In the scorching heat, everyone was wearing thin clothes in the room without air conditioning, writing quickly, or discussing in a low voice.

For Gu Ao and others, even if the summer vacation is on the way, they did not go home, but still lived in school and struggled for graduation projects.

After buying oil futures, it is not certain that the market will come in exactly the specific day, so it is meaningless to keep an eye on it every day. The reason why I built a position a little early was that I was afraid that President Hussein would suddenly get lost and start a war too much in advance because of Gu Ao's butterfly effect.

Before the outbreak of the Iran-Iraq War and the results of the US election, doing more research preparations will save a lot of scientific research expenses for the country in the future. Everyone is excited to strive for excellence.

So this summer vacation, Gu Ao will not go back to Qiantang at all.

The electric fan was blowing, and the accuracy of the bearings and fan blades did not seem to be very good. There was a slight imbalance when rotating, so the sound was particularly loud.

The noise of cicadas outside the window often covers up the sound of conversation.

Of course, Gu Ao had money to buy air conditioners, but the capital city is not as far away as the emperor. It is too eye-catching to install air conditioners. When a big shot comes to inspect the research team...

"The cold drink is here, let's take a break." Isminaya took back four bowls of dessert from the freezer in the school cafeteria and placed it on the conference table. It was a kind of thing made of mung bean paste and slurry.

Gu Ao put down the documents at hand, took a bowl, and chatted: "Hey, Mina San, before I watched the impact of international emergencies on fluctuations in election support, I discovered another interesting idea."

Isminaya looked at her senior in a daze: "My research direction is not this, and I don't understand it even if you say it."

Yang Xinze smiled heartily: "Brother Gu is calling us to listen together. He is talking about 'Minasan', not 'Minasan'."

Everyone is a foreign language person who has mastered n foreign languages, so of course they can understand this kind of pun Japanese oral habit.

The atmosphere of tense research suddenly relaxed.

Gu Ao then ate shaved ice and pointed out the country: "In the last term, in the midterm elections of 1974, the Minzhu Chair won a big victory and the nuclear Chair was defeated. We are tired of this result itself - but in the past, we have always attributed this result to the subsequent scandal of the Watergate incident, and we have not seen any other factors.

But after a recent review, I found that this was just because the U.S. Department of Justice's release period for the evidence of the Watergate investigation was stuck at the time point in October 1973, to be precise, from October 20 to October 31.

And at the same time? Internationally, the Fourth Middle East War broke out from October 6 to October 26 of the same year. At the critical moment when he was about to step down, Nixon also devoted his energy to force the US Air Force to use strategic transport aircraft fleets to transport arms to Israel on October 12. On the 16th, a few days later, it led to a collective anti-US production cut, and the first oil crisis broke out.

After reviewing the polls at that time, I found that the plunge in the support rate of the private pig market did not begin on October 20, when the independent prosecutor Kaocico released the first batch of Nixon's impeachment evidence. On October 18, two days before Kaocico took action, data from a polling agency showed this plunge.

What does this mean? It means that ordinary Americans may not pay as much attention to the dirty dog ​​biting between the top leaders as we analyzed in the past. What they care more about is that oil prices have soared by five times. It’s just that the oil crisis and the Watergate incident are too close in time, and it is only 4 days away, which leads to confusion and misreading the influence of the two during our analysis.

We always thought that Nixon was despised by the American people because he was attacked by the American people, but in fact, it was more because the American people were angry that the US president would rather sacrifice his presidential throne and the interests of the American people than defend Israel."

Yang Xin, Ye Wan and Mina all felt refreshed after hearing this interpretation.

Yang Xin studied Japan and did not know much about the United States, so he put forward a mature and persistent view:

"But, the rise in international oil prices cannot be blamed entirely on the US president, right? Although he transported arms to support Israel, he had never encountered resistance from the collective production cuts in the Middle East world before. That was an unexpected accident. Does the American people not distinguish right from wrong?"

Ye Wan, who is more familiar with the United States, immediately refuted Yang Xin: "The Americans' expectations for the president are far from comparable to those of Japanese people for the Prime Minister. They are used to controlling everything."

"I agree with Ye in this regard." Gu Ao made the referee and analyzed in depth, "Our domestic analysts have previously ignored this angle, mainly because we are used to just taking care of our own thinking patterns.

Assuming that our country is troubled by the surge in international oil prices, our people will think that this is an "event" and an objective factor. Although the hardship is difficult, you will pass by it once you endure it and you will not feel angry.

Americans think completely differently from other countries around the world. They are used to their presidents not only need to manage domestic affairs in the United States, but also other things on the earth.

All accidents are, unless it is an alien attack or an alien planet, and if the US president fails to manage other things, causing fluctuations in foreign situations to affect the domestic economy and life, then this is that the Earth's captain is incompetent and should reduce the support rate."

"This... is really a domineering mindset." Yang Xin and Mina were shocked by the mentality of the American people.

