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Chapter 60 War Game Deduction

In the brigade headquarters, Xu Shijiu was looking at the map on the wall and fell into deep thought.

The old uncle sat on the side smoking a dry cigarette. Half of the cigarette had just finished smoking, but Xu Shijiu still had no intention of rest. The old uncle advised: "Hanwazi, go and rest. Anyway, you are not the commander-in-chief of the 9th Army, nor the commander-in-chief of the Third War Zone. It would be useless to think about it anyway."

Xu Shijiu said, pointing to the map, "My uncle, you see, the Japanese army suffered continuous setbacks in the direction of Zhang Huabin, and the fighter jets that quickly occupied Shanghai have been lost. Therefore, fighting with our army in Xinshi District is the best choice for the Japanese army. As long as Matsui Ishigen is not a stupid pig, he will definitely turn his main attack direction to Luodian next."

The old uncle didn't answer and continued to smoke the dry tobacco.

Xu Shijiu continued: "At this point, the National Government has set up another battlefield in East China, and the goal of leading the main force of the Japanese invaders from the North China battlefield to the East China battlefield has been basically achieved. At this time, we should decisively give up Shanghai and set up heavy troops on the four national defense lines of Wufu, Xicheng, Jiazha and Haijia. Relying on solid national defense fortifications, we will kill and injure the Japanese army in large quantities, but what am I worried about..."

Before he finished speaking, a voice suddenly came in from outside the door and said loudly: "Are you worried that the commander-in-chief would not want to give up Shanghai, and then choose to fight the Japanese army in Shanghai?"

Xu Shijiu turned around when he heard the sound, Feng Shengfa had already pushed the door and walked in.

"Deputy Master?" Xu Shijiu was stunned, and his uncle quickly stood up to greet him.

Feng Shengfa waved his hand and smiled and said, "Ajiu, continue your battle analysis."

"Yes." Xu Shijiu stood at attention and said, "Deputy Secretary, I am worried that some of the senior officials of the National Government will be confused. They ignore the huge gap in national strength and military strength between China and Japan, and choose to fight the Japanese army in Shanghai in a gamble-style manner. This is a huge disaster for our army, our army."

Feng Shengfa frowned slightly and said in a deep voice: "You mean, Shanghai cannot be defended?"

Xu Shijiu said confidently: "If you are not a humble official, you will definitely not be able to defend Shanghai!"

Feng Shengfa subconsciously took off his gloves, frowned and looked at the map, and asked, "What's the reason?"

Xu Shijiu said: "Shanghai is a port city. The Japanese Navy's naval gun group and aviation forces can easily cover the entire Shanghai area, but our country's navy and air force has almost no power to fight back. Moreover, due to the Songhu Agreement, there are almost no solid fortifications available for support in the entire Wusong area. How to defend it?"

Feng Shengfa said in a deep voice: "What if you have to keep it?"

Xu Shijiu sighed, "If you have to defend Shanghai, you can only waste dozens of elite divisions under the brutal bombing of the Japanese naval air force. After all these dozens of elite divisions are eliminated, the four national defense lines of Wu Fu, Xicheng, Jiazha and Haijia will become decorations, and the next thing will be the situation of a complete defeat."

Feng Shengfa refused to comment and continued to ask: "So, what if he decisively gave up Shanghai?"

"That's another situation." Xu Shijiu suddenly felt enlightened when he heard this, and continued, "If our army decisively gave up Shanghai and retreated to the national defense lines of Wu Fu, Xicheng, Jiazha and Haijia, it would be difficult for the Japanese Navy's large-caliber naval gun group to play a role anymore. It would be no easy task for the Japanese Army to break through the four national defense lines alone."

As he said that, Xu Shijiu picked up two books from the table, namely the coordination of Japanese infantry and artillery and the establishment of Japanese army, and then said to Feng Shengfa: "Weizhi has a brief study of the firepower and organization of the Japanese army. According to the comparison of the firepower of the Chinese and Japanese armies, if our army invests all 59 German-armed divisions to defend four national defense lines, the Japanese army needs to invest at least all 17 permanent divisions to break through our army's defense line. If our army invests in a large number of local troops, the Japanese army must mobilize the whole country, and if the Japanese army wants to win in the end, there must be a prerequisite..."

Feng Shengfa was slightly moved and said, "What's the premise?"

Xu Shijiu said: "The premise is that all China's industrial resources are exhausted, or all the arsenals are destroyed by Japanese aviation forces. Before all China's industrial resources are exhausted or all the arsenals are destroyed, it is difficult for the Japanese army to break through the four national defense lines between Nanjing, Hangzhou and Shanghai."

Xu Shijiu's words are by no means boastful, but a conclusion drawn after military chess deduction.

After withdrawing from Xinshi District, Xu Shijiu was not idle in the past two days, but carried out a comprehensive and meticulous military chess performance on the various possibilities and evolutions of the Battle of Shanghai.

After five years of military reorganization plan, the National Government has already had 24 adjustment divisions and 35 sorting divisions. These 59 German-armed divisions were all fought from the Jianggui War, the Jiang-Yan War, the Central Plains War, and the encirclement and interception of the Red Army. Their individual combat effectiveness is even better than that of the seventeen permanent divisions in Japan.

After all, the seventeen permanent divisions of Japan were only trained. In addition to being more fanatical in their minds, they only received military training for two years, and few of them had been on the battlefield.

In addition to 59 German divisions, the Central Army also had nearly 100 second-line divisions.

