaller but sufficiently elite.
Xia Shu sipped tea lightly and suggested tepidly: "From a strategic perspective, I think the first step of the United States should deploy the main force of the Atlantic Fleet to the West Coast. If possible, catch the Japanese Expeditionary Fleet off guard and let them give up the unrealistic attempt to board the West Coast of the United States. In this way, the US Navy can turn defense into offense in the Pacific and get rid of the threatened dilemma of the local threat."
Putra hesitated for a moment, and then spoke: "In fact, just the day after the armistice agreement was officially signed, the Japanese fleet blocked the waters of San Francisco, Los Angeles and San Diego had retreated."
Xia Shu was not surprised, and his eyes drooped: "The huge fleet of Mount 6 came from afar, and I'm afraid it wouldn't stop and return so easily. If nothing unexpected happens, they will negotiate with you on the truce in the near future, but the conditions for the truce may be very harsh. If the conditions for the truce in the Japanese side are unacceptable, and hesitation will not be delayed or not, if the confrontation is terminated, only by knocking down the opponent on the battlefield will you have the confidence to speak at the negotiating table."
Several people present did not respond, and Xia Shu then added in a quicker manner: "Personal opinions are for reference only."
Prat hurriedly said, "Your Majesty, please continue to speak."
"The second step is also a step to determine success or failure. Before the Japanese Navy makes a new strategic deployment, it uses its main ships to feign themselves to lure the enemy, and uses aircraft carrier formations to launch a raid on the Hawaiian Islands, severely damaging the six-base Japanese aviation troops stationed here, and then waits for an opportunity to deal with the aided Japanese main fleet, striving to defeat it in the naval battle." When Natsuki said this, the Americans present couldn't help but hold their breath. Against this backdrop, the last few words that Natsuki said seemed resounding.
With the classic examples of the US-British Allied Forces attacking Texel Island, the strategy of attacking the Hawaiian Islands is actually not surprising. It is just that when the Japanese Navy occupied the Pacific islands and extended its strategic control scope to the west coast of the United States, it is very risky to carry out long-distance raids with aircraft carrier formations. Whether it can severely damage the Japanese 6-base air force depends on the Japanese military deployment and alert status in the Hawaiian Islands. As for defeating the Japanese main fleet of aid, it is not as simple as saying.
Pratt pondered: "The advantage of completing one's contribution is that it is possible to quickly reverse the strategic situation of the Pacific battlefield. The disadvantage is that if there is a slight mistake, it may suffer huge losses, which will make the US west coast again face the threat of the Japanese navy."
Xia Shu did not respond, but looked up at Jin. Although this former opponent had a little confused look in his eyes, his expression was very calm.
Putra then sighed: "What a pity! We lack a fleet commander like His Majesty who can decide the victory or defeat of the sea with his own strength."
"Is that right?" Natsuki sneered, "Let me command the Ottoman fleet and keep it safe to lose to the Austro-Hungarian fleet in a naval battle with superior strength."
Putra was speechless.
Natsuki continued: "Prepare as much as possible and keep the will of victory. The winning chance should not be lower than the first Battle of Tessel."
"What about your majesty's third step?" Jin suddenly asked.
Xia Shu put away her smile just now and said seriously: "The third step is to seize the Hawaiian Islands at all costs. Use this as a base for advancement, and make good use of the two strategic weapons of aircraft carriers and submarines to repeatedly stimulate and weaken your opponents."
Pratt explains: "The strategic significance of aircraft carriers is unquestionable, but the role of submarines"
Natsuki did not answer directly, but said mysteriously: "This idea is a gift I gave you today. It is of great value. You will thank me for this in the future. In fact, through research and simulation of our naval battle examples, the tactical literacy of the Japanese main fleet has reached a high level, but there are no strong enemies around them, and naval construction has always revolved around the fleet's decisive concept. Therefore, light ships focus on reconnaissance and lightning strikes, and their air defense and anti-submarine capabilities are relatively weak. As we all know, the Japanese archipelago has poor resources, but most of the factories used to produce ships, aircrafts, and artillery are located in the local area. This means that Japan's military-industrial system relies extremely on materials plundered from China, Malaya, the Philippines, and India. Cargo ships transporting these materials rarely receive protection from warships. Even if the Japanese Navy intends to strengthen escort, it cannot draw enough ships."
The words are so straightforward that the two American Navy generals here understand.
Then, Natsuki used historical war examples to "borrow flowers to offer Buddha": "There is another trick that can be used to anger the Japanese navy and make them lose their due rationality and keep it effective, that is, bombing Tokyo when they unexpectedly!"
Pratt couldn't help but sigh: "People say that the genius of the Hohenzollern family has the smartest head in the world. I was skeptical before, but today I am completely convinced."
Xia Shu said in a deep tone: "Everyone, I think it is necessary to remind you again that what I just said is just a war game deduction. It may be consistent with the actual situation, or it may be very different from the actual situation. If you want to be invincible, the only trick is to keep a close eye on your opponent's weaknesses and avoid letting your opponent grasp your weaknesses."
After saying that, he turned his attention to Ernest Joseph King again. Although he defeated the opponent in several naval battles in the late stage of the Battle of Yar, the process was not as easy as the result. Of course, in addition to King, the US Navy also had many outstanding commanders such as Nimitz, Halsey, Spruins, Mitchell, Kimmel. However, in 1935, these great men in history had not yet risen to the level of being the only one. Some were naval colonels and some took on the role of commander of the team, but as long as they were given the right opportunity, they would become great after a little time.
Chapter completed!