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Chapter two hundred and thirty first talk on paper

Such a major secret, just drafted, and few people knew about it. Li Fengyun, who was thousands of miles away, made an accurate prediction a few months ago. This was too incredible and exceeded Cui Hongsheng's understanding of strange people in the Middle Earth world.

A stranger who can infer the future is at most predicting good and bad luck, which is a metaphor for the good and bad luck of the Eastern Expedition, and a metaphor for the rise and fall of the dynasty. However, Li Fengyun can see it and see it clearly. This ability is too terrible. Of course, the destiny of heaven is irreversible, and the future can be predicted but it is impossible to change. This is proof of history. There have been countless prophecies and divinations in history. Many prophecies and divinations accurately predict the results of major historical events, but before the results appear, there is no power to change the results against the will of heaven, including the predictor himself, who died because he could not see the trajectory of history. Li Fengyun is obviously an alien. He seems to be able to see the trajectory of history, which gives him and his stakeholders the opportunity to change his destiny.

The importance of Cui and Cui Hongsheng to Li Fengyun can be imagined, so Li Fengyun will not be stingy with his supernatural powers. Since he saw the disaster of Cui and Cui Hongsheng from the fog of the future, he must do his best to save it.

The Twelve Lady gave Cui Hongsheng a positive answer. The secrets of the Eastern Expedition she knew came from Li Fengyun's prediction a few months ago. She was also skeptical before, but since the core officials of the central government fell one after another on the eastern expedition and the expeditionary army was blocked from the Liaodong city after crossing the Liaoshui River. She had to believe Li Fengyun's prediction, so she solemnly told Cui Hongsheng that Li Fengyun's prediction of the result of this Eastern Expedition was a great defeat.

What does a great defeat mean? It means that the political situation in Dongdu will undergo irreversible changes. This change is not conducive to the emperor, the ruling faction, and the reform. The conservative forces in Zhongtu will launch round after round of "attacks" against the reform faction. The outbreak of conflicts in the court will intensify the conflict between the central and localities, and the domestic situation will turn sharply and worsen. Once the domestic crisis is serious, it will inevitably affect Sino-foreign relations, especially the relations between the north and the south, and will suddenly become tense. The northern enemy headed by the Turks and Tiel people who are eyeing Zhongtu are very likely to go south and invade. If the Civil War breaks out, Zhongtu is worried about internal and external troubles and is attacked from both sides, then the emperor and the center with the reform faction as the core will inevitably fall into a political crisis, with unimaginable consequences and the country's destiny will be in danger of shaking or even overturning.

What does a great defeat mean to Cui? It means a major risk. As one of the commanders of the expeditionary army, Cui Hongsheng must bear the blame for failure. At the least, it will be expelled for the people, and at the worst, it will be cut off from his head. There is no possibility of avoiding it. Therefore, the Twelve Lady and Cui Jiu rushed to the battlefield of the Eastern Expedition day and night, and told him in person the way to save himself in front of Cui Hongsheng. The matter is of great importance and it is impossible to explain it clearly in the letter, and there is also the possibility of being reported and framed by someone. Only by presenting it in person can you ensure safety and do your best to convince Cui Hongsheng.

Is the Eastern Expedition going to be defeated? Cui Hongsheng is uneasy.

It is not terrible that the Expeditionary Force was blocked by the city of Liaodong. It is also possible to adhere to the strategy of steady and steady steps. Although the war process will be extended, the national strength of Middle-earth can be fully supported. Compared with the lack of national strength of Goguryeo, the extension of the war process will directly drag Goguryeo into the abyss of defeat. It can be foreseen that by spring tomorrow, Pyongyang will collapse without waiting for the Expeditionary Force to reach Pyongyang. The war is too lethal, and countless Goguryeo people fled their homes. They have to eat, drink and survive. The war destroyed the Goguryeo economy. The war completely lost the balance of the output and consumption of Goguryeo, and Pyongyang could not hold on at all.

However, the emperor and the central government were forced to be under the severe crisis brought about by the double unrest of the political situation in the Eastern Capital and the domestic situation, the huge political pressure from domestic conservative forces that have long opposed and obstructed reforms, the allies of the Goguryeo people, the threat to the security of the Central Plains in the desert, and the arrogant and arrogant mentality of the world kings that cannot be blasphemed and insulted, forcing them to end the war as soon as possible, so as to firmly control the initiative in politics and military. For this reason, they went from one extreme to another, from the conservative and stable strategy of intending to win the greatest interests at the minimum cost, and use force to deter the enemy's surrender to the radical risk strategy of destroying the enemy at all costs.

Duan Wenzhen's legacy policy itself contains great risks, and this risk is an important reason why the emperor and the central government refused to adopt it. Now the attitude of the emperor and the central government has undergone a subversive change. They want to implement Duan Wenzhen's legacy policy, but this is no longer the best time to implement Duan Wenzhen's legacy policy. If it is forcibly implemented, the risks contained in the legacy policy will inevitably be expanded to the extreme.