In addition to the Central Army, China also has a large number of local troops such as the Gui Army, Sichuan Army, Yunnan Army, Shanxi Sui Army, etc. These local troops, especially the Gui Army, and the Sichuan Army, also have the Eighth Route Army. In addition to their equipment, their combat effectiveness is also quite strong. Once they are replaced with German equipment, their combat effectiveness may not be much worse than that of the 59 German equipment divisions.

If the battlefield is chosen inland far away from the rivers and seas, and the Japanese Navy cannot provide firepower support, then the biggest gap between the two armies of China and Japan is the heavy artillery and the air force. However, under the premise of solid fortifications, the threat of Japanese heavy artillery and aviation is actually very limited. This can be referred to the Battle of Matsuyama seven years later.

The Battle of Songshan is a classic battle of superior firepower, superior forces against inferior firepower and inferior forces. In order to win the Songshan position where there is only one Japanese wing, the National Army, which has a powerful Allied Air Force and equipped with a large number of heavy artillery, invested 200,000 troops, and finally fought for three months and killed tens of thousands of people!

Even though the combat effectiveness of the national army was not as strong as that of the Japanese army guarding Songshan, and even if the quality of the national army officers was far inferior to that of the Japanese army officers, and even if the fortifications on the four national defense lines were not as strong as the Japanese army fortress group, even if the national army guarding the four national defense lines could not get a one-to-one casualty ratio, it should not be a problem to score a two-to-one casualty ratio.

Moreover, the Japanese army in the Battle of Songshan was alone, while the national army that defended the four national defense lines of Wu Fu, Xicheng, Jiazha and Haijia could receive strong support from the entire country and almost unlimited military sources. As long as China's industrial resources are not exhausted, the Chinese army will not only not weaken, but will instead fight stronger and stronger, because the stable defense line can quickly train a large number of veterans. This can be referred to the two-mountain rotation battles in later Vietnam. The veterans of the seven major military regions fought in this way. These surviving veterans basically became the backbone of the major military regions.

In short, if the National Government gave up Shanghai at this time and chose to fight the Japanese army to the four national defense lines of Wu Fu, Xicheng, Jiazha and Haijia, then it would be hard to predict who would win the Sino-Japanese War. Looking around the world, as long as the tactics are appropriate, there are no shortage of battles with weak defeating the strong, such as the Soviet-Fenn War that broke out two years later.

During the Soviet-Finnish War that broke out in November 1939, the Soviet Union had overwhelming national strength and military strength advantages. At that time, Finland's total population was not even as large as that of the Soviet army. However, the Finnish army relied on the strong Mannahem Line to kill and injure the Soviet army in actual combat, forcing the Soviet government to sit down and negotiate.

Although the national strength and military strength of China and Japan are very different, they are definitely not as exaggerated as the Soviet Union and the Finnish countries. In particular, China had the most abundant population resources in the world at that time, and its military resources were almost unlimited. Therefore, as long as the tactics were appropriate, it was not impossible to force the Japanese government to give up its military offensive and sit down to negotiate.

Feng Shengfa also agreed with Xu Shijiu's point of view in his heart, but this strategic decision was definitely not something that he, a small lieutenant general, could decide. The only thing he could do was to put forward his own point of view to the War Zone Chief Office. As for whether the War Zone Chief Office and the Command Office accepted it or not, only God knew.

Feng Shengfa now changed the topic and said: "Ajiu, would you like to go to the 58th Division with me?"

"58th Division?" Xu Shijiu said in surprise when he heard this, "When will the deputy rank be transferred to the 58th Division?"

Feng Shengfa said: "I have been transferred to the commander of the 58th Division of the 74th Army. As long as you want, I will send a letter to the Songhu Security Command to transfer your 19th Brigade to the 58th Division, and the number is still the 19th Brigade. How about it?"

Xu Shijiu hesitated a little and said, "Master, will this make it difficult for you to do?"

Xu Shijiu could not predict the future, and naturally he did not know the 74th Army's great reputation in the next eight years of the War of Resistance. Even if he put aside his impressive record, the famous generals who came out of the 74th Army alone could bring out a long list, Wang Yaowu, Shi Zhongcheng, Qiu Weida, Yu Chengwan, Li Tianxia, ​​Liao Lingqi, Zhang Lingfu...

Xu Shijiu just felt that the 19th Brigade was awkward. After Shu Tongwen launched the spontaneous anti-Japanese war among the people of Yinxing, he was even more difficult to explain. Therefore, Zhong Song kicked the 19th Brigade out of the 61st Division without saying anything. Feng Shengfa was willing to accept the 19th Brigade. Xu Shijiu was of course happy, but he didn't want to implicate Feng Shengfa because of this.

Feng Shengfa said in a deep voice: "Ajiu, tell me the truth, is that student a Communist Party?"

"I don't know, I don't want to know either." Xu Shijiu shook his head straightforwardly and said, "But I know he is a good soldier and will be a good officer in the future, as long as he can survive."

Feng Shengfa nodded and said, "Okay, are you a Communist?"

"No." Xu Shijiu said without thinking, "I don't feel bad about the Communist Party, but I'm not the Communist Party."

"This is enough. As long as you are not a Communist Party, it is enough." Feng Shengfa patted Xu Shijiu's shoulder and said, "I'm going to Songjiang to meet with the 58th Division, so the shortage of troops cannot be supplemented for you for the time being, but the war does not wait for anyone. You will take the troops to Luodian early tomorrow morning to find out the battlefield situation there first."

"Yes." Xu Shijiu stood at attention, Feng Shengfa replied to the liquor and turned around and left.

After sending Feng Shengfa into the car and watching Feng Shengfa disappear, Xu Shijiu suddenly grabbed the gathering whistle and stuffed it into his mouth. In an instant, a sharp whistle sounded in the silent military camp.
Chapter completed!
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