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Chapter 147 The outbreak of war

The first round of "Hujiangtan" ended on September 16. Due to the strong social response, CCTV officially decided to broadcast the round again the next night, which created a record in the history of Chinese film and television.

Although Qiu Tiger has not yet taken off, the black windbreaker has once again become popular, which is even more rapid than the trend brought by Ken Takakura a year and a half ago.

At the same time, the crew of "Shaolin Temple" has finished filming the part of the outdoor scene at the Zhongyue Temple in Taishi Mountain, and has officially moved to the Huagang Guanyu and Jingci Zen Temple in Qiantang for shooting. Director Zhang also called Gu Ao many times to report the progress, saying that the shooting speed is not as expected, but Li Lianjie will definitely be sent back in December, so that Gu Ao will not delay Gu Ao's affairs.

Gu Ao didn't know that the "Shaolin Temple" in history has been filmed for nearly a year.

But this does not mean that this movie will also take one year to be filmed in this time and space.

Because the reason for the slowness in history is that there are some communication barriers in cooperation between the mainland and Hong Kong. In the middle, I turned over and changed the director and wasted the previous investment of more than 400,000 Hong Kong dollars. When choosing a new location, I also spent several months communicating with other local government tourism departments.

Now that we have learned from other co-production films, it is naturally more convenient for both parties to communicate. These twists and turns can be saved. It is really slow to follow the progress of the Hong Kong film, calm down and shoot it well. It is already slow to get a movie in three months.

However, for Gu Ao, who had been in seclusion for half a month and sorted out the project conclusion report, these small-scale good news did not arouse his interest.

It was also on September 16 that Gu Ao had been waiting for the first-hand news sent back to China from Baghdad Zhangzhong.

President Hussein of Iraq officially launched an attack on the Iranians!

The explosion time of this "black swan" was slightly earlier than that of another time and space. Perhaps this was also the butterfly effect caused by Gu Ao, Zhang Zhong and others' intervention in Iraq in advance.

Maybe President Hussein was prepared for war a few days in advance because he had an extra way to buy Chinese arms.

In the early morning of the same day, the Iraqi Air Force concentrated hundreds of fighter jets to raid 15 cities and air bases in Iran, and then dispatched 6 divisions and more than 1,200 tanks to launch an attack on Iran's Huqistan Province near the mouth of the Mesopotamian River. It attempted to surround the capital of Huqistan and the important port of the Persian Gulf Abadan.

For the Western world, the biggest impact is obviously the financial market.

When the news of the war broke out, the futures trading market in New York was closed due to time differences.

But futures are different from stocks, because major exchanges around the world sell futures of these categories, and there is no problem of "a certain stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, so London and Tokyo cannot be bought and sold."

The three major exchanges in London, New York and Tokyo have a time difference of seven or eight hours a day. There is always one during business hours.

Therefore, the Tokyo futures exchange was the first to respond, and international oil prices jumped 30% instantly, and crude oil prices rose from $19.6 per barrel to 27.7.

However, this is actually not over yet, because a few hours before the war broke out, the relevant departments and news departments of the Iranian government had not yet started work, and there was no official announcement that they would stop exporting crude oil from now on.

If Americans are willing to be hardworking at this time, such as those institutional investors who are guarding for 24 hours, they can chase a wave of interest rate spreads and bet on a while, oil prices will further deteriorate. As for retail investors who have to sleep at night, they can only wait to wake up and see the opportunity to slip away in vain.

(In 1980, futures were mainly telephone transactions, and delivery was relatively slow, which was incomparable to high-frequency transactions in the information age. If you are well-informed and informed, you can encounter major events, even if you are not a time traveler, you can make a small amount of money by time difference.)

As expected, when London and New York opened one after another, first-hand news reports on the scale of the war had already appeared in the media. The oil departments of Iraq and Iran also officially spoke out, and the 60-day crude oil futures prices jumped sharply again.

From more than 28 yuan before the news was released, it rose to 30 yuan after the news was released, and 32 yuan after the oil departments of the two countries made public statements.

...

When the war broke out in Iraq, the time in the capital city in China was four or five hours earlier than that in Iraq, about 6 o'clock in the morning.

At that time, the domestic media did not respond so quickly, and morning news could not keep up with the report.

Gu Ao was still at around 7 a.m. when he was about to go to the library to discuss the final report with everyone, he was reminded by Xiangjiang's agent trader Liang Jinsong and his cousin Lu Guangfu, who was in New York, on phone.

Liang Jinsong is a professional trader, so of course he must always keep a close eye on the market. After discovering the black swan, he immediately called Gu Ao to ask if he wanted to sell orders.

"Don't panic, wait a little longer." Gu Ao instructed Liang Jinsong on the phone, and then asked him to send him the market every two hours. In addition, if the oil price fluctuates more than $1, report it every $1.