It turns out that in the eyes of American men, if the president fails to fulfill his duties as the captain of the earth, is he considered a dereliction of duty?

People in other countries think that something that is a "natural disaster" cannot be blamed, but it is a "man-made disaster" in the hearts of Americans.

Hearing this, Mina reacted first.

After all, she had conducted crude oil speculation with Gu Ao, so she was the most sensitive.

"Ah, doesn't that mean... If President Hussein really launched a war, it would also lead to a rise in oil prices, and President Carter, who is currently in office, will be further affected, resulting in a plummeting support rate? Even if Li Gen was not so sure of winning the election, with Hussein's fuel, it would be a sure thing?"

Others also suddenly realized: "Yes! There is indeed this possibility. Originally, we just used the long-term variable of "The United States is too weak to deal with foreign affairs" to view Carter's downturn. Now it seems that there is also the moment when oil prices are the fastest effective, which can further deteriorate public opinion within a few days."

Having talked about this, Gu Ao's own view on this issue deepened a little further.

In the United States, it is clear that which stage is in power on the stage and which stage will suffer.

Maybe Hussein chose to start a war a month before the US election, just to change another US president?

Unfortunately, he miscalculated the final calculations. After changing to an actor's emotional instability and unprofessional president, the United States did not decline and relaxed its constraints on Iraq.

The subsequent US presidents' zero tolerance for the Middle East's thorns might have started with this lesson. They have had enough of the nervous days of "all the big oil dogs in the Middle East can decide which level of US president."

This is why 81 years later, he was extremely encouraging Saudi Arabia and even allowed Saudi Arabia to purchase almost all the arms of the five permanent members without restrictions. Even Saudi Arabia secretly held long-range ballistic missiles and even some indescribable warheads turned a blind eye.

Before the lessons of the Iran-Iraq War, Saudi Arabia and the UAE were not within the scope of the United States' efforts to win over. Previously, the United States did not regard those oil countries as humans, and it would be enough to support Israel in the Middle East.

There are some things that can only be seen so thoroughly by being the person involved in it.

Gu Ao finally made a statement: "I think we can refine this research point, submit it to the principal, and explain the usage. If the relevant departments allow it, give President Hussein the preferred data linkage model... Then the timing of the outbreak of the war may be more controllable for us."

"This idea is good, and the persuasiveness has been improved a little bit, and it has gradually changed from an observer to a trader." Everyone agreed with Gu Ao's statement.

...

In such a simple research atmosphere, each detail is excavated, reinterpreted, and given new uses.

The days are fulfilling and happy.

Near the evening, as the scorching sun faded, everyone was preparing to go out for a meal.

I was packing up my things, and the door to the conference room was knocked.

Gu Ao went over to open the door and found that it was his girlfriend Xiao Sui, carrying things in a big bag.

This kind of weather came from all the way, and my whole body was soaked and my clothes were all stuck to my body.

"Suizi, you..."

"Last week, you called me and said that there were very busy topics with confidential topics and would not go home during the summer vacation. So I came to Beijing to find you after the final exam." Xiao Sui's handkerchief that had been twisted many times and wiped the sweat dripping from her hair.

It turns out that there is also an operation that allows girls to go to their boyfriend’s college city during the summer vacation...

Gu Ao really wanted to hug and cherish it, but considering that there were three single dogs, it was difficult to show off his dog food.

Oh, to be precise, they should be two single dogs. Yang Xin has already gotten out of single, but his girlfriend is in another place.

"How long are you going to stay? Isn't my aunt worried?"

"If you have any worries when you are with you, I told my family that I was going to Beijing for a trip and collect folks. I haven't come to Beijing for much fun before." Xiao Sui answered very simply.

Gu Ao had no choice but to bite the bullet and introduce it to everyone.

Ye Wan and Yang Xin both met Xiao Sui, but before she became Gu Ao's girlfriend. Now that her identity has changed, she naturally needs to be introduced again.

"You can continue writing later in the evening. I may have something to do - my girlfriend, Xiao Sui."

"Hello, Classmate Xiao." Yang Xin said hello with no psychological burden at the least.

Mina and others also shook their hands.

"The content of the topics we are studying is quite confidential. You can go and wait for me downstairs. It is not convenient to read more here." Gu Ao was also very clear about public and private matters, so he told Xiao Sui not to read randomly.

"Here are a few video tapes from "Hujiangtan". The TVB people sent them to me after editing them. You can look at them in advance. Leave two copies for Mouzi and Ajie and the others." Xiao Sui said, taking out a few boxes of video tapes from her bag.

It is now at the end of June, and the first round of TVB in Xiangjiang has been released, and the response is extremely enthusiastic. The mainland is still being reviewed. Xiao Sui's Cantonese version is obviously a ripped version leaked from the inside.

"Wow, let's watch it together in the evening, there will be a video recorder upstairs." Mina has always been interested in what Senior Gu invested in to take photos, and wanted to see what happened.
Chapter completed!