In the eyes of the commanders in the army, the Expeditionary Force used Duan Wenzhen's legacy to attack Pyongyang. Failure is inevitable, and winning is a great luck. However, no commanders dare to place the lives of the soldiers on illusory luck. Therefore, everyone's consensus is that under normal circumstances, the Expeditionary Force will definitely return without success. Since they have such a thought, the commanders will know how to fight this battle. The main purpose is not to seek merit, but to seek no mistakes. As long as the Expeditionary Force soldiers are brought home safely, it is equivalent to overcoming the biggest risk in Duan Wenzhen's legacy with their greatest efforts, that is victory.

Cui Hongsheng was prepared to kill Pyongyang with such an idea, but the Twelve Lady gave him a blow and fully aroused the fear that he had hidden deep in his heart.

"Prophecy is a prophecy after all." Cui Hongsheng forced himself to remain calm, his tone was very plain, "Prophecy is not reliable, and it is even more absurd to predict the failure of the Eastern Expedition. Goguryeo is just a jackal. In front of the powerful tiger, it will always be prey, vulnerable prey."

The Twelve Lady glanced at him, turned around and pulled Cui Jiu up from the ground, "Tell me, tell him why the Eastern Expedition failed? Why did Duan Wenzhen's legacy send all the soldiers of the Expeditionary Army to hell?"

The Twelve Lady only had a brief glimpse of the way of military affairs, and it was okay to talk about it in general, but if she really wanted to talk about it on paper, she was unable to do so in terms of offensive and defensive deployment. When Li Fengyun made the prediction that the Eastern Expedition failed, she had conducted sand table deductions in front of her and Cui Jiu, which was very specific. However, with the Twelve Lady's military knowledge, it was okay to watch the excitement, but it was not possible to see the tricks. So at this moment she could only push Cui Jiu to her father and let Cui Jiu repeat Li Fengyun's prediction of the war process.

After obtaining Cui Hongsheng's permission, Cui Jiu walked to the map hanging in the coach's tent and started talking endlessly.

"Li Fengyun inferred that the failure of the Battle of Pyongyang was in two places. One was that the navy launched an early attack in order to compete for merit, resulting in the failure of the attack between water and land. The second was that the Goguryeo people's counterattack power was underestimated and failed to ensure the safety of the retreat path. As a result, the rear route was cut off during the retreat, resulting in the annihilation of the entire army.

Cui Jiu's words were astonishing, and Cui Hongsheng's face changed immediately, "The navy attacked in advance? Lai Hu'er and Zhou Fashang were both loyal to the Holy Lord, and it was impossible for him to violate the will of the Holy Lord."

Just as he finished speaking, a thought suddenly emerged in his mind, and immediately rejected his judgment. If the navy attacked in advance was the will of the Holy Lord, how could he dare to violate it with Hu'er and Zhou Fashang?

The navy crossed the sea according to the weather conditions, so it is impossible to specify which day it will take. But if nothing unexpected happens, at the end of June and early July, that is, during the rainy season in the Far East, the navy will definitely cross the sea to fight, because then the land army should also advance to the vicinity of Pyongyang. The Middle-Turkish army has been advancing along the water and land, forming a cross-strike. The Goguryeo was forced to fight on both sides, and the main force must be used to resist the attack of the Middle-Turkish land army, and the army that defends Pyongyang will inevitably be limited, which gives the navy the opportunity to "attack the enemy without preparation."

If the navy conquered Pyongyang, Lai Huer and Zhou Fashang would have made great contributions. Lai Huer and Zhou Fashang were both famous generals in Jiangzuo, and they were both confidants of the emperor in the military. Their contribution was the emperor's merits, and the emperor's authority increased greatly. At the same time, the commanders of the land army were slapped hard by the emperor without exception, and their face was lost and their authority was greatly damaged. Once the situation developed, the emperor could not only further concentrate military power, but also quickly stabilize the political situation in the Dongdu, which was extremely beneficial to accelerating the reform process.

However, can the navy conquer Pyongyang? If the navy wants to conquer Pyongyang, it first needs the cooperation of the land army and the land army launches fierce attacks to restrain the main force of the Goguryeo people. However, the land army is first limited by the unfavorable conditions of the surge in the river in the rainy season, and the march speed must be slow. Secondly, the commanders of the land army are forced to stop food and grass and have limited attack time, and have lost the determination to end the war before winter comes, so it can be foreseeable that

The "negative" attack of the land army will inevitably create opportunities for the Goguryeo people to defeat their opponents on the north and south sides. Once the Goguryeo people concentrate their main force under the city of Pyongyang, give the Middle-earth navy a head-on attack and destroy the Middle-earth army's strategy of land-to-land attack, then the Goguryeo people can concentrate all their strength to deal with the Middle-earth land army. In this way, the difficulty of the land army's attack will be greatly increased, and it will be withdrawn until the food and grass is unsustainable.

"Our army has two dangerous obstacles on its way back, Sashui and Yalu River." Cui Jiu pointed to the Sashui on the map, and his expression was extremely solemn. "If the Goguryeo people built a dam upstream of the Sashui River, and digging the dam to release the water when our army retreats, then our army's retreat will inevitably be cut off. By then, our army has no reinforcements outside, no food and grass inside, and the morale of the army is in chaos. Faced with the Goguryeo people's four sides, do you still have the courage to burn your boats and fight with your back? If this is not possible, then all my expedition soldiers will be wiped out."
Chapter completed!
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