Lu Guangfu, in the habit of a graduate of the Finance Department of Columbia University, saw the news of the war breaking out on the news at 8 o'clock in the evening of CNN, immediately went to check the opening market in Tokyo, and then called his cousin to confirm the other party's opinions.

Not to mention that Lu Guangfu is also quite courageous. He knew that there was still a wave of market conditions that could not be enough to rise in the time difference between the opening of Tokyo and the opening of New York. So he still bought decisively at the high of 28 yuan, and even urgently borrowed all the cash money from relatives and friends that he could borrow, adding high leverage. (In order to keep it confidential, Gu Ao did not tell his cousin about the oil crisis, and Lu Guangfu's capital would not increase much profit)

In the end, he really bet on it, earning a difference of between 28 yuan and 32 yuan. However, it is precisely because Lu Guangfu just chased the rise and sold the decline, earning the time difference, and the leverage was too high, he felt very weak. After only making more than 4 yuan, he held it for 24 hours and then sold it decisively, for fear that there will be reverse news or panic ebbs in the future, which will squeeze out his position.

Because the principal is not large and the price difference is not large, even if there is leverage, Lu Guangfu ended up making only 70,000 to 80,000 US dollars.

However, this also made him earn back the expenses of studying at Columbia University. It saved some money and was enough to get the tuition and living expenses for a doctorate graduation.

At the same time, because the money is legal and reasonable, and I earn it from my own perspective, Lu Guangfu's awareness of confidentiality is definitely not that strong, and there is no need for him to keep it confidential. He can show off his courage and ability among his classmates.

"I heard that Asians made tens of thousands of dollars! They just made the time difference in the futures market!"

"Really and false? It's the market after 28 yuan? Why didn't I expect it! Damn it, I didn't expect Asian cowards to have such courage."

Soon, these rumors spread among this class of international business law graduate students. The next time I held a major international relations class, when I communicated with students majoring in international relations, this "record" would be slowly passed on.

Finally, the staff who produced the "Master Open Class Courseware Editing" of the International Relations course will also notice it.

"Hey, it seems like this Lu Guangfu has an Asian friend who caught a group of people after a big class with Brzezinski's consultant more than a month ago and was discussing. At that time, it was mentioned that the more unstable the Middle East, the more unfavorable the Secretary of State and Security Advisors were to deal with it, the more fluctuating the oil price, the more dangerous President Carter's re-election will be?"

"Yes, I was there at that time. It seemed that the Asian American was Lu Guangfu's cousin. In order to prove his vision, he also said that he had bought 1 million US dollars of oil price futures, and bet that there must be a big surge before the election. I don't know if it really has 1 million US dollars, but I didn't expect that, so he was so toxic, so he had such a vicious vision."

"That class seems to be an open class. Someone who recorded the courseware with the video tape. Let's go and find the professor who manages the courseware to check it out."

...

While Columbia was gradually brewing and fermenting, all the accomplices in China who knew Gu Ao's ability and ability were dumbfounded.

Mina was the first to report it, after all, she was by Gu Ao's side.

Out of trust, she also moved most of the working capital of her winery and various clever names to borrow money from low interest rates and interest-free, and invested nearly $1 million in total. Now that the oil price really soared, she was worried and asked every half an hour: "Senior Gu! Can you sell it!"

The next day, even Han Ting flew back from the Special Administrative Region - there was no airport in the Special Administrative Region, so she drove to Yuezhou first and then flew from Yuezhou.

Her questions were similar to those of Mina.

"Wait a little longer! We built positions at 17.8 yuan. Now we can't explode no matter how we fall. When the first correction point appears, we will definitely have time to run! The previous two days when all kinds of news were browsing, and it will definitely not be over! The long-term trend of war has not yet appeared, and once this trend appears, it will definitely be a new bullish point. What are you anxious about?"

Gu Ao tried his best to comfort him, but in the end he could only provide reference for them and could not make decisions over his authority.

Everyone did nothing, just guarded the phone number that could make long-distance international calls, ready to entrust transactions to traders in Xiangjiang at any time.

"It's 35 yuan, today's Tokyo morning high!"

"The early morning session in London reached 34.1, and the pullbacks were more than $1! Let's sell it!"

After a fierce internal debate, Gu Ao still accepted this suggestion and put it in peace.

"Forget it, stop when it's good, we won't be greedy. When the influence of the war is weakening, let's short it a little longer." Gu Ao finally withdrew the funds one after another around $34.

Later history proved that this wave of market peaked at the end of November, and oil prices reached a peak of US$41.

Gu Ao made a profit of one or two percent less when he took action at 34 yuan.

But after all, he only earned by predicting war and policy black swans. Who dares to really reach the highest point?
Chapter completed!
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