Chapter 734 What is speculated!(2/2)
It was just dawn, and his wife, Changle, went out to buy groceries. Before Qin Wenyuan got up, he heard a knock on the door outside.
His closed eyes suddenly opened, and his hand instantly tightened the handle of the knife beside him.
"Master, it's me, Xu Gou."
At this time, the sound of a dog came in from outside.
When Shen Lian heard Xu Gou's words, he released his weapon. He glanced at the sky. At this time, the sun had just risen and the chickens had just crowed. It was still early. Xu Gou came to him at this time. He thought there was something wrong. Something important.
He didn't waste any time, got up quickly, put on his green shirt, and opened the door.
I saw Xu Gou standing outside the door. I didn't see Meng Hu today.
Although the Twelve Shadow Thorns are currently regarded as Qin Zulai's personal guards and are responsible for protecting themselves for twelve hours, they are also human beings and they also need to rest.
So they all work in shifts. Unless there are special circumstances, those people work in three shifts, and each team is responsible for four hours. Now is not the time when the Twelve Shadow Thorns are on duty.
Because they all went out with their wives.
With the previous smallpox incident, Shen Lian's protection of his wife could be described as crazy.
"What's going on?" Shen Lian asked directly.
Xu Gou looked at Shen Lian and said, "Master, two hours ago, Beidou Society's killers went to kill Li Wencheng. Li Wencheng was alert enough to sense the danger and escaped in advance, but a dozen beggars were killed."
Shen Lian raised his eyebrows slightly.
Two hours ago, it was between Chou time and Yin time.
There was still a curfew at that time, so Beidou Society's killers were quite brave when they killed him.
And Li Wencheng was able to escape during the curfew, which is not bad at all.
He said: "Did those killers go straight to the place where we saw Li Wencheng yesterday, or did they search other places one by one before they found Li Wencheng?"
Xu Gou said: "They don't have Shao Ze's ability. They divided into several places where beggars gathered at the same time. Then they learned from those beggars that new beggars would be educated at the beggars' main forum, so they went Go to the main altar."
Shen Lian nodded slightly.
From this point of view, although Beichen was smart, he, like himself, deduced that Li Min had become a beggar and hid his identity.
but.
That Yi Beichen probably has no experience at the bottom, or his status is not low, and he has never been in contact with people at the bottom.
Therefore, even if one could guess that Li Wencheng would disguise himself as a beggar, he would not be able to find Li Wencheng immediately like he did.
Otherwise, if Beichen, like himself, had directly deduced where Li Wencheng was, and Li Wencheng still wanted to escape... then it would be just a wishful dream.
Of course, Shen Lian actually used Li Wen as bait, and naturally he would not let him be killed by Beichen's people so easily. If Beichen's killers really found Li Wencheng at the first time, then the manpower he arranged would save him at the critical moment. From Li Wencheng.
So no matter what conclusion Beichen makes, under his own leadership, he can only fail!
Shen Lian rarely takes the initiative to calculate anything. Most of the time, he just follows the trend and follows the plan.
This time he took the initiative to design, so he naturally has a big appetite, but some low-level killers can't satisfy his appetite.
At least...you have to be someone who is qualified to use a serial number to be worthy of your own plans.
Shen Lian asked: "When did those killers move out?"
Xu Gou said: "Go back to me, young master, before midnight last night."
Shen Lian narrowed his eyes slightly, thinking in his mind.
If you don't go out at midnight, it's midnight.
Zishi refers to the time from 11am to 1am, so it is considered 11am.
According to Xu Gou's previous report, the killer was going to kill him between seven and nine o'clock, but found that Li Wencheng was missing.
So take the middle value, which is eight points.
Even if the killer quickly sent a message to Beichen after discovering that Li Wencheng was missing, Beichen, like himself, spent almost no time in inferring that Li Wencheng would pretend to be a beggar, and then quickly replied to the letter.
Then the time is fifteen hours.
A round trip is fifteen hours, and a one way trip is seven and a half hours.
This is the most, after all, writing letters or other things will delay some time.
Of course, Shen Lian also made a rough estimate, so let's consider it a limit.
And in seven and a half hours, if the messenger is delivering the message, he will definitely not go far. Not to mention anything else, just Chang'an City and the checkpoint outside the city can be stuck for an hour.
It only takes more than six hours to ride a horse in the sky, and the limit of a sweat-blooded horse is to travel a thousand miles a day. Ordinary horses can run three to four hundred miles in more than six hours, which is the limit.
What if a flying pigeon delivers a message?
Flying pigeons are not restricted by levels and can fly farther, but pigeons are not the kind of creatures that can fly continuously for a long time. They must also have time to rest. Even at full speed, they may not be faster than horses.
But it can fly in a straight line, regardless of terrain restrictions, so if a flying pigeon is used to convey messages, the distance will be longer.
But no matter how far it goes, five hundred miles is the limit!
Time and other things are all limits calculated by Shen Lian!
In this case, we can know that Beichen's current hiding place is a place with Chang'an as the center and a radius of 500 miles.
If Beichen wanted to get clear information, he couldn't be in the deep mountains and old forests, he must be in a populated place.
The village does not consider it. If there are strangers in the village, it will be easy to discover and suspect.
Therefore, it can be roughly judged that Beichen's current location is a state city or a group of counties within a radius of 500 miles from Chang'an. Chang'an is surrounded by mountains and there are not many state cities.
In addition, Beichen was serious about killing Li Wencheng. He was worried that Li Wencheng would fall into his hands, so he would never delay.
Therefore, it is also possible to exclude those states, cities and counties that are as far away from Chang'an as possible, at least within two hundred miles.
To sum it up like this... there are no more than thirty hiding places at most.
Shen Lian's eyes flashed, and he suddenly returned to the room, took some paper, wrote down the name of the place he had guessed, and handed it to Xu Gou.
Chapter completed!